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1995 Asturian regional election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Election in the Spanish region of Asturias
1995 Asturian regional election

← 199128 May 19951999 →

All 45 seats in theGeneral Junta of the Principality of Asturias
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered945,105Increase 3.5%
Turnout652,640 (69.1%)
Increase 10.4pp
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderSergio MarquésAntonio TrevínGaspar Llamazares
PartyPPPSOEIU
Leader since199517 June 19931991
Leader's seatCentralEasternCentral
Last election15 seats, 30.4%21 seats, 41.0%6 seats, 14.8%
Seats won21176
Seat changeIncrease 6Decrease 4Steady 0
Popular vote272,495219,527106,538
Percentage42.0%33.8%16.4%
SwingIncrease 11.6ppDecrease 7.2ppIncrease 1.6pp

 Fourth partyFifth party
 
Executiva Nacional del PAS. Presidente- Xuan Xosé Sánchez Vicente IMGP0541.jpg
LeaderXuan Xosé Sánchez VicenteAlfonso Román
PartyPASCDS
Leader since19851995
Leader's seatCentralCentral(lost)
Last election1 seat, 2.7%[a]2 seats, 6.7%
Seats won10
Seat changeSteady 0Decrease 2
Popular vote20,66911,555
Percentage3.2%1.8%
SwingIncrease 0.5ppDecrease 4.9pp

Constituency results map for theGeneral Junta of the Principality of Asturias

President before election

Antonio Trevín
PSOE

ElectedPresident

Sergio Marqués
PP

The1995 Asturian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4thGeneral Junta of thePrincipality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta were up for election. It was held concurrently withregional elections in twelve otherautonomous communities andlocal elections all throughoutSpain.

The election was won by thePeople's Party (PP) underSergio Marqués, which became the most-voted party in the region for the first and, to date, only time. TheSpanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) vote suffered from the population weariness after 12 years of Socialist governments, the economic crisis and the eruption of numerous scandals both at the regional and the national level (one such scandal had forced the resignation of PresidentJuan Luis Rodríguez-Vigil in 1993).United Left (IU) scored a record result despite failing to win any new seats, while theDemocratic and Social Centre (CDS) was expelled from the regional legislature.

Overview

[edit]

Electoral system

[edit]

TheGeneral Junta of the Principality of Asturias was thedevolved,unicameral legislature of theautonomous community ofAsturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by theSpanish Constitution and theAsturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from aregional president.[1]

Voting for the General Junta was on the basis ofuniversal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias were elected using theD'Hondt method and aclosed listproportional representation, with anelectoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[2]

In smaller constituencies, the use of the electoral method resulted in aneffective threshold based on thedistrict magnitude and the distribution of votes among candidacies.[3]

The electoral law allowed forparties andfederations registered in theinterior ministry,coalitions andgroupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[2][4]

Election date

[edit]

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. Theprevious election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 28 May 1995.[1][2][4]

The General Junta could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the General Junta was to be automatically dissolved and asnap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[1]

Opinion polls

[edit]

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for anabsolute majority in theGeneral Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Polling firm/CommissionerFieldwork dateSample sizeTurnoutPSOEPPIUCDSPASLead
1995 regional election28 May 199569.133.8
17
42.0
21
16.4
6
1.8
0
3.2
1
8.2
Eco Consulting/RTVE[p 1]28 May 1995??33.0
16/18
41.9
20/22
15.7
6/7
4.1
1
8.9
Vox Pública–ODEC/Antena 3[p 1]28 May 1995???
15/18
?
20/23
?
Demoscopia/El País[p 2][p 3][p 4][p 5]10–15 May 19951,000?31.0
15/16
41.5
20/21
16.5
7/8
10.5
CIS[p 6][p 7]24 Apr–10 May 199560071.234.039.017.53.95.0
1994 EP election12 Jun 199458.232.142.619.51.51.810.5
1993 general election6 Jun 199375.439.337.415.43.71.61.9
1991 regional election26 May 199158.741.0
21
30.4
15
14.8
6
6.7
2
2.7
1
10.6

Results

[edit]

Overall

[edit]
Summary of the 28 May 1995General Junta of the Principality of Asturias election results
Parties and alliancesPopular voteSeats
Votes%±ppTotal+/−
People's Party (PP)272,49542.00+11.6021+6
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE)219,52733.83−7.1917−4
United Left (IU)106,53816.42+1.576±0
Asturianist Party (PAS)120,6693.19+0.451±0
Asturian Centre–Democratic and Social Centre (CA–CDS)11,5551.78−4.970−2
The Greens of Asturias (LV)4,5040.69−0.680±0
Asturian League (LA)1,9590.30New0±0
Andecha Astur (AA)1,9480.30+0.090±0
Communist Party of the Peoples of Spain (PCPE)1,1080.17−0.160±0
Asturian Council (Conceyu)8620.13−0.230±0
Blank ballots7,6551.18−0.05
Total648,82045±0
Valid votes648,82099.41+0.16
Invalid votes3,8200.59−0.16
Votes cast / turnout652,64069.05+10.36
Abstentions292,46530.95−10.36
Registered voters945,105
Sources[5][6][7]
Footnotes:
  • 1Asturianist Party results are compared to Asturian Coalition totals in the 1991 election.
Popular vote
PP
42.00%
PSOE
33.83%
IU
16.42%
PAS
3.19%
CA–CDS
1.78%
Others
1.60%
Blank ballots
1.18%
Seats
PP
46.67%
PSOE
37.78%
IU
13.33%
PAS
2.22%

Distribution by constituency

[edit]
ConstituencyPPPSOEIUPAS
%S%S%S%S
Central42.01531.41118.663.51
Eastern44.1342.626.52.8
Western40.7343.549.21.4
Total42.02133.81716.463.21
Sources[5][6][7]

Aftermath

[edit]

Government formation

[edit]
Investiture
Ballot →7 July 199510 July 1995
Required majority →23 out of 45Simple
21 / 45
☒N
21 / 45
checkY
17 / 45
☒N
17 / 45
☒N
  • IU (6)(on 7 Jul)
6 / 45
☒NEliminated
Abstentions
  • IU (6)(on 10 Jul)
  • PAS (1)
1 / 45
7 / 45
Absentees
0 / 45
0 / 45
Sources[7]

1999 motion of no confidence

[edit]
Motion of no confidence
Ovidio Sánchez (PP)
Ballot →10 March 1999
Required majority →23 out of 45☒N
Yes
  • PP (16)
16 / 45
No
6 / 45
Abstentions
20 / 45
Absentees
3 / 45
Sources[7][8]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Results forPASUNA in the 1991 election.

References

[edit]
Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ab"El PP se impuso en diez comunidades".Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 29 May 1995.
  2. ^"El PP será la fuerza más votada en 12 comunidades".El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
  3. ^"Insuficiente subida popular".El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
  4. ^"Mañana, previsiones para las municipales".El País (in Spanish). 20 May 1995.
  5. ^"El PP gana en doce autonomías y el PSOE sólo en Extremadura, según un sondeo".La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 21 May 1995.
  6. ^"Preelectoral Comunidad Autónoma de Asturias (Estudio 2161. Abril-Mayo 1995)".CIS (in Spanish). 10 May 1995.
  7. ^"Estudio CIS nº 2161. Ficha técnica"(PDF).CIS (in Spanish). 10 May 1995.
Other
  1. ^abcLey Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias.Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 7) (in Spanish). 30 December 1981. Retrieved14 March 2017.
  2. ^abcLey 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias.Boletín Oficial del Estado (Law 14) (in Spanish). 26 December 1986. Retrieved14 March 2017.
  3. ^Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012)."Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived fromthe original on 30 July 2017. Retrieved22 July 2017.
  4. ^abLey Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General.Boletín Oficial del Estado (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved28 December 2016.
  5. ^ab"Electoral Results. General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. 4th Legislature (1995–1999)".www.jgpa.es (in Spanish). General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. Retrieved29 November 2019.
  6. ^ab"Electoral Results. 1995".www.sadei.es (in Spanish). SADEI. Retrieved27 September 2017.
  7. ^abcd"Elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias (1983 - 2019)".Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved27 September 2017.
  8. ^"Rechazada la moción de censura contra Marqués con mayoría de abstenciones".El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 March 1999. Retrieved8 December 2019.
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