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2000 Mexican general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2000 Mexican general election

2 July 2000
Presidential election
← 1994
2006 →
Turnout63.97% (Decrease 13.19pp)
 
NomineeVicente FoxFrancisco LabastidaCuauhtémoc Cárdenas
PartyPANPRIPRD
AllianceAlliance for ChangeAlliance for Mexico
Popular vote15,989,63613,579,7186,256,780
Percentage43.43%36.89%17.00%

Results by state
Results by constituency

President before election

Ernesto Zedillo
PRI

ElectedPresident

Vicente Fox
PAN

Senate
← 1994
2006 →

All 128 seats in theSenate of the Republic
65 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderVote %Seats+/–
Alliance for ChangeLuis Felipe Bravo Mena39.1051+17
PRIDulce María Sauri Riancho37.5160−16
Alliance for Mexico19.2917+2
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
Results by state
Chamber of Deputies
← 1997
2003 →

All 500 seats in theChamber of Deputies
251 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderVote %Seats+/–
Alliance for ChangeLuis Felipe Bravo Mena39.19224+95
PRIDulce María Sauri Riancho37.75211−28
Alliance for Mexico19.1265−67
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.

  • Federal elections

flagMexico portal

General elections were held inMexico on Sunday, 2 July 2000. Voters went to the polls to elect a newpresident to serve a single six-year term, replacing PresidentErnesto Zedillo Ponce de León, who was ineligible for re-election under the1917 Constitution. The election system ran underplurality voting; 500 members of theChamber of Deputies (300 by thefirst-past-the-post system and 200 byproportional representation) for three-year terms and 128 members of theSenate (three perstate by first-past-the-post – two first-past-the-post seats are allocated to the party with the largest share of the vote; the remaining seat is given to the first runner-up – and 32 by proportional representation fromnational party lists) for six-year terms.

The presidential election was won byVicente Fox of theAlliance for Change, who received 43.4% of the vote,[1] the first time the opposition had won an election since theMexican Revolution. In the congressional elections the Alliance for Change emerged as the largest faction in the Chamber of Deputies with 224 of the 500 seats, whilst theInstitutional Revolutionary Party remained the largest faction in the Senate with 60 of the 128 seats in the Senate.[2] Voter turnout was between 63 and 64% in the elections.[3]

This historically significant election made Fox the first president elected from an opposition party sinceFrancisco I. Madero in 1911, as well as the first in 71 years to defeat, with 43 percent of the vote, the then-dominant Institutional Revolutionary Party.

Primary elections

[edit]

Institutional Revolutionary Party

[edit]

PresidentErnesto Zedillo sought to break away from the 71-year-old PRI succession ritual, so the PRI conducted an unprecedented internal process to choose its presidential candidate for the 2000 elections. The president declared, "The so-calleddedazo is dead";dedazo being the term used to refer to the president personally choosing his successor, which roughly translates to "handpicking".[4][5]

Francisco Labastida Ochoa,Humberto Roque Villanueva,Manuel Bartlett andRoberto Madrazo were the pre-candidates. Despite the president's statement, there was still a sense that Labastida was most likely to become the official candidate due to being the closest to President Zedillo.[6]

Madrazo's confrontation with Labastida during the election was notable, as was Madrazo's "challenging" stance toward Zedillo, exemplified by his campaign slogan,Dale un Madrazo al dedazo ("Give a Madrazo to thededazo", though it could also be translated as "Give a blow to the handpicking").[7]

On 7 November 1999 the primary election was held, and widespread reports of fraudulent tactics were present.[4][5] Nevertheless, Madrazo accepted the election's outcome and rejoined the Tabasco government following a meeting with Labastida inLos Pinos, where Zedillo intervened to stop Madrazo from breaking with the PRI. On 20 November Labastida was declared the PRI candidate.

CandidateVotes%
Francisco Labastida Ochoa4,098,61858.13
Roberto Madrazo Pintado2,168,58030.76
Manuel Bartlett Diaz455,2126.46
Humberto Roque Villanueva328,3574.66
Total7,050,767100.00
Source:El Pais

National Action Party

[edit]

The formerGuanajuato governorVicente Fox Quesada was the only person to seek theNational Action Party nomination and was ratified by the party.[8]Pedro Cerisola was his general campaign coordinator.[9]

Party of the Democratic Revolution

[edit]

Porfirio Muñoz Ledo andCuauhtémoc Cárdenas declared their interest in being candidates for theParty of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), a contest that ended with Muñoz Ledo's dismissal from the party. According to Muñoz Ledo it was inevitable that the same person would run for office a third time if there was no "true democratic process" in the PRD. Muñoz Ledo was later confirmed as the candidate for theAuthentic Party of the Mexican Revolution and Cárdenas was designated as the PRD candidate.[8]

Campaign

[edit]

On 27 April 2000 PAN candidate Vicente Fox sent a letter containing ten points to the apostolic nuncioLeonardo Sandri and theConference of the Mexican Episcopate, outlining the measures he pledged to take on behalf of theCatholic Church and other Christian churches should he win the presidency. These included advocating for "respect for the right to life from the moment of conception," granting churches access to the media, granting free admission to public health centers, prisons, orphanages and nursing homes for priests and other ministers of worship, standardizing seminary coursework with public institution coursework, in addition to giving churches a unique tax system and allowing them to deduct taxes "when they contribute to human development."[10][11]

Fox reaffirmed his strong religious stance and identified himself as a devout Catholic. Even though Fox had finally won the presidency, the promises he made to the churches in that letter were not kept given that the PAN failed to secure an absolute majority in theCongress of the Union.

Opinion polls

[edit]

PRI candidate Francisco Labastida led in nearly all the polls throughout the first months of the campaign, although in the final two months his lead grew smaller; on the other hand, PAN candidate Vicente Fox was at second place in most of the polls, but in May and June his percentage of supporters increased and he led in many of the final polls.

Given that the overwhelming majority of the polls failed to predict Fox's victory and instead had indicated that Labastida would win by comfortable margins, it has been asserted that many of those polled lied about their preferences, fearing that if they stated support for an opposition party, they would be stripped of the government assistance programs they were receiving by the PRI. TheReforma newspaper, which had predicted a Labastida victory in every poll they published during the campaign, attributed their mistake to the so-called "fear factor".[12]

DatePoll sourceFox
PAN
Labastida
PRI
Cárdenas
PRD
Others
Sample
size
Ref.
November 1999Mund Opinion39%43%18%0%N/A[13]
Indermec44%39%16%0%N/A
GEA38%41.8%16.5%3.7%1200
Reforma33.3%53.1%9.9%3.7%1542
El Universal33.8%46.2%11.7%8.3%1537
CEO37%47%11%4%1500
December 1999Pearson (PRI)34%47%13%6%1647
El Universal39.2%47.1%12.5%1.2%1475
Milenio37.8%42.2%17.8%2.2%1006
January 2000CEPROSEPP32%51%11%6%1510
Reforma38.6%48.2%12.0%1.2%1544
GAUSCC (PAN)39%45%14%2%20 866
Pearson (PRI)36.7%49.7%11.9%1.7%1678
GAUSSC (PAN)42.4%43.5%13.0%1.1%1500
February 2000Milenio41.1%42.2%14.5%2.2%1200
CEPROSEPP32.4%45.5%16.1%6.0%1346
GEA44%36%18%2%1113
Technomgmt.34.5%45.3%17.2%3.0%2697
El Universal38.8%41.8%15.7%3.7%1438
Reforma38.6%47.0%13.2%1.2%1510
Reforma37.8%50.0%11.0%1.2%2397
Mund Opinion35.7%40.5%22.6%1.2%1182
March 2000CEPROSEPP31.8%46.1%17.0%5.1%1322
Pearson (PRI)33.4%51.6%13.6%1.5%1127
Milenio39.3%41.6%16.9%2.2%1200
El Universal39.7%45.0%12.7%2.6%1438
Reforma38.6%47.0%13.3%1.2%1533
GEA43.3%38.8%16.5%1.4%1200
Technomgmt.32.3%47.9%17.0%2.8%N/A
April 2000CEPROSEPP31.2%45.7%17.6%5.5%N/A
GAUSSC41.4%46.0%12.3%0.3%1500
Technomgmt.32.7%47.4%17.7%2.2%N/A
Reforma42%45%12%1%1647
Quantum36.9%50.4%10.0%2.7%1920
El Universal39.2%42.2%14.0%4.5%1074
Reuters/Zogby46.3%41.6%9.3%2.8%1062
May 2000Pearson (PRI)39%45%12%4%1590
Technomgmt.39.1%45.5%12.5%2.9%8000
Reforma40%42%16%2%1547
GEA43.6%38.6%16.4%1.4%N/A
El Universal42.2%35.9%16.2%5.7%1787
Milenio36%43%17%4%2005
CEO39.0%42.7%15.1%3.2%2450
June 2000Alduncin41%35%20%4%2095
Alduncin41%35%20%4%2095
CEO39%43%15%3%2423
ARCOP43%38%17%3%1400
Fishers36%42%19%3%2750
GEA39%38%19%3%2287
Mund/Dalla36%37%27%0%1362
Reforma39%42%16%3%1545
Reuters41%44%15%1%1330
CM Político38%41%18%3%1800
D. Watch41%36%20%3%1542
Pearson39%43%15%3%1309
Milenio/Nielsen36%42%16%6%N/A[14]

Conduct

[edit]
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Some isolated incidents of irregularities and problems were reported. For example, one irregularity in the southern state of Campeche involved theEuropean Union electoral observerRocco Buttiglione and could have created problems for PresidentErnesto Zedillo had the PRI candidate won. Overall, however, electoral observers identified little evidence that those incidents were centrally coordinated (as opposed to led by local PRI officials), and critics concluded that those irregularities which did occur did not materially alter the outcome of the presidential vote, which had been more definitive than expected.[citation needed]

Civic organizations fielded more than 80,000 trained electoral observers, foreign observers were invited to witness the process, and numerous "quick count" operations and exit polls (not all of them independent) validated the official vote tabulation. The largest exit poll was organized by the U.S. firmPenn, Schoen & Berland, financed by aDallas-based organization called Democracy Watch with the support of the Vicente Fox campaign[citation needed], who were concerned about possibleelection fraud.

Numerous electoral reforms implemented after the widely-derided and fraudulent1988 election opened up the Mexican political system, and since then opposition parties have made historic gains in elections at all levels. The chief electoral concerns shifted from outright fraud to campaign fairness issues and, between 1995 and 1996, the political parties negotiated constitutional amendments to address these issues. The legislation implemented included major points of consensus that had been worked out with the opposition parties. Under the new laws, public financing predominated over private contributions to political parties, procedures for auditing parties were tightened, and the authority and independence of the electoral institutions were strengthened. The court system was also given greatly expanded authority to hear civil rights cases on electoral matters brought by individuals or groups. In short, the extensive reform efforts of the 1990s "leveled the playing field" for the parties.[citation needed]

Results

[edit]

President

[edit]
CandidatePartyVotes%
Vicente FoxNational Action Party15,989,63643.43
Francisco LabastidaInstitutional Revolutionary Party13,579,71836.89
Cuauhtémoc CárdenasParty of the Democratic Revolution6,256,78017.00
Gilberto Rincón GallardoSocial Democracy592,3811.61
Manuel Camacho SolísDemocratic Center Party of Mexico206,5890.56
Porfirio Muñoz LedoAuthentic Party of the Mexican Revolution156,8960.43
Other candidates31,4610.09
Total36,813,461100.00
Valid votes36,813,46197.90
Invalid/blank votes788,1572.10
Total votes37,601,618100.00
Registered voters/turnout58,782,73763.97
Source: Nohlen,INE

By state

[edit]
StateFoxLabastidaCárdenasRincónCamachoMuñozWrite-inNone
Aguascalientes202,335127,13426,2649,4672,2021,389836,291
Baja California429,194319,47777,34014,5623,4703,08050714,965
Baja California Sur60,83456,23045,2292,107460364172,804
Campeche104,498106,34735,0902,4851,4061,2475599,309
Chiapas288,204469,392272,1825,3404,6594,0631,05644,551
Chihuahua549,177460,93176,81011,5694,4873,16660921,350
Coahuila398,800311,48077,39310,3922,1111,8801,45412,464
Colima106,44581,09923,3133,1591,028542394,377
Distrito Federal1,928,0351,060,2271,146,131149,31236,38318,8432,00975,669
Durango211,361222,89250,5926,1441,5791,4698599,294
Guanajuato1,128,780517,815121,48918,24810,8008,4732,87349,039
Guerrero174,962402,091332,0916,1792,9133,00395420,180
Hidalgo282,864355,565136,86112,3195,0344,07875819,997
Jalisco1,392,535941,962163,26945,49417,56711,1103,28748,736
México2,239,7501,637,714961,876121,13740,73327,2033,41692,743
Michoacán419,188441,871543,80413,0587,4446,4042,06030,448
Morelos290,639193,861124,36812,5392,9163,01013612,296
Nayarit107,417173,47963,1213,0921,1751,0243517,043
Nuevo León760,093615,90796,63720,4487,4782,6581,51927,201
Oaxaca301,195486,496282,58711,0748,3727,3051,85139,616
Puebla732,435698,974208,68820,1708,6097,8491,14244,305
Querétaro290,977192,62239,62910,5853,7688,67017013,849
Quintana Roo132,38394,20250,4872,399916729705,216
San Luis Potosí393,997324,23472,59911,0733,3062,28740722,673
Sinaloa230,777621,32990,4887,2052,1891,6751,29015,920
Sonora447,496292,267114,5806,4261,6721,3259413,269
Tabasco174,840269,519213,9835,8172,5991,73265514,036
Tamaulipas521,486445,73791,4269,3873,2106,9321,15719,659
Tlaxcala123,880127,16382,0735,1852,5081,450536,639
Veracruz1,066,7191,008,933491,79125,47411,34310,95698558,630
Yucatán328,503321,39227,2144,2581,34498760213,127
Zacatecas169,837197,336117,3756,2772,9081,99343912,461
Total15,989,63613,579,7186,256,780592,381206,589156,89631,461788,157
Source:IFE

Voter demographics

[edit]
Demographic subgroupFoxLabastidaCárdenasOther% of
total vote
Total vote4236166100
Gender
Men473220152
Women434014348
Age
18-24503217118
25-29473416316
30-34493415215
35-39473712413
40-45413520411
46-5044371818
51-5446401316
55-5932432415
60+35422218
Education
None30462138
Primary354618134
Secondary493415222
Preparatory532816321
University602215315
Employment
Public sector413719318
Private sector533115126
Self-employed423619324
Student59191755
Housewife414315125
Region
North503712123
Center-West483712318
Center433420335
South413720224
Source:Reforma.[15]

Senate

[edit]
PartyParty-listConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Alliance for Change14,339,96339.101314,208,97339.003851+17
Institutional Revolutionary Party13,755,78737.511313,699,79937.604760–16
Alliance for Mexico7,072,99419.2967,027,94419.291117+2
Social Democracy676,3881.840669,7251.8400New
Democratic Center Party of Mexico523,5691.430521,1781.4300New
Authentic Party of the Mexican Revolution276,1090.750275,0510.7500New
Non-registered candidates30,8920.08031,0790.09000
Total36,675,702100.003236,433,749100.00961280
Valid votes36,675,70297.7236,433,74997.71
Invalid/blank votes854,4592.28852,1062.29
Total votes37,530,161100.0037,285,855100.00
Registered voters/turnout58,782,73763.8558,782,73763.43
Source: Nohlen,IFES

Chamber of Deputies

[edit]

Results by coalition (left) and party (right)
PartyParty-listConstituencyTotal
seats
+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%Seats
Alliance for Change14,323,64939.198114,212,47639.14143224+95
Institutional Revolutionary Party13,800,30637.757913,720,45337.79132211–28
Alliance for Mexico6,990,14319.12406,948,20419.142565–67
Social Democracy703,5321.920698,6831.9200New
Democratic Center Party of Mexico430,8121.180428,5771.1800New
Authentic Party of the Mexican Revolution273,6150.750272,4250.7500New
Non-registered candidates30,4520.08030,3800.08000
Total36,552,509100.0020036,311,198100.003005000
Valid votes36,552,50997.6836,311,19897.68
Invalid/blank votes868,5162.32863,2622.32
Total votes37,421,025100.0037,174,460100.00
Registered voters/turnout58,782,73763.6658,782,73763.24
Source: Nohlen,TE

Aftermath

[edit]

On election night, exit polls and preliminary results from the Federal Electoral Institute quickly proclaimed PAN candidate Vicente Fox winner. PRI candidate Francisco Labastida then headed to his party's headquarters to give his concession speech, but just minutes before he was to speak, a message from President Ernesto Zedillo was broadcast on national TV, in which the President himself acknowledged Fox's victory and congratulated him. The fact that the concession first came from the President instead of his party's candidate later caused tensions between Zedillo and Labastida.[16] Fox was sworn-in as president on 1 December, ending 71 years of PRI rule.

23 years later, in 2023, Labastida accused Zedillo of having sabotaged his presidential campaign, stating that Zedillo called three state governors to threaten them and make Labastida's campaign fail, since Zedillo wanted to hand the presidency over to the opposition party PAN in order to go down in history as a democrat who willingly gave up his party's 71-year hold on the presidency.[17]

Campaign items (image gallery)

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Nohlen, Dieter (2005).Elections in the Americas: A data handbook. Vol. I. p. 475.ISBN 978-0-19-928357-6.
  2. ^Nohlen, Dieter (2005).Elections in the Americas: A data handbook. Vol. I. p. 470.ISBN 978-0-19-928357-6.
  3. ^Nohlen, Dieter (2005).Elections in the Americas: A data handbook. Vol. I. p. 455.ISBN 978-0-19-928357-6.
  4. ^abErnesto Zedillo Ponce de León 5/5. Retrieved13 February 2024 – viaYouTube.
  5. ^ab"«Madrazo terminó su representación, abrazó a Labastida y regresó a Tabasco»".Proceso. 27 November 1999.
  6. ^"Nos vemos en el 2000".www.proceso.com.mx. 13 November 1999.
  7. ^"Dinero ilícito, fraudes e impunidad, detrás de la rebelión de Roberto Madrazo".Proceso. 7 August 1999.
  8. ^abMéxico: La Historia de su democracia. 10 - Rumbo al 200 (1997 2000). Retrieved13 February 2024 – viaYouTube.
  9. ^"Pedro Cerisola - Gabinete Económico".Cámara de Diputados. Retrieved14 June 2024.
  10. ^"pol1".www.jornada.com.mx. Retrieved13 February 2024.
  11. ^"ESTADO-IGLESIA NUEVA RELACIÓN ?Debe Fox actuar como hombre de Estado y no como católico?".El Universal (in Spanish). Retrieved13 February 2024.
  12. ^Kuschik, Murilo (September 2000).Las encuestas y la elección del año 2000. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales. p. 133. Retrieved2 September 2019.
  13. ^Kuschik, Murilo (September 2000).Las encuestas y la elección del año 2000. Revista Mexicana de Ciencias Políticas y Sociales. p. 8. Retrieved2 September 2019.
  14. ^Aznarez, Juan Jesus (24 June 2000)."Fox y Labastida empatan en los sondeos a una semana de las elecciones". El País. Retrieved3 September 2019.
  15. ^Klesner, Joseph L. (March 2001). "The End of Mexico's One-Party Regime".PS: Political Science and Politics.34 (1): 110.doi:10.1017/S1049096501000166.JSTOR 1350318.S2CID 153947777.
  16. ^"Labastida revela roces con Zedillo".Excélsior (in Spanish). 28 April 2023. Retrieved17 July 2024.
  17. ^""A mí no me ganó Fox, fue Zedillo": Francisco Labastida Ochoa".Grupo Milenio (in Spanish). 28 April 2023. Retrieved17 July 2024.
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