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2008 United States presidential election in Utah

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Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008 United States presidential election in Utah

← 2004
November 4, 2008
2012 →
 
NomineeJohn McCainBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateArizonaIllinois
Running mateSarah PalinJoe Biden
Electoral vote50
Popular vote596,030327,670
Percentage62.58%34.41%

County results
Congressional district results

McCain

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Utah
Ballot measures

The2008 United States presidential election in Utah took place on November 4, 2008. It was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose five representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Utah was won by Republican nomineeJohn McCain by a 28% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise considered as a safered state. Highlighting its status as a GOP bastion, Utah gave McCain one of his largest victories over DemocratBarack Obama, a near two-to-one margin. Obama did nevertheless manage to carry three counties, and significantly improved upon John Kerry's performance in2004.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[1]Likely R
Cook Political Report[2]Solid R
The Takeaway[3]Solid R
Electoral-vote.com[4]Solid R
Washington Post[5]Solid R
Politico[6]Solid R
RealClearPolitics[7]Solid R
FiveThirtyEight[5]Solid R
CQ Politics[8]Solid R
The New York Times[9]Solid R
CNN[10]Safe R
NPR[5]Solid R
MSNBC[5]Solid R
Fox News[11]Likely R
Associated Press[12]Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[13]Safe R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Utah

McCain won every pre-election poll conducted in this state, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 55% of the vote. The final three-poll average showed McCain leading 59% to 31%.[14]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $1,165,621 in the state. Barack Obama raised $2,121,563.[15]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $297,645. McCain spent just $250.[16] Neither campaign visited the state.[17]

Analysis

[edit]

Utah is a heavily Republican state that has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee sinceLyndon B. Johnson's landslide in1964, and even then the state voted considerably to the right of the nation. Johnson is also the last Democrat to manage even 40 percent of Utah's popular vote. The majority of the state's population isMormon and highlyconservative, especially on social issues. Utah gaveGeorge W. Bush his largest margin of victory in2004 overJohn Kerry, as Bush received over 71 percent to Kerry's 26 percent and carried every county in the state.[18]

With 62.15 percent of the popular vote, Utah proved to be McCain's third strongest state in the 2008 election afterOklahoma and neighboringWyoming.[19]

Although McCain easily won Utah in 2008, Obama did very well for a Democrat in this Republican stronghold. Obama was able to reduce McCain's margin of victory by narrowly winningSalt Lake County, the state's most populous county that contains the state capital ofSalt Lake City, by a mere 296 votes–the first time a Democrat had carried that county since 1964. Obama also carriedSummit andGrand counties, both of which have significantly lower Mormon populations than the rest of the state.[20][21][22] Nonetheless, Obama became the first Democrat to win theWhite House without carryingCarbon County sinceWoodrow Wilson in1912.

This election was the Democratic presidential nominee's best showing in Utah since1968.[23] In substantiallyNative American and non-Mormon – but historically heavily Republican –San Juan County, Obama's performance was the best by a Democratic presidential candidate sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt in1940.

During the same election, popular incumbent RepublicanGovernorJon Huntsman Jr. was reelected to a second term in a massive landslide victory, taking in 77.74 percent of the vote over Democrat Bob Springmeyer's 19.65 percent and Libertarian Dell Schanze's 2.62 percent. At the state level, however, Democrats did manage to pick up two seats in theUtah House of Representatives.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Utah
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin596,03062.58%5
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden327,67034.41%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle12,0121.26%0
Peace and FreedomRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez8,4160.88%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root6,9660.73%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente9820.10%0
OthersOthers2930.03%0
Totals952,370100.00%5
Voter turnout (Voting age population)55.5%

By county

[edit]
CountyJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Charles Baldwin[24]
Constitution
Ralph Nader[24]
Peace and Freedom
Bob Barr[24]
Libertarian
Various candidates[24]
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%#%#%
Beaver1,90275.54%54221.53%301.19%210.83%120.48%110.44%1,36054.01%2,518
Box Elder15,22879.24%3,31117.23%2211.15%1470.76%1270.66%1830.95%11,91762.01%19,217
Cache29,12769.48%10,29424.56%1,1532.75%3150.75%3720.89%6611.58%18,83344.92%41,922
Carbon4,09152.30%3,46844.34%620.79%901.15%480.61%630.81%6237.96%7,822
Daggett29766.89%13129.50%20.45%81.80%10.23%51.13%16637.39%444
Davis77,34169.74%30,47727.48%1,1751.06%9560.86%8110.73%1420.13%46,86442.26%110,902
Duchesne4,68981.24%91115.78%661.14%270.47%370.64%420.73%3,77865.46%5,772
Emery3,35875.02%97321.74%430.96%390.87%260.58%370.83%2,38553.28%4,476
Garfield1,71078.37%40518.56%160.73%110.50%110.50%291.32%1,30559.81%2,182
Grand1,87145.65%2,06750.43%280.68%561.37%300.73%471.05%-196-4.78%4,099
Iron12,51875.06%3,25819.53%3522.11%1380.83%1630.98%2491.50%9,26055.53%16,678
Juab2,68373.19%74120.21%1293.52%300.82%280.76%551.50%1,94252.98%3,666
Kane2,21269.65%85626.95%270.85%310.98%240.76%260.82%1,35642.70%3,176
Millard3,65377.08%75815.99%2645.57%270.57%340.72%30.06%2,89561.09%4,739
Morgan3,31179.06%68916.45%1022.44%280.67%290.69%290.69%2,62262.61%4,188
Piute63579.28%14117.60%131.62%70.87%20.25%30.37%49461.68%801
Rich83182.36%15415.26%90.89%50.50%50.50%50.50%67767.10%1,009
Salt Lake176,69248.09%176,98848.17%3,2290.88%3,7681.03%2,5560.70%4,2111.15%-296-0.08%367,444
San Juan2,63851.42%2,40646.90%450.88%250.49%140.27%20.04%2324.52%5,130
Sanpete6,66475.06%1,63118.37%3243.65%870.98%540.61%1181.33%5,03356.69%8,878
Sevier6,39479.35%1,35916.87%1311.63%520.65%530.66%690.85%5,03562.48%8,058
Summit6,95641.11%9,53256.34%750.44%1260.74%1040.61%1270.75%-2,576-15.23%16,920
Tooele10,99862.98%5,83033.38%2061.18%1510.86%1370.78%1410.81%5,16829.60%17,463
Uintah8,44182.84%1,46214.35%1571.54%450.44%370.36%470.46%6,97968.49%10,189
Utah122,22477.71%29,56718.80%2,8771.83%1,1190.71%1,3110.83%1810.12%92,65758.91%157,279
Wasatch5,43062.96%2,89233.53%810.94%861.00%300.35%1061.23%2,53829.43%8,625
Washington37,31174.57%10,82621.64%6281.26%3120.62%4130.83%5451.09%26,48552.93%50,035
Wayne94070.04%33524.96%100.75%120.89%120.89%332.46%60545.08%1,342
Weber45,88561.99%25,66634.67%5570.75%6970.94%4850.66%7320.99%20,21927.32%74,022
Totals596,03062.15%327,67034.17%12,0121.25%8,4160.88%6,9660.73%7,9020.82%268,36027.98%958,996
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

McCain won all three of the state's congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st63.62%33.42%Rob Bishop
2nd57.72%39.55%Jim Matheson
3rd67.35%29.25%Chris Cannon (110th Congress)
Jason Chaffetz (111th Congress)

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Utah cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Utah is allocated 5 electors because it has 3congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 5 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 5 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[25] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 5 were pledged toJohn McCain andSarah Palin:[26]

  1. Scott Simpson
  2. Richard Snelgrove
  3. Stan Lockhart
  4. Enid Greene-Mickelesen
  5. Mark Shurtleff

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  2. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  6. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  7. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  8. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  9. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  10. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  12. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  13. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". RetrievedDecember 19, 2022.
  15. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedDecember 25, 2009.
  16. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"CNN Election Center 2004 - Utah Results". RetrievedNovember 13, 2008.
  19. ^"2008 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedMarch 5, 2018.
  20. ^"CNN Election Center 2008 - Utah Results". RetrievedNovember 13, 2008.
  21. ^"ksl.com - Final Tally: Obama Wins Salt Lake County". RetrievedNovember 19, 2008.
  22. ^"elections.utah.gov-Official Canvass of Utah Vote". Archived fromthe original on June 11, 2009. RetrievedNovember 28, 2008.
  23. ^"1968 General Election Results - Utah". RetrievedNovember 19, 2008.
  24. ^abcdOur Campaigns;UT US Presidential Election November 04 2008
  25. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  26. ^"Untitled Document". Archived fromthe original on November 8, 2008. RetrievedNovember 8, 2008.
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