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2007 Croatian parliamentary election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2007 Croatian parliamentary election
Croatia
← 200325 November 20072011 →

All153 seats in theCroatian Parliament
77 seats needed for a majority
Turnout59.48% (Decrease 2.17pp)
PartyLeaderVote %Seats+/–
HDZIvo Sanader36.62660
SDPZoran Milanović31.3356+22
HNS-LDVesna Pusić6.797−3
HSSHSLS coalitionJosip Friščić6.538−6
HSU–DSUVladimir Jordan4.081−2
HSPAnto Đapić3.501−7
HDSSBBranimir Glavaš1.803New
IDSIvan Jakovčić1.543−1
Minority lists
SDSSVojislav Stanimirović62.5630
MESZDeneš Šoja47.831+1
SDAHŠemso Tanković30.8510
MRUHNafiz Memedi12.761New
Independents2+1
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Result byconstituency
Prime Minister beforePrime Minister after
Ivo Sanader
HDZ
Ivo Sanader
HDZ
Coat of arms

Parliamentary elections were held inCroatia on 25 November 2007 and for overseas voters on 24 and 25 November.[1] Thecampaign officially started on 3 November. ThePresident of Croatia announced elections on 17 October and 14 days were allowed for candidate lists to be submitted.

Elections were held in10 electoral districts inside Croatia (each providing 14 members of parliament),[2] one electoral district for Croatian citizens living abroad (with a maximum 12 members of parliament), and one electoral district for national minorities (8 members of parliament). Candidate listshave to win more than 5% of the votes in at least one electoral district in order to be represented in the parliament. 4,478,386 people in total were eligible to vote, 405,092 of whom are in the diaspora, 280,000 living in Bosnia-Herzegovina.[3][4]

To prevent possibleelectoral fraud, such as votes from the deceased, or people voting twice in different locations, the Croatians outside Croatia who were eligible to vote had to register no later than 14 days before the election.

In three locales, the election were repeated on 9 December 2007; while this could not and did not change the final result as far as mandates are concerned, it meant the final result became known only on 11 December 2007.[5]

The governingcentre-rightCroatian Democratic Union emerged as the relative winner of the election, but failed to obtain an outright majority. The oppositioncentre-leftSocial Democratic Party of Croatia achieved their best result ever as a party, but were unsuccessful in their attempt to become the strongest single party. The election resulted in the formation of theSanader II cabinet supported byHDZ,HSS,HSLS and the representatives ofnational minorities.

Participating parties

[edit]

Croatian political parties and independent lists had to formally submit their candidates and eventual pre-election coalitions not later than 30 October. 3585 people from political parties or independent lists applied for the elections (22 people per seat). There were 235 political party lists, 16 independent lists and 72 candidates for minority seats. 29.93% of the candidates were women. The average age of the candidates was 43.41 years old; 44.70 for men, and 40.40 for women. The oldest candidate was 89, and the youngest 18. The State Electoral Committee had to confirm the lists before midnight of 2 November.[6][7]

Parliamentary parties and coalitions

[edit]

Parliamentary parties are with boldedacronyms.

[8]

Non-parliamentary parties

[edit]

[8]

Non-parliamentary coalitions

[edit]

Independent Lists

[edit]

Distribution of minority seats

[edit]

Announced boycotts

[edit]

Election spending

[edit]

On 11 December 2007GONG andTransparency International Croatia had published media spending of all Croatian political parties during the election period. This numbers are[3]:

Electoral districts

[edit]
The 10 districts, with the two non-geographical ones

Since 1999 Croatia has been divided into 10 geographically-based electorates with around 250 000 - 300 000 registered voters. Each electorate elects up to 14 MPs chosen by thestandard D'Hondt formula.[2]

In the 11th electorate, up to 12 members are chosen byproportional representation - depending on a number of voters in Croatia - to represent Croatian citizens residing abroad (known as thediaspora electorate) and 8 members from ethnic/national minorities.

In Croatia, the official threshold is 5% for parties and coalitions. However, since the country is divided in 10 voting districts with 14 elected representatives each, sometimes the threshold can be higher, depending on the number of "fallen lists" (lists that don't get at least 5%). If many votes are lost in this manner, a list that gets barely more than 5% will still get a seat, whereas if there is a small number of parties that all pass the threshold, the actual ("natural") threshold is close to 7.15%.

This system is greatly favorable to regional parties, i.e. parties that gain their votes in a single electorate (see IDS, HDSSB), and it is disfavorable to parties that have greater numbers but are widespread throughout the nation (see HSU and HSP).

This made also the forming of post-electoral coalitions somewhat unpredictable, as the overall success of one of the greatest parties can effectively turn out to be counterproductive if it is achieved at the expense of their foreseeable partner, causing them to not pass the threshold in some or all electorates (it happened to the HDZ-led coalition in previous2003 election).[citation needed]

Opinion polls

[edit]
DatePolling Organisation/ClientSample sizeHDZSDPHNS-LDHSSHSPHSLSHSUOtherUndecidedLead
11/2007Puls1,30032.5%33.4%5.9%6.6%3.8%(HSS-HSLS)4.8%0.9%
11/2007Media Metar1,30033.9%36.2%6.8%5.4%5.2%(HSS-HSLS)5.7%2.3%
11/2007CRO Demoskop1,30028.5%31.2%5.2%5.5%4.6%(HSS-HSLS)6.2%2.7%
10/2007Puls1,30028.7%30.9%5.1%5.6%5.0%(HSS-HSLS)5.9%2.2%
10/2007CRO Demoskop1,30026.4%30.1%5.8%7.3%6.4%(HSS-HSLS)6.0%3.7%
9/2007Puls1,30026.5%31.6%5.3%5.9%6.9%(HSS-HSLS)6.5%5.1%
9/2007CRO Demoskop1,30025.6%29.2%5.6%7.8%6.8%(HSS-HSLS)5.6%3.6%
8/2007Puls1,30024%29%5%9%8%(HSS-HSLS)8%5.0%
7/2007Puls1,30025.5%30.1%5.8%6.8%7.6%(HSS-HSLS)6.4%4.6%
6/2007Puls1,30023.2%30.0%6.3%5.1%9.0%(HSS-HSLS)6.9%6.8%
5/2007Puls1,30024.5%28.7%8.5%6.4%7.3%(HSS-HSLS)6.5%4.2%
4/2007Puls1,30023.1%20.4%9.1%10.4%8.5%(HSS-HSLS)7.6%2.7%
3/2007Puls1,30022.8%18.8%10.4%7.7%6.6%3.8%7.6%4.0%
2/2007Puls1,30023.4%19.5%9%9.6%8.8%4.2%6.3%3.9%
12/2006Puls1,30021%16%9%10%8%5%6%5.0%
12/2006CRO Demoskop1,30023.9%24.3%8.6%6.4%8.2%3.5%5.2%13.7%0.4%
10/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.1%25.7%8.6%5.9%8.0%4.5%5.1%10.4%0.4%
9/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.4%25.5%7.9%5.8%8.1%4.1%5.0%11.3%0.9%
8/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.3%25.2%8.1%5.7%8.1%4.0%5.1%11.1%1.1%
7/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.2%25.3%8.1%5.2%8.2%3.9%4.8%12.4%0.9%
6/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.2%26.1%7.6%5.4%8.2%3.9%5.1%11.7%0.1%
5/2006CRO Demoskop1,30025.0%26.7%6.9%5.4%8.0%3.7%4.8%13.4%1.7%
4/2006CRO Demoskop1,30025.2%27.5%7.3%4.3%8.0%3.5%4.1%13.5%2.3%
3/2006CRO Demoskop1,30025.8%26.5%6.7%5.6%8.5%4.6%5.1%12.5%0.7%
2/2006CRO Demoskop1,30026.4%25.5%7.4%5.7%9.3%4.6%3.9%11.8%0.9%
1/2006CRO Demoskop1,30024.1%26.3%7.2%5.4%10.4%3.5%4.0%14.2%2.2%
12/2005Puls1,00019.4%22.2%5.7%9.7%14.2%4.5%7.9%2.8%
12/2005CRO Demoskop1,30021.6%26.9%6.6%5.2%12.2%2.9%4.1%14.1%5.3%
11/2005CRO Demoskop1,30024.9%26.8%7%4.7%11%2.6%3.7%13.4%1.9%
10/2005CRO Demoskop1,30025.5%25.1%7.3%5.1%11.7%2%3.7%12.1%0.4%
9/2005Mediana fides1,00626.9%34.1%--12.7%--7.2%
9/2005Puls20.0%22.0%7.0%8.0%13.0%4.0%10.0%2.0%
9/2005CRO Demoskop1,30024.4%25.6%8.1%4.7%11.6%2.2%3.6%12.1%1.2%
8/2005CRO Demoskop1,30024.8%25.4%8%5.1%10.9%2.8%3.1%12.2%0.6%
7/2005CRO Demoskop1,30025.4%25.3%7.3%5.2%10.8%2.4%3.2%11.8%0.1%
6/2005CRO Demoskop1,30025.3%24.8%6.8%6.5%10.8%2.1%3.6%13%0.5%
5/2005CRO Demoskop1,30025.3%25%7.3%6.2%10.8%2.5%3.5%10.7%0.3%
4/2005Mediana-13.8%19.8%3.4%2.5%7%--6.0%
4/2005CRO Demoskop1,30026.2%26%8.2%5.6%9.3%2.4%2.1%13.7%0.2%
3/2005CRO Demoskop1,30027.1%26.8%8.7%4.9%9.7%2.1%2.1%13.4%0.3%
2/2005Večernji list1,30024.6%26.7%9.8%-8.3%--3.1%
2/2005CRO Demoskop1,30027.7%27.4%9.9%5.6%8%2.4%1.5%12.2%0.3%
1/2005CRO Demoskop1,30027.1%25.8%9.3%6.6%8.1%3%1.2%14.4%1.3%
12/2004CRO Demoskop1,30027.4%25%10.3%4,8%7.1%4.2%1.2%14.1%2.4%
11/2004Večernji list1,30022.8%22.4%-----0.4%
11/2004CRO Demoskop1,30028.2%24.2%9.6%5.1%8.2%2.8%2%13,9%4.0%
10/2004Večernji list1,30027.0%18.9%-----7.1%
7/2004Promocija plus1,30033.3%23.2%10.5%4.2%3.0%7.32.1%10.1%
6/2004Promocija plus1,30031.8%22.8%-----9.0%
3/2004Promocija plus1,30032.9%21.6%8.5%3.3%6.5%1.5%3.8%11.3%
2/2004Promocija plus1,30031.9%18.9%10.5%4.2%4.4%-4.4%13.0%
23 Nov2003 parliamentary election2,478,96733.9%22.6%8.0%7.2%6.4%4.0%4.0%N/A11.3%

Results

[edit]
Results bymunicipality
  HDZ
  SDP
  HNS–LD
  HSSHSLSPGSZDSZS
  IDS
  SDSS
  HDSSB
  HSP
Croatian Democratic Union result
Social Democratic Party result
HSSHSLS result
Croatian People's Party result

Most opinion polls in the days before the election predicted a very tight race between the governingCroatian Democratic Union and the oppositionSocial Democratic Party of Croatia. On the night of the election, after all the polls around the country closed, all major television networks released the results of the exit polls. All of them showed the social democrats with a slight lead.[11] None of the exit polls, however, took into account the votes coming from the citizens living abroad, which tend to vote for the more conservative option. The first official results published at 9 p.m. showed HDZ with a slight lead.[12]Ivo Sanader gave a victory speech close to midnight saying he will be forming the nextgovernment. Despite the election loss, SDP individually as a party achieved its best result ever, even better than the2000 election result when SDP led a victorious coalition. Most smaller parties lost seats, theCroatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats lost 4 seats from the2003 election,the Croatian Peasant Party also lost 4 seats and the far-rightCroatian Party of Rights suffered its worst election results since the 1990s losing 7 seats and winning only 1.[citation needed]

National minorities elected 8 representatives through a separate election system: Milorad Pupovac (25,3% of votes), Vojislav Stanimirović (21,5%) and Ratko Gajica (15,8%) for theSerb national minority, Deneš Šoja (47,8%) for theHungarian minority, Furio Radin (88,8%) for theItalian minority, Zdenka Čuhnil (26%) for theCzech andSlovak minorities, Nazif Memedi (12,8%) for theAustrian,Bulgarian,German,Jewish,Polish,Roma,Romanian,Rusyn,Russian,Turkish,Ukrainian,Vlach minorities and Šemso Tanković (30,9%) for theAlbanian,Bosniak,Macedonian,Montenegrin andSlovene minorities.

PartyVotes%Seats
Croatian Democratic Union907,74336.6266
Social Democratic Party776,69031.3356
Croatian People's Party – Liberal Democrats168,4406.797
HSSHSLSZSZDSPGS161,8146.538
HSU–DSU101,0914.081
Croatian Party of Rights86,8653.501
Croatian Democratic Alliance of Slavonia and Baranja44,5521.803
Istrian Democratic Assembly38,2671.543
Democratic Centre–Greens21,9290.880
SU–ISDNS21,8820.880
Croatian Youth Party16,2470.660
Only Croatia – Movement for Croatia15,9020.640
Women's Democratic Party–Greens of Croatia10,0990.410
LJEVICASRPHSDISDF9,8550.400
Independent Democratic Serb Party9,1150.370
Croatian Pure Party of Rights8,9430.360
Authentic Croatian Peasant Party7,8470.320
ASH–JSD–DSŽ–ZS–HRS7,3540.300
Green List5,9720.240
Youth Action5,0960.210
HKDS–KSU3,3700.140
Alphabet of Democracy2,9050.120
Croatian Rights–Croatian Rights Movement2,6970.110
PGSSBHS–MDS–DLS1,8960.080
Economic Party1,7840.070
Democratic Party of the Slavonian Plain1,6260.070
Croatian Christian Democratic Union1,5750.060
Croatian Democratic Peasant Party1,5530.060
Croatian Party of the Unemployed1,1320.050
Croatian Christian Democratic Party1,1040.040
Croatian European Party7670.030
Croatian Assembly5880.020
Green Alternative–Consumer Party5050.020
Croatian Demochristians4170.020
Homeland Civic Party3900.020
My Little Međimurje3460.010
Rule of Law Alliance2940.010
Croatian Veterans' Party2860.010
Independents30,1061.210
National minorities8
Total2,479,044100.00153
Valid votes2,479,04498.54
Invalid/blank votes36,6271.46
Total votes2,515,671100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,229,68159.48
Source: State Election Committee[13]

Turnout

[edit]
Election turnout for each electoral district
DistrictIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXXXITotal
Total voters361,236399,648366,005335,091372,163356,575403,812385,594426,199416,017404,9504,227,290
Votes cast243,980254,571249,111211,839216,335224,986264,795240,250259,018264,19390,4822,519,560
Valid votes243,480254,269249,041211,426215,937224,554264,232239,987258,593263,37290,4022,515,293
Turnout67.4%63.6%68.0%63.1%58.0%63.0%65.4%62.2%60.7%63.3%22.3%59.5%
Source:[citation needed]

By electoral district

[edit]
DistrictIIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIIIIXX
HDZ31.03%31.83%23.85%31.20%42.75%34.23%35.14%21.16%52.09%44.54%
SDP42.07%33.33%30.79%26.80%26.69%36.08%36.90%40.99%22.63%28.27%
HNS6.43%4.47%25.34%4.64%4.31%5.42%5.52%5.21%3.79%4.83%
HSSHSLS4.38%16.53%9.95%4.04%5.54%8.27%6.49%2.93%3.29%5.71%
HSU4.87%4.29%3.53%4.89%3.71%4.44%4.53%5.85%3.38%3.03%
HSP2.40%2.93%1.67%7.98%5.19%3.44%3.25%1.81%3.43%3.49%
HDSSB15.23%6.00%
IDS16.18%
Source:[citation needed]

Government formation

[edit]
See also:Sixth assembly of the Croatian Parliament

On night of the elections, after first seat projections were announced, the president of theCroatian Democratic Union announced that he spoke with thePresident of the Republic and that he will be forming the government.[14] A few minutes after him, the president of theSocial Democratic Party informed the public that he too spoke with president and that he too was commencing the formation of the government.[14]

PresidentMesić explained that his constitutional obligation was to give a mandate to form a government to a person who presents him with convincing proof that they have support of a majority of the newly elected parliament.[15] As the president failed to announce that he will give the mandate toIvo Sanader, leader of the party with the most seats in the parliament, he was criticised by many[16][17][18] for complicating the situation and starting a politicalcrisis. President Mesić responded that he was following article 97 of theConstitution of Croatia.[16]

HDZ, together withHSU[19] and Roma national minority member Nazif Memedi[20] had 68 of 77 seats required for a majority whileSDP,HNS,IDS[21] andSDA[22] together had 67 seats. Therefore, theHSS-HSLS coalition which had 8 seats was instrumental in forming a government.[23] Before the elections, leaders of the coalition stated that they will first speak with the party which wins the most seats (not countingdiaspora seats).[23] As this turned out to be HDZ, negotiations between HDZ and HSS-HSLS of a coalition started on 3 December.[24]

Although HSS-HSLS started negotiating with HDZ, the president of SDP Milanović refused to give up and still claimed that SDP was also in a process of forming of a government because SDP, HNS, IDS and SDA won 150 thousand votes more than HDZ (not counting diaspora).[25]HDSSB had declared support for SDP[26] if SDP-formed government will work "in the interest ofSlavonia andBaranja",[27] but Milanović stated that he firmly believed that SDP will form the government even without support from HDSSB. Although up until 25 NovemberLjubo Jurčić still claimed that he was SDP's candidate for premier,[28] on 30 November Milanović announced that he was assuming responsibility for forming SDP-led government. Jurčić confirmed that he thinks that "responsibility for functioning of the government should be distributed among heads of parties and that is the best concept in this circumstances".[29] Heads of HSS-HSLS coalitionAdlešič andFriščić declared this decision to be "very important and could influence their decision about who they will support". Adlešić added that Milanović is "much better premier candidate than Jurčić and that SDP would probably have better election results if Milanović made this decision earlier".[30]

On 12 December it was announced that coalition talks between HDZ and the HSS-HSLS were close to completion and the odds of HSS-HSLS entering into discussions with SDP were announced byBožidar Pankretić as very low.[31] Three days later, President Mesić held a second round of consultations with parliamentary parties and was reassured that HDZ and HSS-HSLS are finishing their negotiations. Mesić considered that a proof that Sanader had support of the majority of Sabor and handed him a mandate to form a government.[32] Following that announcement, Milanović again reiterated that SDP still hasn't given up on forming a government. Sanader described this behaviour as "not fitting the democratic standards" and that president would have much easier job if SDP just acknowledged their defeat.[32]

The first session of the newly elected parliament was called for 11 January 2008,[33] and on 12 January, the parliament approvedSanader's cabinet.[34]

Government Opposition
                                                    
                                                    
                                                 
  Minorities

Notes

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^(in Croatian)President announces electionsArchived 18 June 2007 atarchive.today
  2. ^ab(in Croatian)Law defining electorates
  3. ^(in Croatian)Središnji državni ured za upravu: Pravo glasa na parlamentarnim izborima ostvaruje 4 478 386 biračaArchived 21 July 2011 at theWayback Machine
  4. ^(in Croatian)Večernji list: Četiri milijuna građana na izborimaArchived 27 November 2007 at theWayback Machine
  5. ^"javno.com: "Official Electoral Results on Dec 11 At Earliest"". Archived fromthe original on 2 February 2008. Retrieved27 November 2007.
  6. ^(in Croatian)News about electoral lists on Net.hr
  7. ^(in Croatian)Announcement regarding electoral listsArchived 27 November 2007 at theWayback Machine
  8. ^ab"IZBORI 2007". Archived fromthe original on 2 May 2012. Retrieved2 November 2007.
  9. ^(in Croatian)hina.hr on Hitrec's listArchived 2011-07-21 at theWayback Machine
  10. ^Following parliamentary elections 25 November 2007 in the Croatia will be unconstitutional not free and undemocratically
  11. ^(in Croatian)Izlazne ankete: SDP u blagoj prednosti pred HDZ-om
  12. ^(in Croatian)HDZ pobijedio
  13. ^"Službeni rezultati izbora za zastupnike u hrvatski Sabor" [Official results of elections of representatives to the Croatian Parliament](PDF) (in Croatian). State Election Committee. 22 December 2007. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 5 October 2011. Retrieved8 November 2011.
  14. ^ab(in Croatian)Sanader i Milanović 'pobjednici', Mesić odlučujeArchived 10 June 2011 at theWayback Machine
  15. ^(in Croatian)iskon.hr: 'Mandat onome s dokazom o većini u Saboru'Archived 14 September 2012 atarchive.today
  16. ^ab(in Croatian)Mesić: Na mene se vrše pritisci
  17. ^(in Croatian)net.hr: I dalje se ne zna ni tko, ni kada
  18. ^(in Croatian)net.hr: Zašto Mesić gubi neutralnost?
  19. ^(in Croatian)[1]Archived 2 February 2008 at theWayback Machine
  20. ^(in Croatian)[2]Archived 2 February 2008 at theWayback Machine
  21. ^(in Croatian)Election discussions with Croatia presidentArchived 13 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  22. ^(in Croatian)SDA has signed deal with SDPArchived 2 February 2008 at theWayback Machine
  23. ^ab(in Croatian)Koaliciji HSS-HSLS obećana tri ministarstva?Archived 10 June 2011 at theWayback Machine
  24. ^(in Croatian)tportal.hr: 'Bilo bi lakše da smo išli na podjelu fotelja'Archived 10 June 2011 at theWayback Machine
  25. ^(in Croatian)dnevnik.hr: Milanović i Pusić: Imamo zastupnika više od HDZ-aArchived 14 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  26. ^(in Croatian)HDSSB is willing to support SDP
  27. ^(in Croatian)dnevnik.hr: Šišljagić: Priklonit ćemo se onima koji zajamče razvoj Slavonije i BaranjeArchived 14 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  28. ^(in Croatian)dnevnik.hr: Jurčić: 'Ja sam budući hrvatski premijer'Archived 17 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  29. ^(in Croatian)dnevnik.hr: SDP maknuo Jurčića da privuče HSS-HSLS?Archived 14 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  30. ^(in Croatian)dnevnik.hr: Adlešič: Promjena Milanović-Jurčić može utjecati na našu odlukuArchived 14 December 2007 at theWayback Machine
  31. ^"HSS-HSLS to SDP: Last hope is dying". Archived fromthe original on 13 December 2007. Retrieved12 December 2007.
  32. ^ab(in Croatian)net.hr: Sanader sastavlja Vladu
  33. ^BalkanInsight.com - Croatia's New Parliament Convened
  34. ^Croatian parliament approves PM Sanader's cabinet - Boston.com

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