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2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Main article:2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts

← 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 →
Turnout71.41%[1] (Increase 3.21%)
 
NomineeJohn KerryGeorge W. Bush
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateMassachusettsTexas
Running mateJohn EdwardsDick Cheney
Electoral vote120
Popular vote1,803,8001,071,109
Percentage61.94%36.78%

County results
Municipality results
Congressional district results
Precinct results

Kerry

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%
  90–100%

Bush

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

Elections in
Massachusetts
U.S. President
Presidential Primaries
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
Governor
Attorney General
Secretary of the Commonwealth
Treasurer and Receiver-General
State Auditor
State Senate
State House
Governor's Council
Ballot measures
flagMassachusetts portal

The2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 12 representatives, or electors to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Massachusetts was won by Democratic nominee and its U.S. SenatorJohn Kerry by a 25.2% margin of victory. Kerry took 61.94% of the vote to RepublicanGeorge W. Bush's 36.78%. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Kerry would win, or otherwise considered as a safeblue state. Kerry's vote share was later surpassed byJoe Biden in2020, who won 65.60% of the vote that year.

Massachusetts had been a Democratic-leaning state since1928, and a Democratic stronghold since1960, and has kept up its intense level of the sizable Democratic margins since1996. No Republican has won even a single county or congressional district in a presidential election since Bush's fatherGeorge H. W. Bush in1988, and no Republican has won statewide sinceRonald Reagan's landslide victory in1984. In the 2004 presidential election it was also the home state of Democratic candidateJohn Kerry, who at the time represented Massachusetts in theU.S. Senate.

Massachusetts weighed in as about 27% more Democratic than the national average in 2004, making it the most Democratic state in the union, and the only state where Kerry won with more than 60% of the vote.

To date, this is the last election where the towns ofOrange, andWebster backed the national losing candidate, and the last time a Democrat won the towns ofDracut,Halifax,Hanson,Millville, andRochester.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]

There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportSolid D
Cook Political ReportSolid D
Research 2000Solid D
Zogby InternationalLikely D
Washington PostSolid D
Washington DispatchLikely D
Washington TimesSolid D
The New York TimesSolid D
CNNSolid D
NewsweekSolid D
Associated PressSolid D
Rasmussen ReportsSolid D

Polling

[edit]

Kerry won every pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin and with at least 50% of the vote. The final 3 poll average showed Kerry with a strong lead of 57% to 31%.[3]

Fundraising

[edit]

Bush raised $4,060,356.[4] Kerry raised $18,565,872, which was 10% of all the money he raised in 2004, and the third highest amount below onlyNew York andCalifornia.[5]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall election.[6][7]

Analysis

[edit]

Massachusetts was (and is) one of the bluest states in the nation. Massachusetts has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election since1960 except forRonald Reagan's landslide victories of1980 and 1984. In1972, only Massachusetts and theDistrict of Columbia voted for DemocraticU.S. SenatorGeorge McGovern as RepublicanRichard M. Nixon won reelection.

Kerry defeatedGeorge W. Bush in Massachusetts by 25%, a similar margin to that ofAl Gore in2000. He won every county and Congressional district easily. The2004 Democratic National Convention took place at theTD Banknorth Garden, then called FleetCenter inBoston, the state capital.

Results

[edit]
2004 United States presidential election in Massachusetts
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticJohn Kerry1,803,80061.94%12
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush (incumbent)1,071,10936.78%0
LibertarianMichael Badnarik15,0220.52%0
Green-RainbowDavid Cobb10,6230.36%0
IndependentOthers(Write-In)7,0280.24%0
IndependentRalph Nader(Write-In)4,8060.17%0
Total votes2,912,388100.00%12

By county

[edit]
CountyJohn Kerry
Democratic
George W. Bush
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Barnstable72,15654.60%58,52744.29%1,4651.11%13,62910.31%132,148
Berkshire47,74373.12%16,80625.74%7421.13%30,93747.38%65,291
Bristol147,85463.49%82,52435.44%2,5001.07%65,33028.05%232,878
Dukes7,26572.67%2,60226.03%1301.30%4,66346.64%9,997
Essex194,06858.24%135,11440.55%4,0511.41%58,95417.69%333,233
Franklin25,55068.35%11,05829.58%7732.07%14,49238.77%37,381
Hampden113,71060.93%70,92538.00%2,0041.07%42,78522.93%186,639
Hampshire51,68069.44%21,31528.64%1,4271.91%30,36540.80%74,422
Middlesex440,86263.99%237,81534.52%10,2831.49%203,04729.47%688,960
Nantucket3,60863.03%2,04035.64%761.32%1,56827.39%5,724
Norfolk199,39260.21%127,76338.58%3,9821.21%71,62921.63%331,137
Plymouth125,17853.66%105,60345.27%2,5161.08%19,5758.39%233,297
Suffolk182,59275.88%54,92322.82%3,1301.30%127,66953.06%240,645
Worcester192,14256.41%144,09442.30%4,4001.29%48,04814.11%340,636
Totals1,803,80061.94%1,071,10936.78%37,4791.28%732,69125.16%2,912,388

By municipality

[edit]
Results by municipality
  Kerry – >90%
  Kerry – 80–90%
  Kerry – 70–80%
  Kerry – 60–70%
  Kerry – 50–60%
  Kerry – <50%
  Bush – <50%
  Bush – 50–60%

By congressional district

[edit]

Kerry won all ten congressional districts.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st35%63%John Olver
2nd40%59%Richard Neal
3rd40%59%Jim McGovern
4th33%65%Barney Frank
5th41%57%Marty Meehan
6th41%58%John Tierney
7th33%66%Ed Markey
8th19%79%Mike Capuano
9th36%63%Stephen Lynch
10th43%56%William Delahunt

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Massachusetts cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Massachusetts is allocated 12 electors because it has 10congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 12 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 12 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All 12 were pledged for Kerry/Edwards:

  1. Cathaleen L. Ashton
  2. Sharon M. Pollard
  3. Elizabeth Moroney
  4. Helen Covington
  5. Candice E. Lopes
  6. Susan Thomson
  7. Robert P. Cassidy
  8. William P. Dooling
  9. William Eddy
  10. Thomas V. Barbera
  11. Mushtaque A. Minza
  12. Calvin T. Brown

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Voter Turnout Statistics".Secretary of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.
  2. ^Article title
  3. ^"Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections".
  4. ^"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President".www.campaignmoney.com.
  5. ^"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democrat Party, President".
  6. ^"Specials: 2004 Campaign Ads". Cnn.com. RetrievedApril 5, 2022.
  7. ^"Specials: Candidate tracker". Cnn.com. RetrievedApril 5, 2022.
State and district results of the2004 United States presidential election
Electoral map, 2004 election
Federal elections in Massachusetts
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