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2006 United States Senate election in New York

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2006 United States Senate election in New York

← 2000
November 7, 2006
Turnout38.48%
 
NomineeHillary ClintonJohn Spencer
PartyDemocraticRepublican
AllianceConservative
Popular vote3,008,4281,392,189
Percentage67.00%31.01%

County results
Clinton:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Spencer:     40–50%     50–60%

U.S. senator before election

Hillary Clinton
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Hillary Clinton
Democratic

The2006 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 7, 2006. IncumbentDemocratic U.S. SenatorHillary Clinton won re-election to a second term in office, by a more than two-to-one margin. Clinton was challenged byRepublicanJohn Spencer, the formermayor of Yonkers. Longtime political activistHowie Hawkins of theGreen Party also ran a third-party campaign.

The election was not close, with Clinton winning 58 ofNew York's 62 counties. Clinton had a surprisingly strong performance in upstate New York, which was considered to be a tossup. Clinton's large margins in both upstate New York and inNew York City helped propel her to a landslide victory over Spencer. Clinton was sworn in for what would be her last term in the Senate serving from January 3, 2007, to January 21, 2009, when she assumed the office ofUnited States Secretary of State in theObama administration.

Democratic nomination

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Candidates

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Withdrew

[edit]
  • Mark Greenstein, businessman(endorsed Tasini)

Campaign

[edit]

Hillary Clinton announced in November 2004 that she would seek a second term in the Senate, and began fundraising and campaigning. Clinton faced opposition for the Democratic party nomination from the anti-war base of her own party, that had become increasingly frustrated with her support for theIraq War.

On October 12, 2005New Paltz firefighter and activist Steven Greenfield, a formerGreen Party leader, announced he would run as a Democrat. On December 6, 2005, labor advocateJonathan Tasini announced that he would run as well,[1] running as an antiwar candidate, calling for immediate withdrawal of troops from Iraq,universal health care, expansion inMedicare benefits, the creation of Universal Voluntary Accounts for pensions, and what he termed "New Rules For the Economy", a more labor-centric as opposed to the corporate-centric approach to economic matters espoused by Clinton. Tasini was president of Economic Future Group and former president of the National Writers Union.[2] Tasini was supported by anti-war activistCindy Sheehan, who had in October said of Clinton, "I will resist her candidacy with every bit of my power and strength...I will not make the mistake of supporting another pro-war Democrat for president again."[3]

On March 31, 2006, businessman Mark Greenstein announced his run for the seat. Greenstein, endorsed by the New Democrats,[4] presented himself as a non-liberal Democrat who was campaigning to "bring the far left back to reality that Big Government is the source of most ongoing problems Democrat constituents face." He contended that Clinton was "too liberal" in her support for regulations, "too wishy-washy" on the Iraq war and on gay rights, and had lost integrity by using the Dubai Ports issue for political purposes. Greenstein challenged Clinton to sign a pledge that she would serve out her full 6 year Senate term if re-elected.[5] However, in May 2006, Greenstein endorsed Tasini and essentially dropped out of the race.[6]

On June 1, 2006, Clinton accepted the unanimous endorsement of the New York State Democratic Party's convention inBuffalo.[7] Eight days later, Greenstein dropped out of the race.[8] Tasini pressed on, submitting 40,000 signatures to the State Election Commission on July 14, far more than the 15,000 needed to force a primary. Clinton's campaign said that she would not challenge the signatures.

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Clinton
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80-90%
Democratic primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticHillary Clinton (incumbent)640,95583.68%
DemocraticJonathan B. Tasini124,99916.32%
Total votes765,954100.00%

Republican nomination

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Candidates

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Withdrew

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

New York Republicans originally had high hopes of mounting a serious challenge to Clinton, and derailing her expected future presidential bid.[9] However, Clinton was politically strong in the state and no major Republican entered the race, with GovernorGeorge Pataki andearly 2000 senate opponentRudy Giuliani both declining to run.[9] The two most prominent Republicans contemplating a challenge to Clinton werelawyerEd Cox (the son-in-law of former PresidentRichard M. Nixon) andWestchester CountyDistrict AttorneyJeanine Pirro.

Pirro was considered the front-runner, but her campaign had immediate difficulties. During her August 10, 2005 live televised candidacy announcement in New York City, she paused for more than thirty seconds looking for a missing part of her speech, then asked, on the air, "Do I have page 10?"[9][10] Democrats re-aired the sequence as part of aJeopardy! theme parody.[9] TheConservative Party of New York was also reluctant to embrace Pirro.[10] On August 18, 2005, another Republican candidate, former mayor ofYonkersJohn Spencer, gave a radio interview in which he attacked Pirro, calling her chances of winning theConservative Party of New York State nomination "a Chinaman's chance." Spencer later apologized.[11]

On October 14, 2005, Governor Pataki endorsed Pirro. Later that day, Cox withdrew from the race; his campaign had raised only $114,249 in contributions in the prior three months.[12]On October 18, 2005, remarks by Pirro that appeared to suggest that Democrats were indifferent to child molesters and murderers drew sharp criticism from the Clinton campaign and others.[13]

Pirro trailed Clinton badly in fund-raising and in polls; her campaign had failed to gain traction.[10] Under pressure from state party officials, she dropped out of the race on December 21, 2005, to run forNew York State Attorney General instead, leaving the Republicans without a well-known candidate.[10][14] The announcement was timed to coincide with the2005 New York City transit strike, so as to draw minimal attention to the Republicans' difficulties.[10] Pirro did not mention her campaign woes, but instead said, "I have concluded that my head and my heart remain in law enforcement, and that my public service should continue to be in that arena."[10]

Declared Republican candidates now included Spencer andK. T. McFarland, who was a Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Public Affairs under PresidentRonald Reagan.[15] Cox considered reentering the race but did not. Politically, Spencer was generally opposed to abortion, against gun control, and a supporter of tighter border security.[16] He supported theGeorge W. Bush administration and its policies, including thewar in Iraq. Spencer came out in favor of New York's Court of Appeals denying same-sex marriage to 42 gay and lesbian couples who challenged that denial as unconstitutional. Spencer said that marriage equality for same-sex couples equated to "special rights for gays." Spencer was endorsed by Republican officials such as CongressmanVito Fossella. In contrast, McFarland waspro-choice.[9] However, McFarland ran into trouble with a March comment that appeared to allege that the Clinton campaign had been flying helicopters low over herSouthampton, New York house and spying on her; she later said she had been joking, but the episode upset her.[9] In May, McFarland's campaign managerEd Rollins made personal life charges against Spencer, to which the latter responded, "Shame on you."[9]

On May 31, 2006, Spencer won the endorsement of the state Republican Party organization but did not achieve the threshold of 75 percent he needed to prevent McFarland from gaining an automatic position on the primary ballot. He received 63 percent and would thus have to face McFarland in the September 12 Republican primary. Spencer called on McFarland to step aside after the vote, but McFarland said she would not.[17] In a June 2006 radio ad, Spencer attacked national Republicans for not funding his campaign. On August 22, McFarland announced that she would be suspending her campaign until further notice after her daughter was caught shoplifting.[18]

Results

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On September 12, 2006, Spencer defeated McFarland in the Republican Primary, winning 61 to 39 percent of the vote.[19] Republican turnout was less than 6%, the lowest level in more than 30 years.[19] Spencer would also gain the Conservative Party line.[20]

Results

[edit]
New York Republican Senate primary results 2006
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJohn Spencer114,91460.79%
RepublicanK.T. McFarland74,10839.21%
Total votes189,022100.00%

General election

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Candidates

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Lester "Beetlejuice" Green, a frequent guest onThe Howard Stern Show announced a mock campaign via video for the "2008 New York Senate Election," though there was no Senate election in New York in 2008. His announcement video listed his stances onabortion and tax cuts. Green was not listed on any ballot.

Campaign

[edit]

Clinton spent $36 million for her re-election, more than any other candidate for Senate in the 2006 elections.Polls during the campaign generally showed Clinton with a 20-point lead or better over Spencer, with none of the third-party candidates — Hawkins,Bill Van Auken of theSocialist Equality Party, and Jeff Russell of theLibertarian Party — showing strength.

During the campaign, Spencer also disparaged Clinton's looks,[22] saying "You ever see a picture of her back then? Whew." and "I don't know why Bill married her." The Daily News also reported that Spencer said Clinton had undergone "millions of dollars of work -- plastic surgery" to help improve her appearance. "She looks good now," Smith quoted Spencer as saying.

Howard Wolfson, a Clinton political adviser, said the story showed that Spencer "is unfit for the U.S. Senate." "I'm not sure what's worse: that Mr. Spencer made these insulting comments or that, instead of owning up and apologizing for them, he is lying about them," Wolfson said in a written statement to CNN. "Either way, it's clear that he is unfit for the U.S. Senate." Wolfson also denied that the senator has ever had plastic surgery.

On November 7, 2006, Clinton won in a landslide, garnering 67% of the vote to Spencer's 31%.

Debate

[edit]
2006 United States Senate election in New York debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P Participant  A Absent  N Not invited  I Invited W  Withdrawn
Hillary ClintonJohn Spencer
1Oct. 20, 2006NY1Dominic CarterC-SPANPP
1Oct. 22, 2006WABC-TVBill RitterC-SPANPP

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[23]Solid DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[25]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[26]Safe DNovember 6, 2006

Polling

[edit]
SourceDateClinton (D)Spencer (R)
Marist College[27]September 30, 200562%31%
Strategic Vision (R)[28]October 27, 200566%19%
Strategic Vision (R)[29]December 8, 200567%20%
Quinnipiac[30]January 20, 200660%30%
Siena Research Institute[31]January 30, 200658%31%
Marist College[32]January 30, 200662%33%
Strategic Vision (R)[33]March 2, 200663%24%
Quinnipiac[34]March 30, 200660%30%
Zogby International[35]April 4, 200654%33%
Strategic Vision (R)[36]April 28, 200658%24%
Siena Research Institute[37]May 4, 200658%33%
Marist College[38]May 10, 200663%33%
Quinnipiac[39]May 18, 200663%27%
Field Research Corporation[40]June 5, 200659%28%
Siena Research Institute[41]June 19, 200658%32%
Quinnipiac[42]June 22, 200657%33%
Marist College[43]July 19, 200661%34%
Rasmussen[44]August 5, 200661%31%
Siena Research Institute[45]August 7, 200658%32%
Quinnipiac[46]August 21, 200662%26%
Marist College[47]August 23, 200660%35%
Blue & Weprin[48]September 7, 200660%33%
Marist College[49]September 8, 200662%32%
Siena Research Institute[50]September 18, 200662%33%
New York Times/CBS News[51]September 24–27, 200659%27%
Quinnipiac[52]October 5, 200666%31%
Zogby[53]October 9, 200653%28%
Siena Research Institute[54]October 16, 200659%32%
Quinnipiac[55]October 19, 200665%30%
Marist College[56]October 20, 200667%30%
Siena Research Institute[57]November 3, 200665%28%
Marist College[58]November 3, 200665%32%

Results

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Source:New York State Board of Elections General Election Results, Certified December 14, 2006
2006 United States Senate election, New York[59]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticHillary Clinton2,698,93160.11%
IndependenceHillary Clinton160,7053.58%
Working FamiliesHillary Clinton148,7923.31%
totalHillary Clinton (incumbent)3,008,42867.00%+11.73%
RepublicanJohn Spencer1,212,90227.01%
ConservativeJohn Spencer179,2873.99%
totalJohn Spencer1,392,18931.01%−12.00%
GreenHowie Hawkins55,4691.24%+0.64%
LibertarianJeff Russell20,9960.47%+0.40%
Socialist WorkersRoger Calero6,9670.16%+0.12%
Socialist EqualityBill Van Auken6,0040.13%n/a
Majority1,616,23936.00%+23.74%
Turnout4,490,05338.48%
DemocraticholdSwing+11.9
Percentages do not add to 100% due to rounding.
Per New York State law, Clinton and Spencer totals include their minor party line votes:Independence Party andWorking Families Party for Clinton,Conservative Party for Spencer.
In addition, 213,777 ballots were blank, void, or scattered, and are not included in the Turnout sum or percentages.

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Analysis

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Election results by county.

Clinton's victory margin over her Republican opponent (67%–31%) was a significant gain over her showing in the 2000 senate race againstRick Lazio (55%–43%). She carried all but four of New York's sixty-two counties.[60] Clinton's 2006 margin did not quite equal the percentage received byEliot Spitzer in the concurrent gubernatorial race (69%%–29%) nor byCharles Schumer in his 2004 Senate re-election campaign (71%%–24%), both of which had also been against little-known Republican opponents.

Jeanine Pirro would go on to get the Republican nomination forNew York State Attorney General, but lost in the2006 attorney general election to DemocratAndrew Cuomo.[61]

Clinton was criticized by some Democrats for spending too much in a one-sided contest, while some supporters were concerned she did not leave more funds for a potential presidential bid in 2008.[62] In the following months she transferred $10 million of her Senate funds towardher 2008 presidential campaign.[63]

Following her Attorney General loss, Pirro left electoral politics and became a television judge and political commentator. Spencer left politics altogether. Tasaniran for a House seat in 2010 but was not competitive. Clinton fell short in her 2008 presidential nomination bid, served asU.S. Secretary of State for four years, and then ran again in the2016 United States presidential election but suffered a general election loss.

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Tasini Launches Bid To Defeat Clinton - December 7, 2005 - The New York Sun". Nysun.com. December 7, 2005. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  2. ^Jonathan Tasini for New York Primary campaign site.
  3. ^"Opinion". Madison.com. Archived fromthe original on September 19, 2008. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  4. ^"家具の運送は引っ越し業者にお任せ". Newdems2008.org. Archived fromthe original on October 22, 2016. RetrievedJuly 18, 2016.
  5. ^[1]Archived September 28, 2007, at theWayback Machine
  6. ^"Attorney general contender says to give peace candidate a chance". Thevillager.com. Archived fromthe original on June 12, 2011. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  7. ^"Regional & NY State News on". Newsday.com. December 1, 2010. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  8. ^PaulKB (June 9, 2006)."Senate Race Dropout - Capitol Confidential". Blogs.timesunion.com. Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2007. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  9. ^abcdefgMurray, Mark (September 5, 2006)."GOP unable to stop Hillary in 2006".NBC News. Archived fromthe original on January 12, 2016.
  10. ^abcdefRaymond Hernandez and Patrick J. Healy (December 22, 2005)."Pirro Quits Senate Race to Run for Attorney General".The New York Times. RetrievedNovember 11, 2008.
  11. ^[2][dead link]
  12. ^[3]Archived December 18, 2005, at theWayback Machine
  13. ^Hernandez, Raymond (October 20, 2005)."Pirro's Jab at the Assembly Infuriates State Democrats".The New York Times. RetrievedMay 27, 2010.
  14. ^Hirschkorn, Phil (December 21, 2005)."Sen. Clinton's GOP challenger quits race". CNN. RetrievedAugust 22, 2006.
  15. ^"Online Guide to New York Politics". Politics1. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  16. ^Issues - Spencer for Senate. Retrieved April 17, 2006.
  17. ^Horrigan, Marie (May 31, 2006)."NY Senate: Spencer Wins GOP Nod, But Still Faces Primary".Congressional Quarterly. Archived fromthe original on August 29, 2006.
  18. ^"KT McFarland Suspends Senate Campaign After Daughter's Arrest".NY1. August 22, 2006. Archived fromthe original on October 8, 2007.
  19. ^ab"GOP Primary Turnout Was Lowest In More Than 30 Years".Newsday. September 17, 2006.
  20. ^abc"Sample Ballot of Voting Machine, General Election, November 7, 2006"(PDF). New York State Board of Elections. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on October 30, 2008.
  21. ^"Socialist Equality Party announces candidates in New York, Michigan and California". Wsws.org. March 21, 2006. RetrievedDecember 14, 2010.
  22. ^"Opponent denies knocking Sen. Clinton's looks".CNN. October 23, 2006. Archived fromthe original on March 21, 2007. RetrievedDecember 25, 2025.
  23. ^"2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 5, 2008. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2021.
  24. ^"Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  25. ^"2006 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  26. ^"Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  27. ^Marist College
  28. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  29. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  30. ^Quinnipiac
  31. ^Siena Research Institute
  32. ^Marist College
  33. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  34. ^Quinnipiac
  35. ^Zogby International
  36. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  37. ^Siena Research Institute
  38. ^Marist College
  39. ^Quinnipiac
  40. ^Field Research Corporation
  41. ^Siena Research Institute
  42. ^Quinnipiac
  43. ^Marist College
  44. ^Rasmussen
  45. ^Siena Research Institute
  46. ^Quinnipiac
  47. ^Marist College
  48. ^Blue & Weprin
  49. ^Marist College
  50. ^Siena Research Institute
  51. ^New York Times/CBS News
  52. ^Quinnipiac
  53. ^Zogby
  54. ^Siena Research Institute
  55. ^Quinnipiac
  56. ^Marist College
  57. ^Siena Research Institute
  58. ^Marist College
  59. ^untitled
  60. ^"Is America Ready?".Newsweek. December 25, 2006. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2007.
  61. ^New York State Board of Elections: Attorney GeneralArchived November 5, 2013, at theWayback Machine
  62. ^Kornblut, Anne E.; Zeleny, Jeff (November 21, 2006). "Clinton Won Easily, but Bankroll Shows the Toll".The New York Times. page A1.
  63. ^"Record millions roll in for Clinton White House bid". CNN. April 1, 2007. RetrievedApril 2, 2007.

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