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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland

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2008 United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland

← 2006
November 4, 2008 (2008-11-04)
2010 →

All 8 Maryland seats to theUnited States House of Representatives
 Majority partyMinority party
 
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Last election62
Seats won71
Seat changeIncrease 1Decrease 1
Popular vote1,677,490762,587
Percentage67.15%30.53%
SwingIncrease 2.52%Decrease 1.62%

District results
County results

Democratic

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Republican

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%

Elections in Maryland
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
Democratic
2000
2004
2008
2016
2020
2024
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2008
2012
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The2008 congressional elections in Maryland were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would represent thestate ofMaryland in theUnited States House of Representatives, coinciding with thepresidential election. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected serve in the111th Congress from January 3, 2009, until January 3, 2011.

Maryland has eight seats in the House, apportioned according to the2000 United States census. Its 2007–2008 congressional delegation consisted of six Democrats and two Republicans. Following the election, the delegation became seven Democrats and one Republican. District 1 was the only seat which changed party (from Republican to Democratic), and was the only district CQ Politics had forecast to be at some risk for the incumbent party.

Overview

[edit]
United States House of Representatives elections in Maryland, 2008[1]
PartyVotesPercentage+/−Seats+/−
Democratic1,677,49067.15%+2.52%7+1
Republican762,58730.53%−1.62%1−1
Libertarian47,7081.91%+1.62%0
Green6,8280.27%−2.25%0
Others3,3390.13%−0.25%0
Totals2,497,952100.00%8

District 1

[edit]
2008 Maryland's 1st congressional district election

← 2006
2010 →
 
NomineeFrank KratovilAndy Harris
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote177,065174,213
Percentage49.1%48.3%

County results
Kratovil:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%
Harris:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Wayne Gilchrest
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Kratovil
Democratic

See also:Maryland's 1st congressional district
See also:Opinion polling for the United States House of Representatives elections, 2008 § Maryland

The district encompasses the entireEastern Shore of Maryland, as well as parts ofAnne Arundel,Baltimore andHarford Counties, and was represented byRepublicanWayne Gilchrest since 1991.

IncumbentWayne Gilchrest, aRepublican, lost to state senatorAndy Harris in the Republican primary, in whichE.J. Pipkin also ran. Gilchrest was one of only two Republicans to vote for the bill to set a timetable on theIraq War, which passed, 218–212; he also voted on April 25, 2007, for another[citation needed] Democratic Iraq War bill, which passed, 218–208. Harris was first elected to theMaryland Senate in 1998[2] and served asMinority Whip, 2003–2006. He has worked as ananesthesiologist, an associate professor of anesthesiology andcritical care medicine, and chief ofobstetric anesthesiology atJohns Hopkins Hospital. Harris entered the February 12 primary with endorsements from theClub for Growth,[3] former GovernorBob Ehrlich,[4] seven of ten state senators who represent parts of the Congressional district, and House minority leaderAnthony J. O'Donnell.[5] Despite Gilchrest's endorsement byThe Baltimore Sun,[6] Harris defeated him by 10 points[7] in a relatively bitter race.[8]

Queen Anne's CountyState's AttorneyFrank M. Kratovil, Jr., went into the February 12 primary as the Democratic frontrunner, with primary endorsement fromThe Baltimore Sun,[6] governorMartin O'Malley, and Maryland comptrollerPeter Franchot. Kratovil became Assistant State's Attorney in 1997, State's Attorney in 2003, and president of Maryland State's Attorney's Association, 2005–2007. He defeated his closest opponent, Cambridge lawyer Christopher Robinson, by nine points in a primary that was considered much more civil than on the Republican side.[8]

While Harris had stated his belief that "the 1st Congressional District was drawn by Democrats to elect Republicans" and Gilchrest had carried the district for nine terms, Democratic leaders believed the district had "a moderate character" and was ready to support Kratovil competitively.[9] In addition to targeting by theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee,[10] Gilchrest staffers held "Republicans for Kratovil" events.[11] Gilchrest hinted early on that he would endorse Kratovil, being quoted as saying, "Let's see, the Republican Party, or my eternal soul?" and "Party loyalty, or integrity?"[12] On April 17, 2008, an article inPolitico announced that long-time Wayne Gilchrest campaign manager Lynn Caliguri, spouse of Gilchrest chief of staff Tony Caliguri, had joined the Kratovil campaign.[13] In early September 2008, Gilchrest officially endorsed Kratovil.[14]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]TossupNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Lean RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Lean RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]TossupNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 1st Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticFrank Kratovil177,06549.12%+18.01
RepublicanAndy Harris174,21348.33%−20.47
LibertarianRichard J. Davis8,8732.46%+2.46
No partyWrite-ins3290.09
Total votes360,480100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

District 2

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 2nd congressional district

The district comprises parts ofHarford,Baltimore, andAnne Arundel Counties, as well as small portions of theCity of Baltimore, and has been represented byDemocratDutch Ruppersberger since 2003. Prior to serving in Congress, Ruppersberger wasBaltimore County Executive from 1994 to 2002. Ruppersberger serves on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, the House Committee on Appropriations, and the Democratic Steering Committee.

The Republican candidate is Richard Matthews, a 28-year-old computer systems engineer from Orchard Beach, who is also theAnne Arundel County,Maryland organizer for theRon Paul 2008 Presidential campaign.[20] Matthews is amoderate Republican withlibertarian political views oncivil liberties andeconomic freedom. He opposes theIraq War, and generally supports freedom of choice in both personal and economic matters.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 2nd Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticDutch Ruppersberger (incumbent)198,57871.86%+2.65
RepublicanRichard Matthews68,56124.81%−5.87
LibertarianLorenzo Gaztanaga8,7863.18%+3.18
No partyWrite-ins4080.15
Total votes276,333100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

District 3

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 3rd congressional district

The district comprises portions ofBaltimore,Howard andAnne Arundel counties, as well as a significant part of the independent city ofBaltimore, and has been represented by DemocratJohn Sarbanes since 2007. Sarbanes faced off against Republican candidate Thomas Harris; in this staunchly liberal district, Harris faced little chance against the popular Sarbanes.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 3rd Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticJohn Sarbanes (incumbent)203,71169.66%+5.63
RepublicanThomas E. Harris87,97130.08%−3.68
No partyWrite-ins7660.26
Total votes292,448100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

District 4

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 4th congressional district
See also:Maryland's 4th congressional district special election, 2008

The district comprises portions ofPrince George's andMontgomery Counties, and has been represented by DemocratAl Wynn since 1993. Coming off a close primary against progressive advocateDonna Edwards in 2006, Wynn faced a competitive primary against her again in 2008. While Wynn made an effort to appear more progressive, he remains one of the most conservative members of theCongressional Black Caucus. This time, Edwards defeated Wynn in the primary. Wynn then announced he would be leaving Congress before his term's expiration in January 2009, which triggered aspecial election.[21]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 4th Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticDonna Edwards258,70485.83%+5.16
RepublicanPeter James38,73912.85%−5.79
LibertarianThibeaux Lincecum3,3841.12%+1.12
No partyWrite-ins6040.20
Total votes301,431100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

District 5

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 5th congressional district

The district comprises all ofCharles,St. Mary's, andCalvert Counties, as well as portions ofPrince George's andAnne Arundel Counties. The seat has been represented by Democrat and House Majority LeaderSteny Hoyer since 1981. He was challenged by Collins Bailey, a businessman and fourth-term elected member of theCharles County Board of Education.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 5th Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticSteny Hoyer (incumbent)253,85473.65%−9.03
RepublicanCollins Bailey82,63123.97%+23.97
LibertarianDarlene H. Nicolas7,8292.27%+2.27
No partyWrite-ins3770.11
Total votes344,691100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

District 6

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 6th congressional district

The district comprises all ofGarrett,Allegany,Washington,Frederick andCarroll Counties, as well as portions ofMontgomery,Baltimore, andHarford Counties, and has been represented by RepublicanRoscoe Bartlett since 1993.

Bartlett's district is one of the more Republican seats in heavily Democratic Maryland, and includes several western cities such asFrederick andHagerstown. Bartlett was 82 as of June 3, 2008. While he still managed to receive 58% of the vote in 2006 against little-known Democratic opponentAndrew J. Duck, a stockbroker andU.S. Army veteran, it was nine points lower than his 2004 showing. Although there were early rumors that Bartlett would retire rather than run again, he subsequently filed his candidacy for re-election. Duck, too, ran again in 2008. In a surprise, formerCumberland MayorFrank K. Nethken announced that he would be a candidate for the GOP nomination even if Bartlett sought re-election. WhileAndrew Duck ran for the Democratic nomination, he lost toJennifer Dougherty, the former Mayor ofFrederick.Roscoe Bartlett won the Republican nomination.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe RNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe RNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe RNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 6th Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanRoscoe Bartlett (incumbent)190,92657.76%−1.21
DemocraticJennifer Dougherty128,20738.79%+0.36
LibertarianGary W. Hoover, Sr.11,0603.35%+3.35
No partyWrite-ins3420.10
Total votes330,535100.00
RepublicanholdSwing

District 7

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 7th congressional district

The district encompasses parts ofBaltimore City,Baltimore County, andHoward County, and has been represented by DemocratElijah Cummings since 1996. Cummings did not face any opposition in the Democratic primary or general election in his last election, but faced Republican Michael Hargadon and Libertarian Ronald Owens-Bey, whom he easily defeated.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 7th Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticElijah Cummings (incumbent)227,37979.50%−18.56
RepublicanMichael T. Hargadon53,14718.58%+18.58
LibertarianRonald M. Owens-Bey5,2141.82%+1.82
No partyWrite-ins2800.10
Total votes286,020100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

District 8

[edit]
See also:Maryland's 8th congressional district

The district mostly consists of the larger part ofMontgomery County, but also includes a small portion ofPrince George's County, and has been represented by DemocratChris Van Hollen since 2003. Van Hollen has achieved national prominence as head of theDemocratic Congressional Campaign Committee.

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[15]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Rothenberg[16]Safe DNovember 2, 2008
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Real Clear Politics[18]Safe DNovember 7, 2008
CQ Politics[19]Safe DNovember 6, 2008
Maryland's 8th Congressional District: 2008
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticChris Van Hollen (incumbent)229,74075.08%−1.44
RepublicanSteve Hudson66,35121.68%−0.22
GreenGordon Clark6,8282.23%+0.74
LibertarianIan Thomas2,5620.84%+0.84
Write-inAll write-ins5330.17%
Total votes306,014100.00
DemocraticholdSwing

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Office of the Clerk, U.S. House of Representatives".
  2. ^"1998 Gubernatorial General Election Results".Maryland State Board of Elections. October 24, 2000. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  3. ^"Club for Growth Endorses Andy Harris".Andy Harris for Congress. August 13, 2007. Archived fromthe original on September 28, 2007. RetrievedAugust 17, 2007.
  4. ^"Ehrlich supports Harris for seat".Associated Press. October 19, 2007. Archived fromthe original on February 20, 2008. RetrievedOctober 19, 2007.
  5. ^CQ Staff (October 2, 2007)."Eleven Republican Incumbents Have to Watch Their Backs in House Primaries". RetrievedOctober 19, 2007.[dead link]
  6. ^ab"Sun endorsements: Experience counts".The Baltimore Sun. February 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2008. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  7. ^"Representative in Congress Results".Maryland State Board Of Elections. RetrievedMarch 26, 2008.
  8. ^abOlson, Bradley (February 2, 2008)."GOP brawling in the 1st: Democrats hope for Gilchrest loss".The Baltimore Sun. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.[dead link]
  9. ^Brody, Alan (February 22, 2008)."Dems ready to spend big on Kratovil: Van Hollen, Hoyer say District 1 seat is in play".Gaithersburg Gazette. Maryland Community Newspapers. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2008. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  10. ^"2008 Races Map: South Region".Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Archived fromthe original on March 18, 2008. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  11. ^LoBianco, Tom (March 14, 2008)."Gilchrest staffers support Democrat".The Washington Times. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  12. ^Edge, Wally (February 29, 2008)."Top Gilchrest staffer kicks-off 'Republicans for Kratovil'".Politicker MD. Archived fromthe original on May 9, 2008. RetrievedApril 8, 2008.
  13. ^The Crypt's Blog – Politico.com
  14. ^Gilchrest crosses party lines, endorses Democrat Kratovil, even cutting an ad for him (baltimoresun.com)[permanent dead link]
  15. ^abcdefgh"2008 Competitive House Race Chart".House: Race Ratings.The Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  16. ^abcdefgh"2008 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 2, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  17. ^abcdefgh"2008 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2008. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  18. ^abcdefgh"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2008. Archived fromthe original on December 17, 2008. RetrievedDecember 9, 2023.
  19. ^abcdefgh"Race Ratings Chart: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 6, 2008. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  20. ^Bourg, Allison (February 9, 2008)."Local challengers have difficult task".The Capital. RetrievedMarch 21, 2008.
  21. ^O'Malley To Push For One Special Election To Replace WynnArchived October 31, 2008, at theWayback Machine Michael Teitelbaum,CQ Politics, April 3, 2008

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