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1996 Republican Party presidential primaries

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1996 Republican Party presidential primaries

← 1992January 29 to June 4, 19962000 →

1,975 delegates (1,653 pledged and 322 unpledged) to theRepublican National Convention
988 (majority) votes needed to win
 
CandidateBob DolePat BuchananSteve Forbes
Home stateKansasVirginiaNew Jersey
Delegate count1,43710151
Contests won4642
Popular vote9,024,7423,184,9431,751,187
Percentage58.8%20.8%11.4%

Gold denotes a state won byPat Buchanan.Green denotes a state won bySteve Forbes.Purple denotes a state won byBob Dole.Gray denotes a territory that did not hold a primary.

Previous Republican nominee

George H. W. Bush

Republican nominee

Bob Dole

From January 29 to June 4, 1996, voters of theRepublican Party chose its nominee forpresident in the1996 United States presidential election. SenatorBob Dole of Kansas, the formerSenate majority leader andprevious vice presidential nominee, was selected as the nominee through a series ofprimary elections andcaucuses culminating in the1996 Republican National Convention held from August 12 to 15, 1996, in San Diego, California. Dole resigned from the Senate in June 1996 once he became the presumptive nominee to concentrate on his presidential campaign. He choseJack Kemp as his running mate.

Dole and Kemp went on to lose to PresidentBill Clinton and Vice PresidentAl Gore by a severe margin, thereby making this the only Republican presidential primary within the span from1968 to2004 in which the Republican nominee had never been nor ever became president.

Background

[edit]

Following the 1994 midterm elections, many prominent candidates entered what would be a crowded field. This was expected as Democratic PresidentBill Clinton was unpopular in his first two years in office, eventually leading to theRepublican Revolution. However, as Clinton became increasingly popular in his third year in office, several withdrew from the race or decided not to run.

Former presidentGeorge H. W. Bush, who Clinton had defeated in 1992, opted not to seek the nomination, choosing instead to focus on his family life.

In February 1995, newly inauguratedSpeaker of the HouseNewt Gingrich declined to run, despite urging from some members of the party's conservative wing.[1]

FormerU.S. Army Gen.Colin L. Powell was widely courted as a potential Republican nominee. However, on November 8, 1995, Powell announced that he would not seek the nomination.

FormerSecretary of Defense and future Vice President of the United StatesDick Cheney was touted by many as a possible candidate for the presidency, but he declared his intentions not to run in early 1995. Then-Texas Governor and future PresidentGeorge W. Bush was also urged by some party leaders to seek theRepublican Party nomination, but opted against doing so.

Primary race overview

[edit]

Going into the 1996 primary contest, Senate Majority LeaderBob Dole was widely seen as the front runner. Dole had significant name recognition, as he was a two-time presidential candidate – in1980 and1988, and Republican vice-presidential nominee in1976. He was expected to win the nomination against underdog candidates such as the more conservative U.S. SenatorPhil Gramm of Texas and more centrist U.S. SenatorArlen Specter of Pennsylvania. The fragmented field of candidates, which also included journalist and1992 presidential candidatePat Buchanan and magazine publisherSteve Forbes, debated issues such as aflat tax and other tax cut proposals, and a return tosupply-side economic policies popularized byRonald Reagan. FormerGovernor of TennesseeLamar Alexander had promising showings in the early Iowa and New Hampshire primaries—finishing third in both contests behind only Dole and Buchanan—but his support dropped off in later primaries and he ultimately failed to win any state's delegates. (see "1996 Republican primary and caucus results" table below).Alan Keyes, who served as Reagan's Ambassador to theUnited Nations Economic and Social Council andAssistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs, was notable for being the only African American candidate in the race, but he ultimately failed to garner much support. More attention was drawn to the race by the budget stalemate in 1995 between the Congress and the President, which caused temporary shutdowns and slowdowns in many areas of federal government service.

On January 29, Buchanan won a non-bindingstraw poll inAlaska. Most pundits dismissed Buchanan's showing as insignificant.[2] On February 6, Buchanan won theLouisiana caucus. Buchanan and Gramm had made several trips to the state to campaign. Gramm was expected to win, due to being from neighboring Texas and having the support of many of the Louisiana party regulars.[3]

The candidates met inDes Moines for a Presidential CandidatesForum.[4] Dole won theIowa Caucus with 26% of the vote, a considerably smaller margin of victory than was expected.

Gramm's poor showing in Louisiana plus placing 5th in Iowa's caucuses resulted in his withdrawal from the contest on the Sunday before the New Hampshire primary.

In theNew Hampshire Primary, Buchanan recorded a surprising victory over Dole, who finished in second place.

After disappointing showings in Iowa and New Hampshire, Steve Forbes bounced back in the primaries inDelaware andArizona. Forbes, along with Alan Keyes, were the only two candidates for the Republican nomination who campaigned in Delaware (According toR.W. Apple writing forThe New York Times, "People in Delaware began calling their primary theRodney Dangerfield election – it couldn't get any respect. That angered many local residents, like a woman at aWilmington polling place this evening, who said that the New Hampshire officials who twisted the candidates' arms [into not coming to Delaware to campaign while the New Hampshire primary was ongoing] had ‘acted like little kids.’"[5]) giving Forbes an easy victory in the small state. "This state is the tax-cutting capital of the country and Steve Forbes got his tax-cutting message across" former DelawareGovernorPete du Pont said following the announcement of Forbes's victory.[6] The bigger triumph for the Forbes campaign was in Arizona. Buchanan campaigned vigorously in Arizona in hopes of securing a crucial victory over Dole,[7] with Buchanan even donning acowboy costume while on the campaign trail.[8] Faulty polling by the Dole campaign lured Dole into a false sense of security, making Dole think that the state would be an easy victory for him and he would not have to spend much time campaigning in Arizona.[9] After the votes were counted, Buchanan finished a devastating third place, Dole was the runner-up, and Forbes pulled off a shocking, come-from-behind victory. Exit polls showed that Forbes's support came from those who voted for third-party candidateRoss Perot backin 1992, as well as from thelarge number of voters who cited "taxes" as the most important issue of the race and those who viewed Buchanan as too "extreme" and Dole as too moderate and "mainstream".[7] Forbes would quickly lose the momentum he built up in Delaware and Arizona, but these back-to-back victories convinced many that Forbes was a serious contender.

Buchanan's and Forbes's early victories put Dole's expected front runner status in doubt during the formative months of the primary season. Although he lost Arizona, Dole had wins inNorth Dakota andSouth Dakota on the same day before looking to win inWyoming andSouth Carolina, the latter being the first of the Southern states with a primary that was also three days before the multi-state primarySuper Tuesday. Dole prevailed over Buchanan by 15 points, where exit polls showed Dole siphoning those identifying as part of the Christian right (that Buchanan anticipated having a large majority over) to go with voters who regarded Buchanan as either too extreme or not extreme.[10] He proceeded to win the rest of the states, eventually giving him enough delegate commitments to claim status as the GOP presidentialpresumptive nominee.

Having collected only 21 percent of the total votes in Republican primaries and won four states, Buchanan suspended his campaign in March. He declared however that, if Dole were to choose apro-choice running mate, he would run as the US Taxpayers Party (nowConstitution Party) candidate.[11] Forbes also withdrew in March having won only two states.[12]

Dole resigned his Senate seat on June 11 to focus more intently on his presidential campaign. After becoming the nominee, Dole selected the formersecretary of housing and urban development of theBush administration,Jack Kemp, as hisrunning mate.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
CandidateMost recent officeHome stateCampaign

Withdrawal date

Popular voteContests wonRunning mate
Bob DoleU.S. Senator fromKansas
(1969–1996)
Kansas

Kansas


(Campaign)
Secured nomination:
March 19, 1996
9,024,742
(58.8%)
46Jack Kemp

Withdrew during convention or primaries

[edit]
CandidateExperienceHome stateCampaign
announced
Campaign
suspended
CampaignPopular voteContests won

Pat Buchanan

White House Communications Director
(1985–1987)

Virginia

March 19, 1995
(Campaign)
3,184,943
(20.8%)
4

Steve Forbes

Publisher and editor-in-chief ofForbes magazine
(1990–)

New Jersey

September 21, 1995March 14, 1996

Campaign

1,751,187
(11.4%)
2

Lamar Alexander

United StatesSecretary of Education
(1991–1993)

Governor of Tennessee
(1979–1987)

Tennessee

March 30, 1995[citation needed]March 9, 1996
(endorsed Dole)

Campaign

495,590
(3.2%)
0
Morry TaylorPresident ofTitan International
(1993-)

Michigan

September 2, 1995[citation needed]March 9, 199621,180
(0.1%)
0

Richard Lugar

United States Senator fromIndiana
(1977–2013)

Mayor of Indianapolis
(1968–1976)
California

Indiana

April 19, 1995March 6, 1996
(endorsed Dole)

Campaign
127,111
(0.8%)
0

Phil Gramm

United States Senator fromTexas
(1985–2002)

United States Representative from Texas
(1979–1985)
California

Texas

February 23, 1995February 14, 1996
(endorsed Dole)

Campaign

[data missing]0

Bob Dornan

United States Representative fromCalifornia
(1977–1983, 1985–1997)

Candidate for United States Senate in1982
California

California

April 13, 1995[data missing]

Campaign

[data missing]0

Alan Keyes

Assistant Secretary of State for International Organization Affairs
(1985–1987)

Candidate for United States Senate in1988 and1992
MarylandMarch 26, 1995[data missing]Campaign[data missing]0

Withdrew before primary elections

[edit]
CandidateExperienceHome stateCampaign
announced
Campaign
suspended
Campaign

Arlen Specter

United States Senator fromPennsylvania
(1981–2011)

District Attorney ofPhiladelphia
(1966–1974)

Pennsylvania

March 31, 1995November 23, 1995
(endorsed Dole)
Campaign

Pete Wilson

Governor ofCalifornia
(1991–1999)

United States Senator from California
(1983–1991)
Mayor ofSan Diego
(1971–1983)
California State Representative
(1967–1971)
California

California

August 28, 1995September 29, 1995[13][14]

Campaign

Arthur Fletcher

Chair of theUnited States Commission on Civil Rights

(1990–1993)

California

Washington D.C.

July 9, 1995[15][data missing][data missing]

Minor candidates

[edit]

Formed exploratory committee but did not run

[edit]

Declined to run

[edit]

Results

[edit]
icon
This sectionis missing information about delegate selection results. Please expand the section to include this information. Further details may exist on thetalk page.(September 2022)
Date

(daily totals)
Total pledged
delegates
ContestDelegates won and popular voteTotal
Bob DolePat BuchananSteve ForbesLamar AlexanderOthers
January 2920Alaska caucus3
1,569 (17%)
7
2,991 (32%)
6
2,822 (31%)

53 (1%)
4
1,806 (19%)
9,241
February 621Louisiana caucus13
(44%)
8[a]
(46%)
February 1225Iowa caucus7
25,461 (26%)
6
22,578 (23%)
2
9,861 (10%)
4
17,052 (18%)
6
21,810 (21%)
96,762
February 2016New Hampshire primary4
54,738 (26%)
4
56,874 (27%)
2
25,505 (12%)
4
47,148 (22%)
2
24,478 (9%)
208,743
February 2413Delaware primary4
8,909 (27%)
3
6,118 (19%)
5
10,709 (33%)
2
4,375 (13%)

2,662 (12%)
32,773
February 27
(78)
38Arizona primary12
102,980 (30%)
12
95,742 (27%)
14
115,962 (33%)

24,765 (7%)

8,033 (2%)
347,482
20North Dakota primary9
26,832 (42%)
4
11,653 (18%)
4
12,455 (20%)

4,008 (6%)
3
8,786 (13%)
63,734
20South Dakota primary10
30,918 (45%)
7
19,780 (29%)
3
8,831 (13%)

6,037 (9%)

3,604 (4%)
69,170
March 2
(58)
38South Carolina primary18
124,904 (45%)
11
80,824 (29%)
5
35,039 (13%)
4
28,647 (10%)

7,327 (2%)
276,741
20Wyoming caucus10
370 (40%)
5
181 (18%)
5
161 (17%)

66 (7%)

61 (7%)
839
March 320Puerto Rico primary20
233,743 (98%)

844 (0%)

1,078 (0%)

1,273 (0%)

1,604 (0%)
238,541
March 5
(Super Tuesday)
(252)
28Colorado primary14
108,123 (43%)
7
53,376 (21%)
7
51,592 (21%)

24,184 (10%)

10,655 (5%)
247,930
28Connecticut primary17
70,998 (54%)
5
19,664 (15%)
6
26,253 (20%)

6,985 (5%)

6,518 (3%)
130,418
43Georgia primary18
226,732 (41%)
13
162,627 (29%)
6
71,276 (13%)
6
75,855 (14%)

21,916 (3%)
558,406
16Maine primary9
31,147 (46%)
5
16,478 (24%)
3
9,991 (15%)

4,450 (7%)

5,214 (5%)
67,280
34Maryland primary21
135,522 (53%)
8
53,585 (21%)
5
32,207 (13%)

14,061 (6%)

18,871 (6%)
254,246
40Massachusetts primary22
135,946 (48%)
12
71,688 (25%)
6
39,605 (14%)

21,456 (8%)

16,138 (4%)
284,833
34Minnesota caucus17
11,641 (41%)
13
9,353 (33%)
4
2,910 (10%)

1,300 (5%)

2,684 (10%)
27,888
16Rhode Island primary11
9,706 (64%)

387 (3%)

128 (1%)

2,866 (19%)
2
1,971 (4%)
15,058
13Vermont primary5
23,419 (40%)
2
9,730 (17%)
2
9,066 (16%)
1
6,145 (11%)
2
9,757 (15%)
58,117
March 7New York primary
(55%)

(15%)

(30%)
March 9Missouri caucus
(28%)

(36%)

(1%)

(9%)
March 12Florida primary
(57%)

(18%)

(20%)

(1%)

(5%)
Louisiana primary
(48%)

(33%)

(12%)

(2%)

(1%)
Mississippi primary
(60%)

(26%)

(8%)

(2%)

(4%)
Oklahoma primary
(59%)

(22%)

(14%)

(1%)

(2%)
Oregon primary
(51%)

(21%)

(13%)

(7%)

(5%)
Tennessee primary
(51%)

(25%)

(8%)

(11%)

(3%)
Texas primary
(56%)

(21%)

(13%)

(2%)

(6%)
March 19Illinois primary
(65%)

(23%)

(5%)

(1%)

(6%)
Michigan primary
(51%)

(34%)

(5%)

(1%)

(3%)
Ohio primary
(66%)

(22%)

(6%)

(3%)

(3%)
Wisconsin primary
(53%)

(34%)

(6%)

(2%)

(3%)
March 26California primary
(66%)

(18%)

(7%)

(2%)

(7%)
Nevada primary
(52%)

(15%)

(19%)

(2%)

(1%)
Washington primary
(63%)

(21%)

(9%)

(1%)

(5%)
April 23Pennsylvania primary
(64%)

(18%)

(8%)

(11%)
May 7Washington D.C. primary
(75%)

(9%)
Indiana primary
(71%)

(19%)

(10%)
North Carolina primary
(71%)

(13%)

(4%)

(2%)

(5%)
May 14Nebraska primary
(76%)

(10%)

(6%)

(3%)

(3%)
West Virginia primary
(69%)

(16%)

(5%)

(3%)

(7%)
May 21Arkansas primary
(76%)

(23%)
May 28Idaho primary
(66%)

(22%)

(5%)
Kentucky primary
(48%)

(33%)

(13%)

(2%)

(4%)
June 1Virginia caucusUnknown
June 4Alabama primary
(76%)

(16%)

(3%)
Montana primary
(61%)

(24%)

(7%)
New Jersey primary
(82%)

(11%)

(7%)
New Mexico primary
(76%)

(8%)

(6%)

(4%)

(4%)
Total[17]9,024,742 (58.8%)3,184,943 (20.8%)1,751,187 (11.4%)495,590 (3.2%)856,881 (5.6%)

Nationwide

[edit]

Convention tally:

Notable endorsements

[edit]

Bob Dole

Pat Buchanan

Steve Forbes

Lamar Alexander

Phil Gramm

Pete Wilson

Convention and vice presidential selection

[edit]

Thedelegates at theRepublican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996, as the GOP presidential candidate for the general election. Dole was the oldest first-time presidential nominee at the age of 73 years, 1 month (Ronald Reagan was 73 years, 6 months in 1984, for his second presidential nomination).

Former Representative and Cabinet secretaryJack Kemp was nominated by acclamation as Dole's running mate the following day. Republican Party of Texas convention delegates informally nominatedAlan Keyes as their preference for vice president.

Other politicians mentioned as possible GOP V.P. nominees before Kemp was selected included:

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Eight delegates were awarded to Phil Gramm.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Merida, Kevin (February 14, 1995)."Gingrich Says He Won't Run For President".Washington Post. RetrievedDecember 7, 2023.
  2. ^Anchorage Daily News. January 31, 1996. p. 1b
  3. ^The Advocate [Baton Rouge]. Feb.7, 1996. p. A1
  4. ^"Republican Presidential Candidates Forum in Des Moines, Iowa".The American Presidency Project. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  5. ^Apple, R.W. (February 25, 1996)."FORBES BEATS DOLE IN DELAWARE VOTE".The New York Times. The New York Times. RetrievedApril 8, 2021.
  6. ^Apple, R.W. (February 26, 1996)."POLITICS: STEVE FORBES;Delaware Backs Him Because He Was There".The New York Times. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  7. ^abSahagun, Louis (February 28, 1996)."Forbes Bounces Back With a Convincing Victory in Arizona".The Los Angeles Times. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  8. ^Nagourney, Adam (February 23, 1996)."POLITICS: MOVING WEST; Buchanan Steps Into an Arizona Crossfire".The New York Times. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  9. ^Berke, Richard (February 28, 1996)."POLITICS: THE OVERVIEW;Forbes Claims Victory in Arizona Race".The New York Times. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  10. ^Berke, Richard L. (March 3, 1996)."POLITICS: CHANGING DIRECTION;DOLE EASILY BEATS BUCHANAN TO WIN IN SOUTH CAROLINA".The New York Times. RetrievedJanuary 31, 2024.
  11. ^Porteous, Skipp (April 1996),"Howard Phillips on Pat Buchanan",Freedom Writer, Public Eye.
  12. ^AllPolitics – Steve Forbes
  13. ^"Wilson drops out of presidential race". UPI. September 29, 1995.
  14. ^Ayres, B. Drummond Jr. (September 30, 1995)."WILSON, TRAILING IN VOTERS' POLLS, DROPS 1996 QUEST".New York Times.
  15. ^"Civil Rights Official Joins G.O.P. Field for 1996".The New York Times. July 9, 1995. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2023.
  16. ^AmericaLive (November 2, 2010)."Donald Rumsfeld Biography".iReport.CNN. Archived fromthe original on May 28, 2015. RetrievedApril 17, 2017.
  17. ^abcdefghijklm"US President – R Primaries Race – July 07, 1996".Our Campaigns.com. RetrievedMarch 10, 2008.
  18. ^"AZ US President – R Primary Race – Feb 27, 1996". Our Campaigns. RetrievedJune 17, 2010.
  19. ^"Senator Hatfield Backs Dole: Column".The American Presidency Project. Archived fromthe original on August 15, 2022.
  20. ^"DE US President – R Primary Race – Feb 24, 1996". Our Campaigns. RetrievedJune 17, 2010.
  21. ^"Candidate – George Corley Wallace". Our Campaigns. RetrievedJune 17, 2010.
  22. ^"Donor Lookup".
  23. ^"LA US President – R Primary Race – Mar 12, 1996". Our Campaigns. RetrievedJune 17, 2010.
  24. ^"Dole wins both Dakotas, but is lagging in Arizona." Toledo Blade. February 28, 1996. Accessed December 2, 2009. Final paragraph:Mr. Mecham is supporting Buchanan "all the way," and he still has an effective organization in the state.
  25. ^"Karen Johnson for AZ Senate". Archived fromthe original on July 13, 2004. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2025.
  26. ^abcdefghijkl"Why I Support Patrick J. Buchanan for President".Buchanan for President. Archived fromthe original on February 14, 1997.
  27. ^"Duke 1992 Chairman Removed From Buchanan Campaign".Associated Press. February 23, 1996.Archived from the original on May 22, 2021.
  28. ^"Buchanan S.C. Leader Out; Ties With Duke".CNN.Archived from the original on May 22, 2021.
  29. ^abcdefghijklmnop"Dole's VP 'short list' includes McCain - Tucson Citizen Morgue, Part 2 (1993-2009)".tucsoncitizen.com. RetrievedMarch 31, 2018.
  30. ^"The Time I Tried To Persuade Antonin Scalia To Run For Vice President".IJR - Independent Journal Review. February 16, 2016. Archived fromthe original on March 31, 2018. RetrievedMarch 31, 2018.

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