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 County results Congressional district results
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The2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi took place on November 2, 2004, as part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose six representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president. It was the first presidential election since the2000 United States census, after which Mississippi lost one electoral vote, reducing its elector count from seven to six, leaving Mississippi with the fewest electoral votes since1848.[1]
Mississippi was won by incumbentPresidentGeorge W. Bush of theRepublican Party with a 19.69% margin of victory overDemocratic nomineeJohn Kerry. Prior to the election, Mississippi was considered a state Bush would win with ease, or ared state. Mississippi has not voted for a Democrat since1976, whenJimmy Carter carried the state.
12 news organizations made state-by-state predictions of the election. These organizations published their predictions just prior to election day:[2]
| Source | Ranking |
|---|---|
| D.C. Political Report | Solid R |
| Associated Press | Solid R |
| CNN | Likely R |
| Cook Political Report | Solid R |
| Newsweek | Solid R |
| New York Times | Solid R |
| Rasmussen Reports | Likely R |
| Research 2000 | Solid R |
| Washington Post | Likely R |
| Washington Times | Solid R |
| Zogby International | Likely R |
| Washington Dispatch | Likely R |
Bush won pre-election polling by a double-digit margin.[3]
Bush raised $866,580.[4] Kerry raised $599,665.[5]
Neither campaign spent or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6]
The last Democratic presidential nominee to winMississippi was fellowSouthernerJimmy Carter in1976. Due to its reliably conservative voting pattern, neither of the two major party candidates campaigned in the state.
Mississippi is one of the most racially polarized states in presidential elections.Black Mississippians almost uniformly vote Democratic, whilewhite Mississippians vote Republican nearly as consistently. In 2004, 14% of white Mississippians voted forJohn Kerry and 10% of African Americans voted for Bush.[7] Kerry's main support lay in the western counties on theDelta and next to theMississippi River.
Pike County,Copiah County,Oktibbeha County, andYazoo County would not vote Republican again until2024.
| 2004 United States presidential election in Mississippi[8] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican Party | George W. Bush (incumbent) | 684,981 | 59.44% | 6 | |
| Democratic Party | John Kerry | 458,094 | 39.75% | 0 | |
| Reform Party | Ralph Nader | 3,177 | 0.28% | 0 | |
| Libertarian Party | Michael Badnarik | 1,793 | 0.16% | 0 | |
| Constitution Party | Michael Peroutka | 1,759 | 0.15% | 0 | |
| Independent | Roger Calero | 1,272 | 0.11% | 0 | |
| Green Party | David Cobb | 1,073 | 0.09% | 0 | |
| Various parties | Write Ins | 216 | 0.02% | 0 | |
| Totals | - | 100.00% | 6 | ||
| Voter turnout (Voting Age population) | 54.4% | ||||
| County[9] | George W. Bush Republican | John Kerry Democratic | Ralph Nader Reform | Michael Badarnik Libertarian | Michael Peroutka Constitution | Roger Calero Independent | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adams | 6,996 | 45.20% | 8,423 | 54.42% | 27 | 0.17% | 14 | 0.09% | 3 | 0.02% | 3 | 0.02% | 13 | 0.09% | -1,427 | -9.22% | 15,479 |
| Alcorn | 8,634 | 60.64% | 5,454 | 38.30% | 69 | 0.48% | 43 | 0.30% | 20 | 0.14% | 4 | 0.03% | 15 | 0.11% | 3,180 | 22.34% | 14,239 |
| Amite | 4,147 | 57.62% | 3,012 | 41.85% | 15 | 0.21% | 6 | 0.08% | 5 | 0.07% | 9 | 0.13% | 3 | 0.04% | 1,135 | 15.77% | 7,197 |
| Attala | 5,014 | 61.09% | 3,145 | 38.32% | 14 | 0.17% | 4 | 0.05% | 11 | 0.13% | 11 | 0.13% | 8 | 0.10% | 1,869 | 22.77% | 8,207 |
| Benton | 1,969 | 46.36% | 2,245 | 52.86% | 12 | 0.28% | 6 | 0.14% | 5 | 0.12% | 2 | 0.05% | 8 | 0.19% | -276 | -6.50% | 4,247 |
| Bolivar | 5,535 | 36.16% | 9,631 | 62.92% | 32 | 0.21% | 12 | 0.08% | 66 | 0.43% | 16 | 0.10% | 15 | 0.10% | -4,096 | -26.76% | 15,307 |
| Calhoun | 4,131 | 64.63% | 2,234 | 34.95% | 13 | 0.20% | 2 | 0.03% | 3 | 0.05% | 5 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.07% | 1,897 | 29.68% | 6,392 |
| Carroll | 3,664 | 65.52% | 1,900 | 33.98% | 4 | 0.07% | 15 | 0.27% | 1 | 0.02% | 1 | 0.02% | 7 | 0.13% | 1,764 | 31.54% | 5,592 |
| Chickasaw | 4,193 | 50.22% | 4,078 | 48.84% | 27 | 0.32% | 15 | 0.18% | 14 | 0.17% | 9 | 0.11% | 14 | 0.16% | 115 | 1.38% | 8,350 |
| Choctaw | 2,694 | 66.00% | 1,366 | 33.46% | 7 | 0.17% | 6 | 0.15% | 4 | 0.10% | 2 | 0.05% | 3 | 0.07% | 1,328 | 32.54% | 4,082 |
| Claiborne | 950 | 17.74% | 4,362 | 81.46% | 8 | 0.15% | 13 | 0.24% | 4 | 0.07% | 15 | 0.28% | 3 | 0.06% | -3,412 | -63.72% | 5,355 |
| Clarke | 5,068 | 67.51% | 2,402 | 32.00% | 18 | 0.24% | 6 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.05% | 3 | 0.04% | 6 | 0.08% | 2,666 | 35.51% | 7,507 |
| Clay | 4,342 | 47.50% | 4,753 | 52.00% | 12 | 0.13% | 9 | 0.10% | 10 | 0.11% | 9 | 0.10% | 6 | 0.06% | -411 | -4.50% | 9,141 |
| Coahoma | 3,676 | 34.65% | 6,805 | 64.15% | 12 | 0.11% | 78 | 0.74% | 13 | 0.12% | 14 | 0.13% | 10 | 0.09% | -3,129 | -29.50% | 10,608 |
| Copiah | 6,374 | 55.95% | 4,961 | 43.54% | 18 | 0.16% | 13 | 0.11% | 13 | 0.11% | 7 | 0.06% | 7 | 0.06% | 1,413 | 12.41% | 11,393 |
| Covington | 5,044 | 61.12% | 3,158 | 38.27% | 22 | 0.27% | 8 | 0.10% | 7 | 0.08% | 8 | 0.10% | 5 | 0.06% | 1,886 | 22.85% | 8,252 |
| DeSoto | 36,306 | 72.30% | 13,583 | 27.05% | 132 | 0.26% | 88 | 0.18% | 56 | 0.11% | 20 | 0.04% | 30 | 0.06% | 22,723 | 45.25% | 50,215 |
| Forrest | 16,318 | 61.01% | 10,220 | 38.21% | 108 | 0.40% | 33 | 0.12% | 22 | 0.08% | 22 | 0.08% | 22 | 0.08% | 6,098 | 22.80% | 26,745 |
| Franklin | 2,893 | 64.42% | 1,574 | 35.05% | 9 | 0.20% | 3 | 0.07% | 4 | 0.09% | 6 | 0.13% | 2 | 0.04% | 1,319 | 29.37% | 4,491 |
| George | 6,223 | 77.78% | 1,724 | 21.55% | 19 | 0.24% | 8 | 0.10% | 12 | 0.15% | 11 | 0.14% | 4 | 0.05% | 4,499 | 56.23% | 8,001 |
| Greene | 3,850 | 72.66% | 1,421 | 26.82% | 16 | 0.30% | 4 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.08% | 3 | 0.06% | 1 | 0.02% | 2,429 | 45.84% | 5,299 |
| Grenada | 5,872 | 58.08% | 4,180 | 41.34% | 16 | 0.16% | 12 | 0.12% | 2 | 0.02% | 9 | 0.09% | 20 | 0.20% | 1,692 | 16.74% | 10,111 |
| Hancock | 12,581 | 70.41% | 5,107 | 28.58% | 100 | 0.56% | 35 | 0.20% | 14 | 0.08% | 21 | 0.12% | 11 | 0.06% | 7,474 | 41.83% | 17,869 |
| Harrison | 39,703 | 62.73% | 23,076 | 36.46% | 240 | 0.38% | 104 | 0.16% | 64 | 0.10% | 42 | 0.07% | 59 | 0.09% | 16,627 | 26.27% | 63,288 |
| Hinds | 36,975 | 39.97% | 54,845 | 59.29% | 226 | 0.24% | 126 | 0.14% | 158 | 0.17% | 84 | 0.09% | 86 | 0.09% | -17,870 | -19.32% | 92,500 |
| Holmes | 1,961 | 23.39% | 6,366 | 75.94% | 9 | 0.11% | 4 | 0.05% | 6 | 0.07% | 22 | 0.26% | 12 | 0.14% | -4,405 | -52.55% | 8,383 |
| Humphreys | 1,679 | 34.27% | 3,168 | 64.65% | 13 | 0.27% | 15 | 0.31% | 2 | 0.04% | 13 | 0.27% | 10 | 0.20% | -1,489 | -30.38% | 4,900 |
| Issaquena | 439 | 45.26% | 516 | 53.20% | 1 | 0.10% | 5 | 0.52% | 4 | 0.41% | 2 | 0.21% | 3 | 0.31% | -77 | -7.94% | 970 |
| Itawamba | 6,833 | 70.34% | 2,802 | 28.84% | 36 | 0.37% | 7 | 0.07% | 13 | 0.13% | 14 | 0.14% | 9 | 0.09% | 4,031 | 41.50% | 9,714 |
| Jackson | 35,134 | 68.79% | 15,572 | 30.49% | 180 | 0.35% | 56 | 0.11% | 45 | 0.09% | 34 | 0.07% | 54 | 0.10% | 19,562 | 38.30% | 51,075 |
| Jasper | 3,855 | 48.13% | 4,117 | 51.40% | 16 | 0.20% | 9 | 0.11% | 1 | 0.01% | 5 | 0.06% | 6 | 0.07% | -262 | -3.27% | 8,009 |
| Jefferson | 630 | 18.16% | 2,821 | 81.32% | 2 | 0.06% | 4 | 0.12% | 3 | 0.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 9 | 0.26% | -2,191 | -63.16% | 3,469 |
| Jefferson Davis | 2,668 | 46.28% | 2,959 | 51.33% | 24 | 0.42% | 15 | 0.26% | 10 | 0.17% | 53 | 0.92% | 36 | 0.62% | -291 | -5.05% | 5,765 |
| Jones | 19,125 | 71.72% | 7,398 | 27.74% | 68 | 0.26% | 8 | 0.03% | 46 | 0.17% | 13 | 0.05% | 8 | 0.03% | 11,727 | 43.98% | 26,666 |
| Kemper | 2,109 | 45.82% | 2,465 | 53.55% | 10 | 0.22% | 7 | 0.15% | 6 | 0.13% | 4 | 0.09% | 2 | 0.04% | -356 | -7.73% | 4,603 |
| Lafayette | 9,004 | 58.46% | 6,218 | 40.37% | 76 | 0.49% | 50 | 0.32% | 15 | 0.10% | 6 | 0.04% | 32 | 0.20% | 2,786 | 18.09% | 15,401 |
| Lamar | 16,410 | 80.19% | 3,923 | 19.17% | 59 | 0.29% | 28 | 0.14% | 22 | 0.11% | 15 | 0.07% | 8 | 0.04% | 12,487 | 61.02% | 20,465 |
| Lauderdale | 19,736 | 65.42% | 10,292 | 34.11% | 61 | 0.20% | 28 | 0.09% | 12 | 0.04% | 25 | 0.08% | 16 | 0.05% | 9,444 | 31.31% | 30,170 |
| Lawrence | 3,956 | 62.73% | 2,308 | 36.60% | 20 | 0.32% | 8 | 0.13% | 5 | 0.08% | 5 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.06% | 1,648 | 26.13% | 6,306 |
| Leake | 4,962 | 60.41% | 3,212 | 39.10% | 16 | 0.19% | 7 | 0.09% | 5 | 0.06% | 5 | 0.06% | 7 | 0.09% | 1,750 | 21.31% | 8,214 |
| Lee | 20,254 | 66.11% | 10,127 | 33.05% | 108 | 0.35% | 42 | 0.14% | 54 | 0.18% | 22 | 0.07% | 32 | 0.11% | 10,127 | 33.06% | 30,639 |
| Leflore | 4,635 | 37.19% | 7,566 | 60.71% | 35 | 0.28% | 26 | 0.21% | 143 | 1.15% | 25 | 0.20% | 33 | 0.26% | -2,931 | -23.52% | 12,463 |
| Lincoln | 10,008 | 69.04% | 4,418 | 30.48% | 28 | 0.19% | 13 | 0.09% | 12 | 0.08% | 10 | 0.07% | 7 | 0.04% | 5,590 | 38.56% | 14,496 |
| Lowndes | 13,690 | 56.41% | 10,408 | 42.88% | 68 | 0.28% | 36 | 0.15% | 26 | 0.11% | 20 | 0.08% | 22 | 0.09% | 3,282 | 13.53% | 24,270 |
| Madison | 24,257 | 64.29% | 13,268 | 35.17% | 77 | 0.20% | 48 | 0.13% | 41 | 0.11% | 21 | 0.06% | 16 | 0.04% | 10,989 | 29.12% | 37,728 |
| Marion | 7,999 | 66.95% | 3,888 | 32.54% | 26 | 0.22% | 9 | 0.08% | 4 | 0.03% | 13 | 0.11% | 8 | 0.07% | 4,111 | 34.41% | 11,947 |
| Marshall | 5,975 | 40.79% | 8,591 | 58.65% | 24 | 0.16% | 19 | 0.13% | 15 | 0.10% | 12 | 0.08% | 13 | 0.09% | -2,616 | -17.86% | 14,649 |
| Monroe | 9,308 | 59.54% | 6,237 | 39.90% | 44 | 0.28% | 15 | 0.10% | 15 | 0.10% | 9 | 0.06% | 4 | 0.03% | 3,071 | 19.64% | 15,632 |
| Montgomery | 3,002 | 54.61% | 2,473 | 44.99% | 9 | 0.16% | 3 | 0.05% | 3 | 0.05% | 6 | 0.11% | 1 | 0.02% | 529 | 9.62% | 5,497 |
| Neshoba | 7,780 | 74.67% | 2,600 | 24.95% | 15 | 0.14% | 8 | 0.08% | 2 | 0.02% | 8 | 0.08% | 6 | 0.06% | 5,180 | 49.72% | 10,419 |
| Newton | 6,165 | 72.63% | 2,280 | 26.86% | 11 | 0.13% | 5 | 0.06% | 11 | 0.13% | 6 | 0.07% | 10 | 0.12% | 3,885 | 45.77% | 8,488 |
| Noxubee | 1,723 | 28.26% | 4,346 | 71.28% | 5 | 0.08% | 7 | 0.11% | 10 | 0.16% | 3 | 0.05% | 3 | 0.05% | -2,623 | -43.02% | 6,097 |
| Oktibbeha | 9,068 | 55.67% | 7,015 | 43.06% | 83 | 0.51% | 37 | 0.23% | 49 | 0.30% | 14 | 0.09% | 24 | 0.15% | 2,053 | 12.61% | 16,290 |
| Panola | 6,769 | 50.36% | 6,615 | 49.22% | 21 | 0.16% | 16 | 0.12% | 3 | 0.02% | 11 | 0.08% | 5 | 0.04% | 154 | 1.14% | 13,440 |
| Pearl River | 14,896 | 76.44% | 4,472 | 22.95% | 60 | 0.31% | 23 | 0.12% | 15 | 0.08% | 13 | 0.07% | 8 | 0.04% | 10,424 | 53.49% | 19,487 |
| Perry | 3,747 | 74.49% | 1,261 | 25.07% | 5 | 0.10% | 5 | 0.10% | 5 | 0.10% | 3 | 0.06% | 4 | 0.08% | 2,486 | 49.42% | 5,030 |
| Pike | 8,660 | 52.07% | 7,881 | 46.38% | 41 | 0.25% | 19 | 0.11% | 8 | 0.05% | 14 | 0.08% | 9 | 0.05% | 779 | 4.69% | 16,632 |
| Pontotoc | 8,480 | 75.44% | 2,660 | 23.67% | 55 | 0.49% | 16 | 0.14% | 10 | 0.09% | 17 | 0.15% | 2 | 0.02% | 5,820 | 51.77% | 11,240 |
| Prentiss | 6,538 | 65.83% | 3,327 | 33.50% | 38 | 0.38% | 3 | 0.03% | 6 | 0.06% | 15 | 0.15% | 5 | 0.05% | 3,211 | 32.33% | 9,932 |
| Quitman | 1,360 | 39.79% | 2,032 | 59.45% | 3 | 0.09% | 7 | 0.20% | 3 | 0.09% | 5 | 0.15% | 8 | 0.24% | -672 | -19.66% | 3,418 |
| Rankin | 43,054 | 78.67% | 11,005 | 20.11% | 178 | 0.33% | 95 | 0.17% | 238 | 0.43% | 80 | 0.15% | 76 | 0.14% | 32,049 | 58.56% | 54,726 |
| Scott | 6,395 | 62.52% | 3,802 | 37.17% | 9 | 0.09% | 7 | 0.07% | 7 | 0.07% | 3 | 0.03% | 5 | 0.05% | 2,593 | 25.35% | 10,228 |
| Sharkey | 1,120 | 36.21% | 1,560 | 50.44% | 52 | 1.68% | 74 | 2.39% | 48 | 1.55% | 94 | 3.04% | 145 | 4.69% | -440 | -14.23% | 3,093 |
| Simpson | 7,138 | 68.15% | 3,272 | 31.24% | 8 | 0.08% | 17 | 0.16% | 28 | 0.27% | 7 | 0.07% | 4 | 0.04% | 3,866 | 36.91% | 10,474 |
| Smith | 5,577 | 78.33% | 1,496 | 21.01% | 13 | 0.18% | 6 | 0.08% | 16 | 0.22% | 11 | 0.15% | 1 | 0.01% | 4,081 | 57.32% | 7,120 |
| Stone | 4,146 | 72.29% | 1,528 | 26.64% | 20 | 0.35% | 15 | 0.26% | 14 | 0.24% | 8 | 0.14% | 4 | 0.07% | 2,618 | 45.65% | 5,735 |
| Sunflower | 3,534 | 35.29% | 6,359 | 63.49% | 18 | 0.18% | 53 | 0.53% | 6 | 0.06% | 31 | 0.31% | 14 | 0.14% | -2,825 | -28.20% | 10,015 |
| Tallahatchie | 2,737 | 44.02% | 3,420 | 55.01% | 11 | 0.18% | 24 | 0.39% | 4 | 0.06% | 10 | 0.16% | 11 | 0.18% | -683 | -10.99% | 6,217 |
| Tate | 6,760 | 60.54% | 4,347 | 38.93% | 31 | 0.28% | 6 | 0.05% | 15 | 0.13% | 5 | 0.04% | 3 | 0.03% | 2,413 | 21.61% | 11,167 |
| Tippah | 6,174 | 66.57% | 3,016 | 32.52% | 34 | 0.37% | 15 | 0.16% | 12 | 0.13% | 19 | 0.20% | 5 | 0.05% | 3,158 | 34.05% | 9,275 |
| Tishomingo | 5,379 | 64.51% | 2,846 | 34.13% | 56 | 0.67% | 16 | 0.19% | 4 | 0.05% | 16 | 0.19% | 21 | 0.25% | 2,533 | 30.38% | 8,338 |
| Tunica | 950 | 30.36% | 2,140 | 68.39% | 6 | 0.19% | 14 | 0.45% | 8 | 0.26% | 7 | 0.22% | 4 | 0.13% | -1,190 | -38.03% | 3,129 |
| Union | 7,906 | 73.08% | 2,839 | 26.24% | 31 | 0.29% | 17 | 0.16% | 13 | 0.12% | 8 | 0.07% | 5 | 0.05% | 5,067 | 46.84% | 10,819 |
| Walthall | 3,888 | 61.17% | 2,435 | 38.31% | 12 | 0.19% | 14 | 0.22% | 1 | 0.02% | 4 | 0.06% | 2 | 0.03% | 1,453 | 22.86% | 6,356 |
| Warren | 11,356 | 57.69% | 8,224 | 41.78% | 40 | 0.20% | 26 | 0.13% | 12 | 0.06% | 14 | 0.07% | 11 | 0.06% | 3,132 | 15.91% | 19,683 |
| Washington | 7,731 | 39.45% | 11,569 | 59.03% | 43 | 0.22% | 18 | 0.09% | 101 | 0.52% | 60 | 0.31% | 75 | 0.38% | -3,838 | -19.58% | 19,597 |
| Wayne | 5,562 | 63.24% | 3,193 | 36.30% | 15 | 0.17% | 3 | 0.03% | 12 | 0.14% | 3 | 0.03% | 7 | 0.08% | 2,369 | 26.94% | 8,795 |
| Webster | 3,708 | 73.16% | 1,341 | 26.46% | 6 | 0.12% | 1 | 0.02% | 5 | 0.10% | 4 | 0.08% | 3 | 0.06% | 2,367 | 46.70% | 5,068 |
| Wilkinson | 1,563 | 35.64% | 2,794 | 63.72% | 6 | 0.14% | 3 | 0.07% | 10 | 0.23% | 4 | 0.09% | 5 | 0.11% | -1,231 | -28.08% | 4,385 |
| Winston | 5,386 | 57.21% | 3,978 | 42.25% | 19 | 0.20% | 3 | 0.03% | 5 | 0.05% | 14 | 0.15% | 10 | 0.11% | 1,408 | 14.96% | 9,415 |
| Yalobusha | 3,278 | 54.89% | 2,656 | 44.47% | 16 | 0.27% | 6 | 0.10% | 2 | 0.03% | 11 | 0.18% | 3 | 0.05% | 622 | 10.42% | 5,972 |
| Yazoo | 5,672 | 51.62% | 5,013 | 45.63% | 30 | 0.27% | 89 | 0.81% | 46 | 0.42% | 60 | 0.55% | 77 | 0.70% | 659 | 5.99% | 10,987 |
| Totals | 684,981 | 59.44% | 458,094 | 39.75% | 3,177 | 0.28% | 1,793 | 0.16% | 1,759 | 0.15% | 1,272 | 0.11% | 1,289 | 0.11% | 226,887 | 19.69% | 1,152,365 |
| Democratic Hold Gain from Republican | Republican Hold Gain from Democratic |
Bush won three out of Mississippi's four congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.[10]
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 62% | 37% | Roger Wicker |
| 2nd | 40% | 59% | Bennie G. Thompson |
| 3rd | 65% | 34% | Chip Pickering |
| 4th | 68% | 31% | Gene Taylor |
Mississippi was assigned six electors to cast votes to the Electoral college. Given that Mississippi voted for Bush, all electors were pledged to cast their ballots for Bush. The electors were:[11]
State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election | ||
|---|---|---|
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