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Division of Mayo (SA) in theHouse of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 80.10% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2008 Mayo by-election was held on 6 September 2008 to elect the member forMayo in theAustralian House of Representatives, following the retirement ofLiberal Party MP and former Liberal leaderAlexander Downer.[1] Theby-election was held on the same day as theLyne by-election, and theWestern Australian state election.[2]
Thewrit for the by-election was issued 4 August, with therolls closing on 8 August. Candidate nominations closed on 14 August.[3] The by-election was contested on the same boundaries drawn for Mayo at the2007 federal election. The seat was won byJamie Briggs of theLiberal Party on atwo-candidate preferred vote of 53 per cent against theGreens.
Downer first won the seat of Mayo at its creation at the1984 federal election. He retained the seat at each subsequent election. The 2007 Liberal two-party-preferred vote of 57.1 percent was at the time the narrowest in the seat's history. Except for 1998, the seat was won at each election by the Liberals on primary votes alone. Despite this, theAustralian Democrats and independents have traditionally polled well, including two elections where the Democrats and independentBrian Deegan came second.[4] At the1998 election the Democrats reduced the Mayo Liberal margin to just 1.7 percent.
At the2007 federal election, Downer retained his seat against his main Labor Party competitor by a two-party preferred vote of 57.06 percent to 42.94 percent.[5] However, the opposition Labor Party defeated the incumbent Liberal-Nationalcoalition government, the first change of government in over 11 years. Downer had served asForeign Minister throughout the duration of the previous government. He was also Liberal leader and leader of the opposition for several months in 1994.
On 3 July 2008, Downer announced his intention to resign his seat. He officially resigned from parliament on 14 July.[6] He, withMark Vaile inLyne, became the next formerHoward government ministers returned at the 2007 election to resign their seats.Peter McGauran had done likewise earlier in 2008.
Eleven candidates contested the by-election. They are listed below in ballot order.[7]
Labor opted not to stand a candidate.[21]
The candidature of LiberalJamie Briggs was criticised because of his role in controversial industrial-relations policies and reports that some Liberal Party colleagues were unhappy with his preselection.[22]Bob Day, who had held membership of the Liberal Party for 20 years and was the endorsed Liberal candidate forMakin in 2007, quit the party after failing to win Mayo preselection with 10 out of 271 votes,[23] claiming a "manipulated" preselection process.[24]Iain Evans, who came second to Briggs, agreed to some extent.[25]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | Jamie Briggs | 30,651 | 41.28 | –9.80 | |
| Greens | Lynton Vonow | 15,851 | 21.35 | +10.39 | |
| Independent | Di Bell | 12,081 | 16.27 | +16.27 | |
| Family First | Bob Day | 8,468 | 11.40 | +7.38 | |
| Independent | Mary Brewerton | 1,868 | 2.52 | +2.52 | |
| Independent | Bill Spragg | 1,545 | 2.08 | +2.08 | |
| Democratic Labor | David McCabe | 1,426 | 1.92 | +1.92 | |
| Democrats | Andrew Castrique | 923 | 1.24 | –0.28 | |
| Climate Conservatives | Rachael Barons | 725 | 0.98 | –0.32 | |
| One Nation | Mathew Keizer | 503 | 0.68 | +0.68 | |
| Independent | Malcolm Ronald King | 219 | 0.29 | +0.29 | |
| Total formal votes | 74,260 | 95.01 | –2.23 | ||
| Informal votes | 3,900 | 4.99 | +2.23 | ||
| Turnout | 78,160 | 80.10 | –15.78 | ||
| Two-candidate-preferred result | |||||
| Liberal | Jamie Briggs | 39,381 | 53.03 | –4.03 | |
| Greens | Lynton Vonow | 34,879 | 46.97 | +46.97 | |
| Liberalhold | |||||
The Liberals retained the seat despite a reduced 41.3 percent primary vote after suffering a 9.8 percent primary swing. Some commentators drew comparisons between this and the2002 Cunningham by-election.[26] The Liberaltwo-candidate vote of 53 percent againstGreens candidate Lynton Vonow compared to the previous election vote of 57.1 percent against Labor,[27] which turned Mayo from a fairly safe seat in to a marginal two-candidate seat.[28] The reduction of 4 percent cannot be considered a "two-party/candidate preferredswing" − when a major party is absent, preference flows to both major parties does not take place, resulting in asymmetric preference flows.[29][30]
Eight years later,Rebekha Sharkie of theNick Xenophon Team was successful in defeating Liberal incumbentJamie Briggs inMayo at the2016 federal election with a 55 percent two-candidate vote to the Liberals' 45 percent two-candidate vote, a reduction of 17.2 percent. Additionally,Mayo became a marginal two-party seat for the first time with the Liberal two-party vote reduced to 55.4 percent, a two-party swing of 7.2 percent.