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2009 Virginia gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2009 United States gubernatorial elections.

2009 Virginia gubernatorial election

← 2005November 3, 20092013 →
Turnout40.4%Decrease 4.6[1]
 
NomineeBob McDonnellCreigh Deeds
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Popular vote1,163,651818,950
Percentage58.61%41.25%

County and independent city results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
McDonnell:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Deeds:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%

Governor before election

Tim Kaine
Democratic

Elected Governor

Bob McDonnell
Republican

Elections in Virginia
U.S. President
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Lieutenant Governor
Attorney General
Senate
House of Delegates
State elections
Commonwealth's Attorney

The2009 Virginia gubernatorial election took place inVirginia on November 3, 2009. The incumbentgovernor,DemocratTim Kaine, was not eligible to run due toterm limits established by theVirginia Constitution, though others in the state's executive branch were not restricted. (Virginia is the only state that prohibits a governor from serving consecutive terms.)RepublicanBob McDonnell was elected asgovernor as part of a Republican sweep. RepublicanBill Bolling was reelected aslieutenant governor, and RepublicanKen Cuccinelli was elected asattorney general. The winners were inaugurated on January 16, 2010, and served until January 11, 2014.

State SenatorCreigh Deeds was selected as the Democratic nominee, having defeated formerDemocratic National Committee ChairmanTerry McAuliffe and formerstate DelegateBrian Moran in the Democraticprimary election.[2][3] This was the first contested Democratic primary in two decades.[4] McDonnell, a former state attorney general, was selected at his party's nominatingconvention.[5] The two major candidates competed in the 2005 Virginia Attorney General election, and were in a rematch, but in the Governor's race. McDonnell defeated Deeds in the general election by a margin of 59%–41%, much larger than theprevious Attorney General election.

This would be the last time until2021 that a Republican would win any statewide election in Virginia. This is also the last time any of the following counties have voted Republican in a statewide race:Albemarle,Fairfax,Prince William,Henrico,Sussex,Brunswick, and the independent city ofSuffolk. Additionally, this was the last gubernatorial election in Virginia to be decided by double digits, until2025.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]
Further information:2009 Creigh Deeds gubernatorial campaign
McAuliffe campaigning

The Democratic primary campaign for governor unofficially began on December 13, 2007, whenState SenatorCreigh Deeds, who ran forAttorney General of Virginia in 2005, announced that he would run for the Democratic nomination.State DelegateBrian Moran, brother ofCongressmanJim Moran, joined Deeds on January 4, 2008, when he established apolitical action committee. For the following year (before McAuliffe indicated his intentions to run), Deeds and Moran squared off picking up endorsements, and raising money. On January 3, 2009,McLean residentTerry McAuliffe, former chairman of theDemocratic National Committee and chairman ofHillary Clinton's2008 presidential campaign announced that he was also running.[2] The Democratic primary, which took place on June 9, 2009, was the first contested in over twenty years.[4]

Sign outside Alexandria City Hall, indicating the nearest polling place

Moran received many endorsements from members of theState Democratic Party as well as the mayors of theHampton Roads area.[citation needed] Deeds picked up support from Northern and Western Virginia, such as the endorsement from U.S. CongressmanRick Boucher. The area of strength for Deeds was concentrated in Western and Southern Virginia, and the area of strength for Moran consisted mostly of Eastern Virginia with both reaching out to Northern Virginian voters.[citation needed]

The race was close from the beginning, with McAuliffe considered to be a semi "front-runner" due to his lead in the polls and big campaign war chest. However, in the last few weeks of the race, Deeds began to surge up in the polls. By election night, June 9, Deeds swept to victory. Creigh Deeds spent $14.49 for each vote on the Democratic primary election. Terry McAuliffe spent $68.25 for each vote on the Democratic primary election.[6]

Endorsements

[edit]
List of Terry McAuliffe endorsements
  • Virginia League of Conservation Voters[12]
  • Virginia Professional Fire Fighters (VPFF)[13]
List of Creigh Deeds endorsements
List of Brian Moran endorsements

Fundraising

[edit]

Fundraising totals through June 30, 2009, from theVirginia Public Access Project.

CandidateRaisedSpentCash on Hand
Creigh Deeds$6,207,528$3,486,179$2,721,350
Terry McAuliffe$8,250,507$8,250,205$304
Bob McDonnell$73,981$3,360$920,623
Brian Moran$4,057,882$4,034,070$23,816

Polling

[edit]
SourceDates AdministeredTerry McAuliffeBrian MoranCreigh Deeds
Survey USA[29]June 830%21%42%
Public Policy Polling[30]June 6–726%24%40%
Suffolk University[31]June 420%20%27%
Daily Kos/Research 2000[32]June 1–326%27%30%
Survey USA[33]May 31 – June 235%26%29%
Public Policy Polling[34]May 28–3124%22%27%
Public Policy Polling[35]May 19–21, 200929%20%20%
Daily Kos/Research 2000[36]May 18–20, 200936%22%13%
Survey USA[37]May 17–19, 200937%22%26%
Public Policy Polling[38]May 1–3, 200930%20%14%
Survey USA[39]April 25–27, 200938%22%22%
Research 2000[40]April 6–8, 200919%24%16%
Public Policy Polling[41]March 27–29, 200918%22%15%
Public Policy Polling[42]February 28 – March 1, 200921%19%14%
Public Policy Polling[43]January 30 – February 1, 200918%18%11%

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results by county and independent city:
  Deeds
  •   Deeds—30–40%
  •   Deeds—40–50%
  •   Deeds—50–60%
  •   Deeds—60–70%
  •   Deeds—70–80%
  •   Deeds—80–90%
  •   Deeds—90–100%
  McAuliffe
  •   McAuliffe—30–40%
  •   McAuliffe—40–50%
  •   McAuliffe—50–60%
  Moran
  •   Moran—30–40%
  •   Moran—40–50%
  •   Moran—50–60%
Democratic Primary results[44]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCreigh Deeds158,84549.77
DemocraticTerry McAuliffe84,38726.44
DemocraticBrian Moran75,93623.79
Total votes319,168100.00

Republican convention

[edit]

Attorney GeneralBob McDonnell first announced his intention to run atAmerican Legion's Boys State of Virginia 2007. This was the sixth consecutive Virginian gubernatorial election in which an attorney general ran.

McDonnell was the only Republican candidate to file with the election board before the November 2008 deadline. As a result, there was no Republican Party primary. McDonnell accepted the Republican nomination at a state convention on May 30, 2009, inRichmond.[45] Other potential candidates for the Republican nomination, lieutenant governorBill Bolling and former senatorGeorge Allen, both declined to run.[46]

Chairman of theRepublican National CommitteeMichael Steele had said that the election for governor of Virginia is one of the most important elections for the Republican Party.[47]

General election

[edit]

Deeds and McDonnell both ran forAttorney General of Virginia in 2005. McDonnell won by just over 300 votes, in the same election in whichTim Kaine was elected Governor with 52% of the vote.

The main themes of the election were the economy, transportation, andjobs.

The first debate was inHot Springs, Virginia on July 25.[48]

Vice PresidentJoe Biden campaigned for Deeds inHenrico County, Virginia, a suburb ofRichmond, Virginia on July 16.[49] Also attending were Richmond MayorDwight Clinton Jones, state senatorA. Donald McEachin (D-Henrico), and Virginia first ladyAnne Holton.[50]

President Obama and Governor Kaine campaigning with Deeds on August 6

On August 6, PresidentBarack Obama and GovernorTim Kaine campaigned for Deeds inMcLean, Virginia.[51]

Deeds is fromBath County, Virginia, a rural area of fewer than 5,000 people, whereJohn McCain received over 55% of the vote. McDonnell is fromVirginia Beach, which McCain won with 49.9%.[52]

Fundraising

[edit]
CandidateGeneral Elec. RaisedTotal Raised
R Creigh Deeds (Democrat)$10,057,402$16,264,930
Robert F McDonnell (Republican)$21,466,436$21,466,436

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Rothenberg Political Report[53]Lean R(flip)October 26, 2009

Polling

[edit]
‹ Thetemplate below (Graph:Chart) is being considered for deletion. Seetemplates for discussion to help reach a consensus. ›
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
SourceDates AdministeredCreigh Deeds (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
SurveyUSA[54]October 30 – November 1, 200940%58%
Public Policy Polling[55]November 1, 200942%56%
Mason-Dixon/Richmond Times-Dispatch[56]October 28–29, 200941%53%
Research 2000[57]October 26–28, 200944%54%
Center for Community Research[58]October 21–27, 200936%53%
Rasmussen Reports[59]October 27, 200941%54%
SurveyUSA[60]October 25–26, 200941%58%
Public Policy Polling[61]October 23–26, 200940%55%
The Washington Post[62]October 22–25, 200944%55%
Virginia Commonwealth University[63]October 21–25, 200936%54%
SurveyUSA[64]October 17–19, 200940%59%
Public Policy Polling[65]October 16–19, 200940%52%
Clarus Research[66]October 18–19, 200941%49%
CNU-Pilot-WVEC[67]October 19, 200931%45%
Rasmussen Reports[68]October 12, 200943%50%
Mason-Dixon[69]October 6–8, 200940%48%
The Washington Post[70]October 4–7, 200944%53%
Survey USA[71]October 2–4, 200943%54%
Rasmussen Reports[72]September 29, 200942%51%
Survey USA[73]September 26–28, 200941%55%
Public Policy Polling[74]September 25–28, 200943%48%
Insider Advantage[75]September 23, 200944%48%
The Washington Post[76]September 20, 200947%51%
Research 2000[77]September 14–16, 200943%50%
Rasmussen Reports[78]September 16, 200946%48%
Clarus Research Group[79]September 16, 200937%42%
Survey USA[80]September 3, 200942%54%
Rasmussen Reports[81]September 1, 200942%51%
Public Policy Polling[82]August 28–31, 200942%49%
The Washington Post[83]August 16, 200940%47%
Rasmussen Reports[84]August 10, 200938%47%
Research 2000[85]August 3–5, 200943%51%
Public Policy Polling[86]July 31 – August 3, 200937%51%
Survey USA[87]July 27–28, 200940%55%
Rasmussen Reports[88]July 14, 200941%44%
Public Policy Polling[89]June 30 – July 2, 200943%49%
Research 2000[90]June 15–17, 200944%45%
ALR[91]June 10–14, 200942%38%
Rasmussen Reports[92]June 10, 200947%41%
Survey USA[93]June 5 – 7, 200943%47%
Survey USA[33]May 31 – June 2, 200943%44%
Research 2000[94]May 18–20, 200932%45%
Survey USA[37]May 17–19, 200940%46%
Survey USA[39]April 27, 200939%44%
Rasmussen Reports[95]April 15, 200930%45%
Research 2000[40]April 6–8, 200931%38%
Rasmussen Reports[96]February 4, 200930%39%
Rasmussen Reports[97]December 4, 200839%39%
Public Policy Polling[98]June 14–16, 200827%32%
Hypothetical polling

with McAuliffe

SourceDates AdministeredTerry McAuliffe (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USA[33]May 31 – June 2, 200940%47%
Research 2000[94]May 18–20, 200934%44%
Survey USA[37]May 19, 200940%46%
Survey USA[39]April 27, 200939%46%
Rasmussen Reports[99]April 15, 200933%45%
Research 2000[40]April 8, 200933%40%
Rasmussen Reports[99]February 4, 200935%42%
Rasmussen Reports[97]December 4, 200836%41%

with Moran

SourceDates AdministeredBrian Moran (D)Bob McDonnell (R)
Survey USA[33]May 31 – June 2, 200937%48%
Research 2000[94]May 18–20, 200935%42%
Survey USA[37]May 19, 200937%47%
Survey USA[39]April 27, 200934%46%
Rasmussen Reports[99]April 15, 200934%44%
Research 2000[100]April 8, 200936%37%
Rasmussen Reports[99]February 4, 200936%39%
Rasmussen Reports[101]December 4, 200841%37%
Public Policy Polling[98]June 14–16, 200827%33%

Results

[edit]
Virginia gubernatorial election, 2009[102][103]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanBob McDonnell1,163,65158.61%+12.62%
DemocraticCreigh Deeds818,95041.25%−10.47%
Write-in2,5020.12%
Majority344,70117.36%+11.63%
Turnout1,985,10342%
Republicangain fromDemocraticSwing

By county and independent city

[edit]
County[104]McDonnellVotesDeedsVotesOthersVotes
Accomack62.4%5,40037.6%3,2490.0%2
Albemarle50.5%15,76749.4%15,4330.1%35
Alexandria37.0%13,05062.8%22,1080.2%71
Alleghany38.7%2,01761.2%3,1900.1%3
Amelia71.1%2,87828.9%1,1680.0%2
Amherst67.9%5,97632.1%2,8270.0%4
Appomattox74.3%3,39725.6%1,1720.0%1
Arlington34.3%19,32565.5%36,9490.2%141
Augusta77.4%15,66122.5%4,5580.1%16
Bath36.5%66663.5%1,1590.1%1
Bedford County77.1%16,88122.9%5,0090.1%14
Bedford64.8%1,01635.2%5530.0%0
Bland75.9%1,39424.1%4420.1%1
Botetourt71.3%7,72628.6%3,0970.2%19
Bristol72.4%2,76027.5%1,0470.1%3
Brunswick50.5%2,10749.4%2,0620.1%4
Buchanan63.2%3,26136.7%1,8950.0%2
Buckingham63.4%2,31336.6%1,3350.0%0
Buena Vista60.9%82439.1%5280.0%0
Campbell76.9%11,61122.9%3,4570.2%26
Caroline56.5%3,70943.5%2,8550.1%4
Carroll73.0%5,22927.0%1,9320.1%5
Charles City41.4%89058.5%1,2590.1%2
Charlotte66.6%2,34733.2%1,1710.1%5
Charlottesville26.2%2,63673.6%7,4060.1%14
Chesapeake60.3%32,51839.6%21,3760.1%43
Chesterfield66.3%59,55833.6%30,1610.2%156
Clarke63.3%2,74436.6%1,5860.1%4
Colonial Heights83.1%4,33316.8%8770.0%2
Covington34.1%50765.8%9790.1%2
Craig67.8%1,09132.2%5180.1%1
Culpeper70.3%7,25329.6%3,0570.1%14
Cumberland64.1%1,72835.9%9670.0%1
Danville55.0%6,00144.9%4,9060.1%11
Dickenson60.5%2,17639.5%1,4200.1%3
Dinwiddie62.6%4,46137.3%2,6610.1%4
Emporia52.4%69047.6%6270.1%1
Essex60.8%1,63139.2%1,0510.0%0
Fairfax County50.7%138,65549.1%134,1890.2%438
Fairfax53.0%3,28546.9%2,9090.1%7
Falls Church34.9%1,46364.9%2,7180.1%6
Fauquier68.8%12,30931.1%5,5660.1%23
Floyd65.8%2,95134.1%1,5290.2%7
Fluvanna63.4%4,85036.5%2,7910.1%10
Franklin County68.8%10,28331.1%4,6560.1%12
Franklin45.4%1,01354.5%1,2160.0%1
Frederick74.8%13,27425.1%4,4560.1%25
Fredericksburg48.9%2,23150.8%2,3180.2%10
Galax62.4%81837.4%4900.2%3
Giles63.3%2,91636.6%1,6830.1%4
Gloucester72.1%8,12627.8%3,1300.1%16
Goochland70.8%5,83729.1%2,4010.1%10
Grayson70.3%3,02629.7%1,2790.0%0
Greene72.5%3,51427.4%1,3260.1%5
Greensville47.4%1,28352.6%1,4260.0%0
Halifax61.5%5,45338.3%3,3900.2%19
Hampton42.0%13,55957.9%18,6960.1%47
Hanover76.2%26,40123.6%8,1800.1%46
Harrisonburg57.7%3,81642.2%2,7900.2%11
Henrico56.2%49,46243.7%38,4200.1%114
Henry63.0%8,16037.0%4,7910.0%1
Highland55.1%61944.9%5050.0%0
Hopewell62.4%2,92637.4%1,7530.2%11
Isle of Wight65.8%7,68434.1%3,9810.1%8
James City65.6%15,19334.3%7,9450.1%25
King and Queen58.9%1,17541.0%8190.1%2
King George70.2%3,83929.7%1,6240.1%7
King William71.5%3,41128.4%1,3540.1%3
Lancaster64.6%3,05135.2%1,6610.3%12
Lee74.3%3,75525.7%1,3000.0%1
Lexington39.3%59260.5%9110.1%2
Loudoun61.0%39,99638.8%25,4300.1%95
Louisa65.3%5,71334.6%3,0230.1%7
Lunenburg62.5%2,04037.5%1,2220.0%1
Lynchburg61.8%12,50338.1%7,7130.1%26
Madison69.5%2,89230.5%1,2680.1%3
Manassas61.9%4,26638.0%2,6180.1%5
Manassas Park60.2%1,00639.8%6660.0%0
Martinsville48.2%1,56551.7%1,6780.2%5
Mathews69.9%2,49030.0%1,0670.1%4
Mecklenburg67.7%4,87232.3%2,3270.0%1
Middlesex69.5%2,65230.4%1,1610.1%2
Montgomery54.5%11,37845.3%9,4550.2%35
Nelson53.7%2,68346.2%2,3110.1%5
New Kent74.4%4,52625.5%1,5490.1%6
Newport News49.9%18,40150.0%18,4150.1%41
Norfolk39.8%15,91360.1%24,0250.1%50
Northampton51.0%1,97648.9%1,8920.1%4
Northumberland65.4%3,16734.4%1,6650.2%10
Norton60.6%56839.3%3690.1%1
Nottoway58.3%2,41541.6%1,7230.1%6
Orange67.3%6,24832.7%3,0330.1%6
Page70.1%5,24529.7%2,2230.1%9
Patrick70.0%3,38329.9%1,4420.1%5
Petersburg19.0%1,22181.0%5,2140.0%3
Pittsylvania71.5%11,73928.5%4,6890.0%0
Poquoson80.2%3,73719.8%9220.1%3
Portsmouth40.2%8,82459.8%13,1240.1%15
Powhatan79.8%7,28720.0%1,8280.1%11
Prince Edward55.0%2,75244.9%2,2500.1%4
Prince George68.9%5,84631.0%2,6340.1%7
Prince William58.7%43,99341.2%30,8470.1%100
Pulaski65.1%5,68934.8%3,0440.0%3
Radford54.6%1,55445.3%1,2910.1%3
Rappahannock57.7%1,66442.2%1,2170.1%3
Richmond County68.3%1,52531.7%7080.0%1
Richmond30.5%13,78569.2%31,2410.2%101
Roanoke County68.0%20,61731.8%9,6430.1%45
Roanoke48.0%9,92951.9%10,7310.1%21
Rockbridge58.1%3,96441.9%2,8590.0%3
Rockingham78.1%16,51921.8%4,5990.1%22
Russell62.4%4,81237.6%2,8950.0%2
Salem66.5%4,70633.4%2,3650.2%11
Scott78.8%4,37021.1%1,1720.1%3
Shenandoah74.9%9,12925.0%3,0490.1%18
Smyth73.5%5,42426.4%1,9460.1%7
Southampton59.8%2,99240.2%2,0110.0%2
Spotsylvania68.4%17,83131.5%8,2200.1%36
Stafford67.4%19,16432.4%9,2260.2%46
Staunton58.5%3,71541.4%2,6270.1%4
Suffolk55.7%11,09544.2%8,7980.1%14
Surry46.2%1,10553.6%1,2830.2%5
Sussex52.4%1,52847.6%1,3860.0%0
Tazewell73.4%7,58826.6%2,7490.1%7
Virginia Beach63.7%63,96436.2%36,3030.1%96
Warren68.6%5,60431.3%2,5590.1%8
Washington74.9%10,34825.1%3,4690.0%5
Waynesboro68.9%3,44731.0%1,5490.1%6
Westmoreland58.6%2,42241.4%1,7110.0%2
Williamsburg45.3%1,57954.6%1,9050.1%5
Winchester60.7%3,21539.2%2,0760.2%8
Wise70.3%5,53829.6%2,3270.1%9
Wythe72.6%5,65027.2%2,1190.1%10
York69.6%13,42030.3%5,8390.1%23
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Counties and independent cities that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Virginia Department of Elections (2016)."Registration/Turnout Statistics". The Commonwealth of Virginia. Archived fromthe original on August 16, 2016. RetrievedJuly 25, 2016.
  2. ^abGardner, Amy (January 3, 2009)."Former DNC Chairman McAuliffe Announces Run for Va. Governor".The Washington Post. RetrievedJanuary 3, 2009.
  3. ^"2009 June Democratic Primary Unofficial Results".Virginia State Board of Elections. Archived fromthe original on June 18, 2009. RetrievedJune 15, 2009.
  4. ^abKumar, Anita (December 2, 2008)."Gubernatorial Candidates Square Off".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on June 12, 2012. RetrievedDecember 2, 2008.
  5. ^Kumar, Anita (November 8, 2008)."Clear Path to Governor's Race".The Washington Post. RetrievedJanuary 6, 2008.
  6. ^"Big winner had the smallest budget – Richmond BizSense". June 16, 2009.
  7. ^abcCraig, Tim (March 16, 2009)."Endorsements for Deeds, McAuliffe".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on January 12, 2012. RetrievedMay 14, 2009.
  8. ^Hamby, Peter (May 14, 2009)."Bill Clinton: Terry McAuliffe 'born to lead' Virginia". CNN. Archived fromthe original on May 18, 2009. RetrievedMay 14, 2009.
  9. ^Craig, Tim (November 18, 2008)."Kaine's Biggest Donor Endorses McAuliffe".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on January 12, 2012. RetrievedNovember 18, 2008.
  10. ^"YouTube".www.youtube.com.[dead YouTube link]
  11. ^Cillizza, Chris (June 4, 2009)."Schweitzer To Endorse McAuliffe".The Washington Post. Archived fromthe original on January 12, 2012. RetrievedJune 6, 2009.
  12. ^Guthrie, Lisa (May 6, 2009)."Virginia League of Conservation Voters Endorses in Democratic Primary"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 17, 2009. RetrievedMay 26, 2009.
  13. ^Giroux, Greg (June 8, 2009)."Virginia's Democratic Gubernatorial Hopefuls: Terry McAuliffe".Congressional Quarterly. RetrievedJune 8, 2009.[dead link]
  14. ^"Deeds: Race 'Wide Open'". March 7, 2009.[permanent dead link]
  15. ^"Mayor Brown Endorses Deeds For Governor". December 18, 2007. Archived fromthe original on July 23, 2011.
  16. ^The Roanoke Times (December 17, 2008)."U.S. Rep. Boucher endorses Creigh Deeds for Governor". Archived fromthe original on September 17, 2012.
  17. ^"Petersburg officials endorse Moran".The Washington Post. February 11, 2009. Archived fromthe original on February 9, 2013. RetrievedMarch 28, 2009.
  18. ^Chap Petersen (March 26, 2009)."Post Article on Senator Deeds". Archived fromthe original on March 25, 2010. RetrievedMarch 30, 2009.
  19. ^NewsVirginian.com (December 9, 2008)."Creigh Deeds piles stack of endorsements". Archived fromthe original on December 14, 2008. RetrievedFebruary 14, 2009.
  20. ^Deeds for Virginia (March 16, 2009)."Senator Phil Puckett Endorses Creigh Deeds in Bristol". Archived fromthe original on April 7, 2009. RetrievedMarch 28, 2009.
  21. ^Richmond Times Dispatch (January 7, 2009)."Moran, Deeds, get N.Va. Noda". Archived fromthe original on September 13, 2012. RetrievedMarch 28, 2009.
  22. ^Deeds for Virginia (June 26, 2008)."Mary Margaret Whipple: I'm with Deeds". Archived fromthe original on April 7, 2009. RetrievedMarch 28, 2009.
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