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2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election

← 1998
November 5, 2002
2006 →
 
NomineeEd RendellMike Fisher
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Running mateCatherine Baker KnollJane Earll
Popular vote1,913,2351,589,408
Percentage53.41%44.37%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Rendell:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Fisher:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     50%     No data

Governor before election

Mark Schweiker
Republican

Elected Governor

Ed Rendell
Democratic

Elections in Pennsylvania
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The2002 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election was held on November 5, 2002, to elect theGovernor andLieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania. IncumbentRepublican GovernorMark Schweiker, who took office in 2001 whenTom Ridge resigned to becomeHomeland Security Advisor, was eligible to run for a full term, but did not do so.DemocratEd Rendell, the formermayor of Philadelphia andChair of the Democratic National Committee, emerged from a competitive primary to win the general election against RepublicanPennsylvania Attorney GeneralMike Fisher.

Rendell won the election, with commentators attributing his victory to "endless retail politicking" and a hard-working campaign.[1] The political websitePoliticsPA praised Rendell's campaign team ofDavid L. Cohen,David W. Sweet, andSandi Vito.[1] Fisher's strategy backfired; Rendell performed well in much of Eastern Pennsylvania and he was able to win by huge margins in even many traditionally Republican suburbs.[2]

Rendell was the first official from Philadelphia to win the governorship since 1914.[2] This was the first time since 1826 that a Democrat won all four of Philadelphia's suburban counties and the first time since 1970 that a Democrat wonMontgomery County in a gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

[edit]

Attorney General Mike Fisher ran unopposed for the Republican nomination. Although incumbent GovernorMark Schweiker was eligible to run for election to a full term (he had served only a partial term afterTom Ridge resigned to becomeHomeland Security Advisor), he chose not to seek his party's nomination. Despite polls showing that Schweiker polled well among the same groups that backed Ridge, the Republican establishment considered Schweiker to be a weak candidate and stood steadfast behind Fisher.[2]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

In the Democratic primary, formermayor of PhiladelphiaEd Rendell defeatedPennsylvania Auditor GeneralBob Casey Jr., bucking the "myth that a Philadelphian could never win" a statewide election. Despite strong support from organized labor for Casey, lackluster campaigning combined with Rendell's ability to cast himself as a strong executive allowed him to pull out a primary win.[3]

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results
  Rendell
  •   50%-60%
  •   60%-70%
  •   70%-80%
  •   80%-90%
  Casey
  •   50%-60%
  •   60%-70%
  •   70%-80%
  •   80%-90%
Pennsylvania gubernatorial primary election, 2002[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Rendell702,44256.55%
DemocraticBob Casey Jr.539,79443.45%
Total votes1,242,236100.00%

General election

[edit]

Campaign

[edit]

Fisher emphasized Rendell's Philadelphia roots continuously during his campaign and described the mayor as an urban liberal whose programs would require huge tax increases.[2]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Ed
Rendell (D)
Mike
Fisher (R)
Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[5]October 26–28, 2002668 (LV)± 3.9%56%37%7%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[6]Lean D(flip)October 31, 2002
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7]Likely D(flip)November 4, 2002

Results

[edit]
Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, 2002[8]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticEd Rendell1,913,23553.40
RepublicanMike Fisher1,589,40844.40
LibertarianKen V. Krawchuk40,9231.14
GreenMike Morrill38,4231.07
Total votes3,581,989100.00
Democraticgain fromRepublican

Results by county

[edit]
County[9]Ed Rendell
Democratic
Mike Fisher
Republican
Ken Krawchuk
Libertarian
Michael Morrill
Green
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%#%
Adams7,73231.99%15,95065.98%1990.82%2921.21%-8,218-33.99%24,173
Allegheny209,70853.66%169,41443.35%6,6731.71%4,9911.28%40,2948.31%390,786
Armstrong7,96539.11%11,89858.43%2881.41%2131.05%-3,933-19.32%20,364
Beaver27,32252.05%23,74445.23%7911.51%6361.21%3,5786.82%52,493
Bedford4,51630.24%10,19068.23%980.66%1300.87%-5,674-37.99%14,934
Berks56,59255.20%43,79042.71%1,0271.00%1,1191.09%12,80212.49%102,528
Blair10,35629.99%23,53068.15%3070.89%3360.97%-13,174-38.16%34,529
Bradford4,94730.83%10,81567.40%1300.81%1550.97%-5,868-36.57%16,047
Bucks127,85063.28%70,00034.64%2,6851.33%1,5160.75%57,85028.64%202,051
Butler18,14534.91%32,40062.34%7681.48%6591.27%-14,255-27.43%51,972
Cambria20,30543.39%25,55654.61%4801.03%4550.97%-5,251-11.22%46,796
Cameron57135.07%1,03263.39%100.61%150.92%-461-28.32%1,628
Carbon8,59854.79%6,60042.05%2881.84%2081.33%1,99812.74%15,692
Centre14,55741.71%19,02754.52%3971.14%9182.63%-4,470-12.81%34,899
Chester81,99657.41%58,66941.08%1,1590.81%9900.69%23,32716.33%142,814
Clarion3,93434.08%7,39764.08%1030.89%1090.94%-3,463-30.00%11,543
Clearfield10,22141.64%13,82256.32%2320.95%2691.10%-3,601-14.68%24,544
Clinton4,34147.79%4,43448.81%1151.27%1942.14%-93-1.02%9,084
Columbia7,00441.89%9,30455.65%1470.88%2631.57%-2,300-13.76%16,718
Crawford9,15535.74%15,55160.71%4981.94%4111.60%-6,396-24.97%25,615
Cumberland24,23736.31%40,96661.37%7611.14%7881.18%-16,729-25.06%66,752
Dauphin33,53742.05%44,23155.45%1,0161.27%9801.23%-10,694-13.40%79,764
Delaware123,11765.12%62,64933.14%2,0441.08%1,2600.67%60,46831.98%189,070
Elk3,91740.87%5,46857.05%1051.10%950.99%-1,551-16.18%9,585
Erie32,77441.72%43,09554.85%1,0711.36%1,6232.07%-10,321-13.13%78,563
Fayette19,08256.56%13,87841.14%4971.47%2790.83%5,20415.42%33,736
Forest61333.76%1,17064.43%140.77%191.05%-557-30.67%1,816
Franklin10,33529.93%23,68968.61%2220.64%2790.81%-13,354-38.68%34,525
Fulton1,13829.47%2,68169.42%330.85%100.26%-1,543-39.95%3,862
Greene5,01353.02%4,20944.52%890.94%1441.52%8048.50%9,455
Huntingdon3,69731.18%7,84266.13%770.65%2422.04%-4,145-34.95%11,858
Indiana9,89741.26%13,46256.12%2030.85%4241.77%-3,565-14.86%23,986
Jefferson3,87930.02%8,74567.67%1501.16%1491.15%-4,866-37.65%12,923
Juniata2,18729.76%5,02768.40%620.84%730.99%-2,840-38.64%7,349
Lackawanna40,20658.22%26,09937.79%1,8882.73%8681.26%14,10720.43%69,061
Lancaster40,79132.23%83,60766.07%8710.69%1,2801.01%-42,816-33.84%126,549
Lawrence14,62852.01%13,01046.25%2440.87%2450.87%1,6185.76%28,127
Lebanon12,71235.17%22,65962.69%4521.25%3230.89%-9,947-27.52%36,146
Lehigh48,15056.72%34,73840.92%1,0741.27%9341.10%13,41215.80%84,896
Luzerne45,64152.61%38,76044.68%8911.03%1,4541.68%6,8817.93%86,746
Lycoming9,93731.47%20,75165.72%3571.13%5321.68%-10,814-34.25%31,577
McKean3,21532.76%6,37364.94%1311.33%940.96%-3,158-32.18%9,813
Mercer14,16145.13%16,42952.36%3431.09%4441.42%-2,268-7.23%31,377
Mifflin3,36231.32%7,12266.35%1611.50%890.83%-3,760-35.03%10,734
Monroe14,57047.34%15,25849.57%4471.45%5031.63%-688-2.23%30,778
Montgomery175,15767.16%81,83531.38%2,1210.81%1,6900.65%93,32235.78%260,803
Montour1,84738.00%2,87359.10%571.17%841.73%-1,026-21.10%4,861
Northampton42,55458.52%28,22838.82%1,0881.50%8461.16%14,32619.70%72,716
Northumberland10,77441.52%14,47955.80%3821.47%3131.21%-3,705-14.28%25,948
Perry3,42626.28%9,28671.22%1651.27%1611.23%-5,860-44.94%13,038
Philadelphia339,69784.08%59,22314.66%1,9760.49%3,1290.77%280,47469.42%404,025
Pike4,04937.46%6,48259.97%1241.15%1541.42%-2,433-22.51%10,809
Potter1,35727.67%3,47170.76%380.77%390.80%-2,114-43.09%4,905
Schuylkill25,23351.47%22,69246.29%5151.05%5851.19%2,5415.18%49,025
Snyder2,59927.59%6,62370.32%670.71%1301.38%-4,024-42.73%9,419
Somerset8,08832.64%16,24465.56%1890.76%2571.04%-8,156-32.92%24,778
Sullivan85636.27%1,44161.06%311.31%321.36%-585-24.79%2,360
Susquehanna4,24433.35%8,17564.25%1040.82%2011.58%-3,931-30.90%12,724
Tioga3,27529.41%7,69669.12%620.56%1010.91%-4,421-39.71%11,134
Union3,15333.27%6,05863.93%740.78%1912.02%-2,905-30.66%9,476
Venango5,55136.54%9,18860.48%2381.57%2141.41%-3,637-23.94%15,191
Warren4,82340.45%6,82357.22%1251.05%1531.28%-2,000-16.77%11,924
Washington30,36850.67%28,36847.33%6421.07%5600.93%2,0003.34%59,938
Wayne4,39533.87%8,11862.56%1190.92%3442.65%-3,723-28.69%12,976
Westmoreland48,99244.77%58,01853.01%1,4471.32%9800.90%-9,026-8.24%109,437
Wyoming2,93835.31%5,15261.92%700.84%1611.93%-2,214-26.61%8,321
York33,24833.27%63,89463.94%1,6911.69%1,0881.09%-30,646-30.67%99,921
Totals1,913,23553.41%1,589,40844.37%40,9231.14%38,4231.07%323,8279.04%3,581,989

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"The Best and Worst Campaigns'02".PoliticsPA. The Publius Group. 2002.[dead link]
  2. ^abcdKennedy, John J. (2006).Pennsylvania Elections: Statewide Contests From 1950–2004. University Press of America.ISBN 9780761832799.
  3. ^"The Best and Worst of Primary '02".PoliticsPA. The Publius Group. 2002.[dead link]
  4. ^"Governor, 2002 General Primary".Commonwealth of PA – Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2004. Archived fromthe original on September 28, 2011. RetrievedMay 16, 2008.
  5. ^SurveyUSA
  6. ^"Governor Updated October 31, 2002 | The Cook Political Report".The Cook Political Report. October 31, 2002. Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2002. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2018.
  7. ^"Governors Races".www.centerforpolitics.org. November 4, 2002. Archived fromthe original on December 12, 2002. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2018.
  8. ^"Governor, 2002 General Election".Commonwealth of PA – Elections Information. Pennsylvania Department of State. 2004. RetrievedMay 16, 2008.
  9. ^"2002 General Election (Official Returns)".Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. RetrievedJanuary 11, 2025.

See also

[edit]
U.S.
Senate
U.S.
House
Governors
State Attorneys General
State
legislatures
Mayors
Local
States
generally
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