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2003 New South Wales state election

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2003 New South Wales state election

← 1999
22 March 2003 (2003-03-22)
2007 →

All 93 seats in theNew South Wales Legislative Assembly
and21 (of the 42) seats in theNew South Wales Legislative Council
47 Assembly seats were needed for a majority
 First partySecond party
 
LeaderBob CarrJohn Brogden
PartyLaborLiberal/National coalition
Leader since6 April 198828 March 2002
Leader's seatMaroubraPittwater
Last election55 seats33 seats
Seats won5532
Seat changeSteadyDecrease1
Popular vote1,631,0181,312,892
Percentage42.68%34.35%
SwingIncrease0.47Increase0.66
TPP56.18%43.82%
TPP swingIncrease0.22Decrease0.22

Two-candidate-preferred margin by electorate

Premier before election

Bob Carr
Labor

ElectedPremier

Bob Carr
Labor

The2003 New South Wales state election was held on Saturday 22 March 2003. All seats in theLegislative Assembly and half the seats in theLegislative Council were up for election. TheLabor Party led byBob Carr won a third four-year term against theLiberal–National Coalition led byJohn Brogden.

Future New South Wales premiers,Gladys Berejiklian andKristina Keneally, entered parliament at this election.

This election saw the New South Wales division of theLiberal Party record its lowest ever primary vote at a state election.

Background

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In the 18 months following the1999 election politics was swamped by the Olympics. The only problem in this period was an administrative disaster in organising the ballot to purchase tickets. Games organisers were trying to hold back tickets originally promised at a lower price to the public in an attempt to deal with the financial viability of the Olympics. Chikarovski remained as Liberal leader after the 1999 election, partly because no-one wanted the job before the Olympics, but also because there was no clear alternative. A challenge finally occurred in March 2002, and Pittwater MP John Brogden, after six years in Parliament, was elected to the leadership on his 33rd birthday.

After the Olympics, the Government faced two major problems. The first was the police. The Government had appointed anoutsider, Englishman Peter Ryan, as new Commissioner to implement the reforms proposed by the Police Royal Commission. By 2001, police issues had moved on from corruption and returned to law and order, with the Government in particular under pressure over so-called "ethnic" crime in Western Sydney. Both Police Minister Paul Whelan and Commissioner Ryan were pushed into retiring, and new Minister Michael Costa was brought in to control the issue in the run-up to the 2003 election.

The second problem was the rail system. In a bid to create efficiencies, the Government had split the rail system into distinct organisations covering track, rolling stock, freight and passengers. Following a spate of accidents, including fatalities at Springwood in December 1999, a commission of inquiry was appointed. Its findings were that the accidents stemmed from confusion in the new structure of the rail system, and also a failure by the railway organisation to view safety as an operational goal. Another accident at Waterfall a month before the official start of the election campaign looked set to make rail safety a critical election issue, but the cause turned out to be the demise of the driver at the controls. Events after the election were to reveal major problems in the rail system, but they were not to become major issues in the campaign.

The 2003 election was almost a repeat of the1999 result. The Liberal Party regained South Coast but lost the outer Sydney seat of Camden. The National Party regained Clarence with the retirement ofHarry Woods, but lost Monaro to the Labor Party. Worse for the National Party, both Tamworth and Port Macquarie were lost to Independents: Tamworth after having been regained at a 2001 by-election, Port Macquarie after the decision of the National MP to leave the Party.

On the surface the result looked a repeat of1999, but on closer analysis, Labor had increased its hold on Government. Despite a statewide two-party swing of just 0.2% to Labor, the party increased its margins in key seats. The seats clustered around the bottom of the electoral pendulum ahead of the1999 election were now all safe seats for the Government. With another redistribution due before the next election in2007 election, Labor appeared to have entrenched itself in power.

The election was the second to be fought by Carr as the incumbent Premier and became the first incumbent Premier to fight back to back elections since Neville Wran. To date Carr is also the last Premier to fight a second consecutive election.

In his concession speech Brogden promised that he will be back for the 2007 election but it was a promise that was not kept as he resigned as Liberal leader and then from Parliament in 2005.

Electoral system

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Main article:Electoral systems of the Australian states and territories § New South Wales

TheNew South Wales Legislative Assembly consists of 93 members, elected insingle-member electorates byoptional preferential voting.[citation needed]

TheNew South Wales Legislative Council consists of 42 members, elected at large by optional preferentialsingle transferable voting, with 21 elected at each election to serve two Legislative Assembly terms.[citation needed]

Terms are fixed at four years, with elections being held in late March.[citation needed]

Results

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Overview

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In theNew South Wales Legislative Assembly:

Elections were held for half the seats in theNew South Wales Legislative Council:

Legislative Assembly

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Main article:Results of the 2003 New South Wales state election (Legislative Assembly)
PartyVotes%+/–Seats+/–
Labor1,631,01842.68Increase 0.4755Steady
Liberal944,88824.72Decrease 0.1020Steady
National368,0049.63Increase 0.7612Decrease 1
Greens315,3708.25Increase 4.370Steady
Independents313,1068.19Increase 3.096Increase 1
Christian Democrats65,9371.73Increase 0.230Steady
Unity49,5971.30Increase 0.240Steady
One Nation NSW48,8461.28Decrease 6.250Steady
Democrats35,4770.93Decrease 2.400Steady
Others49,5611.30Decrease 0.410Steady
Total3,821,804100.0093
Valid votes3,821,80497.38
Invalid/blank votes102,8722.62Increase 0.11
Total votes3,924,676100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,272,10491.87Decrease 1.25
Source:NSW Elections - 2003 Results
Two-party-preferred
Labor1,867,38656.18Decrease 3.92
Liberal/National1,456,64043.82Increase 3.92
Total3,324,026100.00


Popular vote
Labor
42.68%
Liberal
24.72%
National
9.63%
Greens
8.25%
Independent
8.19%
Christian Democrats
1.73%
Unity
1.30%
One Nation
1.28%
Democrats
0.93%
Others
1.30%
Two-party-preferred vote
Labor
56.18%
Coalition
43.82%
Parliamentary seats
Labor
55
Liberal
20
National
12
Independent
6

Legislative Council

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Main article:Results of the New South Wales state election, 2003 (Legislative Council)
PartyVotes%+/–Seats
Not UpWonTotal seats
Labor1,620,19043.57Increase 6.2781018
Liberal/NationalCoalition1,239,10733.32Increase 5.916713
Greens320,0108.61Increase 5.69123
Christian Democrats112,8653.04Decrease 0.14112
Shooters76,1332.05Increase 0.38011
Hanson Group71,3861.92NewNew00
Democrats55,4841.49Decrease 2.44101
One Nation NSW55,3961.49Decrease 4.85101
Unity52,9791.42Increase 0.44101
Fishing Party (& Associates)39,3151.06Increase 0.85000
Against Further Immigration33,4090.90Increase 0.59000
Save Our Suburbs18,0330.48Increase 0.48000
Legal System Reform9,6440.26Decrease 0.74101
No Privatisation Peoples Party6,6520.18Increase 0.12000
Socialist Alliance5,4280.15NewNew00
Independents2,4340.07Increase 0.05000
Outdoor Recreation101
Total3,718,465100.00212142
Valid votes3,718,46594.66
Invalid/blank votes209,8515.34Decrease 1.83
Total votes3,928,316100.00
Registered voters/turnout4,272,10491.95Decrease 1.11
Source:NSW Legislative Council Elections 2003

Seats changing hands

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SeatPre-2003SwingPost-2003
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Camden LiberalLiz Kernohan3.5-8.95.4Geoff CorriganLabor 
Clarence LaborHarry Woods0.2-1.81.6Steve CansdellNational 
Monaro NationalPeter Webb0.2-3.53.3Steve WhanLabor 
South Coast LaborWayne Smith0.5-3.32.8Shelley HancockLiberal 
Tamworth§ NationalJohn Cull8.7-11.22.5Peter DraperIndependent 

§Tamworth was won by the Nationals in a2001 by-election and the shown swing is based on it. At the1999 election it was won by independentTony Windsor.

  • Members' names shown in italics did not recontest their seats.

Post-election pendulum

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Labor seats (55)
Marginal
MonaroSteve WhanALP3.3%
TweedNeville NewellALP3.8%
CamdenGeoff CorriganALP5.4%
Fairly safe
PenrithKaryn PaluzzanoALP6.1%
Murray-DarlingPeter BlackALP6.7%
Port JacksonSandra NoriALP7.3% v GRN
DrummoyneAngela D'AmoreALP8.7%
HeathcotePaul McLeayALP8.7%
MaitlandJohn PriceALP8.9%
MirandaBarry CollierALP9.1%
Port StephensJohn BartlettALP9.3%
MenaiAlison MegarrityALP9.5%
The EntranceGrant McBrideALP9.6%
PeatsMarie AndrewsALP9.7%
Safe
MarrickvilleAndrew RefshaugeALP10.7% v GRN
WyongPaul CrittendenALP11.1%
CoogeePaul PearceALP12.6%
ParramattaTanya GadielALP13.4%
Georges RiverKevin GreeneALP13.7%
BathurstGerard MartinALP14.1%
Lake MacquarieJeff HunterALP14.5%
CharlestownMatthew MorrisALP14.7%
Blue MountainsBob DebusALP14.8%
NewcastleBryce GaudryALP14.8%
WentworthvillePam AllanALP14.8%
LondonderryAllan ShearanALP15.3% v IND
CessnockKerry HickeyALP15.5%
RydeJohn WatkinsALP15.5%
StrathfieldVirginia JudgeALP15.8%
RockdaleFrank SartorALP15.9%
RiverstoneJohn AquilinaALP16.1%
KiamaMatt BrownALP16.9%
WollongongNoreen HayALP17.3% v IND
MulgoaDiane BeamerALP17.9%
East HillsAlan AshtonALP18.5%
KogarahCherie BurtonALP19.2%
GranvilleKim YeadonALP19.5%
CampbelltownGraham WestALP19.6%
WallsendJohn MillsALP20.7%
Macquarie FieldsCraig KnowlesALP22.5%
KeiraDavid CampbellALP22.5% v GRN
MaroubraBob CarrALP23.5%
HeffronKristina KeneallyALP23.9%
BlacktownPaul GibsonALP24.5%
IllawarraMarianne SalibaALP24.8%
Mount DruittRichard AmeryALP26.8%
FairfieldJoe TripodiALP27.0%
AuburnBarbara PerryALP27.3%
LakembaMorris IemmaALP27.4%
CanterburyLinda BurneyALP27.6%
SmithfieldCarl ScullyALP27.8%
BankstownTony StewartALP28.6%
LiverpoolPaul LynchALP30.7%
CabramattaReba MeagherALP31.7%
Liberal/National seats (32)
Marginal
WilloughbyGladys BerejiklianLIB0.2% v IND
GosfordChris HartcherLIB0.3%
ClarenceSteve CansdellNAT1.6%
South CoastShelley HancockLIB2.8%
HornsbyJudy HopwoodLIB3.1%
Lane CoveAnthony RobertsLIB3.2%
BegaAndrew ConstanceLIB3.9%
BurrinjuckKatrina HodgkinsonNAT4.1%
Baulkham HillsWayne MertonLIB5.9%
Fairly safe
EppingAndrew TinkLIB6.9%
Coffs HarbourAndrew FraserNAT6.9% v IND
OrangeRussell TurnerNAT7.1%
Southern HighlandsPeta SeatonLIB7.6%
BallinaDon PageNAT9.0%
CronullaMalcolm KerrLIB9.3%
Safe
OxleyAndrew StonerNAT10.0%
VauclusePeter DebnamLIB10.3%
AlburyGreg AplinLIB11.5% v IND
The HillsMichael RichardsonLIB11.6%
North ShoreJillian SkinnerLIB12.3%
WakehurstBrad HazzardLIB12.7%
Upper HunterGeorge SourisNAT12.7%
LismoreThomas GeorgeNAT12.8%
Wagga WaggaDaryl MaguireLIB13.7%
HawkesburySteven PringleLIB14.1%
Myall LakesJohn TurnerNAT15.4%
BarwonIan Slack-SmithNAT16.2%
MurrumbidgeeAdrian PiccoliNAT17.8%
DavidsonAndrew HumphersonLIB19.7%
PittwaterJohn BrogdenLIB20.1%
LachlanIan ArmstrongNAT21.2%
Ku-ring-gaiBarry O'FarrellLIB21.6%
Crossbench seats (6)
ManlyDavid BarrIND1.3% v LIB
TamworthPeter DraperIND2.5% v NAT
DubboTony McGraneIND5.0% v NAT
BlighClover MooreIND14.7% v ALP
Northern TablelandsRichard TorbayIND32.4% v NAT
Port MacquarieRob OakeshottIND32.8% v NAT

See also

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References

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Further reading

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General elections
Local elections
Referendums
Executive
Coat of arms New South Wales
Legislative
Judicial
Elections
Political parties
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