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All 53 California seats to theUnited States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Party gains County results
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The2008 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November 4, 2008, to determine who would representCalifornia variouscongressional districts in theUnited States House of Representatives. In the111th Congress, California has 53 seats in the House, apportioned accordingly after the2000 United States census. Representatives are elected to two-year terms; those elected will serve in the 111th Congress from January 3, 2009, to January 3, 2011. The election coincides with theUnited States presidential election as well as other elections in California.
According toCQ Politics, the districts considered the most competitive were the4th and11th, with the3rd,8th,26th,46th and50th as less than safe as well.[1] However, the partisan balance of the state's congressional delegation did not change, despite the strong Democratic dominance during the broader elections.
| United States House of Representatives elections in California, 2008[2] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Votes | Percentage | Seats | +/– | |
| Democratic | 7,380,825 | 59.90% | 34 | 0 | |
| Republican | 4,515,925 | 36.65% | 19 | 0 | |
| Libertarian | 220,118 | 1.79% | 0 | 0 | |
| Independent | 90,340 | 0.73% | 0 | 0 | |
| Green | 60,926 | 0.49% | 0 | 0 | |
| Peace and Freedom | 47,659 | 0.39% | 0 | 0 | |
| American Independent | 6,286 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | |
| Valid votes | 12,322,079 | 89.66% | — | — | |
| Invalid or blank votes | 1,421,098 | 10.34% | — | — | |
| Totals | 13,743,177 | 100.00% | 53 | — | |
| Voter turnout | 79.42% | ||||
Below are the final official results as reported by theSecretary of State.[2][3]
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Thompson (incumbent) | 197,812 | 68.10 | |
| Republican | Zane Starkewolf | 67,853 | 23.36 | |
| Green | Carol Wolman | 24,793 | 8.54 | |
| Green | Pamela Elizondo (write-in) | 14 | 0.00 | |
| Total votes | 290,472 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 75.99 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Wally Herger (incumbent) | 163,459 | 57.89 | |
| Democratic | Jeffrey Morris | 118,878 | 42.11 | |
| Total votes | 282,337 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 76.98 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Likely R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Lungren (incumbent) | 155,424 | 49.49 | |
| Democratic | Bill Durston | 137,971 | 43.93 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Dina Padilla | 13,378 | 4.26 | |
| Libertarian | Douglas Tuma | 7,273 | 2.32 | |
| Total votes | 314,046 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 76.21 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
On December 2, 2008, RepublicanTom McClintock declared victory over DemocratCharlie Brown in the race in the 4th congressional district. Brown conceded his defeat the next day. The race had been so close that it took four weeks of counting all mailed and provisional ballots before McClintock could be assured of victory.
| Pollster | Dates | Respondents | McClintock | Brown | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val Smith (R-McClintock) | 10/21-22/08 | 400 likely voters | 49% | 40% | - | - |
| Val Smith (R-McClintock) | 9/22-24/08 | 400 likely voters | 47% | 39% | - | - |
| Benenson Strategy (D-Brown) | 8/21-24/08 | 500 likely voters | 41% | 43% | - | 15% |
| Benenson Strategy (D-Brown) | 5/14-15/08 | 400 likely voters | 40% | 42% | - | 18% |
Charlie Brown is a retired Air Force officer who first ran for this seat in 2006, losing to incumbentJohn Doolittle by three percent of the vote. Brown announced in February 2007 that he would run again in 2008. Doolittle's prospects for reelection suffered because of a federal investigation into his alleged ties toJack Abramoff. In April 2007, the FBI raided Doolittle's Virginia home. Doolittle denies all wrongdoing, and has not been charged with any crime. On January 10, 2008, Doolittle announced that he would finish his term but not run for re-election.[9]
On March 4, 2008, State SenatorTom McClintock ofThousand Oaks officially launched his campaign for this district at thePlacer County Courthouse in Auburn. McClintock received immediate endorsements from local and state Republicans, including State Senator Sam Aanasted, State AssemblymanTed Gaines, State AssemblymanRick Keene, Auburn City Councilman Kevin Hanley, Yuba County Supervisor Dan Logue, and Nevada County Supervisor Sue Horne.[10]
Brown was endorsed by SenatorMax Cleland, former GeneralWesley Clark, former Republican CongressmanPete McCloskey, SenatorJim Webb of Virginia, and many veterans' groups including theVeterans' Alliance for Security and Democracy andVoteVets.org.[11]
In the primary election on June 3, 2008, Tom McClintock won the Republican primary with 54% of the vote ahead ofDoug Ose, Suzanne Jones, and Theodore Terbolizard, in that order.[12] Other Republican candidates had withdrawn from the race and thus did not appear on the ballot, includingRico Oller, Eric Egland, andAuburn City Councilman Mike Holmes.[13] Charlie Brown won the Democratic primary with 88% of the vote, ahead of John "Wolf" Wolfgram,[12] who had little financial support.[14]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Tossup | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean D(flip) | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Tossup | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom McClintock | 185,790 | 50.24 | |
| Democratic | Charles Brown | 183,990 | 49.76 | |
| Total votes | 369,780 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 82.07 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Doris Matsui (incumbent) | 164,242 | 74.27 | |
| Republican | Paul Smith | 46,002 | 20.80 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Linda Roberts | 10,731 | 4.85 | |
| Independent | David Lynch (write-in) | 180 | 0.08 | |
| Total votes | 221,155 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.93 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lynn Woolsey (incumbent) | 229,672 | 71.69 | |
| Republican | Mike Halliwell | 77,073 | 24.06 | |
| Libertarian | Joel Smolen | 13,617 | 4.25 | |
| Total votes | 320,362 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 87.80 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | George Miller (incumbent) | 170,962 | 72.82 | |
| Republican | Roger Petersen | 51,166 | 21.79 | |
| Peace and Freedom | William Callison | 6,695 | 2.85 | |
| Libertarian | Camden McConnell | 5,950 | 2.53 | |
| Total votes | 234,773 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 79.02 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
The eighth congressional district has been represented by DemocratNancy Pelosi since 1993, when the area was redistricted from the 5th congressional district. Pelosi, who isSpeaker of the House, is considered safe for re-election, butIraq War activistCindy Sheehan announced that she would consider running against Pelosi if Pelosi did not put in an article of impeachment againstPresidentGeorge W. Bush andVice PresidentDick Cheney.[15] She qualified for the ballot as an independent candidate and was endorsed by thePeace and Freedom Party.[16]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Nancy Pelosi (incumbent) | 204,996 | 71.87 | |
| Independent | Cindy Sheehan | 46,118 | 16.17 | |
| Republican | Dana Walsh | 27,614 | 9.68 | |
| Libertarian | Philip Berg | 6,504 | 2.28 | |
| Independent | Lea Sherman (write-in) | 11 | 0.00 | |
| Independent | Michelle Clay (write-in) | 4 | 0.00 | |
| Total votes | 285,247 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 73.15 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Barbara Lee (incumbent) | 238,915 | 86.06 | |
| Republican | Charles Hargrave | 26,917 | 9.70 | |
| Libertarian | James Eyer | 11,704 | 4.22 | |
| Green | David Heller (write-in) | 37 | 0.01 | |
| Republican | Christopher Kula (write-in) | 27 | 0.01 | |
| Total votes | 277,600 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.10 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ellen Tauscher (incumbent) | 192,226 | 65.12 | |
| Republican | Nicholas Gerber | 91,877 | 31.13 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Eugene Ruyle | 11,062 | 3.75 | |
| Total votes | 295,165 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 79.75 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Lean D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Likely D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jerry McNerney (incumbent) | 164,500 | 55.27 | |
| Republican | Dean Andal | 133,104 | 44.72 | |
| American Independent | David Christensen (write-in) | 12 | 0.00 | |
| Total votes | 297,616 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 78.53 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
California's 12th congressional district is represented by DemocratJackie Speier. She won aspecial election months before the general election to replaceTom Lantos, who represented the district from 1981 until his death due toesophageal cancer at the age of 80 in 2008. Lantos had announced that he would not seek re-election due to his declining health. This overwhelmingly Democratic district comprises mainly northernSan Mateo County and theSunset area ofSan Francisco.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jackie Speier (incumbent) | 200,442 | 75.11 | |
| Republican | Greg Conlon | 49,258 | 18.46 | |
| Peace and Freedom | Nathalie Hrizi | 5,793 | 2.17 | |
| Green | Barry Hermanson | 5,776 | 2.16 | |
| Libertarian | Kevin Peterson | 5,584 | 2.09 | |
| Total votes | 266,853 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.73 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
California's 13th congressional district has been represented by DemocratPete Stark since 1973. Often regarded as the most liberal member of Congress (and its onlyatheist), Stark ran for re-election and was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.[17] His overwhelmingly Democratic district is centered in theEast Bay and includesHayward.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Pete Stark (incumbent) | 166,829 | 76.43 | |
| Republican | Raymond Chui | 51,447 | 23.57 | |
| Total votes | 218,276 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.72 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Anna Eshoo (incumbent) | 190,301 | 69.77 | |
| Republican | Ronny Santana | 60,610 | 22.22 | |
| Libertarian | Brian Holtz | 11,929 | 4.37 | |
| Green | Carol Brouillet | 9,926 | 3.64 | |
| Total votes | 272,766 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 78.46 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mike Honda (incumbent) | 170,977 | 71.66 | |
| Republican | Joyce Cordi | 55,489 | 23.26 | |
| Green | Peter Myers | 12,123 | 5.08 | |
| Total votes | 238,589 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 78.78 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Zoe Lofgren (incumbent) | 146,481 | 71.34 | |
| Republican | Charel Winston | 49,399 | 24.06 | |
| Libertarian | Steven Wells | 9,447 | 4.60 | |
| Total votes | 205,327 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 75.75 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Sam Farr (incumbent) | 168,907 | 73.88 | |
| Republican | Jeff Taylor | 59,037 | 25.82 | |
| Independent | Peter Andresen (write-in) | 682 | 0.30 | |
| Total votes | 228,626 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 79.72 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Dennis Cardoza (incumbent) | 130,192 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 130,192 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 48.61 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | George Radanovich (incumbent) | 179,245 | 98.43 | |
| Democratic | Peter Leinau (write-in) | 2,490 | 1.37 | |
| Independent | Phil Rockey (write-in) | 366 | 0.20 | |
| Total votes | 182,101 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 51.19 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jim Costa (incumbent) | 93,023 | 74.33 | |
| Republican | Jim Lopez | 32,118 | 25.67 | |
| Total votes | 125,141 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 60.55 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Devin Nunes (incumbent) | 143,498 | 68.39 | |
| Democratic | Larry Johnson | 66,317 | 31.61 | |
| Total votes | 209,815 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 69.40 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin McCarthy (incumbent) | 224,549 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 224,549 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 61.56 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lois Capps (incumbent) | 171,403 | 68.07 | |
| Republican | Matt Kokkonen | 80,385 | 31.93 | |
| Total votes | 251,788 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 77.41 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
California's 24th congressional district has been represented by RepublicanElton Gallegly since 1987. Although he had claimed that his 2006 campaign would be his last, Gallegly has announced that he intends to seek another term in 2008. Republican State SenatorTom McClintock, who has name statewide recognition from his several statewide campaigns, would have considered the likely frontrunner were there an open seat but moved to an open seat in Northern California's 4th District in 2008. McClintock had been an intra-party rival to Gallegly, who had hoped to have a political ally nominated to succeed him. Bush won 55% here in 2004.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Elton Gallegly (incumbent) | 174,492 | 58.15 | |
| Democratic | Marta Jorgensen | 125,560 | 41.85 | |
| Total votes | 300,052 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 77.30 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Howard McKeon (incumbent) | 144,660 | 57.73 | |
| Democratic | Jackie Conaway | 105,929 | 42.27 | |
| Total votes | 250,589 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.24 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Dreier (incumbent) | 140,615 | 52.64 | |
| Democratic | Russ Warner | 108,039 | 40.44 | |
| Libertarian | Ted Brown | 18,476 | 6.92 | |
| Total votes | 267,130 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.22 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brad Sherman (incumbent) | 145,812 | 68.51 | |
| Republican | Navraj Singh | 52,852 | 24.83 | |
| Libertarian | Tim Denton | 14,171 | 6.66 | |
| Total votes | 212,835 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.78 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Howard Berman (incumbent) | 137,471 | 99.89 | |
| Independent | Michael Koch (write-in) | 150 | 0.11 | |
| Total votes | 137,621 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 55.68 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Adam Schiff (incumbent) | 146,198 | 68.91 | |
| Republican | Charles Hahn | 56,727 | 26.74 | |
| Libertarian | Alan Pyeatt | 9,219 | 4.35 | |
| Total votes | 212,144 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 68.57 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Henry Waxman (incumbent) | 242,792 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 242,792 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 58.37 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Xavier Becerra (incumbent) | 110,955 | 100.00 | |
| Total votes | 110,955 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 57.69 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Hilda Solis (incumbent) | 130,142 | 99.99 | |
| Independent | Innocent Osunwa (write-in) | 8 | 0.01 | |
| Total votes | 130,150 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 53.65 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Diane Watson (incumbent) | 186,924 | 87.57 | |
| Republican | David Crowley | 26,536 | 12.43 | |
| Total votes | 213,460 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.19 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Lucille Roybal-Allard (incumbent) | 98,503 | 77.09 | |
| Republican | Christopher Balding | 29,266 | 22.91 | |
| Total votes | 127,769 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 63.68 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Maxine Waters (incumbent) | 150,778 | 82.58 | |
| Republican | Ted Hayes | 24,169 | 13.24 | |
| Libertarian | Herb Peters | 7,632 | 4.18 | |
| Total votes | 182,579 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 69.73 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jane Harman (incumbent) | 171,948 | 68.64 | |
| Republican | Brian Gibson | 78,543 | 31.36 | |
| Total votes | 250,491 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 74.36 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
This district has been represented by DemocratLaura Richardson since winning aspecial election on August 21, 2007, that was called after DemocratJuanita Millender-McDonald died of cancer. The staunchly Democratic district includesCompton, some of south-centralLos Angeles and much ofLong Beach.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Laura Richardson (incumbent) | 131,342 | 74.94 | |
| Independent | Nicholas Dibs | 42,774 | 24.41 | |
| Democratic | Peter Mathews (write-in) | 600 | 0.34 | |
| Republican | June Pouesi (write-in) | 526 | 0.30 | |
| Democratic | Lee Davis (write-in) | 10 | 0.01 | |
| Total votes | 175,252 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 63.24 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
California's 38th congressional district has been represented by DemocratGrace Napolitano since 1999. Napolitano's heavily Democratic east Los Angeles-based district is a largely Hispanic one that includesMontebello,Pico Rivera,La Puente, and part ofNorwalk.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Grace Napolitano (incumbent) | 130,211 | 81.73 | |
| Libertarian | Christopher Agrella | 29,113 | 18.27 | |
| Total votes | 159,324 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 63.74 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Linda Sánchez (incumbent) | 125,289 | 69.67 | |
| Republican | Diane Lenning | 54,533 | 30.33 | |
| Total votes | 179,822 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 68.28 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ed Royce (incumbent) | 144,923 | 62.55 | |
| Democratic | Christina Avalos | 86,772 | 37.45 | |
| Total votes | 231,695 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 67.40 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
California's 41st congressional district has been represented by RepublicanJerry Lewis since 1979. Lewis served as the chair of theHouse Appropriations Committee when Republicans controlled the House. Lewis, who will be 74 in 2008, has come under investigation for connections to theCopeland Lowery lobbying firm. In spite of speculation that he would retire, Lewis announced he would seek reelection on August 31.[18] Bush won 62% here in 2004.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Lewis (incumbent) | 159,486 | 61.65 | |
| Democratic | Tim Prince | 99,214 | 38.35 | |
| Total votes | 258,700 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 71.43 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
California's 42nd congressional district is one of the most conservative districts in the state, and has been represented by RepublicanGary Miller since 1999. Before the election, Miller suffered bad press, with four ex-aides accusing him of conflict-of-interest and using his position to profit from the sale of personal land holdings.[19]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Gary Miller (incumbent) | 158,404 | 60.16 | |
| Democratic | Ed Chau | 104,909 | 39.84 | |
| Total votes | 263,313 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.77 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Baca (incumbent) | 108,259 | 69.14 | |
| Republican | John Roberts | 48,312 | 30.86 | |
| Total votes | 156,571 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 63.37 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ken Calvert (incumbent) | 129,937 | 51.19 | |
| Democratic | Bill Hedrick | 123,890 | 48.81 | |
| Total votes | 253,827 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.61 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Mary Bono Mack (incumbent) | 155,166 | 58.29 | |
| Democratic | Julie Bornstein | 111,026 | 41.71 | |
| Total votes | 266,192 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 74.36 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
RepublicanDana Rohrabacher's district (which includes the SouthernChannel Islands,Palos Verdes Peninsula, and parts ofOrange County) has been a Republican stronghold in recent years.Huntington Beach mayorDebbie Cook was the (Democratic) challenger.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Likely R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dana Rohrabacher (incumbent) | 149,818 | 52.52 | |
| Democratic | Debbie Cook | 122,891 | 43.08 | |
| Green | Thomas Lash | 8,257 | 2.89 | |
| Libertarian | Ernst Gasteiger | 4,311 | 1.51 | |
| Total votes | 285,277 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.10 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
California's 47th congressional district was represented by DemocratLoretta Sanchez since 1997. Sanchez won 62% of the vote in a district that barely went to George W. Bush with around 50% to 49% in 2004, which could have resulted in an opening for Republicans, who had not recruited a strong candidate in years. This year, Republican Rosie Avila hoped to oust Sanchez. However, Sanchez's district is located in one of the more Democratic areas ofOrange County, includingAnaheim andSanta Ana, andAl Gore won this district in 2000 by a comfortable margin.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Loretta Sanchez (incumbent) | 85,878 | 69.49 | |
| Republican | Rosemarie Avila | 31,432 | 25.43 | |
| American Independent | Robert Lauten | 6,274 | 5.08 | |
| Total votes | 123,584 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 57.01 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Campbell (incumbent) | 171,658 | 55.61 | |
| Democratic | Steve Young | 125,537 | 40.67 | |
| Libertarian | Don Patterson | 11,507 | 3.73 | |
| Total votes | 308,702 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 70.17 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Darrell Issa (incumbent) | 140,300 | 58.30 | |
| Democratic | Robert Hamilton | 90,138 | 37.45 | |
| Libertarian | Lars Grossmith | 10,232 | 4.25 | |
| Total votes | 240,670 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 76.19 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
California's 50th congressional district has been represented by RepublicanBrian Bilbray since 2006. Bilbray won 53% of the vote in a Republican-leaning district north ofSan Diego that was previously represented by the scandal-plaguedDuke Cunningham (R). George W. Bush won 54% here in 2004.Nick Leibham won against Cheryl Ede in the Democratic primary. CQ Politics forecasts the race as 'Safe Republican'.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Likely R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Brian Bilbray (incumbent) | 157,502 | 50.24 | |
| Democratic | Nick Leibham | 141,635 | 45.18 | |
| Libertarian | Wayne Dunlap | 14,365 | 4.58 | |
| Total votes | 313,502 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 80.15 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
Thecongressional district has been held byBob Filner, who formerly represented the50th, since its inception following the 1992 redistricting. The district was redrawn following the2000 census, creating agerrymandered district boundary.Democraticincumbent Bob Filner ofSan Diego is seeking reelection and is being challenged byRepublican businessman David Lee Joy ofSpring Valley. TheLibertarian candidate is musician and software systems engineer Dan "Frodo" Litwin of San Diego.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Bob Filner (incumbent) | 148,281 | 72.75 | |
| Republican | David Joy | 49,345 | 24.21 | |
| Libertarian | Dan Litwin | 6,199 | 3.04 | |
| Total votes | 203,825 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 69.06 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
(map)
This race is for anopen seat, being vacated by formerRepublicanpresidential candidateDuncan Hunter. Both Democratic and Republican candidates areOIF veterans. TheLibertarian candidate is 2002 congressional candidate Mike Benoit.[20]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe R | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Duncan D. Hunter | 160,724 | 56.37 | |
| Democratic | Mike Lumpkin | 111,051 | 38.95 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Benoit | 13,316 | 4.67 | |
| Independent | Joseph Ryan (write-in) | 47 | 0.02 | |
| Total votes | 285,138 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 79.48 | |||
| Republicanhold | ||||
(map)
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[5] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[7] | Safe D | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[8] | Safe D | November 6, 2008 |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Susan Davis (incumbent) | 161,315 | 68.49 | |
| Republican | Michael Crimmins | 64,658 | 27.45 | |
| Libertarian | Edward Teyssier | 9,569 | 4.06 | |
| Total votes | 235,542 | 100.00 | ||
| Turnout | 72.72 | |||
| Democratichold | ||||
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