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2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district

← 2004November 7, 20062008 →
 
NomineePeter WelchMartha Rainville
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote139,815117,023
Percentage53.22%44.54%

County results
Municipality results
Welch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Rainville:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%
Trudell:     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Bernie Sanders
Independent

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2006 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 7, 2006, for representation ofVermont's at-large congressional district in theUnited States House of Representatives from January 3, 2007, to January 3, 2009.

Incumbent CongressmanBernie Sanders, anindependent member of Congress who caucused with theDemocrats, did not seek a ninth term in the House, instead running successfully for theUnited States Senate.

To replace Congressman Sanders,DemocratPeter Welch defeatedRepublicanMartha Rainville by a somewhat narrow margin (just under 10%) in staunchly-liberalVermont. As of 2022, this is the last federal election in which a Republican received more than a third of the vote.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Democratic primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter Welch34,70697.11
DemocraticWrite-ins1,0332.89
Total votes35,739100.00

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Results

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Republican primary results[1]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMartha Rainville26,19971.31
RepublicanMark Shepard10,28527.99
RepublicanWrite-ins2580.70
Total votes36,742100.00

Third-party and independent candidates

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Declined

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General election

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Polling

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SourceDatePeter
Welch (D)
Martha
Rainville (R)
Jane
Newton (LU)
Research 2000[5]October 23–24, 200651%41%
Greenburg Quinlan[6]October 8–9, 200652%41%
Research 2000[7]September 18–19, 200645%39%
American Research Group[8]September 14, 200648%45%2%
American Research Group[8]July 27, 200641%42%

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[9]Lean D(flip)November 6, 2006
Rothenberg[10]Likely D(flip)November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11]Likely D(flip)November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[12]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2006
CQ Politics[13]Lean D(flip)November 7, 2006

Results

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Vermont's at-large congressional district election, 2006[14]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter Welch139,81553.22
RepublicanMartha Rainville117,02344.54
IndependentDennis Morrisseau1,3900.53
IndependentJerry Trudell1,0130.39
GreenBruce R. Marshall9940.38
IndependentKeith Stern9630.37
Liberty UnionJane Newton7210.27
IndependentChris Karr5990.23
Write-ins2080.08
Total votes262,726100.00
Democraticgain fromIndependent

Counties that flipped from Independent to Democratic

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Counties that flipped from Independent to Republican

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References

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  1. ^ab"Archived copy"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on April 27, 2012. RetrievedMarch 31, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  2. ^"FairVote - All Articles".archive.fairvote.org. RetrievedAugust 14, 2025.
  3. ^Porter, Louis (February 16, 2006)."Zuckerman out; House race clearer".Rutland Herald. RetrievedAugust 14, 2025.
  4. ^"Rothenberg's 2006 Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats".www.insideelections.com. RetrievedAugust 14, 2025.
  5. ^Research 2000
  6. ^Greenburg Quinlan
  7. ^Research 2000
  8. ^abAmerican Research Group
  9. ^"2006 Competitive House Race Chart"(PDF).House: Race Ratings. Cook Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on September 27, 2007. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  10. ^"2006 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 7, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  11. ^"2006 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 6, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 10, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  12. ^"Battle for the House of Representatives".realclearpolitics.com. Real Clear Politics. November 7, 2006. Archived fromthe original on November 9, 2006. RetrievedDecember 12, 2023.
  13. ^"Balance of Power Scorecard: House".cqpolitics.com. Congressional Quarterly Inc. Archived fromthe original on November 17, 2006. RetrievedNovember 20, 2023.
  14. ^"2006 Election Statistics".clerk.house.gov.
Preceded by
2004
U.S. House of Representatives elections (Vermont's at-large congressional district)
2006
Succeeded by
2008
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House

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