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2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

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Main article:2004 United States presidential election
2004United States presidential election in Oklahoma

← 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 →
Turnout68.3% (of registered voters)
55.6% (of voting age population)
 
NomineeGeorge W. BushJohn Kerry
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateTexasMassachusetts
Running mateDick CheneyJohn Edwards
Electoral vote70
Popular vote959,792503,966
Percentage65.57%34.43%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Bush

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Kerry

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Other

  Tie
  No Vote


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in Oklahoma
Government

The2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose seven representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Oklahoma was won by incumbentPresidentGeorge W. Bush by a 31.14% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered a safered state. Bush won this state, every single county, and congressional district. Giving Bush 65.57% of the vote, it was the most Republican state in the south and Bush's fifth best performance in the country afterUtah,Wyoming,Idaho andNebraska.[1]

Oklahoma has been a Republican-leaning state since1952 and a Republican stronghold since1980. This was the first of six consecutive elections to date in which every county in the state was won by the Republican candidate.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportSolid R
Cook Political ReportSolid R
Research 2000Solid R
Zogby InternationalLikely R
Washington PostLikely R
Washington DispatchLikely R
Washington TimesSolid R
The New York TimesSolid R
CNNLikely R
NewsweekSolid R
Associated PressSolid R
Rasmussen ReportsLikely R

Polling

[edit]

Bush won every single pre-election poll, each with a double-digit margin and with at least 53% of the vote, except for the first poll. Many polls had Bush winning with a 30% margin or even higher. The final 3 poll average had Bush leading 63% to 32%.[3]

Fundraising

[edit]

Bush raised $1,194,549.[4] Kerry raised $357,038.[5]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6][7]

Analysis

[edit]

By 2000, Oklahoma had long been one of the more Republican-leaning states in the South, having been one of only two Southern states to have voted forGerald Ford overJimmy Carter in1976, and having been one of a handful of Southern states never to vote forBill Clinton. In2000, George W. Bush, then the governor of the neighboring state of Texas, carried Oklahoma with a little over 60% of the vote, making it his sixth-best state nationally and his best state in the South that year. However,Al Gore did manage to carry a cluster of traditionally Democratic rural counties in the eastern part of the state.

In 2004, Bush improved his percentage in Oklahoma by a little over 5% and carried every county in the state, the first of six consecutive elections (as of 2024) in which the Republican has swept the state's counties. He performed strongly in both the state's rural areas, and in its two main population centers, getting 64% of the vote in bothOklahoma andTulsa Counties. Only in six counties was Kerry so much as able to hold Bush to a single-digit margin:Cherokee,Choctaw,Coal,McIntosh,Muskogee, andOkmulgee. None of these cast over 30,000 votes. However, in McIntosh County, John Kerry held Bush to a margin of just 2%, which would be the closest any Democrat since Gore came to carrying any Oklahoma county until Joe Biden came within 1.5% of carryingOklahoma County in 2020.

The third-party vote, which had amounted to 1.26% of the total state vote in 2000, disappeared in 2004, as no independent obtained ballot access in the state in 2004. Oklahoma has the toughest laws regarding third-party ballot access,[8] and 2004 was the first of three elections in a row in which only the Democrat and the Republican appeared on the ballot (with write-in votes not allowed).

Results

[edit]
2004 United States presidential election in Oklahoma[9]
PartyCandidateRunning mateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush(incumbent)Dick Cheney(incumbent)959,79265.57%7
DemocraticJohn KerryJohn Edwards503,96634.43%0
Voter turnout (Voting age population)55.6%

By county

[edit]
CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
MarginTotal
#%#%#%
Adair4,97165.99%2,56234.01%2,40931.98%7,533
Alfalfa2,20182.40%47017.60%1,73164.80%2,671
Atoka3,14261.75%1,94638.25%1,19623.50%5,088
Beaver2,27288.44%29711.56%1,97576.88%2,569
Beckham5,45473.85%1,93126.15%3,52347.70%7,385
Blaine3,19972.36%1,22227.64%1,97744.72%4,421
Bryan8,61559.99%5,74540.01%2,87019.98%14,360
Caddo6,49162.37%3,91637.63%2,57524.74%10,407
Canadian33,29777.42%9,71222.58%23,58554.84%43,009
Carter12,17865.32%6,46634.68%5,71230.64%18,644
Cherokee9,56952.60%8,62347.40%9465.20%18,192
Choctaw3,16854.55%2,63945.45%5299.10%5,807
Cimarron1,24287.10%18412.90%1,05874.20%1,426
Cleveland65,72065.90%34,00734.10%31,71331.80%99,727
Coal1,39653.71%1,20346.29%1937.42%2,599
Comanche21,17063.78%12,02236.22%9,14827.56%33,192
Cotton1,74265.98%89834.02%84431.96%2,640
Craig3,89460.86%2,50439.14%1,39021.72%6,398
Creek18,84865.50%9,92934.50%8,91931.00%28,777
Custer7,83973.67%2,80126.33%5,03847.34%10,640
Delaware10,01764.18%5,59135.82%4,42628.36%15,608
Dewey1,84381.87%40818.13%1,43563.74%2,251
Ellis1,68581.01%39518.99%1,29062.02%2,080
Garfield17,68576.00%5,58624.00%12,09952.00%23,271
Garvin7,61067.24%3,70732.76%3,90334.48%11,317
Grady14,13670.31%5,97029.69%8,16640.62%20,106
Grant1,95077.35%57122.65%1,37954.70%2,521
Greer1,52968.02%71931.98%81036.04%2,248
Harmon83870.30%35429.70%48440.60%1,192
Harper1,39783.90%26816.10%1,12967.80%1,665
Haskell2,94655.33%2,37844.67%56810.66%5,324
Hughes3,06657.32%2,28342.68%78314.64%5,349
Jackson7,02475.89%2,23224.11%4,79251.78%9,256
Jefferson1,54659.39%1,05740.61%48918.78%2,603
Johnston2,63560.60%1,71339.40%92221.20%4,348
Kay14,12170.33%5,95729.67%8,16440.66%20,078
Kingfisher5,63084.64%1,02215.36%4,60869.28%6,652
Kiowa2,61064.88%1,41335.12%1,19729.76%4,023
Latimer2,53556.58%1,94543.42%59013.16%4,480
LeFlore10,68361.31%6,74138.69%3,94222.62%17,424
Lincoln10,14971.52%4,04128.48%6,10843.04%14,190
Logan11,47470.21%4,86929.79%6,60540.42%16,343
Love2,29559.87%1,53840.13%75719.74%3,833
Major3,12285.32%53714.68%2,58570.64%3,659
Marshall3,36361.70%2,08838.30%1,27523.40%5,451
Mayes9,94658.93%6,93341.07%3,01317.86%16,879
McClain10,04172.85%3,74227.15%6,29945.70%13,783
McCurtain7,47266.98%3,68433.02%3,78833.96%11,156
McIntosh4,69251.11%4,48848.89%2042.22%9,180
Murray3,66563.24%2,13036.76%1,53526.48%5,795
Muskogee15,12454.58%12,58545.42%2,5399.16%27,709
Noble3,99374.94%1,33525.06%2,65849.88%5,328
Nowata2,80562.82%1,66037.18%1,14525.64%4,465
Okfuskee2,54259.32%1,74340.68%79918.64%4,285
Oklahoma174,74164.23%97,29835.77%77,44328.46%272,039
Okmulgee8,36353.17%7,36746.83%9966.34%15,730
Osage11,46758.70%8,06841.30%3,39917.40%19,535
Ottawa7,44359.41%5,08640.59%2,35718.82%12,529
Pawnee4,41263.25%2,56436.75%1,84826.50%6,976
Payne19,56065.95%10,10134.05%9,45931.90%29,661
Pittsburg11,13459.91%7,45240.09%3,68219.82%18,586
Pontotoc9,64765.13%5,16534.87%4,48230.26%14,812
Pottawatomie17,21566.59%8,63833.41%8,57733.18%25,853
Pushmataha2,86359.68%1,93440.32%92919.36%4,797
Roger Mills1,38878.42%38221.58%1,00656.84%1,770
Rogers24,97667.70%11,91832.30%13,05835.40%36,894
Seminole5,62460.66%3,64839.34%1,97621.32%9,272
Sequoyah8,86560.00%5,91040.00%2,95520.00%14,775
Stephens13,64671.22%5,51528.78%8,13142.44%19,161
Texas5,45084.29%1,01615.71%4,43468.58%6,466
Tillman2,27365.92%1,17534.08%1,09831.84%3,448
Tulsa163,45264.43%90,22035.57%73,23228.86%253,672
Wagoner19,08167.57%9,15732.43%9,92435.14%28,238
Washington16,55170.69%6,86229.31%9,68941.38%23,413
Washita3,70573.44%1,34026.56%2,36546.88%5,045
Woods3,16677.26%93222.74%2,23454.52%4,098
Woodward6,19380.94%1,45819.06%4,73561.88%7,651
Totals959,79265.57%503,96634.43%455,82631.14%1,463,758
County Flips:
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Bush won all five congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[10]

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st65%35%John Sullivan
2nd59%41%Brad Carson
Dan Boren
3rd72%28%Frank Lucas
4th67%33%Tom Cole
5th64%36%Ernest Istook

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Oklahoma cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Oklahoma is allocated 7 electors because it has 5congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 7 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 7 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 7 were pledged for Bush/Cheney:

  1. George Wiland
  2. Paul Hollrah
  3. Colby Schwartz
  4. Diana Gunther
  5. Ken Bartlett
  6. Donald Burdick
  7. Bob Hudspeth

The slate for the Democrats, which was not elected, consisted of George Krumme, Edwynne Krumme,Maxine Horner, Jim Hamilton, Bernice Mitchell, Betty McElderry, and Bob Lemon.[11]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedMarch 5, 2018.
  2. ^Article title[permanent dead link]
  3. ^"2004 Presidential Election Polls".uselectionatlas.org.
  4. ^"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".
  5. ^"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
  6. ^"America votes 2004: Candidate tracker".CNN. RetrievedMay 27, 2022.
  7. ^"America votes 2004: Campaign ad buys". CNN.Archived from the original on April 22, 2021. RetrievedMay 27, 2022.
  8. ^"Third-party Oklahoma voters seek easier ballot access".Oklahoman.com. October 9, 2012. RetrievedNovember 9, 2021.
  9. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  10. ^"Presidential Results by Congressional District, 2000-2008 – Swing State Project".
  11. ^"PRESIDENTIAL ELECTORS"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on January 25, 2020.
State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2004 election
Republican Party
Candidates
Democratic Party
Candidates
Controversies
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Nominee
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Nominee
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Alternate nominee
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Nominee
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VP nominee
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