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| Turnout | 66.32% [1] 3.29pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Congressional district results Precinct results
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The2004 United States presidential election in Tennessee was held on November 2, 2004, and was part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 11 representatives, or electors, to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.
Tennessee was won by incumbent PresidentGeorge W. Bush by a 14.30% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise ared state. In the past 14 presidential elections, the Republican nominee won ten of them. The state trended more Republican by 10.43 points from Bush's performance in2000. Bush won most of the counties and congressional districts in the state. Third-party and independent candidates made up just 0.68% of the vote.
As of2024, this is the last time that the following counties have voted Democratic in a presidential election:Trousdale County,Humphreys County,Grundy County,Lake County,Benton County,Overton County,Smith County,Lauderdale County,Van Buren County,Stewart County,Perry County, andClay County.
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85Democratic National Convention delegates (69 pledged, 16 unpledged) The number of pledged delegates received is determined by the popular vote | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results by county Kerry 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% Edwards 30–40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
The 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004.John Kerry won with 41.0% of the vote and was awarded 31 delegates.John Edwards came second with 26.5% of the vote and 20 delegates.Wesley Clark came third with 23.1% of the vote and 18 delegates. All other candidates did not receive any delegates
| 2004 Tennessee Democratic presidential primary[2] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Delegates[3] | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | 151,527 | 41.02% | 31 | |
| Democratic | John Edwards | 97,914 | 26.51% | 20 | |
| Democratic | Wesley Clark | 85,315 | 23.10% | 18 | |
| Democratic | Howard Dean(withdrawn) | 16,128 | 4.37% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Al Sharpton | 6,107 | 1.65% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Joe Lieberman | 3,213 | 0.87% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Uncommitted | 2,727 | 0.74% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Carol Moseley Braun(withdrawn) | 2,490 | 0.67% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Dennis Kucinich | 2,279 | 0.62% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Dick Gephardt(withdrawn) | 1,402 | 0.38% | 0 | |
| Democratic | Lyndon LaRouche | 283 | 0.08% | 0 | |
| Totals | 626,738 | 100.00% | 69 | ||
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.svg) Results by county Bush: 85% 90% 95% | |||||||||||||||||||
The 2004 Tennessee Republican presidential primary was held on February 10, 2004. Incumbent presidentGeorge W. Bush won the primary and all of the state's delegates.
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
|---|---|---|---|
| George W. Bush(incumbent) | 94,557 | 95.45% | 52 |
| Write-ins | 4,504 | 4.55% | |
| Total | 99,061 | 100% | 52 |
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[5]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Lean R |
| Associated Press | Lean R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Cook Political Report | Lean R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| New York Times | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |
Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each with at least 49%. The final 3 polls averaged Bush leading 56% to 40%.[6]
Bush raised $4,636,916.[7] Kerry raised $1,187,742.[8]
Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[9][10]
| United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2004[11] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | George W. Bush(incumbent) | Dick Cheney(incumbent) | 1,384,375 | 56.81% | 11 | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | John Edwards | 1,036,477 | 42.51% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Peter Camejo | 8,992 | 0.37% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | Richard Campagna | 4,866 | 0.20% | 0 | |
| Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | Chuck Baldwin | 2,570 | 0.11% | 0 | |
| Green Party | David Cobb | Pat LaMarche | 33 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Socialist | Walt Brown | Mary Alice Herbert | 6 | 0.00% | 0 | |
| Totals | 2,437,919 | 100.00% | 11 | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 54.8% | |||||
| County | George W. Bush Republican | John Kerry Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Anderson | 18,510 | 58.42% | 12,896 | 40.70% | 276 | 0.87% | 5,614 | 17.72% | 31,682 |
| Bedford | 8,351 | 60.93% | 5,268 | 38.44% | 87 | 0.63% | 3,083 | 22.49% | 13,706 |
| Benton | 3,161 | 44.58% | 3,869 | 54.57% | 60 | 0.85% | -708 | -9.99% | 7,090 |
| Bledsoe | 2,849 | 59.24% | 1,927 | 40.07% | 33 | 0.69% | 922 | 19.17% | 4,809 |
| Blount | 33,241 | 68.24% | 15,047 | 30.89% | 424 | 0.88% | 18,194 | 37.35% | 48,712 |
| Bradley | 25,951 | 72.82% | 9,431 | 26.46% | 255 | 0.72% | 16,520 | 46.36% | 35,637 |
| Campbell | 7,859 | 55.67% | 6,163 | 43.65% | 96 | 0.68% | 1,696 | 12.02% | 14,118 |
| Cannon | 2,931 | 53.48% | 2,515 | 45.89% | 35 | 0.64% | 416 | 7.59% | 5,481 |
| Carroll | 6,605 | 56.18% | 5,070 | 43.12% | 82 | 0.70% | 1,535 | 13.06% | 11,757 |
| Carter | 15,768 | 70.67% | 6,395 | 28.66% | 150 | 0.67% | 9,373 | 42.01% | 22,313 |
| Cheatham | 9,676 | 61.64% | 5,918 | 37.70% | 103 | 0.66% | 3,758 | 23.94% | 15,697 |
| Chester | 4,086 | 64.28% | 2,242 | 35.27% | 29 | 0.45% | 1,844 | 29.01% | 6,357 |
| Claiborne | 6,448 | 61.18% | 4,034 | 38.27% | 58 | 0.55% | 2,414 | 22.91% | 10,540 |
| Clay | 1,650 | 49.15% | 1,675 | 49.90% | 32 | 0.96% | -25 | -0.75% | 3,357 |
| Cocke | 8,297 | 67.40% | 3,935 | 31.96% | 79 | 0.65% | 4,362 | 35.44% | 12,311 |
| Coffee | 11,793 | 58.48% | 8,243 | 40.87% | 131 | 0.65% | 3,550 | 17.61% | 20,167 |
| Crockett | 3,242 | 56.66% | 2,459 | 42.97% | 21 | 0.37% | 783 | 13.69% | 5,722 |
| Cumberland | 15,144 | 64.07% | 8,327 | 35.23% | 166 | 0.70% | 6,817 | 28.84% | 23,637 |
| Davidson | 107,839 | 44.51% | 132,737 | 54.78% | 1,726 | 0.71% | -24,898 | -10.27% | 242,302 |
| Decatur | 2,566 | 52.59% | 2,268 | 46.48% | 45 | 0.92% | 298 | 6.11% | 4,879 |
| DeKalb | 3,685 | 51.37% | 3,445 | 48.03% | 43 | 0.60% | 240 | 3.34% | 7,173 |
| Dickson | 10,567 | 54.76% | 8,597 | 44.55% | 134 | 0.69% | 1,970 | 10.21% | 19,298 |
| Dyer | 8,447 | 61.17% | 5,287 | 38.29% | 75 | 0.54% | 3,160 | 22.88% | 13,809 |
| Fayette | 8,962 | 60.81% | 5,696 | 38.65% | 79 | 0.53% | 3,266 | 22.16% | 14,737 |
| Fentress | 4,293 | 64.07% | 2,371 | 35.39% | 36 | 0.54% | 1,922 | 28.68% | 6,700 |
| Franklin | 9,129 | 53.46% | 7,800 | 45.68% | 148 | 0.87% | 1,329 | 7.78% | 17,077 |
| Gibson | 10,596 | 55.13% | 8,511 | 44.28% | 114 | 0.59% | 2,085 | 10.85% | 19,221 |
| Giles | 6,163 | 53.42% | 5,273 | 45.71% | 101 | 0.87% | 890 | 7.71% | 11,537 |
| Grainger | 4,907 | 65.19% | 2,569 | 34.13% | 51 | 0.68% | 2,338 | 31.06% | 7,527 |
| Greene | 16,382 | 67.71% | 7,635 | 31.56% | 177 | 0.73% | 8,747 | 36.15% | 24,194 |
| Grundy | 2,107 | 42.75% | 2,789 | 56.58% | 33 | 0.67% | -682 | -13.83% | 4,929 |
| Hamblen | 14,742 | 66.05% | 7,433 | 33.30% | 143 | 0.64% | 7,309 | 32.75% | 22,318 |
| Hamilton | 78,547 | 57.36% | 57,302 | 41.85% | 1,087 | 0.79% | 21,245 | 15.51% | 136,936 |
| Hancock | 1,756 | 68.84% | 777 | 30.46% | 18 | 0.69% | 979 | 38.38% | 2,551 |
| Hardeman | 4,704 | 44.95% | 5,685 | 54.32% | 77 | 0.74% | -981 | -9.37% | 10,466 |
| Hardin | 6,087 | 61.15% | 3,834 | 38.52% | 33 | 0.33% | 2,253 | 22.63% | 9,954 |
| Hawkins | 13,447 | 66.46% | 6,684 | 33.04% | 102 | 0.51% | 6,763 | 33.42% | 20,233 |
| Haywood | 3,140 | 41.60% | 4,359 | 57.75% | 49 | 0.65% | -1,219 | -16.15% | 7,548 |
| Henderson | 6,585 | 65.22% | 3,448 | 34.15% | 63 | 0.63% | 3,137 | 31.07% | 10,096 |
| Henry | 7,340 | 55.70% | 5,732 | 43.50% | 105 | 0.80% | 1,608 | 12.20% | 13,177 |
| Hickman | 4,359 | 50.26% | 4,263 | 49.15% | 51 | 0.59% | 96 | 1.11% | 8,673 |
| Houston | 1,440 | 40.02% | 2,126 | 59.09% | 32 | 0.89% | -686 | -19.07% | 3,598 |
| Humphreys | 3,261 | 41.85% | 4,485 | 57.55% | 47 | 0.60% | -1,224 | -15.70% | 7,793 |
| Jackson | 2,026 | 40.07% | 2,998 | 59.30% | 32 | 0.64% | -972 | -19.23% | 5,056 |
| Jefferson | 11,625 | 67.53% | 5,469 | 31.77% | 121 | 0.70% | 6,156 | 35.76% | 17,215 |
| Johnson | 4,634 | 71.51% | 1,812 | 27.96% | 34 | 0.53% | 2,822 | 43.55% | 6,480 |
| Knox | 110,803 | 62.10% | 66,013 | 37.00% | 1,603 | 0.90% | 44,790 | 25.10% | 178,419 |
| Lake | 1,039 | 43.84% | 1,317 | 55.57% | 14 | 0.59% | -278 | -11.73% | 2,370 |
| Lauderdale | 4,164 | 47.96% | 4,474 | 51.53% | 44 | 0.51% | -310 | -3.57% | 8,682 |
| Lawrence | 9,959 | 59.79% | 6,592 | 39.57% | 107 | 0.64% | 3,367 | 20.22% | 16,658 |
| Lewis | 2,819 | 55.78% | 2,192 | 43.37% | 43 | 0.85% | 627 | 12.41% | 5,054 |
| Lincoln | 7,829 | 62.85% | 4,546 | 36.49% | 82 | 0.66% | 3,283 | 26.36% | 12,457 |
| Loudon | 14,041 | 70.69% | 5,708 | 28.74% | 115 | 0.58% | 8,333 | 41.95% | 19,864 |
| McMinn | 11,980 | 66.54% | 5,891 | 32.72% | 132 | 0.73% | 6,089 | 33.82% | 18,003 |
| McNairy | 5,787 | 58.31% | 4,101 | 41.32% | 36 | 0.36% | 1,686 | 16.99% | 9,924 |
| Macon | 4,670 | 62.83% | 2,738 | 36.84% | 25 | 0.34% | 1,932 | 25.99% | 7,433 |
| Madison | 21,679 | 56.05% | 16,840 | 43.54% | 156 | 0.40% | 4,839 | 12.51% | 38,675 |
| Marion | 5,862 | 51.01% | 5,548 | 48.28% | 82 | 0.71% | 314 | 2.73% | 11,492 |
| Marshall | 5,825 | 54.88% | 4,722 | 44.48% | 68 | 0.64% | 1,103 | 10.40% | 10,615 |
| Maury | 17,505 | 58.27% | 12,379 | 41.20% | 159 | 0.53% | 5,126 | 17.07% | 30,043 |
| Meigs | 2,500 | 60.50% | 1,595 | 38.60% | 37 | 0.90% | 905 | 21.90% | 4,132 |
| Monroe | 10,123 | 65.02% | 5,354 | 34.39% | 91 | 0.58% | 4,769 | 30.63% | 15,568 |
| Montgomery | 28,627 | 58.42% | 20,070 | 40.96% | 301 | 0.61% | 8,557 | 17.46% | 48,998 |
| Moore | 1,668 | 60.13% | 1,084 | 39.08% | 22 | 0.79% | 584 | 21.05% | 2,774 |
| Morgan | 4,401 | 59.80% | 2,924 | 39.73% | 35 | 0.48% | 1,477 | 20.07% | 7,360 |
| Obion | 7,859 | 58.06% | 5,549 | 41.00% | 127 | 0.94% | 2,310 | 17.06% | 13,535 |
| Overton | 3,941 | 46.31% | 4,518 | 53.09% | 51 | 0.60% | -577 | -6.78% | 8,510 |
| Perry | 1,522 | 48.32% | 1,579 | 50.13% | 49 | 1.55% | -57 | -1.81% | 3,150 |
| Pickett | 1,600 | 60.49% | 1,033 | 39.05% | 12 | 0.46% | 567 | 21.44% | 2,645 |
| Polk | 3,924 | 58.57% | 2,724 | 40.66% | 52 | 0.77% | 1,200 | 17.91% | 6,700 |
| Putnam | 15,637 | 59.14% | 10,566 | 39.96% | 239 | 0.91% | 5,071 | 19.18% | 26,442 |
| Rhea | 7,301 | 66.05% | 3,665 | 33.16% | 88 | 0.79% | 3,636 | 32.89% | 11,054 |
| Roane | 14,467 | 61.99% | 8,706 | 37.30% | 165 | 0.70% | 5,761 | 24.69% | 23,338 |
| Robertson | 15,331 | 60.54% | 9,865 | 38.96% | 127 | 0.50% | 5,466 | 21.58% | 25,323 |
| Rutherford | 52,200 | 61.84% | 31,647 | 37.49% | 562 | 0.67% | 20,553 | 24.35% | 84,409 |
| Scott | 4,509 | 59.11% | 3,086 | 40.46% | 33 | 0.44% | 1,423 | 18.65% | 7,628 |
| Sequatchie | 2,951 | 59.22% | 1,986 | 39.86% | 46 | 0.92% | 965 | 19.36% | 4,983 |
| Sevier | 22,143 | 71.50% | 8,621 | 27.84% | 206 | 0.67% | 13,522 | 43.66% | 30,970 |
| Shelby | 158,137 | 41.91% | 216,945 | 57.50% | 2,200 | 0.58% | -58,808 | -15.59% | 377,282 |
| Smith | 3,739 | 47.76% | 4,044 | 51.66% | 45 | 0.57% | -305 | -3.90% | 7,828 |
| Stewart | 2,675 | 47.91% | 2,860 | 51.23% | 48 | 0.86% | -185 | -3.32% | 5,583 |
| Sullivan | 42,555 | 67.94% | 19,637 | 31.35% | 447 | 0.72% | 22,918 | 36.59% | 62,639 |
| Sumner | 40,181 | 64.84% | 21,458 | 34.63% | 329 | 0.53% | 18,723 | 30.21% | 61,968 |
| Tipton | 14,178 | 65.41% | 7,379 | 34.04% | 120 | 0.56% | 6,799 | 31.37% | 21,677 |
| Trousdale | 1,314 | 41.18% | 1,851 | 58.01% | 26 | 0.82% | -537 | -16.83% | 3,191 |
| Unicoi | 5,030 | 67.40% | 2,374 | 31.81% | 59 | 0.80% | 2,656 | 35.59% | 7,463 |
| Union | 4,145 | 61.77% | 2,524 | 37.62% | 41 | 0.61% | 1,621 | 24.15% | 6,710 |
| Van Buren | 1,120 | 47.72% | 1,209 | 51.51% | 18 | 0.76% | -89 | -3.79% | 2,347 |
| Warren | 7,503 | 52.10% | 6,808 | 47.28% | 89 | 0.62% | 695 | 4.82% | 14,400 |
| Washington | 29,735 | 66.07% | 14,944 | 33.20% | 327 | 0.73% | 14,791 | 32.87% | 45,006 |
| Wayne | 3,999 | 66.83% | 1,951 | 32.60% | 34 | 0.56% | 2,048 | 34.23% | 5,984 |
| Weakley | 7,817 | 57.92% | 5,588 | 41.40% | 91 | 0.67% | 2,229 | 16.52% | 13,496 |
| White | 5,269 | 55.49% | 4,147 | 43.68% | 79 | 0.84% | 1,122 | 11.81% | 9,495 |
| Williamson | 57,451 | 72.13% | 21,732 | 27.28% | 467 | 0.59% | 35,719 | 44.85% | 79,650 |
| Wilson | 28,924 | 65.07% | 15,277 | 34.37% | 251 | 0.56% | 13,647 | 30.70% | 44,452 |
| Totals | 1,383,336 | 56.81% | 1,035,160 | 42.51% | 16,453 | 0.68% | 348,176 | 14.30% | 2,434,949 |
| Democratic Hold | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic |
Bush won seven of nine congressional districts, including three held by Democrats.[12]
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 68% | 31% | William L Jenkins |
| 2nd | 64% | 35% | John J. Duncan Jr. |
| 3rd | 61% | 38% | Zach Wamp |
| 4th | 58% | 41% | Lincoln Davis |
| 5th | 48% | 52% | Jim Cooper |
| 6th | 60% | 40% | Bart Gordon |
| 7th | 66% | 33% | Marsha Blackburn |
| 8th | 53% | 47% | John S. Tanner |
| 9th | 30% | 70% | Harold Ford Jr. |
Technically the voters of Tennessee cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Tennessee is allocated 11 electors because it has 9congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 11 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 11 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.
The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 9 were pledged to Bush/Cheney:[13]
While the Republicans control slightly more than half of the state, Democrats have strong support in the cities of Memphis and Nashville and in parts of Middle Tennessee and in West Tennessee north and east of Memphis[14] The latter area includes a large ruralAfrican-American population.[15]
Despite Tennessee being a swing state from the1950s to the2000s, it was not seriously contested in 2004. Vice PresidentAl Gore, a formerU.S. Senator from Tennessee, lost his home state in 2000 albeit by a thin margin. The majority of voters support for RepublicanGeorge W. Bush increased in 2004, with his margin of victory in the state increasing from 4% in 2000 to 14% in 2004.[16] SouthernDemocratic nominees (e.g.,Lyndon B. Johnson,Jimmy Carter,Bill Clinton) usually fare better in Tennessee, especially among split-ticket voters outside the metropolitan areas.
As of the2024 presidential election[update], this is the last election in whichTrousdale County,Humphreys County,Grundy County,Lake County,Benton County,Overton County,Smith County,Lauderdale County,Van Buren County,Stewart County,Perry County, andClay County voted for the Democratic candidate, asJohn McCain would outperform Bush in the statefour years later.
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{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election | ||
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