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2008 Mayo by-election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2008 Mayo by-election

← 20076 September 2008 (2008-09-06)2010 →

Division of Mayo (SA) in theHouse of Representatives
Turnout80.10%Decrease15.78
 First partySecond party
 
Jamie_Briggs.jpg
Greens placeholder-01.png
CandidateJamie BriggsLynton Vonow
PartyLiberalGreens
Primary vote30,65115,851
Percentage41.28%21.35%
SwingDecrease 9.80Increase 10.39
TPP53.03%46.97%
TPP swingDecrease 4.03Increase 46.97

 Third partyFourth party
 
IND
Bob Day 2014 (cropped).jpg
CandidateDi BellBob Day
PartyIndependentFamily First
Primary vote12,08111,468
Percentage16.87%11.40%
SwingIncrease 16.87Increase 7.38


MP before election

Alexander Downer
Liberal

Elected MP

Jamie Briggs
Liberal

The2008 Mayo by-election was held on 6 September 2008 to elect the member forMayo in theAustralian House of Representatives, following the retirement ofLiberal Party MP and former Liberal leaderAlexander Downer.[1] Theby-election was held on the same day as theLyne by-election, and theWestern Australian state election.[2]

Thewrit for the by-election was issued 4 August, with therolls closing on 8 August. Candidate nominations closed on 14 August.[3] The by-election was contested on the same boundaries drawn for Mayo at the2007 federal election. The seat was won byJamie Briggs of theLiberal Party on atwo-candidate preferred vote of 53 per cent against theGreens.

Background

[edit]

Downer first won the seat of Mayo at its creation at the1984 federal election. He retained the seat at each subsequent election. The 2007 Liberal two-party-preferred vote of 57.1 percent was at the time the narrowest in the seat's history. Except for 1998, the seat was won at each election by the Liberals on primary votes alone. Despite this, theAustralian Democrats and independents have traditionally polled well, including two elections where the Democrats and independentBrian Deegan came second.[4] At the1998 election the Democrats reduced the Mayo Liberal margin to just 1.7 percent.

At the2007 federal election, Downer retained his seat against his main Labor Party competitor by a two-party preferred vote of 57.06 percent to 42.94 percent.[5] However, the opposition Labor Party defeated the incumbent Liberal-Nationalcoalition government, the first change of government in over 11 years. Downer had served asForeign Minister throughout the duration of the previous government. He was also Liberal leader and leader of the opposition for several months in 1994.

On 3 July 2008, Downer announced his intention to resign his seat. He officially resigned from parliament on 14 July.[6] He, withMark Vaile inLyne, became the next formerHoward government ministers returned at the 2007 election to resign their seats.Peter McGauran had done likewise earlier in 2008.

Candidates

[edit]

Eleven candidates contested the by-election. They are listed below in ballot order.[7]

Labor opted not to stand a candidate.[21]

Liberal preselection

[edit]

The candidature of LiberalJamie Briggs was criticised because of his role in controversial industrial-relations policies and reports that some Liberal Party colleagues were unhappy with his preselection.[22]Bob Day, who had held membership of the Liberal Party for 20 years and was the endorsed Liberal candidate forMakin in 2007, quit the party after failing to win Mayo preselection with 10 out of 271 votes,[23] claiming a "manipulated" preselection process.[24]Iain Evans, who came second to Briggs, agreed to some extent.[25]

Results

[edit]
2008 Mayo by-election
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
LiberalJamie Briggs30,65141.28–9.80
GreensLynton Vonow15,85121.35+10.39
IndependentDi Bell12,08116.27+16.27
Family FirstBob Day8,46811.40+7.38
IndependentMary Brewerton1,8682.52+2.52
IndependentBill Spragg1,5452.08+2.08
Democratic LaborDavid McCabe1,4261.92+1.92
DemocratsAndrew Castrique9231.24–0.28
Climate ConservativesRachael Barons7250.98–0.32
One NationMathew Keizer5030.68+0.68
IndependentMalcolm Ronald King2190.29+0.29
Total formal votes74,26095.01–2.23
Informal votes3,9004.99+2.23
Turnout78,16080.10–15.78
Two-candidate-preferred result
LiberalJamie Briggs39,38153.03–4.03
GreensLynton Vonow34,87946.97+46.97
Liberalhold 

The Liberals retained the seat despite a reduced 41.3 percent primary vote after suffering a 9.8 percent primary swing. Some commentators drew comparisons between this and the2002 Cunningham by-election.[26] The Liberaltwo-candidate vote of 53 percent againstGreens candidate Lynton Vonow compared to the previous election vote of 57.1 percent against Labor,[27] which turned Mayo from a fairly safe seat in to a marginal two-candidate seat.[28] The reduction of 4 percent cannot be considered a "two-party/candidate preferredswing" − when a major party is absent, preference flows to both major parties does not take place, resulting in asymmetric preference flows.[29][30]

2016 outcome

[edit]

Eight years later,Rebekha Sharkie of theNick Xenophon Team was successful in defeating Liberal incumbentJamie Briggs inMayo at the2016 federal election with a 55 percent two-candidate vote to the Liberals' 45 percent two-candidate vote, a reduction of 17.2 percent. Additionally,Mayo became a marginal two-party seat for the first time with the Liberal two-party vote reduced to 55.4 percent, a two-party swing of 7.2 percent.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Downer quits politics".AAP. 3 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 26 September 2008.
  2. ^"Mayo by-election date announced".ABC. 31 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 31 December 2012.
  3. ^"By-elections to be held on 6 September".The Age. 31 July 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  4. ^"2008 Mayo By-election – ABC Elections (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)". Abc.net.au. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  5. ^"SA DIVISION – MAYO".AEC.
  6. ^Adam Gartrell (14 July 2008)."Downer officially steps down".AAP.
  7. ^"Mayo by-election candidates". AEC. 8 June 2007. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  8. ^Lynton Vonow – Candidate for Mayo: Greens.org.auArchived 19 July 2008 at theWayback Machine
  9. ^"Councillors in bid for Mayo seat".The Courier. 17 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 24 January 2016. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  10. ^"Independent for Mayo". Bill Spragg. Archived fromthe original on 23 August 2010. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  11. ^"Cr William (Bill) Spragg: Adelaide Hills Council". Ahc.sa.gov.au. 26 February 2008. Archived fromthe original on 21 July 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  12. ^"One Nation SA Division". Sa.onenation.com.au. Archived fromthe original on 18 February 2011. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  13. ^John Wiseman (18 August 2008)."Ex-Labor woman in Mayo poll".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 17 September 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  14. ^"LIVENEWS.com.au > National > Democrats to contest in 'abandoned' Mayo". Archived fromthe original on 7 October 2008. Retrieved21 July 2008.
  15. ^"Former Howard govt staffer to contest Mayo by-election".ABC News (Australia). 20 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 1 August 2012. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  16. ^Renato Castello (3 August 2008)."Disgruntled Lib in Mayo power play".The Advertiser. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  17. ^"G'day, Di here at Di Bell – vote4di.com campaign site". Archived fromthe original on 14 September 2014. Retrieved28 August 2019.
  18. ^John Wiseman (12 August 2008)."Anthropologist and author Diane Bell throws hat into Mayo ring".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 17 September 2012. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  19. ^John Wiseman (21 August 2008)."Xenophon backs Bell for Mayo by-election".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 22 August 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  20. ^Jamie Walker (25 August 2008)."Mayo candidates jockey for votes as saviours of the Murray".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 8 April 2009. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  21. ^"ALP won't contest Mayo by-election".ABC News (Australia). 18 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 18 July 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  22. ^Glenn Milne, writing in The Sunday Times (25 July 2008)."Lib fears the enemy within". News.com.au. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  23. ^"Family with the odd black sheep".The Sydney Morning Herald. 15 August 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  24. ^Jamie Walker (28 July 2008)."Loyal Lib quits over Mayo".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 22 September 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  25. ^"Liberal chief Iain Evans admits to Mayo concerns".The Australian. 29 July 2008. Archived fromthe original on 15 December 2012. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  26. ^Glenn Milne (8 September 2008)."A tale of two leaders, and bad news ballots".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 12 September 2008. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  27. ^Green, Antony."2012 Port Adelaide by-election guide". ABC Elections. Retrieved28 January 2012.
  28. ^John Wiseman, Comment (8 September 2008)."Bitter victory for the Libs in what is now a marginal seat".The Australian. Archived fromthe original on 15 July 2009. Retrieved1 July 2010.
  29. ^Antony Green (13 February 2012)."A Comment on the Size of the Port Adelaide Swing". Blogs.abc.net.au. Retrieved26 July 2012.
  30. ^An Example of Non-Monotonicity and Opportunities for Tactical Voting at an Australian Election: Antony Green ABC 4 May 2011

External links

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