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2008 United States presidential election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in Vermont

← 2004November 4, 20082012 →
 
NomineeBarack ObamaJohn McCain
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisArizona
Running mateJoe BidenSarah Palin
Electoral vote30
Popular vote219,26298,974
Percentage67.46%30.45%

County Results
Municipality Results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

McCain

  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2008 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on November 4, 2008, concurrent with the federal election in all 50 states andD.C., which was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Vermont was won byDemocratic nomineeBarack Obama with 67.46%, toRepublicanJohn McCain's 30.45%, a Democratic victory margin of 37.01%.

Obama carried every county by more than 60% of the vote with the exception ofEssex County, which he won with 56%. He also broke 70% in 3 counties. A veryliberalNortheastern state, Vermont was the second most Democratic state in the nation, weighing in as a whopping 30% more Democratic than the national average in the 2008 election. Obama's landslide win in Vermont outperformedLyndon Johnson's1964 Democratic landslide in the state, making the results of 2008 the strongest Democratic victory in Vermont's history.

Vermont was one of three states, along with Obama's home state ofIllinois and Biden's home state ofDelaware, where his 2008 presidential performance outperformed bothFranklin Delano Roosevelt in all four of his runs and Lyndon Johnson in his landslide 1964 victory.

To date, this is the last time that the towns ofMaidstone andMorgan voted Democratic and the last time that the town ofStratton voted Republican.[1]

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[2]Likely D
Cook Political Report[3]Solid D
The Takeaway[4]Solid D
Electoral-vote.com[5]Solid D
Washington Post[6]Solid D
Politico[7]Solid D
RealClearPolitics[8]Solid D
FiveThirtyEight[6]Solid D
CQ Politics[9]Solid D
The New York Times[10]Solid D
CNN[11]Safe D
NPR[6]Solid D
MSNBC[6]Solid D
Fox News[12]Likely D
Associated Press[13]Likely D
Rasmussen Reports[14]Safe D

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Vermont

Obama won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 59% to 35%.[15]

Fundraising

[edit]

Obama raised a total of $2,071,271 in the state. McCain raised $206,395.[16]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Neither campaign spent any money on advertising in Vermont.[17] Neither campaign visited the state.[18]

Analysis

[edit]

Vermont was once the quintessential Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in 1856 and remained in the Republican fold for over 130 years. From1856 to1988, it only voted for a Democrat once, inLyndon Johnson's 44-state landslide of 1964. Vermont andMaine were the only states thatFranklin D. Roosevelt didn't carry in any of his four elections.

However, the brand of Republicanism practiced in Vermont has historically been a moderate one. Coupled with an influx of more liberal newcomers from out of state, this made Vermont considerably friendlier to Democrats as the national GOP moved further to the right. After narrowly supportingGeorge H. W. Bush in 1988, Vermont gaveBill Clinton a 16-point margin in1992. Republicans have not seriously contested the state since then, and Vermont is now reckoned as part of a bloc of solidly blue states spanning most of the Northeast.

The 2008 race kept this tradition going. Obama won with 67% of the vote to McCain's 30%. The state was called for Obama almost as soon as the polls closed, and was the first state called for Obama. Obama was the first Democrat to get over 70% of the vote in any Vermont county since 1964, and the first for either party since 1972.

Vermont was Obama's second-best state and his best in the contiguous 48 states; only topped by the staggering 71% he received inHawaii, the state where he was born. The Obama-Biden ticket won every county in the state, including several northeastern counties which had a history of voting Republican.[19] Obama also performed better thanJohn Kerry in every county.[19] As a measure of how Republican Vermont once was,George W. Bush was at the time the only Republican to win the White House without carrying Vermont.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Vermont
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden219,26267.46%3
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin98,97430.45%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez3,3391.03%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root1,0670.33%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle5000.15%0
Others*Others1,9040.59%0
Totals325,046100.00%3
Voter turnout (Voting age population)66.7%

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Addison13,20268.62%5,66729.46%3691.92%7,53539.16%19,238
Bennington12,52465.47%6,13332.06%4722.47%6,39133.41%19,129
Caledonia8,90060.43%5,47237.15%3562.42%3,42823.28%14,728
Chittenden59,61171.44%22,23726.65%1,5921.91%37,37444.79%83,440
Essex1,73355.89%1,28441.41%842.70%44914.48%3,101
Franklin13,17961.41%7,85336.59%4282.00%5,32624.82%21,460
Grand Isle2,69463.11%1,49034.90%851.99%1,20428.21%4,269
Lamoille8,91470.37%3,51527.75%2391.88%5,39942.62%12,668
Orange9,79964.56%5,04733.25%3332.19%4,75231.31%15,179
Orleans7,99862.63%4,48235.10%2912.27%3,51627.53%12,771
Rutland19,35561.22%11,58436.64%6782.14%7,77124.58%31,617
Washington22,32469.33%9,12928.35%7472.32%13,19540.98%32,200
Windham17,58573.02%5,99724.90%4992.08%11,58848.12%24,081
Windsor21,44468.81%9,08429.15%6372.04%12,36039.66%31,165
Totals219,26267.46%98,97430.45%6,8102.09%120,28837.01%325,046
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
At-large30.45%67.46%Peter Welch

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Vermont, as they do in every state, cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Vermont is allocated three electors because it has 1congressional district and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[21] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were elected at large as members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged toBarack Obama andJoe Biden:[22]

  1. Claire Ayer
  2. Euan Bear
  3. Kevin Christie

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Vermont Secretary of State Elections Division 2008 President General Election".electionarchive.vermont.gov. RetrievedMarch 22, 2025.
  2. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  7. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  8. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  9. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  10. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^"Election 2008 Polls".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
  16. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^ab"CHAPTER 13: Toward the 21st Century".The New York Times. Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2004. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  20. ^"Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 04, 2008".ourcampaigns.com. 2009. RetrievedAugust 25, 2015.
  21. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  22. ^"Elections | Home | Vermont Secretary of State".vermont-elections.org. Archived fromthe original on February 10, 2014. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.

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