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2008 Lower Saxony state election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
State election in Lower Saxony, Germany

2008 Lower Saxony state election

← 200327 January 20082013 →

All 152 seats in theLandtag ofLower Saxony
77 seats needed for a majority
Turnout3,422,552 (57.0%)
Decrease 10.0%
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderChristian WulffWolfgang JüttnerPhilipp Rösler
PartyCDUSPDFDP
Last election91 seats, 48.3%63 seats, 33.4%15 seats, 8.1%
Seats won684813
Seat changeDecrease 23Decrease 15Decrease 2
Popular vote1,455,6871,035,894279,557
Percentage42.5%30.3%8.2%
SwingDecrease 5.8%Decrease 3.1%Increase 0.1%

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
LeaderStefan WenzelKreszentia Flauger
PartyGreensLeft
Last election14 seats, 7.6%0 seats, 0.5%
Seats won1211
Seat changeDecrease 2Increase 11
Popular vote273,934243,106
Percentage8.0%7.1%
SwingIncrease 0.4%Increase 6.6%

Results for the single-member constituencies

Minister-President before election

Christian Wulff
CDU

ElectedMinister-President

Christian Wulff
CDU

The2008 Lower Saxony state election was held on 27 January 2008 to elect the members of the 16thLandtag of Lower Saxony. The incumbentcoalition government of theChristian Democratic Union (CDU) andFree Democratic Party (FDP) led byMinister-PresidentChristian Wulff was re-elected with a reduced majority.[1]

Campaign

[edit]

Lower Saxony was seen as a stronghold of the Christian Democratic Union[2] and their leaderChristian Wulff was seen as likely to easily defeat theSocial Democrats.[3] The election in Lower Saxony took place on the same day as the2008 Hessian state election; Wulff was seen as a more moderate leader thanRoland Koch inHesse and consequently more likely to perform better in the election.[4] The CDU government had held spending down, introducedtuition fees foruniversity students, while supporting theminimum wage.[5] The Social Democrats (SPD) led theircampaign with a call for a national minimum wage for all workers.[6] The SPD leader in Lower Saxony,Wolfgang Jüttner, was little known to voters and unusually during the campaign made an attack on Wolff for his personal life.[7]

Parties

[edit]

The table below lists parties represented in the 15th Landtag of Lower Saxony.

NameIdeologyLeader(s)2003 result
Votes (%)Seats
CDUChristian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracyChristian Wulff48.3%
91 / 183
SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracyWolfgang Jüttner33.6%
63 / 184
FDPFree Democratic Party
Freie Demokratische Partei
Classical liberalismPhilipp Rösler8.1%
15 / 183
GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
Green politicsStefan Wenzel7.6%
14 / 183

Opinion polling

[edit]
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CDUSPDFDPGrüneLinkeOthersLead
2008 state election27 Jan 200842.530.38.28.07.13.912.2
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen14–17 Jan 20081,0014633775213
Infratest dimap14–16 Jan 20081,0004434775310
Infratest dimap2–4 Jan 20081,0004533783412
Emnid10 Dec 2007 – 2 Jan 20088004532894213
AMR Düsseldorf29 Dec 20071,0004434784310
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen4–6 Dec 20071,0564434774410
Infratest dimap2–5 Nov 20071,0004433794311
Infratest dimap5–10 Oct 20071,0014533685312
Emnid2–6 Oct 20071,00045317104314
Infratest dimap3–5 Sep 20071,0004434793310
Forsa1–14 Aug 20071,1604729794418
Forsa14–29 May 20071,0474629884417
Infratest3–6 May 20071,000413688435
Forsa29 Jan–13 Feb 20071,1934629993417
Infratest dimap19–24 Jan 20071,0004334810239
Forsa2–14 Nov 20061,08045291084416
Forsa25 Sep–17 Oct 20061,05444301094314
Infratest dimap23–27 Aug 20061,000403689434
Forsa17 Jul–1 Aug 20061,0864631983315
Forsa17 May–6 Jun 20061,039423688336
Infratest dimap17–22 Feb 20061,000423787425
Emnid7–12 Feb 20051,000433771036
Emnid28 Feb 2005?4434710510
Infratest dimap26–31 Jan 20041,000512988422
GMS28 Nov–1 Dec 20031,00048.530.58.59.03.517.0
Emnid27–31 May 20031,00048318101217
2003 state election2 Feb 200348.333.48.17.60.52.014.9

Election result

[edit]
Main article:List of members of the Lower Saxon Landtag 2008–2013
Summary of the 27 January 2008 election results for theLandtag of Lower Saxony
PartyVotes%+/-Seats+/-Seats %
Christian Democratic Union (CDU)1,455,68742.5Decrease5.868Decrease2344.7
Social Democratic Party (SPD)1,035,89430.3Decrease3.148Decrease1531.6
Free Democratic Party (FDP)279,5578.2Increase0.113Decrease28.6
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne)273,9348.0Increase0.412Decrease27.9
The Left (Linke)243,1067.1Increase6.611Increase117.2
National Democratic Party (NPD)52,8171.5Increase1.50±00
Others81,5572.40±00
Total3,422,552100.0152Decrease31
Voter turnout57.0Decrease10.0
Popular Vote
CDU
42.53%
SPD
30.27%
FDP
8.17%
B'90/GRÜNE
8.00%
DIE LINKE
7.10%
Other
3.93%
Landtag seats
CDU
44.74%
SPD
31.58%
FDP
8.55%
B'90/GRÜNE
7.89%
DIE LINKE
7.24%

Outcome

[edit]

The results saw the Christian Democratic Union easily defeat the Social Democrats, despite suffering a drop in votes and seats.[8][9] As a result, their leader Christian Wulff was seen as having strengthened his chances of succeeding national CDU leaderAngela Merkel.[10] The 30.3% of the vote that the Social Democrats won was the worst performance by the party in Lower Saxony since theSecond World War,[5] which was described as a 'disaster' for the party.[11]Turnout in the election was 57%.[10]

The Left entered the Landtag for the first time with 7.1% of the vote, comfortably exceeding the 5% electoral threshold.[12] Along with the election in Hesse held on the same day in which The Left also won seats, this was the first time they had achieved representation in any large state in western Germany.[13]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Kulish, Nicholas (28 January 2008)."Merkel Party's Edge Is Tiny in Crucial State".The New York Times. Retrieved15 May 2009.
  2. ^Benoit, Bertrand (4 December 2007). "Merkel in attack on US-style pay awards".Financial Times. p. 2.
  3. ^"Europe: Pay and punishment; Germany's state elections".The Economist. 19 January 2008. p. 34.
  4. ^Scally, Derek (26 January 2008). "German state polls apolitical test for Merkel".The Irish Times. p. 11.
  5. ^ab"Europe: Hessen lesson; German state elections".The Economist. 2 February 2008. p. 42.
  6. ^Benoit, Bertrand (28 December 2007). "SPD to focus on minimum wage".Financial Times. p. 4.
  7. ^"Dossier: German State Elections in Hesse and Lower Saxony".Deutsche Welle. 26 January 2008. Retrieved15 May 2009.
  8. ^Quetteville, Harry de (28 January 2008). "Support for Merkel slumps in state poll".The Daily Telegraph. p. 14.
  9. ^Benoit, Bertrand (29 January 2008). "Merkel emerges with prize from Hesse poll".Financial Times. p. 2.
  10. ^abScally, Derek (28 January 2008). "Setback for Merkel as support for CDU slips in state elections".The Irish Times. p. 11.
  11. ^"Merkel's CDU suffers setback in two state elections (Roundup)". Monsters and Critics. 28 January 2008. Retrieved15 May 2009.
  12. ^Benoit, Bertrand (28 January 2008). "German elections offer scant cheer for big parties".Financial Times. p. 6.
  13. ^Benoit, Bertrand (29 January 2008). "Merkel relief over German poll result".Financial Times. p. 2.
Lower Saxony
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