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2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2008 United States presidential election
2008United States presidential election in Louisiana

← 2004November 4, 20082012 →
 
NomineeJohn McCainBarack Obama
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateArizonaIllinois
Running mateSarah PalinJoe Biden
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,148,275782,989
Percentage58.56%39.93%

Parish results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

McCain

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Obama

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elections in Louisiana
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
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2000
2004
2008
2012
2016
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Republican
2004
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Government

The2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana took place on November 4, 2008, was part of the2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Louisiana was won by Republican nomineeJohn McCain by an 18.6% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all leading news organizations considered this a state McCain would win, or otherwise a"red state". AlthoughBill Clinton carried the state twice, it has since shifted strongly toward the Republican Party. This is despite its having one of the largest percentages of African Americans in the country, one of the Democratic Party's most reliable voting blocs and which gave record-breaking support to Obama, the first African American on a major-party presidential ticket. Its shift to the right has been due almost entirely to its white population, which has become overwhelmingly Republican in the 21st century. It was one of five states to swing Republican from2004, along with West Virginia, Tennessee, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. This marked the first time that Louisiana failed to back the winning candidate since1968, when it voted for a third-party candidateGeorge Wallace. In doing so, Obama became the first winning Democratic presidential nominee to lose Louisiana sinceLyndon B. Johnson in1964. He was the first Democrat to ever win withoutCalcasieu Parish since the parish's founding in 1840.

In this election, Louisiana voted 25.9% to the right of the nation at-large, or a 13.85 percent bigger differential than in 2004.[1]

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:

SourceRanking
D.C. Political Report[2]Likely R
Cook Political Report[3]Solid R
The Takeaway[4]Solid R
Electoral-vote.com[5]Solid R
Washington Post[6]Solid R
Politico[7]Solid R
RealClearPolitics[8]Solid R
FiveThirtyEight[6]Solid R
CQ Politics[9]Solid R
The New York Times[10]Solid R
CNN[11]Safe R
NPR[6]Solid R
MSNBC[6]Solid R
Fox News[12]Likely R
Associated Press[13]Likely R
Rasmussen Reports[14]Safe R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election: Louisiana

McCain won every pre-election poll. The final 3 polls averaged McCain leading 50% to 40%.[15]

Fundraising

[edit]

John McCain raised a total of $2,175,416 in the state. Barack Obama raised $1,438,276.[16]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Obama spent $368,039. McCain and his interest groups spent $6,019.[17] McCain visited the state once, inNew Orleans.[18]

Analysis

[edit]
Voters wait in queue at a polling station in New Orleans

Polling in Louisiana gave a strong lead to McCain, sometimes as high as 19%,[19] and Barack Obama did not seriously contest the state.GovernorBobby Jindal endorsed McCain early on in the primary season. Louisiana was also one of only two states to listRon Paul on their official ballot (the other beingMontana which gave the largest percentage to any third-party candidate nationwide). This was the last time any parish flipped in the state in a presidential election until2024.

At the same time, however, incumbent DemocraticU.S. SenatorMary Landrieu avoided the Republican trend in the state and held onto herU.S. Senate seat, taking in 52.11% of the vote to State TreasurerJohn N. Kennedy, a Democrat who switched parties to run against Landrieu. Republicans picked up twoU.S. House seats in Louisiana (LA-02 andLA-06 withJoseph Cao andBill Cassidy, respectively). In a terrible year for the Republican Party nationwide, Louisiana provided the GOP with a ray of hope and optimism.

Results

[edit]
2008 United States presidential election in Louisiana[20]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanJohn McCainSarah Palin1,148,27558.56%9
DemocraticBarack ObamaJoe Biden782,98939.93%0
Louisiana Taxpayers[21]Ron Paul (no campaign)Barry Goldwater Jr.9,3680.48%0
GreenCynthia McKinneyRosa Clemente9,1870.47%0
IndependentRalph NaderMatt Gonzalez6,9970.36%0
ConstitutionChuck BaldwinDarrell Castle2,5810.13%0
Socialist WorkersJames HarrisAlyson Kennedy7350.04%0
Socialism and LiberationGloria La RivaEugene Puryear3540.02%0
ProhibitionGene AmondsonLeroy Pletten2750.01%0
Totals1,960,761100.00%9
Voter turnout (Voting age population)62.0%

By parish

[edit]
ParishJohn McCain
Republican
Barack Obama
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Acadia19,22971.99%7,02826.31%4541.70%12,20145.68%26,711
Allen6,33366.90%2,89130.54%2432.57%3,44236.36%9,467
Ascension31,23967.08%14,62531.40%7071.52%16,61435.68%46,571
Assumption5,98154.57%4,75643.39%2232.03%1,22511.18%10,960
Avoyelles10,23660.43%6,32737.35%3752.21%3,90923.08%16,938
Beauregard10,71876.15%3,07121.82%2852.03%7,64754.33%14,074
Bienville3,77650.82%3,58948.30%650.87%1872.52%7,430
Bossier32,71371.37%12,70327.71%4190.91%20,01043.66%45,835
Caddo52,22848.07%55,53651.11%8960.82%-3,308-3.04%108,660
Calcasieu50,44961.43%30,24436.82%1,4381.75%20,20524.61%82,131
Caldwell3,69675.54%1,11822.85%791.61%2,57852.69%4,893
Cameron3,08981.44%61316.16%912.40%2,47665.28%3,793
Catahoula3,48666.72%1,65931.75%801.53%1,82734.97%5,225
Claiborne3,75054.82%3,02544.22%660.96%72510.60%6,841
Concordia5,66859.49%3,76639.53%930.98%1,90219.96%9,527
DeSoto6,88356.16%5,24242.77%1321.08%1,64113.39%12,257
East Baton Rouge95,39048.34%99,65250.50%2,3071.17%-4,262-2.16%197,349
East Carroll1,25435.23%2,26763.70%381.07%-1,013-28.47%3,559
East Feliciana5,43254.61%4,38344.06%1321.33%1,04910.55%9,947
Evangeline9,79361.30%5,85336.64%3302.07%3,94024.66%15,976
Franklin6,27867.09%2,96131.64%1191.27%3,31735.45%9,358
Grant6,90780.71%1,47417.22%1772.07%5,43363.49%8,558
Iberia20,12760.68%12,49237.66%5491.66%7,63523.02%33,168
Iberville7,18543.75%9,02354.95%2131.30%-1,838-11.20%16,421
Jackson5,19067.09%2,45631.75%901.16%2,73435.34%7,736
Jefferson113,19162.50%65,09635.94%2,8331.56%48,09526.56%181,120
Jefferson Davis9,27868.72%3,92329.06%3002.22%5,35539.66%13,501
Lafayette62,05564.88%32,14533.61%1,4421.51%29,91031.27%95,642
Lafourche27,08971.49%9,66225.50%1,1423.01%17,42745.99%37,893
LaSalle5,60285.49%86013.12%911.39%4,74272.37%6,553
Lincoln10,68055.69%8,29243.23%2071.08%2,38812.46%19,179
Livingston43,26985.02%6,68113.13%9421.85%36,58871.89%50,892
Madison2,15240.60%3,10058.49%480.91%-948-17.89%5,300
Morehouse7,25854.98%5,79243.88%1501.14%1,46611.10%13,200
Natchitoches9,05453.05%7,80145.71%2121.24%1,2537.34%17,067
Orleans28,13019.08%117,10279.42%2,2071.50%-88,972-60.34%147,439
Ouachita41,74162.07%24,81336.90%6901.03%16,92825.17%67,244
Plaquemines6,89465.98%3,38032.35%1751.67%3,51433.63%10,449
Pointe Coupee6,70253.90%5,51644.36%2171.75%1,1869.54%12,435
Rapides36,61163.65%20,12734.99%7831.36%16,48428.66%57,521
Red River2,48453.66%2,08044.93%651.40%4048.73%4,629
Richland5,75162.64%3,31136.06%1191.30%2,44026.58%9,181
Sabine7,22674.87%2,24523.26%1811.88%4,98151.61%9,652
St. Bernard9,64371.21%3,49125.78%4073.01%6,15245.43%13,541
St. Charles16,45764.80%8,52233.56%4181.65%7,93531.24%25,397
St. Helena2,52240.78%3,56757.68%951.54%-1,045-16.90%6,184
St. James5,43243.23%6,99455.67%1381.10%-1,562-12.44%12,564
St. John the Baptist8,91241.15%12,42457.37%3201.48%-3,512-16.22%21,656
St. Landry21,65050.95%20,26847.70%5751.35%1,3823.25%42,493
St. Martin14,44359.55%9,41938.84%3901.61%5,02420.71%24,252
St. Mary13,18357.56%9,34540.80%3751.64%3,83816.76%22,903
St. Tammany83,07875.84%24,59622.45%1,8681.71%58,48253.39%109,542
Tangipahoa31,43464.68%16,43833.82%7301.50%14,99630.86%48,602
Tensas1,36744.97%1,64654.14%270.89%-279-9.17%3,040
Terrebonne28,21069.32%11,58128.46%9052.22%16,62940.86%40,696
Union7,61970.10%3,10328.55%1461.34%4,51641.55%10,868
Vermilion18,06972.76%6,26625.23%4982.01%11,80347.53%24,833
Vernon11,94675.76%3,53422.41%2891.83%8,41253.35%15,769
Washington12,21565.59%6,12232.87%2871.54%6,09332.72%18,624
Webster11,41762.49%6,61036.18%2431.33%4,80726.31%18,270
West Baton Rouge6,65456.08%5,04342.50%1691.42%1,61113.58%11,866
West Carroll4,04581.11%87817.61%641.28%3,16763.50%4,987
West Feliciana3,15056.05%2,41542.97%550.98%73513.08%5,620
Winn4,63268.40%2,04730.23%931.37%2,58538.17%6,772
Totals1,148,27558.56%782,98939.93%29,4971.51%365,28618.63%1,960,761
Parish flips:
Democratic
  Hold
  Gain from Republican
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic
Parishes that flipped from Republican to Democratic
Parishes that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

John McCain carried six of the state's seven congressional districts, both McCain and Obama won a district won by the other party.

DistrictMcCainObamaRepresentative
1st72.72%25.68%Bobby Jindal (110th Congress)
Steve Scalise (111th Congress)
2nd24.86%74.13%William J. Jefferson (110th Congress)
Joseph Cao (111th Congress)
3rd60.99%37.03%Charles Melancon
4th59.28%39.57%Jim McCrery (110th Congress)
John C. Fleming (111th Congress)
5th61.75%36.96%Rodney Alexander
6th57.40%41.26%Don Cazayoux (110th Congress)
Bill Cassidy (111th Congress)
7th63.14%35.20%Charles Boustany

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2008 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Louisiana is allocated 9 electors because it has 7congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[22] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged toJohn McCain andSarah Palin:[23]

  1. Lynn Skidmore
  2. Joe Lavigne
  3. Gordon Giles - He replaced Billy Nungesser, who was absent due to illness.[24]
  4. Alan Seabaugh
  5. Karen Haymon
  6. Charles Davis
  7. Charlie Buckels
  8. Dianne Christopher
  9. Roger F. Villere Jr.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedApril 12, 2023.
  2. ^"D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". January 1, 2009. Archived fromthe original on January 1, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  3. ^"Presidential". May 5, 2015. Archived fromthe original on May 5, 2015. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  4. ^"Vote 2008 - The Takeaway - Track the Electoral College vote predictions". April 22, 2009. Archived fromthe original on April 22, 2009. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  5. ^"Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily".electoral-vote.com. RetrievedAugust 23, 2021.
  6. ^abcdBased on Takeaway
  7. ^"POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com".www.politico.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  8. ^"RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map". Archived fromthe original on June 5, 2008.
  9. ^"CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008".CQ Politics. Archived fromthe original on June 14, 2009. RetrievedDecember 20, 2009.
  10. ^Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (November 4, 2008)."The Electoral Map: Key States".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  11. ^"October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs".CNN. October 31, 2008. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2010. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  12. ^"Winning The Electoral College".Fox News. April 27, 2010.
  13. ^"roadto270".hosted.ap.org. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  14. ^"Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports".www.rasmussenreports.com. RetrievedSeptember 22, 2016.
  15. ^Election 2008 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections
  16. ^"Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2009. RetrievedAugust 20, 2009.
  17. ^"Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  18. ^"Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com".CNN. RetrievedMay 26, 2010.
  19. ^"Rasmussen Reports: The Most Comprehensive Public Opinion Site". Archived fromthe original on January 31, 2009. RetrievedDecember 16, 2008.
  20. ^"Official General Election Results". The Green Papers. RetrievedDecember 12, 2008.
  21. ^Louisiana Taxpayers
  22. ^"Electoral College".California Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on October 30, 2008. RetrievedNovember 1, 2008.
  23. ^"Archived copy"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on November 8, 2008. RetrievedNovember 8, 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  24. ^http://www.katc.com/Global/story.asp?S=9525360[permanent dead link]
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