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| Turnout | 72.69%[1] ( 0.06%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2008 United States presidential election in New Jersey took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 15 representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.
New Jersey was won by Democratic nomineeBarack Obama with a 15.53% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safeblue state. No fundraising money was spent by either campaign, as the state has trended towards theDemocratic Party in recent years. A highly affluent and predominantlyurban state with an ethnically diverse population, New Jersey has become a reliablyblue state, and this was evident again when DemocratBarack Obama comfortably won the state's 15 electoral votes with 57.14% of the vote.
New Jersey weighed in for this election as 8.3% more Democratic than the national average.
The Democratic primary took place February 5, 2008, also known asSuper Tuesday.Hillary Clinton won this primary.
| Key: | Withdrew prior to contest |
| 2008 New Jersey Democratic presidential primary[2] | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates[3] |
| Hillary Clinton | 613,500 | 53.76% | 59 |
| Barack Obama | 501,372 | 43.93% | 48 |
| John Edwards | 15,728 | 1.38% | 0 |
| Joe Biden | 4,081 | 0.36% | 0 |
| Bill Richardson | 3,366 | 0.29% | 0 |
| Dennis Kucinich | 3,152 | 0.28% | 0 |
| Totals | 1,141,199 | 100.00% | 107 |
The Republican primary took place on February 5, 2008, with 52 national delegates who were allocated on a winner takes all basis.[4]
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| John McCain | 313,459 | 55.36% | 52 |
| Mitt Romney | 160,388 | 28.33% | 0 |
| Mike Huckabee | 46,284 | 8.17% | 0 |
| Ron Paul | 27,184 | 4.06% | 0 |
| Rudy Giuliani* | 15,516 | 2.74% | 0 |
| Fred Thompson* | 3,253 | 0.57% | 0 |
| Total | 566,201 | 100% | 52 |
* Candidate dropped out of the race before the primary
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report[6] | Likely D |
| Cook Political Report[7] | Solid D |
| The Takeaway[8] | Solid D |
| Electoral-vote.com[9] | Solid D |
| Washington Post[10] | Solid D |
| Politico[11] | Solid D |
| RealClearPolitics[12] | Solid D |
| FiveThirtyEight[10] | Solid D |
| CQ Politics[13] | Solid D |
| The New York Times[14] | Solid D |
| CNN[15] | Safe D |
| NPR[10] | Solid D |
| MSNBC[10] | Solid D |
| Fox News[16] | Likely D |
| Associated Press[17] | Likely D |
| Rasmussen Reports[18] | Safe D |
Pre-election polling was tight early on. However, since October 12, Obama won each poll with a double-digit margin of victory and with at least 52%. McCain didn't reach over 42% in that stretch. The final 3 polls found Obama leading with 55% to 39%.[19]
John McCain raised a total of $4,761,251 in the state. Barack Obama raised $13,624,081.[20]
Neither candidate spent anything here.[21] The Republican ticket visited the state twice. Obama visited the state once.[22]
New Jersey was once one of the most reliably Republican states in the Northeast. From1948 to1988, it voted Republican in all but two elections:John F. Kennedy in his narrow victory overRichard Nixon in1960, andLyndon Johnson's 44-state landslide of1964. However, the brand of Republicanism practiced in New Jersey has historically been a moderate one. As the national party tilted more to the right, the state's voters became more friendly to Democrats. The state narrowly went forBill Clinton in1992 and has voted Democratic in every election since then. In all but two elections since1996, the Democrats have carried it by double digits. While Republicans remain competitive at the state and local level, at the presidential level New Jersey is now reckoned as part of the solid bloc of blue states in the Northeast.
Democrats have several structural advantages in New Jersey during presidential elections. The northeastern portion, includingNewark,Jersey City,Elizabeth andPaterson, contains more than half the state's population and is heavily Democratic. The southwestern portion, includingCamden,Cherry Hill, andAtlantic City is also heavily Democratic. These regions have a total of over 2,000,000 voters between them, making it extremely difficult for a Republican to carry the state. For instance, in2004George W. Bush heldJohn Kerry to only a 7-point margin of victory, but was completely shut out in the northeast and southwest. Additionally, the state is split almost down the middle between the largest and fourth-largest markets in the country,New York City andPhiladelphia. As a result, statewide races often feature some of the most expensive advertising budgets in the country.
Unlike in 2004, New Jersey was called for Obama almost as soon as the polls closed.[23] Obama dominated the urban areas of the state, winningEssex County by over 50%,Hudson County by 47%,Camden andMercer counties by 35%. Obama also wonSomerset County, which had voted Republican in every election from1968 to 2004. Most of the southern portion of the state voted Democratic. McCain won most of Northwestern New Jersey, winning in Republican strongholds likeMorris County andSussex County (which McCain won by 21%). McCain also won most of theJersey Shore counties.
At the same time, incumbent DemocraticU.S. SenatorFrank Lautenberg was reelected over RepublicanDick Zimmer by a 14.08% margin of victory. Lautenberg received 56.03% of the total vote while Zimmer took in 41.95%. Democrats also picked up a vacantU.S. House seat inNew Jersey's 3rd congressional district that was previously held by a Republican; DemocratJohn Adler defeated RepublicanChris Myers by a 3.30% margin of victory. Adler received 51.65% of the vote while Myers took in 48.35%.
| 2008 United States presidential election in New Jersey | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama | Joe Biden | 2,215,422 | 57.14% | 15 | |
| Republican | John McCain | Sarah Palin | 1,613,207 | 41.61% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Matt Gonzalez | 21,298 | 0.55% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Bob Barr | Wayne Allyn Root | 8,441 | 0.22% | 0 | |
| Write-ins | Write-ins | 7,718 | 0.20% | 0 | ||
| Constitution | Chuck Baldwin | Darrell Castle | 3,956 | 0.10% | 0 | |
| Green | Cynthia McKinney | Rosa Clemente | 3,636 | 0.09% | 0 | |
| Socialist | Brian Moore | Stewart Alexander | 669 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Vote Here | Jeffrey Boss | Andrea Maria Boss | 639 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Socialist Workers | Róger Calero | Alyson Kennedy | 523 | 0.01% | 0 | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva | Eugene Puryear | 416 | 0.01% | 0 | |
| Totals | 3,877,323 | 100.00% | 15 | |||
| Voter Turnout (Voting age/Registered) | 60%/73% | |||||
| County | Barack Obama Democratic | John McCain Republican | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Atlantic | 67,830 | 56.88% | 49,902 | 41.85% | 1,517 | 1.27% | 17,928 | 15.03% | 119,249 |
| Bergen | 225,367 | 54.19% | 186,118 | 44.75% | 4,424 | 1.06% | 39,249 | 9.44% | 415,909 |
| Burlington | 131,219 | 58.64% | 89,626 | 40.05% | 2,930 | 1.31% | 41,593 | 18.59% | 223,775 |
| Camden | 159,259 | 67.37% | 73,819 | 31.23% | 3,304 | 1.40% | 85,440 | 36.14% | 236,382 |
| Cape May | 22,893 | 44.90% | 27,288 | 53.52% | 802 | 1.58% | -4,395 | -8.62% | 50,983 |
| Cumberland | 34,919 | 60.00% | 22,360 | 38.42% | 915 | 1.58% | 12,559 | 21.58% | 58,194 |
| Essex | 240,306 | 75.91% | 74,063 | 23.40% | 2,181 | 0.69% | 166,243 | 52.51% | 316,550 |
| Gloucester | 77,267 | 55.21% | 60,315 | 43.10% | 2,364 | 1.69% | 16,952 | 12.11% | 139,946 |
| Hudson | 154,140 | 72.84% | 55,360 | 26.16% | 2,116 | 1.00% | 98,780 | 46.68% | 211,616 |
| Hunterdon | 29,776 | 42.53% | 39,092 | 55.83% | 1,147 | 1.64% | -9,316 | -13.30% | 70,015 |
| Mercer | 107,926 | 67.29% | 50,223 | 31.32% | 2,229 | 1.39% | 57,703 | 35.97% | 160,378 |
| Middlesex | 193,812 | 60.21% | 123,695 | 38.43% | 4,367 | 1.36% | 70,117 | 21.78% | 321,874 |
| Monmouth | 148,737 | 47.46% | 160,433 | 51.19% | 4,244 | 1.35% | -11,696 | -3.73% | 313,414 |
| Morris | 112,275 | 45.36% | 132,331 | 53.46% | 2,913 | 1.18% | -20,056 | -8.10% | 247,519 |
| Ocean | 110,189 | 40.07% | 160,677 | 58.43% | 4,111 | 1.50% | -50,488 | -18.36% | 274,977 |
| Passaic | 113,257 | 60.34% | 72,552 | 38.65% | 1,904 | 1.01% | 40,705 | 21.69% | 187,713 |
| Salem | 16,044 | 50.88% | 14,816 | 46.99% | 672 | 2.13% | 1,228 | 3.89% | 31,532 |
| Somerset | 79,321 | 52.38% | 70,085 | 46.28% | 2,024 | 1.34% | 9,236 | 6.10% | 151,430 |
| Sussex | 28,840 | 38.75% | 44,184 | 59.37% | 1,393 | 1.88% | -15,344 | -20.62% | 74,417 |
| Union | 141,417 | 63.58% | 78,768 | 35.41% | 2,241 | 1.01% | 62,649 | 28.17% | 222,426 |
| Warren | 20,628 | 42.01% | 27,500 | 56.00% | 980 | 1.99% | -6,872 | -13.99% | 49,108 |
| Totals | 2,215,422 | 57.14% | 1,613,207 | 41.61% | 48,778 | 1.26% | 602,215 | 15.53% | 3,877,407 |
| Democratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold |
Barack Obama carried ten of New Jersey's 13 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.
| District | Obama | McCain | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 65% | 34% | Rob Andrews |
| 2nd | 54% | 45% | Frank LoBiondo |
| 3rd | 52% | 47% | Jim Saxton (110th Congress) |
| John Adler (111th Congress) | |||
| 4th | 46% | 52% | Chris Smith |
| 5th | 45% | 54% | Scott Garrett |
| 6th | 59% | 39% | Frank Pallone Jr. |
| 7th | 51% | 48% | Mike Ferguson (110th Congress) |
| Leonard Lance (111th Congress) | |||
| 8th | 63% | 36% | Bill Pascrell |
| 9th | 61% | 38% | Steve Rothman |
| 10th | 87% | 13% | Donald M. Payne |
| 11th | 45% | 54% | Rodney Frelinghuysen |
| 12th | 58% | 41% | Rush Holt Jr. |
| 13th | 75% | 24% | Albio Sires |
Technically the voters of NJ cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. NJ is allocated 15 electors because it has 13congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 15 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 15 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[24] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.
The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 15 were pledged toBarack Obama andJoe Biden:[25]
State and district results of the2008 United States presidential election | ||
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