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2004 Washington gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2004 United States gubernatorial elections.

2004 Washington gubernatorial election

← 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 →
 
NomineeChristine GregoireDino Rossi
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote1,373,3611,373,232
Percentage48.873%48.868%

County results
Gregoire:     40–50%     50–60%
Rossi:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

Governor before election

Gary Locke
Democratic

Elected Governor

Christine Gregoire
Democratic

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The2004 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2004. The race gained national attention for its legal twists and extremely close finish, among the closest political races in United States election history. RepublicanDino Rossi was declared the winner of the initial count and again of the automated recount, but after a second recount done by hand, DemocratChristine Gregoire took the lead by a margin of 129 votes.

Although Gregoire was sworn in asgovernor of Washington on January 12, 2005, Rossi did not formally concede and called for a re-vote over concerns about the integrity of the election. TheRepublican Party filed a lawsuit inChelan County Superior Court contesting the election, but the trial judge ruled against it, citing lack of evidence of deliberate electoral sabotage.[1] Rossi chose not to appeal to the Washington State Supreme Court, formally conceding the election on June 6, 2005. Gregoire was re-elected in2008 in a rematch with Rossi.

Primary elections

[edit]

The 2004 election cycle was the first in Washington to use a party-line ballot system of holdingprimary elections. The state had a long tradition of usingblanket primaries, where the candidates of allpolitical parties appear together on the same ballot for all voters. In this system, the leading vote-getter from each party advances to the general election. Washington's voters are not registered by party affiliation and a voter could participate in selecting candidates for more than one party, although the voter could only choose one candidate (of whatever party) for each office.

In February 2004 theUnited States Supreme Court declined to review a lower court decision striking down the blanket primary as unconstitutional, based on it violating the rights of the parties tofreedom of association under theFirst Amendment. Washington was thus forced to devise a new primary election system. The state legislature passed a bill providing that the top two vote-getters for each office in the primary would advance to the general election, regardless of which political party they belonged to. Voters would still be allowed to vote for any candidate as before. However, this measure wasvetoed by GovernorGary Locke in favor of a Montana-style system that requires voters to choose a ballot for one specific party and vote only on that party's candidates in the primary.

The primary election in 2004 was held using the new system, but a campaign to replace it was already underway. TheWashington State Grange, which had helped institute the blanket primary in 1935, filedInitiative 872 to implement the "top-two" primary instead, which would once again allow voters to cross party lines in the primary election but now send the top two vote-getters to the general election. In districts dominated by one party, the top-two system could result in Democrat- or Republican-only general election races. Supporters claimed it would bring back voter choice across party lines and allow independent voters to participate in the primary; opponents said it would excludethird parties and independent candidates from general election ballots, and would in fact reduce general election voter choice. The initiative was put to a public vote in November 2004, and passed with 60% of the vote.[2] The state Republican, Democratic and Libertarian parties sued,[3] however, and a federal district court judge ruled in 2005 that the measure was unconstitutional because it too infringed the parties' First Amendment right to select their own candidates.[4] Washington continued with the party-line primary system while appealing the case.[5]

Democratic primary

[edit]

In July 2003,incumbent GovernorGary Locke indicated that he would not seek a third term, opening up theDemocratic primary to alternate candidates. Former Washington State Supreme Court justicePhil Talmadge was the first candidate to enter the race for the Democratic primary, challenging Gary Locke before he announced his retirement, but Washington Attorney GeneralChristine Gregoire quickly became the frontrunner, leading in fundraising and endorsements.King County ExecutiveRon Sims also announced his candidacy. According to a March 2004, Mellman Group poll, Gregoire would beat both Sims and Talmadge 36% to 11% and four percent in anopen primary, and would beat Sims 55% to 17% in aclosed primary.[6] On April 29, 2004, Talmadge announced he was withdrawing from the race following the discovery of a benignkidneytumor, citing the likely need for surgery and associated recovery time.

CandidateHome cityTotal votesPercentage
Christine GregoireAuburn504,01865.62%
Ron SimsSeattle228,30629.72%
Mike The MoverLynnwood15,1181.96%
Don HanslerSpanaway8,6361.12%
Scott HeadlandTacoma6,9830.90%
Eugen BuculeiBellevue5,0050.65%

Republican primary

[edit]

TheWashington State Republican Party struggled to find a candidate through most of 2003 when presumed candidateBob Herbold, a formerExecutive Vice President andCOO ofMicrosoft, declined to run. They finally recruitedDino Rossi, a relatively obscure political figure who left the state senate to pursue a gubernatorial run due to state elected officials being prohibited from raising money while the legislature is in session.

CandidateHome cityTotal votesPercentage
Dino RossiSammamish444,33785.14%
Bill MeyerBellingham44,4488.51%
John W. Aiken Jr.Medical Lake33,1046.34%

Libertarian primary

[edit]

TheLibertarian Party of Washington State race was between Ruth Bennett, former state chair of the party in Washington and Colorado, and Michael Nelson.

CandidateHome cityTotal votesPercentage
Ruth BennettSeattle7,38256.48%
Michael NelsonSeattle5,68743.51%

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Both Gregoire and Rossi ran as centrists and promised to change the political landscape in Washington, and both made job and economic growth the centerpiece of their campaigns.

The Rossi campaign presented its own job growth plan, and stated that 20 years of Democratic governors were to blame for the economic troubles in the state. However, during the general election he was criticized for a strongly conservative voting record that was at odds with his moderate campaign posture. Rossi was also criticized for his long-time professional association with areal estate broker convicted of fraud, and for allegedrésumé embellishments. Rossi had worked againstRoe v. Wade, attacked opponents for supportinggay rights, and proclaimed thatcreationism should be taught inpublic schools. Rossi campaigned on beinganti-abortion and in favor of state and federal Constitutional Amendments that would ban certain benefits for gay couples. He downplayed his long history of conservative comments and claimed to be a "fiscal moderate with a social conscience." Rossi would not publicly state his opinion overstem cell research.

The Gregoire campaign promised to boost job growth in the state which had slowed greatly after thedot-com bubble burst in 2000, to improveeducation, and to increase access tohealth care. It also focused on Gregoire's record of challenging bigtobacco andpharmaceutical companies in her tenure as state attorney general. Gregoire also proposed a major state-led initiative in life sciences, especially stem cell research, where she proposed investing US$500 million of a tobacco settlement the state hoped to receive in 2008. Her economic plan for the state focused on improving state infrastructure and improving the quality of education in the state, which she claimed would attract investors. Gregoire also stated that she believed Washington residents should be allowed to buyprescription medicine from Canada, while Rossi said that he needed to be convinced it "was safe".[7] Gregoire was criticized for being a part of the state government establishment, but tried to counter Rossi's "time for a change" message by saying that she would "blow past thebureaucracy" and bring change herself. This language surprised and disappointed many of her colleagues and supporters, who saw it as a failure to give mention or credit to the efforts and achievements of past Democratic governors.

Gregoire was also strongly criticized in manyattack ads for an incident which occurred in 2000, when Gregoire's office failed to file documents on time to appeal a record $17.8 million personal-injury verdict against Washington. Documents from an independent investigation conducted at the time of the incident show that Gregoire's deputies attempted to influence who was listed as responsible for the missed deadline. A further case Gregoire was strongly criticized for occurred in 2002 during awrongful death lawsuit when Gregoire's office did not detect an error in jury instructions. The state was forced to pay $22.4 million to theplaintiff. While Gregoire was not directly responsible for these offenses, the Rossi campaign claimed that she had already cost Washingtontaxpayers millions of dollars and was negligent.

Rossi won the endorsement of the Republican Party, theNational Rifle Association of America,The Seattle Times, several business and medical associations, and former governorDan Evans. Gregoire received the endorsement of the Democratic Party,GLAAD, theSeattle Post-Intelligencer,abortion rights organizations, and all the previous Democratic governors of the state. However, the Republican Party decided not to fund ads for Rossi in the state as polls leading up to the election date showed Gregoire with a clear lead.[8] Almost all of Rossi's ads were paid for and created by outside sources, although as Gregoire's lead narrowed closer to the election date, the Republican Party ultimately decided to launch a series of advertisements for Rossi.

Ruth Bennett's campaign focused on permittingsame-sex marriage in the state andeconomic liberalization in line with the political philosophy oflibertarianism. She also recommended equally dividing the state budget among the counties and allowing the counties to establish tax systems on a county-by-county basis, ultimately leading to a diminished role of Washington's Department of Revenue.

Gregoire led in almost all polls conducted leading up to the election, but Rossi was able to close in on her late in the race and won considerable support fromEastern Washington. He also ran much stronger than expected inSnohomish andPierce Counties. Gregoire received strong support (nearly a three-to-two margin) from the largest county in the state,King County, which includes heavily DemocraticSeattle. During the initial ballot count, the lead changed hands several times.

2004 gubernatorial election county map of Washington. Map does not show population or percentile.
  Won by Rossi
  Won by Gregoire

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9]Lean R(flip)November 1, 2004

Endorsements

[edit]
Dino Rossi (R)

Newspapers

Polling

[edit]

% supportDate010203040506010/16/200410/27/2004Christine Gregoire (D)Dino Rossi (R)Other/UndecidedPolling results for the 2004 Washington gube...

PollsterDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Christine
Gregoire (D)
Dino
Rossi (R)
Other /
Undecided
Reference
SurveyUSAOctober 29–31, 2004620 (LV)± 4.0%45%51%4%[11]
Strategic VisionOctober 24–27, 2004801 (LV)± 3.0%47%42%11%[12]
Mason-DixonOctober 25–26, 2004800 (RV)± 3.5%48%43%9%[12]
Elway PollOctober 14–16, 2004405 (RV)± 5.0%45%38%17%[12]

Candidates

[edit]

Debates

[edit]

Initial results

[edit]

Washington was unusual for a U.S. state in that it only required that an absentee ballot be postmarked by the day of the election to be valid, while most other states required the ballot to have arrived at the election office by that time. Due to this as well as the state's high number of absentee ballots—more than 60% of all King County voters voted absentee—the initial result of the election was not known until November 17, the last day under state law for election results to be certified by each county's election officials.

The initial result, as reported bySecretary of StateSam Reed, showed Rossi with a lead of 261 votes, well within the margin for an automatic machine recount pursuant to Washington state law (less than 0.5% and less than 2,000 votes). After a statewide recount completed on November 24, Rossi again came away with the lead, this time by 42 votes.[13]

Manual recount

[edit]

After Rossi was certified as the victor on November 29, theWashington State Secretary of State said that "a manual recount was almost a certainty." This view was shared by the Gregoire campaign, with campaign spokesman Morton Brilliant saying that "if all the ballots aren't counted, we will go through the next four years with one candidate's supporters not believing the winner was legitimately elected." and that it was "worth taking three weeks to have four years of legitimacy, and that's what is at stake."[14]

In Washington, a candidate may request one hand count or machine count, provided that they pay for the estimated cost of the recount up front.[15] If a manual recount overturns the outcome of an election, the state will then refund the money to the candidate.[15] On December 3, theWashington State Democratic Party gave a $730,000 check to the Secretary of State for the statewide manual recount of nearly 3 million ballots.[15] The Secretary of State issued the order for a recount on Monday, December 6. The next day, attorneys for the Democratic Party and the Secretary of State argued before theWashington State Supreme Court over terms for the recount.[13] The Democrats argued for a universal standard to be applied to the manual recount, and for the retabulation of votes over simply recanvassing them.[13] Attorneys for the Secretary of State replied saying that any retabulation of votes would be a violation of state election laws and theWashington State Constitution.[13] Two days later, the Supreme Court issued their opinion and rejected universal standards in the statewide recount.[16]

Discovered ballots

[edit]

King County Council ChairmanLarry Phillips was at a Democratic Party office in Seattle on Sunday December 12, reviewing a list of voters whose absentee votes had been rejected due to signature problems, when to his surprise he found his own name listed. Phillips said he was certain he had filled out and signed his ballot correctly, and asked the county election officials to investigate the discrepancy. They discovered that Phillips' signature had somehow failed to be scanned into the election computer system after he submitted his request for an absentee ballot. Election workers claimed that they had received Phillips' absentee ballot in the mail, but they could not find his signature in the computer system to compare to the one on the ballot envelope, so they mistakenly rejected the ballot instead of following the standard procedure of checking it against the signature of Phillips' physical voter registration card that was on file. The discovery prompted King County Director of Elections Dean Logan to order his staff to search the computers to see if any other ballots had been incorrectly rejected.

Logan announced on December 13 that 561 absentee ballots in the county had been wrongly rejected due to anadministrative error.[17] The next day, workers retrieving voting machines from precinct storage found an additional 12 ballots, bringing the total to 573 newly discovered ballots. Logan admitted the lost ballots were an oversight on the part of his department, and insisted that the found ballots be counted. On December 15, the King County Canvassing Board voted 2–1 in favor of counting the discovered ballots.

Upon examination of the discovered ballots, it was further discovered that, with the exception of two ballots, none of the ballots had been cast by voters whose surnames began with the letters A, B, or C.[18] There was a further search for more ballots, and on December 17, county workers discovered a tray in a warehouse with an additional 162 previously uncounted ballots.[18] All together, 735 uncounted or improperly rejected ballots were discovered in King County during the manual hand recount.

Chairman of the Washington State Republican PartyChris Vance stated that he was "absolutely convinced that King County is trying to steal this election." The National Rifle Association, which had endorsed Rossi, sent a masse-mail on December 14 to its members asking for volunteers to go to King County in order to sit in on the county elections office and observe the recount.

The Washington State Republican Party filed a restraining order in Pierce County District Court, requesting an injunction against King County to block the tabulation of the uncounted ballots.[19] The request was granted on December 17, but Democrats appealed to the Supreme Court. On December 22, the court ruled against the Republican Party and overturned the restraining order, allowing King County to count all ballots.[19] The next day, Sam Reed issued a statement explaining the process for certification of the uncounted ballots and the standards for fair voting practices in the state.[20]

After all other counties submitted their recount votes, it was revealed on December 20 that at least five other counties besides King County had included ballots that had been discovered after the initial count. For example,Snohomish County included 224 missed ballots that had been discovered underneathmail trays. The outcome of the State Supreme Court hearing regarding King County's votes could have potentially affected those counties' counts as well.

Final results

[edit]

The state Democratic party claimed on December 21 that the result of the manual recount, including King County's votes, placed Gregoire ahead by eight votes across the state. Later, on December 22, the preliminary recount results put Gregoire at a ten-vote lead.

Washington state law allows for election officials to evaluate voter intent and correct ballots so that the machines can properly read them. For example, on aScantron or other optical ballot, an election official might fill in a circle that was not properly marked so that the machine may record the vote. Republicans filed a federal lawsuit to stop the visual examination of ballots, claiming that it is not allowed under federal law (Equal Protection clause of the 14th Amendment). The Republican Party was contending that the method King County was using was different from that of other counties, therefore treating voters in King County differently from those in others. However, the court ruled that this was not the case, as King County was counting their ballots in a manner similar to that of other counties.

A Pierce County Superior Court judge ruled that ballots should not be counted, but on December 22, the Supreme Court ruled unanimously that counties explicitly have the ability to correct ballot consideration errors made during earlier counts. Of those 732 ballots, 566 were accepted as having valid signatures and were added to the existing total on December 23. The final results of the hand count, as of December 23,[21] had Christine Gregoire ahead by 130 votes, which was later revised to 129 when it was discovered thatThurston County had added a vote after certification had been completed.[22] Since the recount results were in favor of the party requesting the recount, the Democrats were reimbursed the recount costs they had advanced to the state.

The Republicans were already preparing for further legal action before the final tally was announced by canvassing Republican voters whose ballots had been rejected. On December 29, Rossi called for a re-vote, saying that "this election has been a total mess" and that a "revote would be the best solution for the people of our state and would give us a legitimate governorship". This solution had been rejected by the Democrats and Republican Secretary of StateSam Reed because Washington's election law contains no re-vote provision, which left a lawsuit the only other option. Reed officially certified the results of the manual recount on December 30, declaring Gregoire the governor-elect.

Results of recount

[edit]
2004 Washington gubernatorial election[23]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticChristine Gregoire1,373,36148.87−9.51
RepublicanDino Rossi1,373,23248.87+9.19
LibertarianRuth Bennett63,4652.26+0.32
Total votes2,810,058100.00N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
County[23]Christine Gregoire

Democratic

Dino Rossi

Republican

Ruth Bennett

Libertarian

MarginTotal
%#%#%#%#
Adams30.03%1,52968.38%3,4811.59%81–38.34%–1,9525,091
Asotin40.87%3,53056.89%4,9142.23%193–16.02%–1,3848,637
Benton30.12%19,83468.18%44,8951.70%1,118–38.06%–25,06165,847
Chelan34.70%10,07763.50%18,4381.80%523–28.79%–8,36129,038
Clallam45.10%16,23052.34%18,8362.56%920–7.24%–2,60635,986
Clark44.71%72,82852.75%85,9242.53%4,123–8.04%–13,096162,875
Columbia32.28%67165.95%1,3711.78%37–33.67%–7002,079
Cowlitz48.87%20,20448.48%20,0452.65%1,0940.38%15941,343
Douglas32.92%4,36065.43%8,6671.65%219–32.52%–4,30713,246
Ferry38.77%1,27857.65%1,9003.58%118–18.87%–6223,296
Franklin31.42%4,97767.14%10,6341.43%227–35.72%–5,65715,838
Garfield33.10%42864.97%8401.93%25–31.86%–4121,293
Grant30.33%7,82167.60%17,4312.07%535–37.27%–9,61025,787
Grays Harbor49.45%13,72948.47%13,4572.07%5750.98%27227,761
Island44.80%16,89553.04%20,0002.16%814–8.23%–3,10537,709
Jefferson57.85%10,65039.62%7,2952.53%46618.22%3,35518,411
King57.75%506,19440.08%351,3062.16%18,95217.67%154,888876,452
Kitsap48.02%56,23649.33%57,7752.64%3,097–1.31%–1,539117,108
Kittitas38.36%6,12559.91%9,5671.73%277–21.55%–3,44215,969
Klickitat43.78%3,91953.26%4,7672.96%265–9.47%–8488,951
Lewis32.17%10,24765.46%20,8512.38%757–33.29%–10,60431,855
Lincoln32.82%1,85065.40%3,6861.77%100–32.58%–1,8365,636
Mason47.20%11,79750.08%12,5192.72%680–2.89%–72224,996
Okanogan38.09%6,10759.00%9,4602.92%468–20.91%–3,35316,035
Pacific50.90%5,21046.21%4,7302.89%2964.69%48010,236
Pend Oreille41.99%2,56755.09%3,3682.93%179–13.10%–8016,114
Pierce46.82%145,43150.84%157,9052.34%7,255–4.02%–12,474310,591
San Juan59.60%5,87237.15%3,6603.25%32022.45%2,2129,852
Skagit44.94%23,25052.61%27,2192.44%1,264–7.67%–3,96951,733
Skamania45.24%2,23351.15%2,5253.61%178–5.92%–2924,936
Snohomish47.72%139,18949.93%145,6282.35%6,861–2.21%–6,439291,678
Spokane45.28%90,58152.78%105,5841.94%3,881–7.50%–15,003200,046
Stevens35.22%6,99261.93%12,2952.85%566–26.71%–5,30319,853
Thurston53.14%58,97044.54%49,4262.32%2,5758.60%9,544110,971
Wahkiakum46.12%99351.05%1,0992.83%61–4.92%–1062,153
Walla Walla35.31%8,00863.02%14,2901.67%378–27.70%–6,28222,676
Whatcom49.94%44,07247.59%42,0002.47%2,1792.35%2,07288,251
Whitman44.02%7,72253.38%9,3652.60%457–9.37%–1,64317,544
Yakima34.29%24,75563.83%46,0791.87%1,351–29.54%–21,32472,185
Total48.87%1,373,36148.87%1,373,2322.26%63,4650.00%1292,810,058
CountyChristine Gregoire (D)Dino Rossi (R)Ruth Bennett (L)
Initial
result1
Machine
recount2
Manual
recount3
Gain /
loss
Initial
result1
Machine
recount2
Manual
recount3
Gain /
loss
Initial
result1
Machine
recount2
Manual
recount3
Gain /
loss
Adams1,5171,5291,52903,4593,4863,481-57981810
Asotin3,5243,5253,530+54,9054,9044,914+101931931930
Benton19,83019,83119,834+344,88844,89044,895+51,1191,1181,1180
Chelan10,07410,07710,077018,43618,43718,438+15235235230
Clallam16,22516,22616,230+418,83118,83218,836+4919919920+1
Clark72,79772,80072,828+2885,88785,89485,924+304,1234,1234,1230
Columbia67067167101,3701,3701,371+13737370
Cowlitz20,23620,20720,204-320,08720,04720,045-21,0941,0931,094+1
Douglas4,3574,3594,360+18,6628,6668,667+12182192190
Ferry1,2751,2781,27801,8981,9001,90001181181180
Franklin4,9684,9674,977+1010,61810,61910,634+152262272270
Garfield427428428083984084002525250
Grant7,8007,8267,821-517,38517,42917,431+25345355350
Grays Harbor13,71313,71913,729+1013,44413,44913,457+85755755750
Island16,88816,88816,895+719,99219,99720,000+38148148140
Jefferson10,64110,64210,650+87,2937,2897,295+64654664660
King505,243505,836506,194+358350,779351,127351,306+17918,90618,93618,952+16
Kitsap56,14956,16456,236+7257,71257,69357,775+823,0973,0903,097+7
Kittitas6,1066,1256,12509,5419,5679,56702752772770
Klickitat3,9193,9193,91904,7664,7674,76702652652650
Lewis10,24310,24510,247+220,83820,84220,851+9756756757+1
Lincoln1,8501,8501,85003,6853,6863,68601001001000
Mason11,78711,78811,797+912,50512,50712,519+12681682680-2
Okanogan6,1006,1016,107+69,4519,4509,460+10465465468+3
Pacific5,2095,2105,21004,7304,7304,7300295295296+1
Pend Oreille2,5612,5672,56703,3643,3663,368+21791791790
Pierce144,957145,199145,431+232157,443157,704157,905+2017,2307,2417,255+14
San Juan5,8725,8725,87203,6613,6603,6600320321320-1
Skagit23,19523,26623,250-1627,13527,22427,219-51,2601,2671,264-3
Skamania2,2322,2322,233+12,5222,5222,525+31781781780
Snohomish138,939139,070139,189+119145,423145,553145,628+756,8426,8526,861+9
Spokane90,45290,57390,581+8105,435105,569105,584+153,8723,8783,881+3
Stevens6,9926,9926,992012,29312,29312,295+25665665660
Thurston58,95358,95558,970+1549,40949,41349,426+132,5742,5752,5750
Wahkiakum99399399301,0991,1001,099-16161610
Walla Walla7,9478,0068,008+214,24014,27714,290+13376381378-3
Whatcom44,05344,05644,072+1641,97841,97842,000+222,1772,1772,179+2
Whitman7,7247.7157,722+79,3679,3639,365+24584574570
Yakima24,73524,73524,755+2046,04446,04446,079+351,3511,3511,3510
Totals1,371,153
(48.86%)
1,372,442
(48.8702%)
1,373,361
(48.8730%)
+9191,371,414
(48.87%)
1,372,484
(48.8717%)
1,373,232
(48.8685%)
+74863,346
(2.25%)
63,416
(2.2581%)
63,465
(2.2585%)
+49
Sources:
1"Initial results". Washington Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on September 7, 2006. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
2"First Recount Results". Washington Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on February 14, 2007. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
3"Second Recount Results". Washington Secretary of State. Archived fromthe original on February 14, 2007. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
[edit]
Swing by county
Legend
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5-10%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
  •   Democratic — +>15%
  •   Democratic — +10-12.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +5-7.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5-5%
  •   Democratic — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +0-2.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5-5%
  •   Republican — +5-7.5%
  •   Republican — +10-12.5%
  •   Republican — +12.5-15%
  •   Republican — +>15%
County flips
Legend
  • Democratic

      Hold

    Republican

      Hold
      Gain from Democratic

Aftermath

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Republican leaders in Washington claimed there were enough disputed votes to change the outcome of the election and filed a lawsuit inChelan County Superior Court in order to avoid having the case heard in the more liberalWestern Washington counties.[24][25] King County's election department (the greater Seattle area) was also targeted for how they handled the ballots, including untracked use of a "ballot-on-demand" printing machine. Also, ballots in six counties were discovered after the initial count and included in the recounts, the most being from King County. The judge hearing the lawsuit ruled that the Party did not provide enough evidence that the disputed votes were ineligible votes, or for whom they were cast, to enable the court to overturn the election.

Controversy over the election's outcome continued after the certification of the hand recount results. The Washington State Republican Party called into question the discrepancy between the list of voters castingballots in King County (895,660) and the number of ballots reported in the final hand recount (899,199). They claimed that hundreds of votes, including votes by felons,[26] deceased voters,[27] and double voters,[27] were included in the canvass. As an explanation, election officials claimed that they had yet to finalize the list at the time, and argued that discrepancies in the two numbers are common and do not necessarily indicate fraud. As the election officials had expected, once the two lists were completed on January 5, the two numbers were indeed very close to one another. Also on January 5, 2005, theSeattle Post-Intelligencer published an article investigating votes in King County apparently cast by dead people.[28] The PI uncovered eight cases of votes attributed to dead people; these included one administrative error, two ballots cast by the spouses of recently deceased voters (one who voted against Gregoire), one case of a husband apparently voting his dead wife's ballot instead of his own, and a man who legally voted his absentee ballot and then died before election day. One dead woman was marked as having voted in person at the polls.[28]

By law, the result of the election can be contested by any individual who files suit at any time up to 10 days after any inauguration, thereby making January 22 the latest date to have filed any suit. Two private citizens filed challenges to the election on January 6: Daniel P. Stevens ofFall City and Arthur Coday Jr. ofShoreline. The Republican party filed a suit on January 7 inChelan County claiming that voters had been deprived of their right to a "free and fair election", and demanding a revote byspecial election. While the evidence focused especially on problems in King County, adjacent Chelan was chosen as the venue because it was more solidly Republican and the GOP questioned the ability of King County judges to rule impartially in such a case.[29]

Neither suit asked for Gregoire's inauguration to be delayed, allowing governor Gary Locke to leave his post as scheduled.[29] Gregoire was inaugurated on January 12. On February 4, JudgeJohn E. Bridges, assigned by Chelan County to preside over the case, ruled that the court did not have the authority to order a re-election.[30] However, in the same ruling, he also rejected the Democrats' argument that only the state legislature, which then had a Democratic majority, and not the court, had the sole authority to decide whether an election was invalid, thereby indicating that he intended to proceed to trial.[30] Both sides declared victory over this early pre-trial ruling.[30]

The Republicans presented data showing discrepancies in absentee ballot counts from 11 King County precincts. In some precincts, the county tallied moremail-in ballots than there were voters recorded as having voted by mail. In others, the opposite occurred—the county recorded more voters than ballots. The proof that ballots were fabricated for Democrats, Republican attorneys argued, is that four of the five precincts with the most excess mail-in ballots backed Gregoire. And as proof that ballots were misplaced or destroyed to harm Republicans, they pointed to the fact that four of the six precincts in which the most mail-in votes cannot be accounted for backed Republican Dino Rossi.

Additionally, the Republicans contended that King County was three days past its federally mandated due date of October 10 to send out its absentee ballots to overseas military personnel, widely considered more likely to vote Republican. TheUnited States Postal ServiceBulk Permit #1455 was used to mail 1,605 ballots on October 2, and 28,000 on October 13. The Republicans claimed that the delay may have prevented military service people from voting, thereby skewing the results in King County. On air, local talk radio hostBryan Suits claimed that his vote in particular was not counted while he performed military service in Iraq.

On February 19 Judge Bridges denied the Democratic motion calling for the challengers' burden of proof to include a comprehensive list of disputed ballots cast for each candidate. The Republicans acknowledged that such an exhaustive list would be impossible to complete, but continued to argue that the volume of illegal ballots, and the electoral tendencies of the counties in which they were cast, demonstrated a strong likelihood that the illegal ballots had led to Gregoire's victory. On February 26, as a part of the Republican suit, Rossi's legal team produced a list of 1,135felons,deceased people, or people who allegedlyvoted twice, whomattorneys claimed influenced the outcome. A substantial number of the felon-voters were convicted as juveniles and were legally permitted to vote.[31] Conservative columnists suggested that felons were more likely to vote for Gregoire. Most of the felon-voters resided in counties won by Rossi.

As a solution to the problem of the illegal voters, the Republicans proposed a solution of "proportional reduction". Republicans claimed that it should be assumed that illegal votes were cast in the same percentages as other votes in the same precinct. For example, in a precinct where Gregoire won 60% of the vote, it would have been assumed that she received 60% of the illegal vote as well, and those votes would be subtracted from her total for the precinct. The Democrats countered that the Republicans' proposal was statistically invalid, an example of theecological fallacy, and the best solution would be to call each of the felons into court and ask them to swear under oath which political candidate they voted for, after which time their vote would be removed from the total.[32]

The trial began on May 23, with both sides presenting their evidence of manipulation. On June 6, 2005, JudgeJohn E. Bridges ruled that the Republican party did not provide enough evidence that the disputed votes were ineligible—or for whom they were cast—to overturn the election.[33] Judge Bridges noted that there was evidence that 1,678 votes had been illegally cast throughout the state,[34] but found that the only evidence submitted to show how those votes had been cast were sworn statements from four felons that they had voted for Rossi.[34] He stated that the judiciary should exercise restraint; "unless an election is clearly invalid, when the people have spoken, their verdict should not be disturbed by the court."[35] Nullifying the election, Bridges said, would be "the ultimate act of judicial egotism and judicial activism."[25] He also concluded that according to his interpretation of the Washington Administrative Code, "voters who improperly castprovisional ballots should not be disenfranchised." He also rejected all claims of fraud and the Republican Party's statistical analysis, concluding that the expert testimony of the Republican party was "not helpful" and that the proportional reduction theory was not supported under any law in the state. Striking another blow against Rossi's court case, he stated that "the court is more inclined to believe that Gregoire would have prevailed under statistical analysis theory", rejecting the Rossi campaign's claim that improperly cast ballots led to Gregoire's victory.[33]

Bridges did accept the claim that some people voted illegally in the election, but said there was little proof of which candidate benefited from those votes. He ruled that 1,678 illegal votes should be subtracted from the total number of votes cast.[35] Bridges also removed five votes from the final count for two of the candidates: four for Rossi and one for Ruth Bennett.[36] No evidence was brought before the court of any of the illegal votes benefitted Gregoire.[36] The final margin of victory for Gregoire over Rossi was 133 votes.[37] Rossi did not appeal to the state Supreme Court[38] and the Washington State Republican party settled the case after paying $15,000 in court costs to the Democrats.[39]

Judge Bridges' ruling was seen as a comprehensive defeat for Rossi. The judge admitted nearly every piece of evidence the Republican Party offered and then wrote a thorough, tough opinion rejecting the Republicans' claims (while criticizing the administration of the election, particularly in King County); Rossi was left with very little legal ground for a successful appeal. After receiving such a negative verdict, Rossi declined to appeal to the State Supreme Court, claiming that the political makeup of the Court would make it impossible for him to win, thereby ending all legal challenges to the election of Gregoire as the Governor of Washington.[35]

The 2004 election became a focus of media attention again in early 2007 when news broke that eight federal prosecutors includingJohn McKay, U.S. Attorney for the Western District of Washington,had been fired. Republicans had hoped that after the election McKay would begin a federal investigation into alleged voter fraud, but he did not; McKay stated afterward that he would not convene a grand jury for purely political reasons and emphasized he had not seen any evidence of voter fraud in the Governor's race.[40]

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Borders et al. v. King County et al". SeattleWeekly.com. Archived fromthe original on May 25, 2006. RetrievedJune 23, 2006.
  2. ^"Elections for partisan offices". Washington State Secretary of State Office. Archived fromthe original on September 7, 2006. RetrievedJune 23, 2006.
  3. ^"Top-Two Primary Litigation". Washington State Secretary of State Office. Archived fromthe original on June 1, 2006. RetrievedJune 23, 2006.
  4. ^Gilmore, Susan (July 16, 2005)."Judge tosses state's new primary". The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on June 9, 2012. RetrievedJune 23, 2006.
  5. ^La Corte, Rachel (July 21, 2005)."This year's primary unaffected by appeal". The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on September 11, 2007. RetrievedJune 23, 2006.
  6. ^"The Stranger". The Stranger. Archived fromthe original on August 20, 2008.
  7. ^Galloway, Angela (October 21, 2004)."Candidates for governor far apart on health-care issue". Seattle Post-Intelligencer.
  8. ^Connelly, Joel (October 11, 2004)."In The Northwest: National GOP campaign against Gregoire slow to start". Seattle Post-Intelligencer.Archived from the original on October 21, 2012.
  9. ^"The Final Predictions".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  10. ^Editorial Board, The Seattle Times (October 31, 2004)."The Seattle Times endorses ..."The Seattle Times. RetrievedNovember 18, 2025.
  11. ^"2004 SurveyUSA Election Polls".SurveyUSA. November 1, 2004. RetrievedJune 22, 2022.
  12. ^abcAmmons, David (October 29, 2004)."Polls show Democrats ahead".The News Tribune. Tacoma, Washington. Associated Press. p. 18. RetrievedJune 22, 2022 – via Newspapers.com.
  13. ^abcdKenneth P. Vogel (December 8, 2004)."Election mess heads to court".The News Tribune. RetrievedAugust 11, 2008.[permanent dead link]
  14. ^"Another recount looms as Rossi certified".USA Today. Associated Press. November 30, 2004. RetrievedOctober 2, 2016.
  15. ^abcAndrew Garber (December 3, 2004)."Democrats will finance a statewide hand recount".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on July 24, 2008. RetrievedAugust 10, 2008.
  16. ^Washington State Democratic Central Committee v. Secretary of State Sam Reed, et al. (Washington State Supreme Court 2004), Text.
  17. ^"List of rejected King County ballots".The Seattle Times. December 14, 2004. Archived fromthe original on June 19, 2008. RetrievedAugust 11, 2008.
  18. ^abKeith Ervin (December 17, 2004)."Up to 162 ballots missing".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on December 29, 2004. RetrievedAugust 10, 2008.
  19. ^abSusan Gilmore (December 23, 2004)."Focus turns to canvassing board".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on February 11, 2007. RetrievedAugust 11, 2008.
  20. ^Sam Reed (December 23, 2004)."Standards in place for a fair recount".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on December 30, 2004. RetrievedAugust 11, 2008.
  21. ^Elaine Thompson (December 23, 2004)."Democrat wins hand recount in Wash. governor race".The Associated Press. Archived fromthe original on February 5, 2013. RetrievedAugust 6, 2008.
  22. ^Ralph Thomas (December 30, 2004)."Gregoire declared governor-elect, but Rossi wants new vote".The Seattle Times.Archived from the original on September 10, 2012. RetrievedAugust 6, 2008.
  23. ^abReed, Sam (November 2, 2004)."Elections Search Results November 2004 General Governor".Secretary of State of Washington.Archived from the original on September 7, 2025. RetrievedJanuary 20, 2026.
  24. ^Sanders, Eli (January 8, 2005)."Washington Lawsuit Disputes Results of Race for Governor".The New York Times. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2009.
  25. ^abNusbaum, Eric (September 10, 2024)."How Washington's 2004 Election Made History".Seattle Met. RetrievedNovember 30, 2024.
  26. ^David Postman (January 29, 2005)."Republicans say they've found 249 more felons who voted".The Seattle Times. RetrievedAugust 6, 2008.
  27. ^abDavid Postman (January 27, 2005)."GOP says it found 300 illegal votes".The Seattle Times. RetrievedAugust 6, 2008.
  28. ^abLe, Phuong Cat; Nicolosi, Michelle (January 7, 2005)."Dead voted in governor's race".Seattle Post-Intelligencer. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  29. ^abPostman, David; Gilmore, Susan; Ervin, Keith (January 7, 2005)."GOP suit doesn't ask to prevent swearing-in".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on June 16, 2008. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  30. ^abcKamb, Lewis (February 5, 2005)."Judge: No revote in governor dispute".Seattle Post-Intelligencer. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  31. ^Postman, David (March 17, 2005)."GOP's felon list may be way off".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on December 1, 2008. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  32. ^Christopher Adolph (May 12, 2005)."Report on the 2004 Washington Gubernatorial Election". Expert witness report to the Chelan County Superior Court in Borders et al v. King County et al.
  33. ^abSharon Altaras (June 6, 2005)."Judge upholds Gregoire's election". Wenatchee World. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.[permanent dead link]
  34. ^abSharon Altaras (June 7, 2005)."Dems ecstatic, judge back to business as usual".Wenatchee World. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.[permanent dead link]
  35. ^abcPostman, David (June 6, 2005)."Rossi will not appeal election ruling".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on July 6, 2008. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  36. ^abPostman, David (June 6, 2005)."Election trial dispatches".The Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on August 4, 2008. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  37. ^Amy Argetsinger (June 7, 2005)."Judge Upholds Win For Wash. Governor".The Washington Post. RetrievedAugust 6, 2008.
  38. ^"Rossi won't take fight any further: Future could hold challenge".Associated Press. June 7, 2005. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.[permanent dead link]
  39. ^"GOP pays $15,000 to Democrats for court costs: Settlement negotiated in governor election dispute".Wenatchee World.Associated Press. June 28, 2005. Archived fromthe original on November 8, 2018. RetrievedAugust 7, 2008.
  40. ^Bowermaster, David (March 13, 2007)."McKay "stunned" by report on Bush". Seattle Times. Archived fromthe original on March 16, 2007. RetrievedMarch 19, 2007.

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