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2004 United States Senate election in California

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2004 United States Senate election in California

← 1998November 2, 20042010 →
 
NomineeBarbara BoxerBill Jones
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote6,955,7284,555,922
Percentage57.71%37.80%

County results
Congressional district results
Boxer:     40-50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%
Jones:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%

U.S. senator before election

Barbara Boxer
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Barbara Boxer
Democratic

Elections in California
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Elections by year

The2004 United States Senate election in California took place on November 2, 2004, alongside other elections to theUnited States Senate in other states as well as elections to theUnited States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. SenatorBarbara Boxer ran for re-election and defeatedRepublican formerSecretary of StateBill Jones. Boxer's 6.96 million votes set the all-time record for the most votes cast for one candidate in one state in one election, although it was surpassed by SenatorDianne Feinstein's 7.75 million votesin 2012.

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Results

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2004 United States Senate Democratic primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBarbara Boxer (Incumbent)2,566,298100.00%

Republican primary

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Candidates

[edit]

Results

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2004 California Republican primary
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBill Jones1,015,74844.81%
RepublicanRosario Marin454,17620.03%
RepublicanHoward Kaloogian253,33111.17%
RepublicanToni Casey142,0806.27%
RepublicanTim Stoen124,9405.51%
RepublicanJames Stewart78,2643.45%
RepublicanBarry L. Hatch71,2443.14%
RepublicanJohn M. Van Zandt56,9252.51%
RepublicanDanney Ball37,7451.66%
RepublicanBill Quraishi32,5151.43%
Total votes2,266,968100.00%

Third party primaries

[edit]

American Independent

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2004 United States AI Senate primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
American IndependentDon J. Grundmann32,025100.00%

Libertarian

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2004 United States Senate Libertarian primary, California
CandidateVotes%
Jim Gray13,65657.30%
Gail Lightfoot10,17742.70%
Total votes23,833100.00%

Peace and Freedom

[edit]
2004 United States PF Senate primary, California
PartyCandidateVotes%
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland4,864100.00%

General election

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Candidates

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Major

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Minor

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Campaign

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Boxer originally had planned to retire in 2004 but changed her mind to "fight for the right to dissent" against conservatives such as House Majority LeaderTom DeLay. Jones was widely considered as the underdog.[3] Jones got a major endorsement from the popular GovernorArnold Schwarzenegger.[4] The two major candidates had a debate. Pre-election polling had Boxer leading in double digits.[5] But he never released a single TV ad. Boxer portrayed Jones as too conservative for California, citing his votes in the California Assembly (1982 to 1994) against gun control and an increased minimum wage, and in support of offshore drilling and a loosening of environmental regulations.[6]

Fundraising

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Jones raised about $700,000 more than Boxer during the third quarter, pulling in $2.5 million to Boxer's $1.8 million. But overall, Boxer has raised $16 million to Jones' $6.2 million. And Boxer has spent about $7 million on radio and television ads alone.[7]

Predictions

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SourceRankingAs of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8]Safe DNovember 1, 2004

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Barbara
Boxer (D)
Bill
Jones (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[9]October 29–31, 2004763 (LV)± 3.6%57%36%7%

Results

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The election was not close, with Boxer winning by an authoritative 20 point margin. Jones only performed well in rural parts of the state. Boxer on the other hand won almost all major metropolitan areas in the state. The race was called right when the polls closed at 11:00 P.M. EST, and 7:00 P.M. PTZ. Jones conceded defeat to Boxer at 11:12 P.M. EST, and 7:12 PTZ.

2004 United States Senate election, California[10]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBarbara Boxer (Incumbent)6,955,72857.71%
RepublicanBill Jones4,555,92237.80%
Peace and FreedomMarsha Feinland243,8462.02%
LibertarianJames P. "Jim" Gray216,5221.80%
American IndependentDon J. Grundmann81,2440.67%
No partyDennis Richter (write-in)430.00%
No partyHoward Johnson (write-in)80.00%
No partyJohn Emery Jones (write-in)20.00%
Invalid or blank votes536,3884.26%
Total votes12,589,703100.00%
Turnout 57.03%
Democratichold

By county

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Final results from theSecretary of State of California.[11]

CountyBoxerVotesJonesVotesFeinlandVotesOthersVotes
San Francisco82.67%277,19312.83%43,0292.15%7,2202.34%7,862
Alameda75.66%403,89220.23%107,9662.22%11,8511.89%10,103
Marin70.86%94,16425.81%34,3011.44%1,9151.89%2,505
San Mateo70.53%196,28526.29%73,1711.33%3,7151.84%5,126
Santa Cruz70.58%84,84023.49%28,2392.77%3,3293.15%3,791
Los Angeles66.75%1,940,49328.29%822,3512.36%68,7432.60%75,449
Santa Clara66.00%380,55129.83%172,0081.66%9,5502.51%14,487
Sonoma65.67%143,12429.57%64,4382.28%4,9622.49%5,419
Contra Costa63.49%258,90533.24%135,5591.48%6,0441.78%7,277
Monterey62.31%76,64732.96%40,5471.84%2,2632.89%3,560
Yolo61.94%44,08534.05%24,2341.88%1,3402.13%1,518
Mendocino61.87%23,41529.41%11,1312.76%1,0445.96%2,254
Solano61.32%89,77935.07%51,3541.61%2,3552.00%2,929
Napa60.30%33,57735.94%20,0121.59%8842.17%1,208
Humboldt58.76%38,01634.61%22,3943.47%2,2463.16%2,044
Imperial57.65%19,49836.06%12,1953.43%1,1592.87%971
Lake56.32%13,81239.22%9,6191.91%4692.55%625
San Benito55.82%10,34939.73%7,3651.96%3632.49%462
Santa Barbara55.10%91,05540.02%66,1462.03%3,3472.85%4,717
Sacramento54.16%252,01642.34%196,9841.50%6,9952.00%9,283
Alpine53.90%37341.76%2892.31%162.02%14
San Joaquin53.00%99,07442.98%80,3501.92%3,5822.10%3,921
Ventura52.13%159,92043.66%133,9171.84%5,6302.37%7,284
San Diego51.45%565,45744.13%484,9482.04%22,4312.38%26,125
Mono49.95%2,59244.59%2,3142.14%1113.31%172
San Bernardino49.76%251,77645.36%229,5272.18%11,0382.70%13,655
Merced49.65%27,97546.18%26,0231.95%1,0982.22%1,251
Riverside47.39%259,16948.67%266,1971.93%10,5472.01%11,015
Stanislaus46.93%67,53949.70%71,5271.61%2,3241.75%2,517
San Luis Obispo46.49%58,21248.48%60,7082.12%2,6592.91%3,646
Trinity46.24%2,96047.93%3,0682.17%1393.66%234
Del Norte46.03%4,26448.72%4,5132.29%2122.97%275
Nevada45.79%24,36749.46%26,3211.90%1,0132.85%1,518
Fresno45.36%109,84951.59%124,9371.61%3,9051.44%3,495
Butte44.96%42,51249.12%46,4462.52%2,3853.39%3,204
Tuolumne44.38%11,53852.39%13,6201.23%3192.00%519
Orange43.73%458,60450.86%533,4061.94%20,3943.47%36,374
Kings42.71%13,48554.07%17,0751.71%5391.51%478
Amador42.16%7,44554.15%9,5621.53%2712.15%380
Calaveras42.17%9,33953.58%11,8651.51%3342.75%608
Inyo40.68%3,47454.37%4,6432.08%1782.86%244
Mariposa40.38%3,43755.82%4,7511.69%1442.10%179
Siskiyou39.92%8,21554.95%11,3081.94%3993.18%655
Placer39.70%59,55456.78%85,1631.46%2,1972.06%3,086
Plumas39.59%4,34754.82%6,0192.21%2433.38%371
El Dorado39.58%33,71556.09%47,7752.05%1,7432.29%1,950
Madera39.15%15,05857.84%22,2491.67%6411.35%519
Yuba38.94%6,92655.80%9,9252.21%3933.05%542
Kern38.13%79,76956.82%118,8822.17%4,5432.88%6,026
Tulare37.11%36,18159.55%58,0661.84%1,7981.50%1,464
Colusa36.61%2,22860.10%3,6571.23%752.05%125
Sutter36.61%10,86460.06%17,8241.47%4361.86%553
Tehama36.18%8,28558.89%13,4881.76%4033.17%726
Shasta35.21%26,79560.00%45,6671.86%1,4122.94%2,235
Sierra34.89%67958.74%1,1431.90%374.47%87
Glenn33.87%3,14761.77%5,7391.86%1732.50%232
Lassen32.36%3,65562.43%7,0511.97%2233.24%366
Modoc28.48%1,25366.27%2,9161.52%673.73%164
Shift by county
Trend by county
Legend
  •   Republican — >15%
  •   Republican — +12.5−15%
  •   Republican — +10−12.5%
  •   Republican — +7.5−10%
  •   Republican — +5−7.5%
  •   Republican — +2.5−5%
  •   Republican — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +0−2.5%
  •   Democratic — +2.5−5%
  •   Democratic — +5−7.5%
  •   Democratic — +7.5-10%
  •   Democratic — +10−12.5%
  •   Democratic — +12.5−15%
  •   Democratic — >15%

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

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By congressional district

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Boxer won 36 of 53 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans.[12]

DistrictBoxerJonesRepresentative
1st60%34%Mike Thompson
2nd40%56%Wally Herger
3rd46%51%Doug Ose
Dan Lungren
4th40%56%John Doolittle
5th65%31%Bob Matsui
6th68%27%Lynn Woolsey
7th69%27%George Miller
8th84%12%Nancy Pelosi
9th84%11%Barbara Lee
10th60%37%Ellen Tauscher
11th50%47%Richard Pombo
12th73%24%Tom Lantos
13th73%23%Pete Stark
14th68%29%Anna Eshoo
15th65%31%Mike Honda
16th67%28%Zoe Lofgren
17th66%29%Sam Farr
18th57%39%Dennis Cardoza
19th42%55%George Radanovich
20th57%38%Cal Dooley
Jim Costa
21st38%59%Devin Nunes
22nd36%60%Bill Thomas
23rd60%35%Lois Capps
24th47%48%Elton Gallegly
25th46%49%Howard McKeon
26th48%47%David Dreier
27th64%31%Brad Sherman
28th74%21%Howard Berman
29th64%31%Adam Schiff
30th69%27%Henry Waxman
31st80%15%Xavier Becerra
32nd68%26%Hilda Solis
33rd84%12%Diane Watson
34th74%21%Lucille Roybal-Allard
35th80%15%Maxine Waters
36th62%33%Jane Harman
37th76%18%Juanita Millender-McDonald
38th71%23%Grace Napolitano
39th64%31%Linda Sánchez
40th44%51%Ed Royce
41st44%52%Jerry Lewis
42nd42%54%Gary Miller
43rd64%30%Joe Baca
44th45%51%Ken Calvert
45th49%47%Mary Bono Mack
46th46%49%Dana Rohrabacher
47th57%35%Loretta Sanchez
48th44%51%Christopher Cox
John Campbell
49th42%54%Darrell Issa
50th48.1%48.2%Brian Bilbray
51st61%34%Bob Filner
52nd44%51%Duncan Hunter
53rd64%31%Susan Davis

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^"GOP race in state draws little cash, attention : 4 candidates seek chance to replace Boxer in Senate". June 29, 2011. Archived fromthe original on June 29, 2011.
  2. ^abc"NewsLibrary Search Results".nl.newsbank.com.Archived from the original on June 9, 2011. RetrievedJuly 2, 2010.
  3. ^"John J. Miller on U.S. Senate & Election 2004 on National Review Online". Archived fromthe original on March 9, 2012. RetrievedSeptember 4, 2010.
  4. ^"USATODAY.com - Schwarzenegger to endorse Jones for Senate".Usatoday.com.
  5. ^"CAMPAIGN 2004 / Jones, Boxer mix it up in only live debate / Challenger plays up Schwarzenegger ties, senator counters".Sfgate.com. August 11, 2004.Archived from the original on September 5, 2010.
  6. ^"The State; Bill Jones' Campaign Quandary; With only tepid support from Bush, the GOP challenger to Sen. Boxer could use a boost from the governor -- who so far has kept his distance". Archived fromthe original on January 31, 2013.
  7. ^"Los Angeles Times: Archives - CALIFORNIA ELECTIONS; Jones Pulls Out Cash He Lent to Campaign". Archived fromthe original on November 3, 2012. RetrievedMay 13, 2018.
  8. ^"The Final Predictions".Sabato's Crystal Ball.Archived from the original on May 2, 2021. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  9. ^SurveyUSA
  10. ^"United States Senator"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 31, 2008. RetrievedJuly 31, 2008.
  11. ^"United States Senator"(PDF). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on July 31, 2008. RetrievedJuly 31, 2008.
  12. ^"Counties by Congressional Districts for US Senator"(PDF). November 2, 2004.Archived(PDF) from the original on November 28, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 28, 2025.

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