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2004 United States presidential election in Alabama

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Main article:2004 United States presidential election
2004 United States presidential election in Alabama

← 2000
November 2, 2004
2008 →
Turnout72.50%[1]Increase
 
NomineeGeorge W. BushJohn Kerry
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateTexasMassachusetts
Running mateDick CheneyJohn Edwards
Electoral vote90
Popular vote1,176,394693,933
Percentage62.46%36.84%

County results
Congressional district results

Bush

  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%

Kerry

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%
  80–90%


President before election

George W. Bush
Republican

Elected President

George W. Bush
Republican

The2004 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on November 2, 2004. Voters chose nine representatives, or electors, to theElectoral College, who voted forpresident andvice president.

Alabama was won by incumbent PresidentGeorge W. Bush by a 25.62% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this was a state Bush would win, or otherwise ared state. On election day, it trended Republican sharply, by a swing margin of 10.70% from the 2000 election, the strongest such swing in the nation. Bush won with over 60% of the vote, a first since1984, and carried most of the counties and congressional districts. Historically, Alabama is a very reliable Republican state that a Democratic presidential nominee has not won since1976, when Southerngovernor ofGeorgiaJimmy Carter ran and swept theDeep South.

Primaries

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
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There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]

SourceRanking
D.C. Political ReportSolid R
Associated PressSolid R
CNNLikely R
Cook Political ReportSolid R
NewsweekSolid R
New York TimesSolid R
Rasmussen ReportsLikely R
Research 2000Solid R
Washington PostLikely R
Washington TimesSolid R
Zogby InternationalLikely R
Washington DispatchLikely R

Polling

[edit]
Main article:Statewide opinion polling for the 2004 United States presidential election: Alabama

Bush won every single pre-election poll, and won each by a double-digit margin of victory. The final three polls averaged Bush leading 58% to 38%.[3]

Fundraising

[edit]

Bush raised $3,092,923.[4] Kerry raised $514,589.[5]

Advertising and visits

[edit]

Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.[6][7]

Analysis

[edit]

Bush easily won every poll taken in the state prior to the election. Kerry won a small section of counties in the middle of the state, including winningAlabama's 7th congressional district. In 2000, the state voted for Bush 56%–41% by fifteen points; this year it voted for him by 25 points.[3]

With the exception ofOklahoma in 2004, the state was also Bush's best performance in the South, with not evenTexas, Bush's home state, voting as red as Alabama.

CNNexit polls showed that almost 70% of male voters voted for Bush as did 99% of registeredRepublicans (which made up 48% of the population). 43% of the state describe themselves asevangelical Christians, and 88% of them voted for Bush. 62% of the state approved of Bush, and 60% approved of the decision to go to war in Iraq. 82% of white men and 79% of white women voted for Bush. Finally, 70% of voters over the age of 60 voted for Bush. Alabama was racially divided: Alabama Whites voted 80%–19% for Bush while Blacks voted 91%-9% for Kerry.[8]

As of the2024 presidential election[update], Bush is the last Republican to carryJefferson County (home ofBirmingham, the state's largest city) in a presidential election. Majority-blackMarengo County wouldn't vote Republican again until2024.

Results

[edit]
2004 United States presidential election in Alabama[9]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
RepublicanGeorge W. Bush(incumbent)1,176,39462.46%9
DemocraticJohn Kerry693,93336.84%0
IndependentRalph Nader6,7010.36%0
IndependentMichael Badnarik3,5290.19%0
IndependentMichael Peroutka1,9940.11%0
Write Ins8980.05%0
Totals1,883,449100.00%9
Voter turnout (voting-age population)55.5%

By county

[edit]
CountyGeorge W. Bush
Republican
John Kerry
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal
#%#%#%#%
Autauga15,19675.67%4,75823.69%1270.63%10,43851.98%20,081
Baldwin52,97176.42%15,59922.50%7501.09%37,37253.92%69,320
Barbour5,89954.74%4,83244.84%460.43%1,0679.90%10,777
Bibb5,47272.00%2,08927.49%390.51%3,38344.51%7,600
Blount17,38680.85%3,93818.31%1800.84%13,44862.54%21,504
Bullock1,49431.67%3,21068.05%130.28%-1,716-36.38%4,717
Butler4,97959.16%3,41340.55%240.29%1,56618.61%8,416
Calhoun29,81465.89%15,08333.33%3520.78%14,73132.56%45,249
Chambers7,62258.49%5,34741.03%630.48%2,27517.46%13,032
Cherokee5,92365.45%3,04033.59%860.96%2,88331.86%9,049
Chilton12,82976.85%3,77822.63%860.52%9,05154.22%16,693
Choctaw3,89753.92%3,30345.70%270.37%5948.22%7,227
Clarke6,73059.07%4,62740.61%370.32%2,10318.46%11,394
Clay4,62470.32%1,89328.79%590.90%2,73141.53%6,576
Cleburne4,37075.37%1,39123.99%370.63%2,97951.38%5,798
Coffee13,01973.90%4,48025.43%1170.66%8,53948.47%17,616
Colbert13,18855.10%10,59844.28%1490.62%2,59010.82%23,935
Conecuh3,27154.33%2,71945.16%310.51%5529.17%6,021
Coosa2,90558.09%2,05541.09%410.82%85017.00%5,001
Covington11,11976.02%3,42323.40%850.58%7,69652.62%14,627
Crenshaw3,77768.67%1,69830.87%250.46%2,07937.80%5,500
Cullman26,81876.21%8,04522.86%3280.93%18,77353.35%35,191
Dale13,62174.71%4,48424.60%1260.69%9,13750.11%18,231
Dallas7,33539.49%11,17560.17%630.34%-3,840-20.68%18,573
DeKalb16,90469.94%7,09229.34%1730.72%9,81240.60%24,169
Elmore22,05676.90%6,47122.56%1530.53%15,58554.34%28,680
Escambia8,51368.68%3,81430.77%680.55%4,69937.91%12,395
Etowah26,99963.26%15,32835.91%3530.83%11,67127.35%42,680
Fayette5,53469.16%2,40830.09%600.74%3,12639.07%8,002
Franklin7,69062.68%4,51436.79%650.53%3,17625.89%12,269
Geneva8,34279.30%2,11320.09%650.62%6,22959.21%10,520
Greene95820.18%3,76479.28%260.54%-2,806-59.10%4,748
Hale3,28141.30%4,63158.29%330.42%-1,350-16.99%7,945
Henry4,88166.31%2,45233.31%280.38%2,42933.00%7,361
Houston26,87474.24%9,14425.26%1830.50%17,73048.98%36,201
Jackson11,53456.76%8,63542.49%1520.75%2,89914.27%20,321
Jefferson158,68054.16%132,28645.15%2,0010.68%26,3949.01%292,967
Lamar4,89471.08%1,95628.41%350.51%2,93842.67%6,885
Lauderdale22,16159.72%14,62839.42%3180.86%7,53320.30%37,107
Lawrence7,73055.21%6,15543.96%1160.82%1,57511.25%14,001
Lee27,97262.70%16,22736.38%4110.92%11,74526.32%44,610
Limestone19,70267.77%9,12631.39%2450.84%10,57636.38%29,073
Lowndes1,78629.66%4,23370.30%20.03%-2,447-40.64%6,021
Macon1,57016.69%7,80082.92%370.39%-6,230-66.23%9,407
Madison77,17358.88%52,64440.17%1,2450.95%24,52918.71%131,062
Marengo5,25550.91%5,03748.80%300.29%2182.11%10,322
Marion8,98369.77%3,80829.58%840.65%5,17540.19%12,875
Marshall22,78372.35%8,45226.84%2560.81%14,33145.51%31,491
Mobile92,01458.69%63,73240.65%1,0250.65%28,28218.04%156,771
Monroe5,83161.16%3,66638.45%370.39%2,16522.71%9,534
Montgomery44,09749.19%45,16050.37%3930.44%-1,063-1.18%89,650
Morgan32,47769.09%14,13130.06%3990.85%18,34639.03%47,007
Perry1,73831.47%3,76768.21%180.33%-2,029-36.74%5,523
Pickens5,17056.61%3,91542.87%470.51%1,25513.74%9,132
Pike7,48362.97%4,33436.47%660.56%3,14926.50%11,883
Randolph6,12768.07%2,81731.30%570.63%3,31036.77%9,001
Russell8,33749.60%8,37549.82%970.57%-38-0.22%16,809
Shelby63,43580.39%14,85018.82%6210.79%48,58561.57%78,906
St. Clair23,50080.59%5,45618.71%2050.70%18,04461.88%29,161
Sumter1,88029.22%4,52770.37%260.40%-2,647-41.15%6,433
Talladega18,33161.31%11,37438.04%1930.65%6,95723.27%29,898
Tallapoosa12,39269.03%5,45130.36%1090.61%6,94138.67%17,952
Tuscaloosa42,87761.40%26,44737.87%5060.73%16,43023.53%69,830
Walker19,16767.57%9,01631.78%1840.65%10,15135.79%28,367
Washington5,06061.36%3,14538.14%420.51%1,91523.22%8,247
Wilcox1,83432.28%3,83867.55%100.18%-2,004-35.27%5,682
Winston8,13078.00%2,23621.45%570.55%5,89456.55%10,423
Totals1,176,39462.46%693,93336.84%13,1220.70%482,46125.62%1,883,449


County Flips:
Democratic
  Hold
Republican
  Hold
  Gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Bush won six of seven congressional districts, including one held by a Democrat.

DistrictBushKerryRepresentative
1st64%35%Jo Bonner
2nd67%33%Terry Everett
3rd58%41%Mike D. Rogers
4th71%28%Robert Aderholt
5th60%39%Bud Cramer
6th78%22%Spencer Bachus
7th35%64%Artur Davis
[10]

Electors

[edit]
Main article:List of 2004 United States presidential electors

Technically the voters of Alabama cast their ballots for electors: representatives to theElectoral College. Alabama is allocated 9 electors because it has 7congressional districts and 2senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 9 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 9 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as afaithless elector.

The electors of each state and theDistrict of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney.[11][12]

  1. Beth Chapman
  2. Marty Connors
  3. Martha Hosey
  4. Will Sellers
  5. Mike Hubbard
  6. Floyd Lawson
  7. Elbert Peters
  8. Bettye Fine Collins
  9. Martha Stokes

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Comprehensive Voter Turnout 1986-2020"(PDF).Alabama Secretary of State.
  2. ^"Archived copy".dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on November 21, 2010. RetrievedJanuary 13, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ab"Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  4. ^"George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  5. ^"John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". Campaignmoney.com. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  6. ^"CNN.com Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  7. ^"CNN.com Specials". Cnn.com. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  8. ^"CNN.com Election 2004". Cnn.com. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  9. ^[1]Archived May 13, 2009, at theWayback Machine
  10. ^"Swing State Project". Swingstateproject.com. December 15, 2008. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
  11. ^[2]Archived March 26, 2009, at theWayback Machine
  12. ^"Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Uselectionatlas.org. RetrievedOctober 8, 2014.
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