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1988 United States presidential election in Arkansas

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Main article:1988 United States presidential election
1988 United States presidential election in Arkansas

← 1984
November 8, 1988
1992 →
 
NomineeGeorge H. W. BushMichael Dukakis
PartyRepublicanDemocratic
Home stateTexasMassachusetts
Running mateDan QuayleLloyd Bentsen
Electoral vote60
Popular vote466,578349,237
Percentage56.37%42.19%

County results

Bush

  40–50%
  50–60%
  60–70%
  70–80%

Dukakis

  50–60%
  60–70%


President before election

Ronald Reagan
Republican

Elected President

George H. W. Bush
Republican

Elections in Arkansas
Seal of Arkansas
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The1988 United States presidential election in Arkansas took place on November 8, 1988. All fifty states andthe District of Columbia, were part of the1988 United States presidential election. State voters chose six electors to theElectoral College, which selected thepresident andvice president.

Incumbent Vice PresidentGeorge H. W. Bush, running with U.S. SenatorDan Quayle, defeated GovernorMichael Dukakis, running with U.S. SenatorLloyd Bentsen.

A historically Democratic state, Arkansas was the last in theSolid South to defect from the party (when it supportedRichard Nixon in the1972 presidential election). The state was also Democratic nomineeJimmy Carter's third-highest percentage performance in the1976 presidential election. However,Ronald Reagan won the state in both1980 and1984[1]

Primary

[edit]

Arkansas switched to a caucus system for the 1984 primary, which resulted in voter turnout in the Democratic primary from 450,000 in 1980, to 22,202 in 1984. The primary system was restored for the 1988 election.[2]

U.S. SenatorDale Bumpers was speculated as a possible presidential candidate and U.S. SenatorPaul Simon, who supported a proposed Bumpers candidacy, stated that Bumpers would "have more support in the United States Senate than any other candidate". However, Bumpers announced on March 20, 1987, that he would not seek the nomination. GovernorBill Clinton was also speculated as a candidate, but he announced that he would not run on July 15.[3]

Arkansas was rarely visited during the primary by the major candidates with twenty visits from the Democratic candidates and nine from the Republican candidates. Republican primary turnout rose from 8,177 in 1980, to 19,040 in 1984, and to 68,305 in 1988. Half of the votes in the Republican primary came from within the3rd congressional district.[4]

Turnout in the Democratic primary was 497,506.Dick Gephardt won four counties along the border of his home state of Missouri whileJesse Jackson won ten counties with high black populations.[5]Al Gore won 46% of the white vote.[6] The racial composition of the primary was 87% white and 13% black,[7] and 13% of white voters participated in the Republican primary.[8]

Lottie Shackelford, the first black woman to serve as mayor of Little Rock, was one of the four chairs of theDemocratic National Convention. Clinton gave the nomination speech for Dukakis at the convention.[9]

U.S. RepresentativeTommy F. Robinson, a conservativeboll weevil, was denied a position as a superdelegate to the DNC. He was elected as a delegate pledged to Gore. While other delegates pledged to Gore switched to Dukakis, Robinson switched his support to Jackson stating that his speech "had touched my soul". He was critical of Dukakis during the campaign stating that he should spend time in "states like Arkansas speaking words we can understand" in response to Dukakis speaking Spanish at events in Texas and California and refused to endorse Dukakis. Robinson later joined the Republican Party on July 28, 1989.[10]

1988 Arkansas Democratic presidential primary[11]
CandidateVotes%Delegates
Al Gore185,75837.33%
Michael Dukakis94,10318.91%
Jesse Jackson85,00317.08%
Dick Gephardt59,71112.00%
Uncommitted35,5537.15%
Gary Hart18,6303.74%
Paul Simon9,0201.81%
David Duke4,8050.97%
Bruce Babbitt2,6140.53%
Lyndon LaRouche2,3470.47%
Total497,544100%
1988 Arkansas Republican presidential primary[12]
CandidateVotes%Delegates
George H. W. Bush32,11447.02%
Bob Dole17,66725.86%
Pat Robertson12,91818.19%
Jack Kemp3,4995.12%
Uncommitted1,4022.05%
Pete du Pont3590.53%
Alexander Haig3460.51%
Total68,305100%

Campaign

[edit]

During the campaignLloyd Bentsen visited six times, Dukakis visited three times,Dan Quayle visited twice, and Bush visited once.Ed Bethune, chair of theRepublican Party of Arkansas, stated in October that recent polling showed the state as a tossup and later quotedLee Atwater as saying "the state he has historically worried about was Arkansas".[13]

Bush's victory in Arkansas was with a percentage lower than his average in the rest of the south. Turnout among the voting age population in Arkansas declined from 52.5% in 1984, to 44.2% in 1988.[14] Among white voters, 63% supported Bush while 36% supported Dukakis.[15][16] The Democrats maintained their control over theArkansas General Assembly.[17]

The vast majority of thecounties voted primarily Republican, including the highly populated center ofPulaski County. As of the2024 presidential election[update] this stands as the last election in which Pulaski County andCrittenden County voted for a Republican presidential candidate.[18]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
George
Bush
Republican
Michael
Dukakis
Democratic
Other /
Undecided
Mason-Dixon Research[19]October 10–11, 198882647%41%12%
Center for Research & Public Policy[19]October 14–19, 198839454%32%14%
Opinion Research Associates[19]October 24–26, 198845248%32%20%
Mason-Dixon Research[19]October 26–28, 198880949%40%10%

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRatingAs of
The Cook Political Report[20]Toss UpSeptember 24, 1988

Results

[edit]
1988 United States presidential election in Arkansas[21]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanGeorge H. W. Bush466,57856.37%
DemocraticMichael Dukakis349,23742.19%
PopulistDavid Duke5,1460.62%
LibertarianRon Paul3,2970.40%
New AllianceLenora Fulani2,1610.26%
ProhibitionEarl Dodge1,3190.16%
Total votes827,738100.00%

Results by county

[edit]
CountyGeorge H.W. Bush
Republican
Michael Dukakis
Democratic
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast[22]
#%#%#%#%
Arkansas4,00755.61%3,07542.68%1231.71%93212.93%7,205
Ashley4,11147.48%4,46651.58%820.95%-355-4.10%8,659
Baxter8,61463.35%4,80835.36%1751.29%3,80627.99%13,597
Benton24,29571.23%9,39927.55%4161.22%14,89643.68%34,110
Boone7,56764.04%3,99833.84%2512.12%3,56930.20%11,816
Bradley2,08948.93%2,16750.76%130.30%-78-1.83%4,269
Calhoun1,31656.14%1,02443.69%40.17%29212.45%2,344
Carroll4,55362.77%2,63236.29%680.94%1,92126.48%7,253
Chicot1,90143.74%2,42655.82%190.44%-525-12.08%4,346
Clark3,38941.69%4,67557.50%660.81%-1,286-15.81%8,130
Clay2,76644.33%3,44255.16%320.51%-676-10.83%6,240
Cleburne4,93258.85%3,40440.62%450.54%1,52818.23%8,381
Cleveland1,46250.75%1,40448.73%150.52%582.02%2,881
Columbia5,81059.27%3,70637.81%2862.92%2,10421.46%9,802
Conway4,06649.35%4,13450.18%390.47%-68-0.83%8,239
Craighead11,88754.99%9,08342.02%6452.98%2,80412.97%21,615
Crawford9,09270.85%3,58227.91%1581.23%5,51042.94%12,832
Crittenden7,44151.73%6,70246.59%2411.68%7395.14%14,384
Cross3,18651.29%2,98948.12%370.60%1973.17%6,212
Dallas1,94749.19%1,99050.28%210.53%-43-1.09%3,958
Desha2,33442.94%2,85952.60%2424.45%-525-9.66%5,435
Drew2,99553.29%2,57845.87%470.84%4177.42%5,620
Faulkner10,67858.42%7,30239.95%2991.64%3,37618.47%18,279
Franklin3,58858.93%2,45840.37%430.71%1,13018.56%6,089
Fulton1,91848.47%2,01851.00%210.53%-100-2.53%3,957
Garland19,28160.93%11,40636.05%9553.02%7,87524.88%31,642
Grant2,71755.40%2,14243.68%450.92%57511.72%4,904
Greene5,16150.06%5,06549.13%840.81%960.93%10,310
Hempstead3,93850.49%3,84149.25%200.26%971.24%7,799
Hot Spring4,18144.46%5,09054.12%1341.42%-909-9.66%9,405
Howard2,51057.87%1,81841.92%90.21%69215.95%4,337
Independence6,63759.22%4,52340.36%480.43%2,11418.86%11,208
Izard2,82451.19%2,65248.07%410.74%1723.12%5,517
Jackson3,04941.90%4,19957.71%280.38%-1,150-15.81%7,276
Jefferson12,52042.08%16,66456.01%5681.91%-4,144-13.93%29,752
Johnson4,04658.29%2,81840.60%771.11%1,22817.69%6,941
Lafayette1,86048.95%1,91550.39%250.66%-55-1.44%3,800
Lawrence3,20549.91%3,17949.51%370.58%260.40%6,421
Lee1,86338.72%2,87859.81%711.48%-1,015-21.09%4,812
Lincoln1,55741.04%2,20458.09%330.87%-647-17.05%3,794
Little River2,34745.85%2,74053.53%320.63%-393-7.68%5,119
Logan2,20362.87%1,25435.79%471.34%94927.08%3,504
Lonoke7,21559.68%4,78639.59%890.74%2,42920.09%12,090
Madison3,06758.72%2,10640.32%500.96%96118.40%5,223
Marion2,99357.80%2,03339.26%1522.94%96018.54%5,178
Miller7,11056.30%5,43743.05%820.65%1,67313.25%12,629
Mississippi7,84152.67%6,75945.40%2881.93%1,0827.27%14,888
Monroe1,86246.88%2,05251.66%581.46%-190-4.78%3,972
Montgomery1,75255.99%1,36243.53%150.48%39012.46%3,129
Nevada1,71449.55%1,73250.07%130.38%-18-0.52%3,459
Newton2,50462.00%1,48936.87%461.14%1,01525.13%4,039
Ouachita6,29752.29%5,22943.42%5174.29%1,0688.87%12,043
Perry1,62752.01%1,47046.99%310.99%1575.02%3,128
Phillips3,89239.47%5,58056.59%3893.94%-1,688-17.12%9,861
Pike2,10555.44%1,68144.27%110.29%42411.17%3,797
Poinsett3,64448.16%3,87351.19%490.65%-229-3.03%7,566
Polk4,09962.15%2,39036.24%1061.61%1,70925.91%6,595
Pope10,08466.68%4,94132.67%980.65%5,14334.01%15,123
Prairie1,94753.25%1,68846.17%210.57%2597.08%3,656
Pulaski70,56254.98%55,85743.53%1,9141.49%14,70511.45%128,333
Randolph2,56047.25%2,78151.33%771.42%-221-4.08%5,418
St. Francis4,29847.86%4,65651.85%260.29%-358-3.99%8,980
Saline12,35358.89%8,43640.22%1880.90%3,91718.67%20,977
Scott2,50758.82%1,70740.05%481.13%80018.77%4,262
Searcy2,74366.21%1,34032.34%601.45%1,40333.87%4,143
Sebastian24,42670.94%9,68428.13%3220.94%14,74242.81%34,432
Sevier2,25452.09%2,03747.08%360.83%2175.01%4,327
Sharp3,62354.79%2,95544.69%340.51%66810.10%6,612
Stone2,18655.17%1,72843.61%481.21%45811.56%3,962
Union10,58161.32%5,93134.37%7444.31%4,65026.95%17,256
Van Buren3,56257.37%2,60741.99%400.64%95515.38%6,209
Washington23,60164.38%12,55734.25%5001.36%11,04430.13%36,658
White11,09460.84%6,95738.15%1831.00%4,13722.69%18,234
Woodruff1,09736.16%1,92463.41%130.43%-827-27.25%3,034
Yell3,53555.84%2,76343.64%330.52%77212.20%6,331
Totals466,57856.37%349,23742.19%11,9231.44%117,34114.18%827,738

Results by congressional district

[edit]

Bush carried all 4 congressional districts, including three held by Democrats.

District[23]BushDukakis
1st50.9%47.9%
2nd56.2%42.6%
3rd65.6%33.3%
4th51.7%46.6%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 143-144.
  2. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 146.
  3. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 145.
  4. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 146-147.
  5. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 147-148.
  6. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 266.
  7. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 263.
  8. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 288.
  9. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 149.
  10. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 161-162.
  11. ^Arkansas 1988, p. 1-5.
  12. ^Arkansas 1988, p. 7-9.
  13. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 150.
  14. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 156.
  15. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 295.
  16. ^Black & Black 1992, p. 335.
  17. ^Moreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 158.
  18. ^Sullivan, Robert David;‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’;America Magazine inThe National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  19. ^abcdMoreland, Steed & Baker 1991, p. 153.
  20. ^"1988 CPR Electoral College Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedNovember 15, 2025.
  21. ^Arkansas 1988, p. 31.
  22. ^Arkansas 1988, p. 28-30.
  23. ^"1988 United States Presidential Election, Results by Congressional District".Western Washington University. RetrievedJuly 24, 2024.

Works cited

[edit]
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