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2010 Maine gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2010 Maine gubernatorial election

← 2006November 2, 20102014 →
 
NomineePaul LePageEliot Cutler
PartyRepublicanIndependent
Popular vote218,065208,270
Percentage37.6%35.9%

 
NomineeLibby MitchellShawn Moody
PartyDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote109,38728,756
Percentage18.8%5.0%

County results
Municipality results
LePage:     20–30%     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Cutler:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     >90%
Mitchell:     30–40%     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Tie:     

Governor before election

John Baldacci
Democratic

Elected Governor

Paul LePage
Republican

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The2010 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010, to elect thegovernor of Maine. IncumbentDemocratic governorJohn Baldacci was term-limited and could not seek re-election to a third consecutive term.Primary elections took place on June 8, 2010. The candidates who appeared on the November ballot were (in alphabetical order by last name):Eliot Cutler (Independent),Paul LePage (Republican),Libby Mitchell (Democratic),Shawn Moody (Independent), and Kevin Scott (Independent).[1]

With 94% of precincts reporting on the day after the election, theBangor Daily News declared LePage the winner, carrying 38.1% of the votes.[2] Cutler was in second place with 36.7% of the votes (less than 7,500 votes behind LePage), while Mitchell was a distant third with 19%.[2] Moody and Scott had 5% and 1%, respectively.[2] Two days after the election, with 99% of precincts reporting, LePage's lead over Cutler had widened to more than 10,000 votes.[3] This election was the first since1990 that Maine elected a Republican governor.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

On ballot

[edit]

Write-in

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Dawn Hill,State Representative.[14][15] Hill withdrew from the race on January 1, 2010, citing the crowded field of candidates.[16]
  • John G. Richardson, former Commissioner of Economic and Community Development and former Speaker of the House.[4][17] Richardson withdrew from the race on April 26 amid allegations that some of his campaign workers had not followed proper procedures for collecting donations to qualify him for Maine Clean Election funding.[18] The primary ballots had already been printed before Richardson withdrew from the race, so Richardson's name appeared on the ballot even though he was no longer a candidate.[19]
  • Peter Truman (also known as Peter Throumoulos), former state representative and convictedforger.[20] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredMitchellRoweScarcelliMcGowanUndecided
Pan Atlantic SMS Group[23]May 21–29, 201013.3%11.7%7.0%6.3%61.7%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  Mitchell
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Rowe
  •   40–50%
  McGowan
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticElizabeth "Libby" Mitchell 42,32834.4
DemocraticG. Steven Rowe27,92322.7
DemocraticRosa Scarcelli26,44421.5
DemocraticPatrick K. McGowan24,39219.8
DemocraticJohn Richardson1,6041.3
DemocraticWrite-in2360.3
Total votes122,927100

At 11:32 p.m.EDT,WCSH declared Libby Mitchell the winner of the Democratic primary.[25]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

On ballot

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDates administeredOttenLePageMillsAbbottBeardsleyPoliquinJacobsonUndecided
MECPO[46][47]May 22-June 2, 201017.0%10.7%22.1%13.9%5.9%4.9%1.4%24.0%
Pan Atlantic SMS Group[23]May 21–29, 201017.0%10.3%8.4%8.3%3.6%3.3%2.0%47.0%

Results

[edit]
Results by county
  LePage
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Otten
  •   30–40%
  Beardsley
  •   30–40%
Republican primary results[24]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanPaul LePage49,12637.4
RepublicanLes Otten22,94517.4
RepublicanPeter Mills19,27114.7
RepublicanSteve Abbott17,20913.1
RepublicanWilliam "Bill" Beardsley12,0619.2
RepublicanBruce Poliquin6,4714.9
RepublicanMatt Jacobson4,3243.3
Total votes131,407100

At 11:19 p.m.EDT,WCSH declared Paul LePage the winner of the GOP primary.[48]

Independents

[edit]

Candidates on the ballot

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]
  • John Jenkins, former state senator, former mayor of bothAuburn andLewiston, and a 2002 gubernatorial candidate.[56] Jenkins, who won his most recent mayoral campaign by write-in, declared he would run for Governor of Maine if 5,000 people followed hisFacebook fan page[57] within 45 days.
  • Beverly Cooper-Pete.[58] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures,[51] but continued her campaign as a write-in candidate.[59]

Disqualified candidates

[edit]
  • Alex Hammer, business owner and self-published author.[4][60] Did not appear on the ballot due to not meeting the deadline for turning in petition signatures. Hammer attempted to turn in some of the signatures electronically, but the Secretary of State ruled that such methods were not allowed. Hammer filed suit to appear on the ballot in Penobscot County Superior Court on June 28, 2010.[61][62] On September 28, 2010, the judge upheld the Secretary of State's decision.[63]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Samme Bailey.[4][64] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]
  • Augustus Edgerton.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]
  • Michael Heath, former leader of theChristian Civic League of Maine (now known as the Maine Family Policy Council).[65] Withdrew from the race due to lack of petition signatures.[66]
  • John Whitcomb.[4] Did not appear on the ballot due to lack of petition signatures.[51]

Maine Green Independent Party

[edit]

TheMaine Green Independent Party did not have a gubernatorial candidate on the ballot, as no candidate collected required number of signatures.[67]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[71]TossupOctober 14, 2010
Rothenberg[72]Tilt R(flip)October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[73]Likely R(flip)November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[74]Lean R(flip)October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[75]Lean DOctober 28, 2010

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Paul LePage (R)Libby Mitchell (D)Eliot Cutler (I)Shawn Moody (I)Kevin Scott (I)Undecided
MPRC/Down East Magazine[76]October 28–30, 2010546± 4.19%39%24%29%4%1%2%
Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[77]October 27–28, 2010621± 4%40%21%21%4%1%11%
Pan Atlantic SMS[78]October 25–28, 2010400± 4.9%38.6%21.8%30.6%2.8%1.1%7.3%
Public Policy Polling[79]October 26–28, 20101,812± 2.3%40%24%28%4%1%2%
Rasmussen Reports[80]October 26, 2010500± 4.5%40%26%26%--5%
Critical Insights[81]October 13–17, 2010600± 4%32%20%19%5%1%21%
Pan Atlantic SMS[82]October 11–15, 2010501± 4.4%32.9%28.0%14.0%4.6%0.4%20.2%
Rasmussen Reports[80]October 12, 2010500± 4.5%35%32%21%**6%
Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[83]October 10–11, 2010605± 4%32%26%11%5126%
Pine Tree Politics/Maine Center for Public Opinion[84]October 4–7, 2010679± 3.76%29.6%28.7%11.1%4.9%1.6%24.1%
Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[85]September 27, 2010405± 4.9%29%30%9%5%0%26%
Rasmussen Reports[86]September 20, 2010500± 4.5%45%27%14%**10%
Critical Insights/MaineToday Media[87]September 13, 2010603± 4%38%25%11%4%1%21%
Public Policy Polling[88]September 2–6, 20101,468± 2.6%43%29%11%5%1%12%
Rasmussen Reports[89]August 12, 2010500± 4.5%38%30%16%**11%
Rasmussen Reports[90]July 14, 2010500± 4.5%39%31%15%**12%
Rasmussen Reports[91]June 10, 2010500± 4.5%43%36%7%**14%

* Shawn Moody and Kevin Scott, two Independent candidates who appeared on the ballot, were not offered as choices in the Rasmussen polls.[92]

Results

[edit]

Despite polling in the low teens as late as mid-October, Cutler surged in the final weeks of the campaign to surpass Mitchell and finish second. LePage won with only 37.6% of the vote, the second-lowest percentage for any winning Maine gubernatorial candidate behind independentAngus King's 35.7% in1994. LePage was considered to have benefitted fromvote splitting between the Democrat Mitchell and the Democrat-turned-independent Cutler.[93] Mitchell would ultimately win just 18.8% of the vote, carrying onlyKittery andOgunquit in the extreme south of the state, thePenobscot Indian Island Reservation, and a handful of staunchly Democratic municipalities in northernAroostook County near the Canadian border. Cutler carried many other traditionally Democratic areas of the state, such as theGreater Portland area andMount Desert Island. Mitchell's performance was the worst for any Democratic gubernatorial candidate since1998, when DemocratThomas J. Connolly would win just 12% of the vote in the midst of King's 16-county landslide re-election. This election remains the last time the Democratic nominee failed to carry a single county in a Maine gubernatorial election.

In addition, a number of municipalities and voting precincts finished as exact ties in official results: the municipalities ofBancroft,Dallas Plantation,Gilead,Madrid,Orient,Vanceboro, andWesley, finished as exact ties between LePage and Cutler, while a precinct for voters in unincorporated eastern Aroostook County finished as a tie between Cutler and fellow independent Shawn Moody, with each receiving one vote.

2010 Gubernatorial Election, Maine[94]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanPaul LePage218,06537.6%+7.39%
IndependentEliot Cutler208,27035.9%
DemocraticLibby Mitchell109,38718.8%−19.31%
IndependentShawn Moody28,7565.0%
IndependentKevin Scott5,6641.0%
Majority9,7951.7%−6.2
Turnout580,538+29,673
Republicangain fromDemocraticSwing

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

[edit]

Aftermath

[edit]

Paul LePage andEliot Cutler would face off again in2014, though Cutler would ultimately garner just 8% of the vote in that election. LePage would win re-election that year with over 48% of the vote, his closest opponent being DemocratMike Michaud, who received 43% of the vote. In 2022, Cutler would be arrested for possession of child pornography, resulting in him serving seven months in jail and being required to register as a sex offender for the rest of his life.[95][96]

Shawn Moody, who finished the 2010 election with 5% of the vote as an independent, would become a Republican in 2017. He was the Republican nominee for governor in2018, an election he would lose to DemocratJanet Mills.[97]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"The day after: Governor's race takes shape". June 9, 2010.
  2. ^abcMiller, Kevin; Wickenheiser, Matt (November 3, 2010)."BDN projects LePage to win governor's race". Bangor Daily NEws. Archived fromthe original on November 4, 2010. RetrievedNovember 3, 2010.
  3. ^"Campaign 2010 – Maine Election Results".Bangor Daily News. Archived fromthe original on June 12, 2010. RetrievedNovember 5, 2010.
  4. ^abcdefgKevin Miller."9 hopefuls for top job in Maine". Bangor Daily News.[permanent dead link]
  5. ^"McGowan joins Maine gubernatorial field".Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. 5 January 2010. Archived fromthe original on 14 July 2011. Retrieved5 January 2010.Former state Conservation Commissioner Patrick McGowan formally announced his candidacy today, making him the seventh Democrat seeking his party's nomination in June.
  6. ^Cover, Susan (August 11, 2009)."Elizabeth Mitchell files for governor's race".Portland Press Herald. Archived fromthe original on January 28, 2013. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.
  7. ^Gagnon, Matthew (8 December 2008)."Steve Rowe Running For Governor".Pine Tree Politics. Archived fromthe original on 28 April 2009. Retrieved12 August 2009.
  8. ^"Rowe For Governor (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on November 22, 2008. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.
  9. ^Wickenheiser, Matt (July 20, 2009)."Businesswoman launches Blaine House bid".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  10. ^Rosa Scarcelli, Democratic Candidate for Governor of Maine, 2010 (official candidate web site)
  11. ^Williams, Cindy (July 22, 2009)."Former Mayor Donna Dion Announced Run For Governor".WCSH. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  12. ^"Donna Dion For Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on August 13, 2009. RetrievedJuly 22, 2009.
  13. ^Hoey, Dennis (March 21, 2010)."Dione will run for governor as a write-in candidate".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMarch 22, 2010.
  14. ^O'Bryan, Heather (July 1, 2009)."House Member Announces Run For Governor".WCSH. Archived fromthe original on February 9, 2013. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.
  15. ^"dawnhillforgovernor.com (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on September 2, 2009. RetrievedAugust 12, 2009.
  16. ^""Rep. Hill drops out of Maine gov. race" – SeacoastOnline.com". Archived fromthe original on September 19, 2012. RetrievedMarch 15, 2010.
  17. ^David Hench (16 November 2009)."Richardson to announce for governor".Portland Press Herald. Archived fromthe original on 8 December 2009. Retrieved16 November 2009.
  18. ^Richardson withdrawing from governor's racePortland Press Herald, April 26, 2010
  19. ^Cover, Susan (June 7, 2010)."Governor's Race: Independents can vote Tuesday, but they need to know the rules".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedJune 7, 2010.Democrat John Richardson pulled out in April after the ethics commission found problems with his application for Clean Election funds. But it was too late for the ballots, which had already gone to the printers.
  20. ^Wickenheiser, Matt (September 10, 2009)."Man once jailed for forgery seeks state office".Portland Press Herald. Archived fromthe original on July 15, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2009.A former state representative who was jailed two years ago for forging signatures on petitions for state Clean Election funds has filed papers to run for governor. Peter Truman of Old Orchard Beach, also known as Peter Throumoulos, plans to run as a Democrat.
  21. ^SunJournal.com."Auburn lawmaker decides against bid for governor". RetrievedSeptember 2, 2009.
  22. ^Mainepolitics.net."Allen Discusses Future". RetrievedDecember 31, 2008.
  23. ^abPan Atlantic SMS Group
  24. ^ab"Maine Governor Primary Results".Maine SOS. June 8, 2010. Archived fromthe original on November 18, 2010. RetrievedAugust 9, 2010.
  25. ^"Mitchell wins Democratic Primary".WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. RetrievedJune 8, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  26. ^PressHerald.com."Does Abbott Have his Eye on Governors Job?". RetrievedFebruary 2, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  27. ^"Collins aide joins Maine gov's race".Portland Press Herald. 12 January 2009. Archived fromthe original on 15 January 2010. Retrieved12 January 2009.
  28. ^"Former Husson president to run for governor".Portland Press Herald. 12 January 2009. Archived fromthe original on 12 February 2011. Retrieved12 January 2009.
  29. ^"Bill Beardsley: Governor For Maine (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on June 29, 2019. RetrievedJanuary 22, 2010.
  30. ^Mainepolitics.net."Republican Announces for Governor". RetrievedFebruary 26, 2009.
  31. ^"Matt Jacobson For Governor (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on August 19, 2009. RetrievedAugust 19, 2009.
  32. ^"Waterville mayor files to run for governor".Portland Press Herald. September 23, 2009. Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2009. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2009.
  33. ^"Paul LePage – Gubernatorial Dark Horse?". Archived fromthe original on September 12, 2009. RetrievedSeptember 3, 2009.
  34. ^"Morning Sentinel, September 18, 2009". Archived fromthe original on September 23, 2009. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2009.
  35. ^"Paul LePage for Governor 2010 (official campaign web site)". Archived fromthe original on December 26, 2010. RetrievedFebruary 25, 2010.
  36. ^Mills declares candidacy for governor[permanent dead link]
  37. ^"Welcome to the Public Campaign Finance Page for the State of Maine". Mainecampaignfinance.com. Archived fromthe original on January 28, 2013. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  38. ^Peter Mills for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)Archived 2009-08-08 at theWayback Machine
  39. ^Les Otten for Governor (official candidate web site)Archived 2009-07-03 at theWayback Machine
  40. ^"Portland, ME | Race For Governor Already Taking Shape". WCSH6.com. January 4, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  41. ^"Bruce Poliquin for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on March 17, 2010. RetrievedJuly 10, 2009.
  42. ^"> Archives > News > Poliquin jumps to early cash lead". The Times Record. July 20, 2009. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  43. ^Cianchette insists he won't run for governor[permanent dead link]
  44. ^"Kevin Raye Will Not Run For Governor". Pine Tree Politics. November 10, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 4, 2011. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  45. ^"Josh Tardy". Abbott for Governor. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  46. ^MECPO
  47. ^Note: Poll paid for by Mills Campaign
  48. ^"LePage projected to win Maine GOP primary".WCSH 6. June 8, 2010. RetrievedJune 8, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  49. ^Christian, Ken (August 24, 2009)."Cutler To Run For Governor As Independent".WCSH. RetrievedAugust 24, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  50. ^"Cutler 2010 (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on September 2, 2009. RetrievedAugust 25, 2009.
  51. ^abcdefgCover, Susan (June 2, 2010)."Three unenrolled candidates qualify for governor's race".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedJune 2, 2010.
  52. ^"Two Independent Gubernatorial Candidates Qualify for Maine Ballot".MBPN. April 23, 2010. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2011.
  53. ^"Shawn Moody for Governor of Maine (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on August 6, 2010. RetrievedJune 12, 2010.
  54. ^Wilensky-Lanford, Ethan (May 27, 2010)."Scott envisions role as 'a citizen governor'".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedMay 27, 2010.
  55. ^"Kevin L. Scott: Maine Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on February 8, 2011. RetrievedMarch 5, 2010.
  56. ^Tice, Lindsay (August 26, 2010)."Jenkins' campaign hinges on Web friends".Lewiston Sun Journal. RetrievedAugust 27, 2010.
  57. ^Draft John Jenkins to be Maine Governor in 2010 Facebook Fan Page. August 26, 2010.
  58. ^"Waterville mayor files to run for governor".Portland Press Herald. September 23, 2009. Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2009. RetrievedSeptember 23, 2009.Beverly Cooper-Pete of Portland also filed Tuesday as an unenrolled candidate.
  59. ^Wickenheiser, Matt (September 15, 2010)."Maine gubernatorial candidates put the focus on homeless".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedSeptember 15, 2010.The candidates who attended were Democrat Libby Mitchell and independent Shawn Moody, along with write-in candidates Beverly Cooper-Pete and Ed Braley ...
  60. ^Alex Hammer for Maine Governor (official candidate web site)
  61. ^Miller, Kevin (June 29, 2010)."Blaine House candidate sues over denied petitions".Bangor Daily News. Archived fromthe original on July 20, 2012. RetrievedJuly 1, 2010.
  62. ^"Gov. candidate Hammer sues Sec. of State | Mainebiz". Mainebiz.biz. Archived fromthe original on August 20, 2010. RetrievedAugust 21, 2010.
  63. ^Associated Press."Judge: state correct in rejecting candidate's signatures".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedSeptember 29, 2010.
  64. ^"Sam Bailey: Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)". Archived fromthe original on June 9, 2009. RetrievedAugust 19, 2009.
  65. ^Journal, Kennebec (April 14, 2010)."Gay-rights foe running for Maine governor".Portland Press Herald. RetrievedApril 14, 2010.
  66. ^"Heath decides against running for gov".Portland Press Herald. Associated Press. April 14, 2010. RetrievedApril 14, 2010.
  67. ^Cover, Susan M. (March 16, 2010)."Falling short on signatures, Williams exits".The Morning Sentinel. Archived fromthe original on November 13, 2010.
  68. ^Bangor Daily News."Maine Green party chairwoman to run for governor". Archived fromthe original on February 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 30, 2008.
  69. ^Lynne Williams for Governor 2010 (official candidate web site)
  70. ^Green candidate drops out of governor's raceArchived 2010-03-23 at theWayback Machine March 15, 2010, Portland Press Herald
  71. ^"2010 Governors Race Ratings".Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original on October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  72. ^"Governor Ratings".Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  73. ^"2010 Governor Races".RealClearPolitics. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  74. ^"THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. October 28, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  75. ^"Race Ratings Chart: Governor".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on October 5, 2010. RetrievedOctober 28, 2010.
  76. ^MPRC / Down East Magazine
  77. ^Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
  78. ^Pan Atlantic SMS
  79. ^Public Policy Polling
  80. ^abRasmussen Reports
  81. ^Critical Insights
  82. ^Pan Atlantic SMS
  83. ^Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
  84. ^Pine Tree Politics / Maine Center for Public Opinion
  85. ^Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
  86. ^Rasmussen Reports
  87. ^Critical Insights / MaineToday Media
  88. ^Public Policy Polling
  89. ^Rasmussen Reports
  90. ^Rasmussen Reports
  91. ^Rasmussen Reports
  92. ^"Maine Governor". Rasmussen Reports. August 12, 2010.
  93. ^Woodard, Colin (March 27, 2018)."Maine's Radical Democratic Experiment".POLITICO Magazine. RetrievedJuly 12, 2025.
  94. ^"Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections and Voting, Results, 2010-11 Tabulations, Governor General Election Tabulations".
  95. ^Shepherd, Michael; Piper, Jessica; Trotter, Bill (March 25, 2022)."2-time Maine gubernatorial candidate Eliot Cutler arrested on child porn charges".Bangor Daily News. RetrievedJuly 15, 2025.
  96. ^"Eliot Cutler released early after serving 7 months, jail official says".newscentermaine.com. January 18, 2024. RetrievedJuly 15, 2025.
  97. ^Shepherd, Michael (November 21, 2017)."Moody announces GOP gubernatorial bid run by LePage insiders".Bangor Daily News. RetrievedJuly 12, 2025.

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[edit]

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