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2008 United States presidential election in Maryland

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election

2008 United States presidential election in Maryland

← 2004
November 4, 2008
2012 →
Turnout77.63%[1]
 
NomineeBarack ObamaJohn McCain
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateIllinoisArizona
Running mateJoe BidenSarah Palin
Electoral vote100
Popular vote1,629,467959,862
Percentage61.92%36.47%

County results
Congressional district results

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Maryland
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
Republican
2008
2012
2016
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U.S. Senate elections
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Government

The2008 United States presidential election in Maryland took place on November 4, 2008, and was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Maryland was won by Democratic nomineeBarack Obama by a 25.4% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 17 news organizations considered this a state Obama would win, or otherwise considered as a safeblue state. Maryland has voted for the Democratic presidential candidate of every election since1992. In 2008, Obama easily captured the state's 10 electoral votes in a landslide victory, winning 61.92% of the popular vote to RepublicanJohn McCain's 36.47%.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[2]Likely D
Cook Political Report[3]Solid D
The Takeaway[4]Solid D
Electoral-vote.com[5]Solid D
Washington Post[6]Solid D
Politico[7]Solid D
RealClearPolitics[8]Solid D
FiveThirtyEight[6]Solid D
CQ Politics[9]Solid D
The New York Times[10]Solid D
CNN[11]Safe D
NPR[6]Solid D
MSNBC[6]Solid D
Fox News[12]Likely D
Associated Press[13]Likely D
Rasmussen Reports[14]Safe D

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Maryland

Obama won every single pre-election poll, each by a double-digit margin of victory and at least 51% of the vote. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 54% to 38%.[15]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $3,439,120 in the state. Barack Obama raised $19,091,136.[16]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $257,582 while McCain spent nothing.[17] Both tickets visited the state once.[18]

Analysis

[edit]
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Voting taking place at a Maryland polling station

Maryland has supported the Democratic nominee in each of the last five presidential elections by an average margin of 15.4%. In1980, it was 1 of only 6 states to vote for DemocratJimmy Carter over RepublicanRonald Reagan. It has only supported a Republican six times sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt1948 and the Republican landslides of1952,1956,1972,1984 and1988.

Maryland is often among the Democratic nominees' best states. In 1992,Bill Clinton fared better in Maryland than any other state except his home state ofArkansas. In1996, Maryland was Clinton's sixth best, in2000 Maryland ranked fourth forAl Gore and in2004John Kerry showed his fifth best performance in Maryland.

Republican presidential candidates typically win more counties by running up huge margins in western Maryland and theEastern Shore. However, they are usually swamped by the heavily DemocraticBaltimore-Washington, D.C. axis, which casts almost 75% of the state's vote. The state's four largest county-level jurisdictions –Montgomery,Prince George's andBaltimore counties and the City of Baltimore — are strongly Democratic. These areas, which contain 1.5 million voters combined, make it extremely difficult for a Republican to win Maryland. Even in bad years for Democrats, a Republican usually has to run the table in the rest of the state and win either Montgomery, Prince George's or Baltimore counties to have a realistic chance of carrying the state. In 1984, for instance,Ronald Reagan only carried Maryland by crushingWalter Mondale in Baltimore County and narrowly winning Montgomery. In 1988,George H. W. Bush ran up a 42,300-vote margin in Baltimore County overMichael Dukakis – almost 85% of his statewide margin of 49,800 votes.

The 2008 election was no exception.Barack Obama won the state's 10 electoral votes in 2008 with 61.92% of the vote toJohn McCain's 36.47%. Obama carried Montgomery, Prince George's, Baltimore County and Baltimore City with 71.6%, 88.9%, 56.2 and 87.2% of the vote, respectively. Obama's combined 550,000-vote margin in these four areas would have been enough to carry the state. While McCain won more counties, the only large county he won wasAnne Arundel County, home to the state capital,Annapolis. In this election, Maryland voted 18.17% to the left of the nation at-large.[19]

In 2008, Democrats picked up aU.S. House an open seat inMaryland's 1st Congressional District as DemocratFrank M. Kratovil, Jr. defeated RepublicanAndy Harris by less than a 1% margin of victory.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Maryland[20]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden1,629,46761.92%10
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin959,86236.47%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez14,7130.56%0
LibertarianBob BarrWayne Allyn Root9,8420.44%0
IndependentWrite-in candidates9,0630.34%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente4,7470.18%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle3,7600.14%0
America's IndependentAlan Keyes (write-in)Brian Rohrbough1030.00%0
UnaffiliatedDonald Kenneth Allen (write-in)Christopher Borcik170.00%0
IndependentBlaine Taylor (write-in)n/a120.00%0
Socialist USABrian Moore (write-in)Stewart Alexander100.00%0
Totals2,631,596100.00%10
Voter turnout (Voting age population)62.4%

By county

[edit]
CountyBarack Obama
Democratic
John McCain
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast[21]
#%#%#%#%
Allegany10,69335.95%18,40561.88%6442.17%-7,712-25.93%29,742
Anne Arundel125,01548.15%129,68249.95%4,9221.90%-4,667-1.80%259,619
Baltimore214,15156.22%158,71441.66%8,0732.12%55,43714.55%380,938
Baltimore City214,38587.16%28,68111.66%2,9021.18%185,70475.50%245,968
Calvert20,29946.07%23,09552.42%6631.50%-2,796-6.35%44,057
Caroline4,97137.61%8,01560.64%2321.76%-3,044-23.03%13,218
Carroll28,06033.11%54,50364.30%2,1972.59%-26,443-31.20%84,760
Cecil17,66541.57%23,85556.14%9742.29%-6,190-14.57%42,494
Charles43,63562.22%25,73236.69%7601.08%17,90325.53%70,127
Dorchester6,91245.25%8,16853.48%1941.27%-1,256-8.22%15,274
Frederick54,01348.58%55,17049.62%2,0031.80%-1,157-1.04%111,186
Garrett3,73629.02%8,90369.17%2331.81%-5,167-40.14%12,872
Harford48,55239.38%71,75158.19%2,9922.43%-23,199-18.82%123,295
Howard87,12059.99%55,39338.14%2,7201.87%31,72721.85%145,233
Kent4,95349.43%4,90548.95%1621.62%480.48%10,020
Montgomery314,44471.58%118,60827.00%6,2091.41%195,83644.58%439,261
Prince George's332,39688.87%38,83310.38%2,7970.75%293,56378.49%374,026
Queen Anne's8,57535.66%15,08762.74%3831.59%-6,512-27.08%24,045
Somerset4,77948.16%5,03750.76%1081.09%-258-2.60%9,924
St. Mary's19,02342.84%24,70555.63%6811.53%-5,682-12.79%44,409
Talbot9,03544.45%10,99554.09%2981.47%-1,960-9.64%20,328
Washington26,24542.61%34,16955.47%1,1861.93%-7,924-12.86%61,600
Wicomico19,43646.44%21,84952.20%5691.36%-2,413-5.77%41,854
Worcester11,37441.59%15,60757.07%3651.33%-4,233-15.48%27,346
Totals1,629,46761.92%959,86236.47%42,2671.61%669,60525.45%2,631,596
County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
County that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

[edit]

Barack Obama carried six of Maryland's eight congressional districts. McCain carried two congressional districts, including one that was won by a Democrat.

DistrictObamaMcCainRepresentative
1st39.81%58.26%Wayne Gilchrest (110th Congress)
Frank Kratovil (111th Congress)
2nd59.84%38.25%Dutch Ruppersberger
3rd58.78%39.23%John Sarbanes
4th85.06%14.16%Albert Wynn (110th Congress)
Donna Edwards (111th Congress)
5th65.44%33.30%Steny Hoyer
6th40.19%57.65%Roscoe Bartlett
7th78.79%19.89%Elijah Cummings
8th73.88%24.70%Chris Van Hollen

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Maryland cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Maryland is allocated 10 electors because it has 8congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[22] An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 10 were pledged toBarack Obama andJoe Biden:[23]

  1. Gene M. Ransom III
  2. Delores Kelley
  3. Guy Guzzone
  4. Nathaniel Exum
  5. Chris Reynolds
  6. Bobby Fouche
  7. Elizabeth Bobo
  8. Michael Barnes
  9. Susan Lee
  10. Rainier Harvey, Sr.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2008 Presidential General Statewide".Maryland State Board of Elections.
  2. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived from the original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  7. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  8. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  9. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  10. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  16. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 20, 2009.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedMarch 31, 2023.
  20. ^"Maryland State Board of Elections". RetrievedDecember 12, 2008.
  21. ^Maryland State Board of Elections;2008 Presidential General Election Official Results President and Vice President of the United States
  22. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  23. ^"2008 Presidential Electors".elections.maryland.gov. RetrievedMay 22, 2021.
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