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Branstad: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Culver: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The2010 Iowa gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, to elect thegovernor andlieutenant governor, to serve a four-year term beginning on January 14, 2011. In Iowa, the governor and lieutenant governor are elected on the same ballot. Along with theelection in Ohio, this was one of the two gubernatorial elections where the incumbent lost reelection.
The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governorChet Culver, aDemocrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governorPatty Judge, and former four-term governorTerry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for theRepublican nomination and ran withState SenatorKim Reynolds.
Branstad defeated Culver in the general election, becoming the first challenger to unseat an incumbent Iowa governor sinceHarold Hughes in1962.[1][2]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chet Culver (incumbent) | 56,293 | 95.69 | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 2,534 | 4.31 | |
| Total votes | 58,827 | 100 | ||
As listed by theIowa Secretary of State's office:[4]
| Poll source | Dates administered | Terry Branstad | Bob Vander Plaats | Rod Roberts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines[11] | June 1–3, 2010 | 57% | 29% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling[12] | May 25–27, 2010 | 46% | 31% | 13% |

| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Branstad | 114,450 | 50.30 | |
| Republican | Bob Vander Plaats | 93,058 | 40.90 | |
| Republican | Rod Roberts | 19,896 | 8.74 | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 121 | 0.05 | |
| Total votes | 227,525 | 100 | ||

| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[19] | Likely R(flip) | October 14, 2010 |
| Rothenberg[20] | Likely R(flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| RealClearPolitics[21] | Likely R(flip) | November 1, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Likely R(flip) | October 28, 2010 |
| CQ Politics[23] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
| Poll source | Dates administered | Chet Culver (D) | Terry Branstad (R) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports[24] | September 23, 2010 | 37% | 55% |
| Rasmussen Reports[25] | August 5, 2010 | 36% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports[26] | June 14, 2010 | 31% | 57% |
| Public Policy Polling[27] | May 25–27, 2010 | 37% | 52% |
| KCCI-TV[28] | May 3–5, 2010 | 41% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports[29] | April 29, 2010 | 38% | 53% |
| Rasmussen Reports[30] | March 17, 2010 | 36% | 52% |
| Rasmussen Reports[31] | February 18, 2010 | 37% | 53% |
| KCCI-TV[32] | February 15–17, 2010 | 38% | 54% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines[33] | January 31 – February 3, 2010 | 33% | 53% |
| Selzer & Co. of Des Moines[34] | November 8–11, 2009 | 33% | 57% |
| Daily Kos/Research 2000[35] | October 12–14, 2009 | 43% | 48% |
| Rasmussen Reports[36] | September 22, 2009 | 34% | 54% |
| Iowa First Foundation[37] | July 23–July 26, 2009 | 34% | 53% |
| Concordia Group LLC[38] | July 2009 | 37% | 53% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Terry Branstad | 592,494 | 52.81% | +8.43% | |
| Democratic | Chet Culver (incumbent) | 484,798 | 43.21% | −10.81% | |
| Iowa Party[17] | Jonathan Narcisse | 20,859 | 1.86% | n/a | |
| Libertarian | Eric Cooper | 14,398 | 1.28% | +0.74% | |
| Independent[13] | Gregory Hughes | 3,884 | 0.35% | n/a | |
| Socialist Workers | David Rosenfeld[18] | 2,757 | 0.25% | +0.06% | |
| Write-in | 2,823 | 0.25% | n/a | ||
| Total votes | 1,122,013 | 100.00% | n/a | ||
| Republicangain fromDemocratic | |||||
Branstad won four of five congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.[39]
| District | Culver | Branstad | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 47% | 50% | Bruce Braley |
| 2nd | 50% | 46% | Dave Loebsack |
| 3rd | 44% | 51% | Leonard Boswell |
| 4th | 42% | 54% | Tom Latham |
| 5th | 32% | 65% | Steve King |
Debates
Official campaign websites (Archived)