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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico

← 2006
November 4, 2008
2010 →

All 3 New Mexico seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election12
Seats won30
Seat changeIncrease 2Decrease 2
Popular vote457,135321,083
Percentage56.12%39.42%
SwingIncrease 0.31%Decrease 4.75%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in New Mexico

The2008 congressional elections in New Mexico were held on November 4, 2008, to determineNew Mexico's representation in theUnited States House of Representatives. The party primary elections were held June 3, 2008.[1]Martin Heinrich,Harry Teague, andBen Ray Luján, allDemocrats, were elected to represent New Mexico in the House. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; the winners of the election currently serve in the111th Congress, which began on January 4, 2009, and is scheduled to end on January 3, 2011. The election coincided with the2008 U.S. presidential election andsenatorial elections.

New Mexico has three seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2007-2008 congressional delegation consisted of twoRepublicans and oneDemocrat. All three incumbents chose to vie for New Mexico's open Senate seat being held by retiring RepublicanPete Domenici. The election resulted in all three New Mexico seats are being occupied by freshmanDemocrats. Districts1 and2 changed from Republican to Democratic;CQ Politics had forecast that these seats might be at risk for the Republican Party. This was the last time that Democrats won all of New Mexico's congressional districts until the2018 midterm elections. Incidentally, two of the three elected Representatives, Heinrich and Luján, now serve together in theUnited States Senate since 2021.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2008[2]
PartyVotesPercentageSeats+/–
Democratic457,13556.12%3+2
Republican321,08339.42%0-2
Independents36,3484.46%0
Totals814,566100.00%13

Match-up summary

[edit]
DistrictIncumbent2008 StatusDemocraticRepublicanIndependents
1Heather WilsonOpenMartin HeinrichDarren WhiteNone
2Steve PearceOpenHarry TeagueEdward R. Tinsley, IIINone
3Tom UdallOpenBen R. LujánDan EastCarol Miller

District 1

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 1st congressional district

This district includes the central area ofNew Mexico, in and aroundAlbuquerque. An open seat, CQ Politics forecast the race as 'No Clear Favorite'.The Rothenberg Political Report rated it 'Pure Toss-Up'.The Cook Political Report ranked it 'Lean Democratic'.

Martin Heinrich (D) (campaign website)
Darren White (R) (campaign website)

The 2006 race between incumbent RepublicanHeather Wilson and Democratic state Attorney GeneralPatricia Madrid was a cliffhanger, with Wilson being reelected by 861 votes.John Kerry had narrowly won the district with 52% in 2004 (CPVI=D+2). With the retirement of longtimeU.S. SenatorPete Domenici, Wilson ran and lost as a candidate for the Republican nomination in the race for an openU.S. Senate seat, leaving this an open seat.[3] The Democratic nominee wasMartin Heinrich (former Albuquerque City Councilor). The Republican nominee wasBernalillo County SheriffDarren White.[4]In the general election, Heinrich defeated White by a margin of 11%. When sworn into Congress in January 2009, Heinrich became the first Democrat to ever represent this district in the House.

Primary elections

[edit]
2008 Democratic Primary Congressional Election, District 1[5]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMartin T. Heinrich22,34444%
DemocraticRebecca D. Vigil-Giron12,65925%
DemocraticMichelle Lujan Grisham12,07324%
DemocraticRobert L. Pidcock4,2728%
Majority9,685
Turnout51,348
2008 Republican Primary Congressional Election, District 1
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDarren White57,87888%
RepublicanJoseph J. Carraro8,24412%
Majority49,634
Turnout66,122

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Rothenberg[7]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[9]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2008
CQ Politics[10]TossupNovember 6, 2008
2008 General Congressional Election, District 1
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticMartin T. Heinrich163,62255.5%
RepublicanDarren White131,28444.5%
Majority32,33811%
Turnout294,906

District 2

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 2nd congressional district

This district covers the southern half of the state ofNew Mexico, includingLas Cruces andRoswell.CQ Politics forecast the race as 'Leans Republican'.The Rothenberg Political Report rated it 'Pure Toss-Up'.The Cook Political Report ranked it 'Republican Toss Up'.

Republican incumbentSteve Pearce won his party's nomination over Heather Wilson for theU.S. Senate, leaving this an open seat.[11] This district usually votes Republican.George W. Bush won the district 58% to 42% overJohn Kerry in 2004 (CPVI=R+6). Nevertheless, Democratic nomineeHarry Teague defeated Republican Edward R. Tinsely III in the general election and became the first Democrat to represent this district since 1981.

Candidates

[edit]
Harry Teague
Democratic nominee for
U.S. Representative for New Mexico,2nd District
Election date
November 4, 2008
Opponent(s)Edward Roy Tinsley, III (R)
IncumbentSteve Pearce (R)
Personal details
PartyDemocratic
SpouseNancy
Occupationsmall business owner
Websiteharryforcongress.com
Edward R. Tinsley, III
Republican nominee for
U.S. Representative for New Mexico,2nd District
Election date
November 4, 2008
OpponentHarry Teague (D)
IncumbentSteve Pearce (R)
Personal details
Born
PartyRepublican
SpouseMeredith George Tinsley
Residence(s)Capitan,Lincoln County, New Mexico
Alma materUniversity of Texas
Texas Tech University
OccupationFranchisor ofK-Bob's Steakhouse;Rancher,Lawyer
Websitewww.edtinsleyforcongress.com

Harry Teague (D)
Teague is aHobbs business owner, civic leader and former Lea County Commissioner.

Edward R. Tinsley III (R)
Tinsley is a restaurateur.[12]

Primary elections

[edit]
2008 Democratic Primary Congressional Election, District 2[13]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticHarry Teague20,20652%
DemocraticBill McCamley18,48948%
Majority1,717
Turnout38,695
2008 Republican Primary Congressional Election, District 2
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanEdward R. Tinsley III11,46932%
RepublicanMonty Newman7,47621%
RepublicanAubrey Dunn7,33120%
RepublicanGreg Sowards6,42718%
RepublicanC. Earl Greer3,60610%
Majority3,993
Turnout36,309

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[7]Lean D(flip)November 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[9]TossupNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[10]TossupNovember 6, 2008
2008 General Congressional Election, District 2
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticHarry Teague127,64055.8%
RepublicanEdward R. Tinsley III101,08444.2%
Majority26,55611.6%
Turnout228,724

District 3

[edit]
See also:New Mexico's 3rd congressional district

This district covers the northern half of the state of New Mexico, including the capital,Santa Fe. An open seat,CQ Politics forecast the race as 'Safe Democrat', as didThe Rothenberg Political Report andThe Cook Political Report.

Democratic incumbentTom Udall won his party's nomination forPete Domenici's open U.S. Senate seat,.[14] The Democrats tend to hold the advantage in the district:John Kerry received 54% of the vote there (CPVI=D+6) in 2004. The Democratic nominee was State Public Regulation CommissionerBen R. Luján.Luján's father serves as Speaker of theNew Mexico House of Representatives. The Republican nominee was small business ownerDan East. Carol Miller, a 1997/1998 Green Party candidate, was seeking the seat as an independent.[15]Luján won the three-way race fairly easily and was sworn into Congress in January 2009.

Primary elections

[edit]
2008 Democratic Primary Congressional Election, District 3[16]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBen R. Luján26,77642%
DemocraticDon Wiviott16,49726%
DemocraticBenny J. Shendo Jr10,14816%
DemocraticHarry Montoya7,23411%
DemocraticJon Adams1,9793%
DemocraticRudy Martin1,8453%
Majority10,279
Turnout64,479
2008 Republican Primary Congressional Election, District 3
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanDaniel East14,76754%
RepublicanMarco Gonzales12,63446%
Majority2,133
Turnout27,401

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[7]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[9]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[10]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
2008 General Congressional Election, District 3
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBen Ray Luján158,54856.6%
RepublicanDaniel East85,96930.7%
IndependentCarol Miller35,78912.8%
Majority72,57925.9%
Turnout280,306

References

[edit]

Specific

  1. ^2008 Primary Election CalendarNew Mexico Secretary of State
  2. ^2008 Election Statistics
  3. ^"abqtrib.com". Archived fromthe original on December 11, 2008. RetrievedAugust 5, 2008.
  4. ^currentargus.com
  5. ^FINAL RESULTS: June 3 primary electionArchived 2008-10-13 at theWayback MachineLas Cruces Sun-News, June 20, 2008
  6. ^abc"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  7. ^abc"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  8. ^abc"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  9. ^abc"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  10. ^abc"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  11. ^alamogordonews.com
  12. ^kob.com
  13. ^FINAL RESULTS: June 3 primary electionArchived 2008-10-13 at theWayback MachineLas Cruces Sun-News, June 20, 2008
  14. ^thehill.com
  15. ^lcsun-news.com
  16. ^FINAL RESULTS: June 3 primary electionArchived 2008-10-13 at theWayback MachineLas Cruces Sun-News, June 20, 2008

General

External links

[edit]
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United States House elections in New Mexico
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