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 County results Lummis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Trauner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Wyoming | ||||||||||||
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The2008 United States House of Representatives election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2008. Incumbent Republican CongresswomanBarbara Cubin declined to seek re-election. Former State TreasurerCynthia Lummis won the Republican primary to succeed Cubin, and advanced to the general election, where she was opposed by businessmanGary Trauner, the Democratic nominee, who had previously run for the seat in2006. Lummis defeated Trauner by a wide margin, improving significantly from Cubin's narrow victory over him two years prior.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Gary Trauner | 24,741 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 24,741 | 100.00% | ||
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Cynthia Lummis | Tom Sansonetti | Dan Zwonitzer | Roy Cohee | Matt Mead | Swede Nelson | Bill Winney | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[9] | January 18-21, 2008 | 325 | 4% | 31% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 45% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 33,149 | 46.24% | |
| Republican | Mark Gordon | 26,827 | 37.42% | |
| Republican | Bill Winney | 8,537 | 11.91% | |
| Republican | Michael S. Holland | 3,171 | 4.42% | |
| Total votes | 71,684 | 100.00% | ||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertarian | W. David Herbert | 187 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 187 | 100.00% | ||
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Rothenberg[14] | Lean R | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] | Lean R | November 6, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[16] | Lean R | November 7, 2008 |
| CQ Politics[17] | Tossup | November 6, 2008 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Trauner (D) | Lummis (R) | Herbert (L) | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[9] | January 18-21, 2008 | 625 | 4% | 41% | 40% | — | 19% |
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy[18] | October 13-14, 2008 | 625 | 4% | 44% | 43% | 4% | 9% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 131,244 | 52.62% | |
| Democratic | Gary Trauner | 106,758 | 42.81% | |
| Libertarian | W. David Herbert | 11,030 | 4.42% | |
| Write-in | 363 | 0.15% | ||
| Total votes | 249,395 | 100.00% | ||
| Republicanhold | ||||
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