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2006 United States Senate election in Florida

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2006 United States Senate election in Florida

← 2000
November 7, 2006
2012 →
 
NomineeBill NelsonKatherine Harris
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote2,890,5481,826,127
Percentage60.30%38.10%

County results
Nelson:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Harris:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Bill Nelson
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Bill Nelson
Democratic

Elections in Florida
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The2006 United States Senate election in Florida was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorBill Nelson won re-election to a second term.

Background

[edit]

During theTerri Schiavo case in March 2005, atalking points memo on the controversy was written byBrian Darling, the legal counsel toRepublican SenatorMel Martínez ofFlorida.[1] The memo suggested the Schiavo case offered "a great political issue" that would appeal to the party'sbase (core supporters) and could be used against SenatorBill Nelson, aDemocrat fromFlorida who was up for reelection in 2006, because he had refused to co-sponsor the bill which came to be known as thePalm Sunday Compromise.[2] Bill Nelson was nevertheless reelected as Senator on November 7, 2006, with 60% of the vote.

Florida was one of five Democratic-held Senate seats up for election in a state thatGeorge W. Bush won in the2004 presidential election.

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]

Polling

[edit]
Poll SourceDateLeRoy
Collins Jr.
Katherine
Harris
Will
McBride
Peter
Monroe
Strategic Vision[9]July 26, 20069%45%22%7%
Mason-Dixon[10]July 26, 20068%36%11%2%
Quinnipiac[11]July 27, 20066%40%21%3%
Scroth Eldon & Associates[12]August 11, 20069%28%11%5%
SurveyUSA[13]August 24, 200620%43%15%7%
Strategic Vision[14]August 30, 200619%38%21%5%
Quinnipiac[15]August 31, 200611%38%22%3%
SurveyUSA[16]August 31, 200612%45%22%5%
Mason-Dixon[17]September 2, 200617%38%21%2%
Primary ResultsSeptember 5, 200615%49%30%5%
Republican Primary results by county
  Harris
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  McBride
  •   30–40%

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanKatherine Harris474,87149.4
RepublicanWill McBride287,74130.0
RepublicanLeRoy Collins Jr.146,71215.3
RepublicanPeter Monroe51,3305.3
Total votes960,654100.0

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
icon
This sectiondoes notcite anysources. Please helpimprove this section byadding citations to reliable sources. Unsourced material may be challenged andremoved.(March 2010) (Learn how and when to remove this message)
  • Floyd Ray Frazier (Independent)
  • Katherine Harris, former Florida Secretary of State and former U.S. Representative (Republican)
  • Brian Moore, retired health care executive and former congressional candidate (Independent)
  • Bill Nelson, incumbent U.S. Senator (Democratic)
  • Belinda Noah (Independent)
  • Roy Tanner (Independent)

Campaign

[edit]

The organizationCitizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW), which monitors political corruption, complained to theFederal Election Commission (FEC) in October 2006 that theBacardi beverage company had illegally used corporate resources in support of a fundraising event for Nelson in 2005. CREW had previously filed a similar complaint concerning a Bacardi fundraising event for Republican SenatorMel Martinez, an event that raised as much as $60,000 for Martinez's campaign. The amended complaint alleged that, on both occasions, Bacardi violated theFederal Election Campaign Act and FEC regulations by soliciting contributions from a list of the corporation's vendors.[19]

Endorsements

[edit]

In a rare move, all twenty-two of Florida's daily newspapers supported Nelson, while none supported Harris in the general election.[20]

Debates

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[36]Solid DNovember 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[37]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[38]Safe DNovember 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[39]Safe DNovember 6, 2006

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

%support2030405060702021/02/282022/07/312022/11/2 00:00HarrisNelsonUndecided/OtherOpinion polling for the 2006 United States S...
Viewsource data.
Poll SourceDateBill
Nelson (D)
Katherine
Harris (R)
Strategic Vision (R)[40]July 20, 200548%40%
Strategic Vision (R)[41]August 21, 200547%38%
Quinnipiac[42]August 31, 200557%33%
Strategic Vision (R)[43]September 22, 200548%36%
Rasmussen[44]November 14, 200553%36%
Quinnipiac[45]November 15, 200555%31%
Strategic Vision (R)[46]November 30, 200548%32%
Rasmussen[47]January 5, 200654%31%
Rasmussen[48]February 14, 200649%40%
Strategic Vision (R)[49]February 22, 200649%34%
Quinnipiac[50]February 24, 200653%31%
University of North Florida[51]March 15, 200648%28%
Mason-Dixon[52]March 29, 200651%35%
Strategic Vision (R)[53]March 30, 200656%28%
Zogby/WSJ[54]March 31, 200650%37%
Rasmussen[55]April 14, 200657%27%
Quinnipiac[56]April 20, 200656%27%
Strategic Vision (R)[57]April 26, 200656%24%
Rasmussen[58]May 22, 200660%33%
Strategic Vision (R)[59]May 25, 200656%26%
Quinnipiac[60]May 25, 200658%25%
Zogby/WSJ[61]June 21, 200651%33%
Strategic Vision (R)[62]June 28, 200661%26%
Quinnipiac[63]June 30, 200659%26%
Zogby/WSJ[61]July 24, 200655%34%
Strategic Vision (R)[64]July 26, 200660%22%
Mason-Dixon[10]July 26, 200657%29%
Quinnipiac[65]July 27, 200661%24%
Rasmussen[66]July 28, 200661%33%
St. Petersburg Times[67]August 11, 200660%25%
Zogby/WSJ[68]August 28, 200652%32%
Strategic Vision (R)[69]August 30, 200663%20%
Rasmussen[70]September 5, 200657%34%
Zogby/WSJ[68]September 11, 200651%33%
SurveyUSA[71]September 14, 200653%38%
Mason-Dixon[72]September 20–22, 200653%35%
Strategic Vision (R)[73]September 27, 200659%31%
Rasmussen[74]September 27, 200656%33%
Rasmussen[75]October 4, 200654%37%
SurveyUSA[76]October 10, 200655%37%
Quinnipiac[77]October 11, 200661%33%
Mason-Dixon[78]October 16–17, 200657%31%
Strategic Vision (R)[79]October 25, 200658%35%
Quinnipiac[80]October 25, 200664%29%
St. Petersburg Times[81]October 28, 200656%30%
Strategic Vision (R)[82]November 2, 200659%33%
Mason-Dixon[83]November 3, 200658%34%
SurveyUSA[84]November 5, 200659%36%

Results

[edit]

As expected, Nelson was easily reelected. He won with 60.3% of the vote winning by 1,064,421 votes or 22.2%, and carried 57 ofFlorida's 67 counties. Nelson was projected the winner almost immediately when the polls closed at 7 P.M. EST.

General election results
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticBill Nelson (incumbent)2,890,54860.30%+9.26%
RepublicanKatherine Harris1,826,12738.10%−8.09%
IndependentBelinda Noah24,8800.52%n/a
IndependentBrian Moore19,6950.41%n/a
IndependentFloyd Ray Frazier16,6280.35%n/a
IndependentRoy Tanner15,5620.32%n/a
Write-in940.00%n/a
Majority1,064,42122.21%+17.36%
Turnout4,793,534
DemocraticholdSwing

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

See also

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References

[edit]
  1. ^"Senator's office produced Schiavo memo". Associated Press. April 6, 2005 – via NBC News.
  2. ^"The Seattle Times: Nation & World: GOP memo says issue offers political rewards".The Washington Post. April 4, 2005.Archived from the original on January 27, 2007 – via The Seattle Times.
  3. ^"Orlando Sentinel - Central Florida Political Pulse: Florida Senate race archives".blogs.orlandosentinel.com. Archived fromthe original on March 24, 2006.
  4. ^"Archived copy". Archived fromthe original on June 7, 2011. RetrievedAugust 30, 2006.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  5. ^U.S. SENATE: It's a toss up | Jacksonville.com
  6. ^abcdefhttp://www.palmbeachpost.com/news/content/nation/epaper/2006/08/25/a9a_endorse_0825.html[dead link]
  7. ^404 | MiamiHerald.com[dead link]
  8. ^Topic Galleries - OrlandoSentinel.com[permanent dead link]
  9. ^Strategic Vision
  10. ^abMason-Dixon
  11. ^Quinnipiac
  12. ^Scroth Eldon & Associates
  13. ^SurveyUSA
  14. ^Strategic Vision
  15. ^Quinnipiac
  16. ^SurveyUSA
  17. ^Mason-Dixon[permanent dead link]
  18. ^"Official Results September 5, 2006 Republican Primary Election".Florida Department of State. September 5, 2006. RetrievedDecember 1, 2017.
  19. ^"CREW FILES AMENDED FEC COMPLAINT AGAINST BACARDI USA AND MARTINEZ FOR SENATE".Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington. Archived fromthe original on August 8, 2018. RetrievedAugust 7, 2018.
  20. ^Harris, Nelson tout testimonials
  21. ^abcd"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on December 13, 2006. RetrievedJuly 13, 2008.
  22. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 16, 2006.
  23. ^U.S. SENATE: Nelson the best choice | Jacksonville.com
  24. ^The News Press Endorsement Recap
  25. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 16, 2006.
  26. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 20, 2006.
  27. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2006. RetrievedNovember 1, 2006.
  28. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2006. RetrievedOctober 11, 2006.
  29. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on November 1, 2006. RetrievedNovember 1, 2006.
  30. ^Nelson for U.S. Senate
  31. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 16, 2006.
  32. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 16, 2006.
  33. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 20, 2006.
  34. ^Tallahassee Democrat - www.tallahassee.com - Tallahassee, FL
  35. ^"Bill Nelson For Senate". Archived fromthe original on October 18, 2006. RetrievedOctober 16, 2006.
  36. ^"2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006"(PDF).The Cook Political Report. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on June 5, 2008. RetrievedSeptember 30, 2021.
  37. ^"Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS".Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  38. ^"2006 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  39. ^"Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. RetrievedJune 25, 2021.
  40. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  41. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  42. ^Quinnipiac
  43. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  44. ^RasmussenArchived November 24, 2005, at theWayback Machine
  45. ^Quinnipiac
  46. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  47. ^Rasmussen
  48. ^Rasmussen
  49. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  50. ^Quinnipiac
  51. ^University of North Florida
  52. ^Mason-Dixon[permanent dead link]
  53. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  54. ^Zogby/WSJ
  55. ^Rasmussen
  56. ^Quinnipiac
  57. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  58. ^Rasmussen
  59. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  60. ^Quinnipiac
  61. ^abZogby/WSJ
  62. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  63. ^Quinnipiac
  64. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  65. ^Quinnipiac
  66. ^RasmussenArchived September 22, 2006, at theWayback Machine
  67. ^St. Petersburg Times
  68. ^abZogby/WSJ
  69. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  70. ^Rasmussen
  71. ^SurveyUSA
  72. ^Mason-Dixon
  73. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  74. ^Rasmussen
  75. ^Rasmussen
  76. ^SurveyUSA
  77. ^Quinnipiac
  78. ^Mason-Dixon
  79. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  80. ^Quinnipiac
  81. ^St. Petersburg Times
  82. ^Strategic Vision (R)
  83. ^Mason-Dixon
  84. ^SurveyUSA

External links

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Debates

Campaign Websites (Archived)

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