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| Turnout | 45.0% 1.4[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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 County and independent city results Congressional district resultsKaine: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Kilgore: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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The2005 Virginia gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2005, to elect thegovernor of Virginia. TheDemocratic nominee, Lieutenant GovernorTim Kaine, the son-in-law ofLinwood Holton, won the election.Virginia is the only state in the United States to prohibitgovernors from servingsuccessive terms, meaning that the popular incumbent,Mark Warner, could not run for reelection.
While the previous Democratic governor, Mark Warner, was credited with doing especially well for a Democrat in rural areas of the commonwealth, Kaine's win featured surprising triumphs in traditionally Republican areas such asVirginia Beach,Chesapeake, and the Northern Virginiasuburbs ofPrince William County andLoudoun County, as well as impressive showings in Democratic strongholds such asRichmond andNorfolk.[2] This is the most recent election in which a Virginia governor and lieutenant governor of opposite parties were elected. This is the last occasions whenAccomack County,Buchanan County,Fluvanna County,Henry County,King and Queen County,Nottoway County,Rappahannock County,Westmoreland County and the independent cities ofBuena Vista andLynchburg have voted Democratic for Governor.
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jerry Kilgore | 145,002 | 82.78 | |
| Republican | George Fitch | 30,168 | 17.22 | |
| Total votes | 175,170 | 100.00 | ||
Candidates
The general election was expected to be close, withIndependent candidateRuss Potts as a possible spoiler candidate. Kaine remained behind in polls throughout most of the campaign, at one point 10 points behind Kilgore, but captured a slight lead in the final weeks of the campaign. Kaine led in some polls for the first time in October 2005, and held his lead into the final week before the election.[4]
Kaine closely associated himself with popular outgoing Democratic GovernorMark Warner during his campaign; he won his race by a slightly larger margin than Warner. He promised homeowner tax relief, centrist fiscal leadership, and strong support for education.[5] A number of factors, from the sagging poll numbers of PresidentGeorge W. Bush to a public disgust over the death penalty ads run by Kilgore, have also been cited as key to his decisive win.[6][7]
The election was the most expensive in Virginia history, with the candidates combined raising over $42 million[8]
Kilgore resigned as attorney general in February 2005 to run for governor (as is the convention in Virginia) and easily won theprimary election againstWarrenton MayorGeorge B. Fitch to become the Republican nominee. In the general election, he ran against Democratic nomineeTim Kaine, thelieutenant governor of Virginia, and State SenatorRuss Potts, apro-choice Republican who ran as an independent candidate. Early in the race, Kilgore showed solid leads of ten points or more in the polls, but Kaine steadily closed the gap and ultimately defeated Kilgore by a margin of 52% to 46%.
Kilgore's campaign was at times criticized for taking steps to avoid debates; Kilgore refused to debate Potts for the majority of the campaign, at times leaving Kaine and Potts to debate each other in his absence. He agreed to debate only with Kaine, and only if the footage could not be aired in campaign commercials. During this debate, he refused to answer whether or not he would makeabortion a crime. This apparent public moderation of his previously open and hard-line stance on abortion troubled some of his conservative supporters.
He was further criticized for failing to limit hisnegative advertisements to 50% of his campaign's total publicity as Kaine proposed. One such advertisement featured a father whose son had been murdered by a man who was on Virginia'sdeath row; the father expressed doubt that the sentence would be carried out if Kaine were elected and alleged that Kaine would not even have authorized the execution ofAdolf Hitler, based on an interview with theRichmond Times-Dispatch.[9] The negative reaction to the mention of Hitler combined with Kaine's pledge to carry out the death penalty and explanation of his personal opposition as arising from hisCatholic faith helped to neutralize what many observers thought would've been a potent issue for Kilgore. Kaine's campaign also ran an ad entitled "Wrong" quoting many Virginia newspapers in their condemnation of Kilgore and his campaign ads which stated (all caps emphasis) "All these newspapers can't be WRONG: 'Jerry Kilgore's ads are a VILE attempt to manipulate for political gain. . . they TWIST the truth. . . and SMEAR Tim Kaine. . . Kilgore's attacks are DISHONEST. . . FALSELY accuse Kaine. . . and TAR a decent man. . . Kilgore CROSSED the line. . . DRAGGING Kaine's beliefs through the mud. . . Jerry Kilgore should APOLOGIZE to Tim Kaine.'"[10]
In trying to explain how a solid Republican could lose a traditionally Republican state by such a large margin, political commentators cited numerous key factors. Kaine's campaign had many political advantages, including his association with the state's popular Democratic GovernorMark Warner and defense of Warner's 2004 budget priorities, his "response ads" to Kilgore's death penalty advertisements where he spoke to voters about his religious convictions and as mentioned above, reminded them about how a large cross-section of Virginia media strongly condemned Kilgore for his negative death penalty ads, his relentless in-person campaigning across the state, and his opposition to tax increases. Experienced attorney Lawrence Roberts served as Kaine's campaign chairman.[11] In contrast, Kilgore's campaign had many political disadvantages, including a backlash over thedeath penalty ads that Kilgore's campaign ran in the fall, the relatively low poll numbers of then-PresidentGeorge W. Bush at the time of the election, and a bitter division between the moderate and conservative wings of the Republican Party over tax and spending priorities.
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Tossup | October 25, 2005 |
| Source | Date | Kaine (D) | Kilgore (R) | Potts (I) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Survey USA[13] | November 7, 2005 | 50% | 45% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon[14] | November 4, 2005 | 45% | 44% | 4% |
| Rasmussen[15] | November 4, 2005 | 49% | 46% | 2% |
| Roanoke College[16] | November 2, 2005 | 44% | 36% | 5% |
| The Washington Post[17] | October 30, 2005 | 47% | 44% | 4% |
| Rasmussen[18] | October 28, 2005 | 46% | 44% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon[19] | October 25, 2005 | 42% | 44% | 5% |
| Rasmussen[20] | October 24, 2005 | 46% | 48% | 2% |
| Hotline[21] | October 18, 2005 | 40% | 38% | 5% |
| Survey USA[22] | October 17, 2005 | 47% | 45% | 4% |
| Rasmussen[23] | October 12, 2005 | 44% | 46% | 1% |
| Rasmussen[24] | September 28, 2005 | 45% | 45% | 5% |
| Survey USA[25] | September 19, 2005 | 43% | 46% | 4% |
| Mason-Dixon[26] | September 18, 2005 | 40% | 41% | 6% |
| Rasmussen[27] | September 16, 2005 | 40% | 43% | 5% |
| Survey USA[28] | August 9, 2005 | 43% | 48% | 3% |
| Rasmussen[29] | August 4, 2005 | 39% | 45% | 5% |
| Mason-Dixon[30] | July 24, 2005 | 38% | 37% | 9% |
| Rasmussen[31] | July 14, 2005 | 41% | 47% | 4% |
| Survey USA[32] | June 30, 2005 | 39% | 49% | 5% |
| Rasmussen[33] | June 16, 2005 | 40% | 46% | 2% |
| Survey USA[34] | May 17, 2005 | 40% | 44% | 5% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Kaine | 1,025,942 | 51.72% | −0.44% | |
| Republican | Jerry Kilgore | 912,327 | 45.99% | −1.04% | |
| Independent | Russ Potts | 43,953 | 2.22% | ||
| Write-in | 1,556 | 0.08% | +0.04% | ||
| Majority | 113,615 | 5.73% | +0.60% | ||
| Turnout | 1,983,778 | 44.96% | −1.4% | ||
| Democratichold | Swing | ||||
| County[36] | Kaine | Votes | Kilgore | Votes | Potts | Votes | Others | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accomack | 49.8% | 3,860 | 48.5% | 3,754 | 1.6% | 126 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Albemarle | 61.2% | 18,455 | 36.4% | 10,994 | 2.4% | 711 | 0.0% | 14 |
| Alexandria | 71.9% | 25,061 | 26.3% | 9,173 | 1.7% | 605 | 0.1% | 25 |
| Alleghany | 53.9% | 2,907 | 44.0% | 2,373 | 2.1% | 115 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Amelia | 37.0% | 1,368 | 60.9% | 2,251 | 2.0% | 74 | 0.1% | 3 |
| Amherst | 43.6% | 3,576 | 54.2% | 4,450 | 2.1% | 175 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Appomattox | 39.5% | 1,804 | 58.3% | 2,663 | 2.2% | 99 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Arlington | 74.3% | 42,319 | 23.9% | 13,631 | 1.7% | 990 | 0.1% | 49 |
| Augusta | 33.1% | 6,395 | 63.1% | 12,197 | 3.7% | 721 | 0.1% | 12 |
| Bath | 45.1% | 729 | 53.2% | 860 | 1.6% | 26 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Bedford County | 37.1% | 7,524 | 60.8% | 12,330 | 2.1% | 420 | 0.1% | 14 |
| Bedford | 49.1% | 892 | 48.2% | 877 | 2.6% | 47 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Bland | 36.8% | 706 | 61.4% | 1,176 | 1.8% | 34 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Botetourt | 39.4% | 4,083 | 58.4% | 6,053 | 2.2% | 227 | 0.1% | 10 |
| Bristol | 37.8% | 1,548 | 61.5% | 2,515 | 0.7% | 27 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Brunswick | 60.3% | 2,691 | 39.0% | 1,742 | 0.7% | 31 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Buchanan | 52.2% | 3,171 | 47.3% | 2,875 | 0.4% | 27 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Buckingham | 47.9% | 1,822 | 50.0% | 1,899 | 2.1% | 80 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Buena Vista | 51.9% | 799 | 46.3% | 713 | 1.8% | 28 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Campbell | 36.8% | 5,319 | 61.3% | 8,864 | 1.8% | 264 | 0.1% | 15 |
| Caroline | 53.7% | 3,396 | 44.0% | 2,786 | 2.2% | 142 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Carroll | 38.9% | 2,942 | 59.2% | 4,485 | 1.9% | 143 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Charles City | 69.1% | 1,565 | 29.6% | 671 | 1.3% | 29 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Charlotte | 43.2% | 1,637 | 54.9% | 2,078 | 1.8% | 69 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Charlottesville | 79.4% | 8,018 | 18.5% | 1,870 | 2.0% | 205 | 0.1% | 11 |
| Chesapeake | 50.3% | 26,612 | 47.1% | 24,885 | 2.6% | 1,357 | 0.1% | 34 |
| Chesterfield | 44.7% | 40,134 | 53.6% | 48,112 | 1.7% | 1,484 | 0.1% | 81 |
| Clarke | 45.0% | 2,225 | 47.6% | 2,350 | 7.3% | 363 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Colonial Heights | 29.4% | 1,777 | 68.2% | 4,116 | 2.4% | 143 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Covington | 61.5% | 1,022 | 35.3% | 587 | 3.2% | 53 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Craig | 42.4% | 754 | 54.8% | 975 | 2.7% | 48 | 0.2% | 3 |
| Culpeper | 38.0% | 3,689 | 59.4% | 5,762 | 2.5% | 242 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Cumberland | 43.8% | 1,144 | 54.3% | 1,420 | 1.9% | 50 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Danville | 53.3% | 6,052 | 45.6% | 5,177 | 1.0% | 119 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Dickenson | 48.0% | 2,377 | 51.6% | 2,559 | 0.4% | 18 | 0.1% | 3 |
| Dinwiddie | 46.4% | 3,168 | 51.6% | 3,523 | 1.9% | 131 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Emporia | 48.6% | 796 | 49.8% | 815 | 1.6% | 26 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Essex | 48.7% | 1,500 | 49.8% | 1,533 | 1.5% | 45 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Fairfax County | 60.1% | 163,667 | 38.0% | 103,285 | 1.8% | 4,907 | 0.1% | 241 |
| Fairfax | 57.2% | 3,865 | 40.7% | 2,750 | 2.0% | 132 | 0.1% | 9 |
| Falls Church | 72.5% | 3,138 | 25.5% | 1,102 | 1.8% | 77 | 0.2% | 10 |
| Fauquier | 43.4% | 7,746 | 53.3% | 9,505 | 3.2% | 576 | 0.1% | 20 |
| Floyd | 44.4% | 1,959 | 52.7% | 2,324 | 2.9% | 129 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Fluvanna | 49.7% | 3,592 | 47.8% | 3,456 | 2.5% | 178 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Franklin County | 44.9% | 7,017 | 52.2% | 8,157 | 2.8% | 441 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Franklin | 57.5% | 1,394 | 40.8% | 988 | 1.7% | 41 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Frederick | 33.7% | 6,027 | 59.8% | 10,698 | 6.3% | 1,125 | 0.1% | 26 |
| Fredericksburg | 60.8% | 2,611 | 36.4% | 1,561 | 2.7% | 118 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Galax | 50.0% | 730 | 47.5% | 693 | 2.5% | 36 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Giles | 49.3% | 2,570 | 48.1% | 2,507 | 2.5% | 132 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Gloucester | 39.6% | 3,985 | 56.6% | 5,688 | 3.7% | 373 | 0.1% | 12 |
| Goochland | 42.4% | 3,292 | 55.6% | 4,313 | 1.9% | 146 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Grayson | 40.3% | 1,875 | 58.3% | 2,710 | 1.4% | 66 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Greene | 41.1% | 1,846 | 56.3% | 2,526 | 2.6% | 115 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Greensville | 55.8% | 1,833 | 43.4% | 1,424 | 0.8% | 25 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Halifax | 43.8% | 3,931 | 54.5% | 4,887 | 1.7% | 149 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Hampton | 63.8% | 20,961 | 33.7% | 11,078 | 2.5% | 814 | 0.1% | 25 |
| Hanover | 36.3% | 12,784 | 61.5% | 21,637 | 2.2% | 770 | 0.1% | 19 |
| Harrisonburg | 51.0% | 3,539 | 46.8% | 3,251 | 2.0% | 138 | 0.2% | 12 |
| Henrico | 53.2% | 49,170 | 45.1% | 41,619 | 1.6% | 1,492 | 0.1% | 78 |
| Henry | 50.8% | 7,454 | 47.8% | 7,004 | 1.4% | 198 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Highland | 39.5% | 478 | 57.8% | 700 | 2.6% | 32 | 0.1% | 1 |
| Hopewell | 45.1% | 2,300 | 53.0% | 2,705 | 1.8% | 90 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Isle of Wight | 45.7% | 4,664 | 51.5% | 5,262 | 2.8% | 285 | 0.0% | 4 |
| James City | 48.5% | 10,205 | 48.0% | 10,104 | 3.3% | 704 | 0.1% | 16 |
| King and Queen | 54.3% | 1,114 | 43.7% | 896 | 2.0% | 40 | 0.0% | 1 |
| King George | 43.0% | 2,042 | 54.1% | 2,569 | 2.8% | 133 | 0.1% | 5 |
| King William | 42.7% | 1,951 | 54.9% | 2,509 | 2.4% | 108 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Lancaster | 44.2% | 2,043 | 53.3% | 2,463 | 2.4% | 113 | 0.1% | 6 |
| Lee | 34.4% | 2,453 | 65.0% | 4,640 | 0.6% | 42 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Lexington | 64.6% | 1,097 | 33.4% | 567 | 1.9% | 33 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Loudoun | 51.6% | 31,074 | 45.8% | 27,539 | 2.5% | 1,501 | 0.1% | 65 |
| Louisa | 45.9% | 3,716 | 51.7% | 4,179 | 2.4% | 193 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Lunenburg | 45.3% | 1,490 | 53.2% | 1,749 | 1.5% | 48 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Lynchburg | 50.9% | 8,329 | 47.1% | 7,708 | 1.9% | 308 | 0.2% | 27 |
| Madison | 43.2% | 1,672 | 54.4% | 2,105 | 2.3% | 90 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Manassas | 46.2% | 3,167 | 51.6% | 3,532 | 2.1% | 147 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Manassas Park | 45.7% | 650 | 52.8% | 751 | 1.4% | 20 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Martinsville | 62.4% | 2,363 | 36.4% | 1,380 | 1.1% | 43 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Mathews | 40.7% | 1,452 | 54.5% | 1,946 | 4.8% | 170 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Mecklenburg | 42.8% | 2,986 | 55.4% | 3,864 | 1.9% | 131 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Middlesex | 40.2% | 1,530 | 57.0% | 2,167 | 2.7% | 104 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Montgomery | 55.4% | 11,509 | 41.8% | 8,670 | 2.7% | 560 | 0.1% | 19 |
| Nelson | 55.4% | 2,755 | 42.5% | 2,113 | 2.1% | 102 | 0.0% | 2 |
| New Kent | 40.4% | 2,241 | 57.3% | 3,179 | 2.3% | 127 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Newport News | 57.4% | 21,743 | 39.9% | 15,095 | 2.6% | 992 | 0.1% | 42 |
| Norfolk | 66.1% | 27,791 | 30.7% | 12,899 | 3.1% | 1,290 | 0.1% | 50 |
| Northampton | 60.8% | 2,058 | 37.1% | 1,256 | 2.2% | 73 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Northumberland | 44.3% | 2,104 | 53.6% | 2,548 | 2.0% | 95 | 0.1% | 6 |
| Norton | 44.9% | 449 | 54.0% | 539 | 1.1% | 11 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Nottoway | 49.9% | 1,993 | 48.6% | 1,942 | 1.5% | 59 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Orange | 45.5% | 3,888 | 52.4% | 4,481 | 2.1% | 182 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Page | 38.7% | 2,385 | 58.2% | 3,591 | 3.0% | 185 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Patrick | 41.7% | 2,111 | 56.4% | 2,853 | 1.8% | 93 | 0.1% | 4 |
| Petersburg | 81.8% | 5,995 | 17.4% | 1,274 | 0.8% | 59 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Pittsylvania | 37.7% | 6,363 | 60.8% | 10,252 | 1.5% | 250 | 0.0% | 6 |
| Poquoson | 34.2% | 1,383 | 62.2% | 2,515 | 3.5% | 143 | 0.1% | 3 |
| Portsmouth | 65.7% | 16,314 | 31.9% | 7,926 | 2.3% | 560 | 0.1% | 17 |
| Powhatan | 32.3% | 2,744 | 65.6% | 5,580 | 2.0% | 170 | 0.1% | 6 |
| Prince Edward | 52.1% | 2,546 | 46.2% | 2,259 | 1.7% | 85 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Prince George | 40.9% | 3,382 | 57.5% | 4,751 | 1.6% | 130 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Prince William | 49.9% | 33,364 | 48.2% | 32,178 | 1.8% | 1,220 | 0.1% | 35 |
| Pulaski | 46.5% | 4,427 | 51.4% | 4,901 | 2.1% | 199 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Radford | 54.2% | 1,928 | 43.1% | 1,534 | 2.6% | 94 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Rappahannock | 51.1% | 1,397 | 47.0% | 1,283 | 1.8% | 50 | 0.1% | 2 |
| Richmond County | 39.3% | 863 | 58.8% | 1,293 | 1.9% | 42 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Richmond | 75.9% | 38,900 | 22.5% | 11,529 | 1.5% | 769 | 0.1% | 40 |
| Roanoke County | 44.7% | 14,125 | 52.8% | 16,686 | 2.4% | 755 | 0.1% | 29 |
| Roanoke | 61.8% | 14,207 | 35.9% | 8,239 | 2.2% | 505 | 0.1% | 21 |
| Rockbridge | 46.1% | 2,993 | 51.6% | 3,354 | 2.2% | 142 | 0.1% | 5 |
| Rockingham | 32.4% | 6,560 | 65.5% | 13,262 | 2.0% | 404 | 0.1% | 19 |
| Russell | 43.9% | 3,431 | 55.2% | 4,314 | 0.9% | 69 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Salem | 47.1% | 3,788 | 49.7% | 3,993 | 3.0% | 242 | 0.1% | 12 |
| Scott | 26.2% | 2,156 | 73.2% | 6,016 | 0.5% | 43 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Shenandoah | 32.4% | 3,996 | 63.9% | 7,874 | 3.6% | 438 | 0.1% | 12 |
| Smyth | 36.7% | 2,989 | 62.1% | 5,053 | 1.1% | 91 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Southampton | 49.8% | 2,442 | 48.0% | 2,354 | 2.2% | 110 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Spotsylvania | 43.8% | 11,061 | 54.0% | 13,635 | 2.1% | 533 | 0.2% | 38 |
| Stafford | 43.6% | 10,924 | 54.1% | 13,559 | 2.2% | 564 | 0.1% | 28 |
| Staunton | 50.0% | 3,384 | 46.0% | 3,112 | 4.0% | 270 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Suffolk | 53.7% | 10,480 | 43.9% | 8,561 | 2.3% | 456 | 0.1% | 12 |
| Surry | 60.7% | 1,480 | 37.7% | 919 | 1.5% | 37 | 0.1% | 3 |
| Sussex | 54.5% | 1,739 | 43.9% | 1,401 | 1.5% | 48 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Tazewell | 40.8% | 4,194 | 58.1% | 5,970 | 1.0% | 106 | 0.0% | 4 |
| Virginia Beach | 48.6% | 47,120 | 48.0% | 46,471 | 3.3% | 3,178 | 0.1% | 120 |
| Warren | 40.3% | 3,408 | 55.7% | 4,705 | 3.9% | 329 | 0.1% | 9 |
| Washington | 33.9% | 5,188 | 65.4% | 10,009 | 0.7% | 108 | 0.0% | 5 |
| Waynesboro | 44.5% | 2,223 | 51.9% | 2,596 | 3.6% | 181 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Westmoreland | 52.3% | 2,219 | 45.4% | 1,924 | 2.2% | 93 | 0.1% | 3 |
| Williamsburg | 60.5% | 1,782 | 36.7% | 1,081 | 2.7% | 80 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Winchester | 45.1% | 2,683 | 42.0% | 2,497 | 12.8% | 763 | 0.1% | 8 |
| Wise | 38.2% | 3,871 | 61.2% | 6,190 | 0.6% | 56 | 0.0% | 5 |
| Wythe | 37.8% | 3,125 | 59.9% | 4,954 | 2.2% | 185 | 0.1% | 5 |
| York | 44.4% | 8,142 | 52.1% | 9,565 | 3.4% | 620 | 0.1% | 16 |
Official campaign websites (archived)
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