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1987 Australian federal election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

1987 Australian federal election

← 198411 July 1987 (1987-07-11)1990 →

All 148 seats in theHouse of Representatives
75 seats were needed for a majority in the House
All 76 seats in theSenate
Registered10,353,213Increase 4.90%
Turnout9,715,440 (93.84%)
(Decrease0.35pp)
 First partySecond partyThird party
 
LeaderBob HawkeJohn HowardIan Sinclair
PartyLaborLiberalNational
Leader since8 February 1983 (1983-02-08)5 September 1985 (1985-09-05)17 January 1984 (1984-01-17)
Leader's seatWills (Vic.)Bennelong (NSW)New England (NSW)
Last election82 seats45 seats[a]21 seats
Seats won86 seats43 seats[a]19 seats
Seat changeIncrease 4Decrease 2[a]Decrease 2
Popular vote4,238,6633,169,0611,048,249
Percentage45.90%34.32%11.35%
SwingDecrease 1.65%Increase 0.26%Increase 0.72%
TPP50.83%49.17%
TPP swingDecrease 0.94Increase 0.94

Results by division for the House of Representatives, shaded by winning party's margin of victory.

Prime Minister before election

Bob Hawke
Labor

Subsequent Prime Minister

Bob Hawke
Labor


1987 Australian federal election
National results
State and territory results

The1987 Australian federal election was held in Australia on 11 July 1987, following the granting of adouble dissolution on 5 June by theGovernor-General SirNinian Stephen. Consequently, all 148 seats in theHouse of Representatives as well as all 76 seats in theSenate were up for election. The incumbentAustralian Labor Party, led by Prime MinisterBob Hawke, defeated the oppositionLiberal Party of Australia, led byJohn Howard and theNational Party of Australia led byIan Sinclair. This was the first, and to date only, time the Labor Party won a third consecutive election. Up until2025 this was the largest number of seats won at a federal election by the Labor Party.

This was the last federal election beforeOld Parliament House was decommissioned as the seat of parliament after 61 years. In 1988, it was replaced by today'sParliament House, which sits above its predecessor onCapital Hill.

Future Opposition LeaderJohn Hewson entered parliament at this election.

Since the introduction in the previous election in 1984 of leaders' debates, this was the only election in which there was not at least one leaders' debate due to Hawke's refusal to debate Howard.[1]

Background

[edit]

TheHawke government had been in power since the general election of1983, and had been re-elected in the snap election of1984. Hawke, in partnership withTreasurerPaul Keating, had pursued an ambitiously reformist agenda over the course of his time in office, which included floating the Australian dollar, reducing tariffs on imports and completely reforming the tax system. However, the government's popularity dropped sharply throughout the course of its 1984–87 term, mostly due to a series of blunders such as its failed 'tax summit' (designed to gain support for Keating's proposed consumption tax), and declining terms of trade, which Treasurer Keating argued threatened to reduce Australia to the status of abanana republic unless tough measures were taken to correct the balance of trade.

Meanwhile, for much of the 1984–87 term, the opposition Liberal-National coalition led in the polls, leading to speculation that it could regain office in 1987. However, both coalition parties were also wracked by infighting throughout the parliament. In September 1985,Andrew Peacock, who had led the party to a surprisingly good result in the 1984 general election, was replaced as leader of the Liberal party by the then Deputy Leader and Shadow TreasurerJohn Howard, after a botched effort to remove the latter from the Deputy Leadership and replace him with QueenslanderJohn Moore, resulting in Peacock's resignation. Nonetheless, the party remained divided, as Howard was seen by some Liberals as being too far to the right, and these opponents of the Howard policy agenda rallied to Peacock, who was eventually sacked from the shadow ministry in March 1987, following unfortunate remarks regarding Howard by Peacock to Victorian state opposition leaderJeff Kennett in an infamous car phone conversation.[2]

Moreover, Howard and National Party leader Ian Sinclair faced challenges from the right as well as the left of the coalition, in the form ofQueensland premier SirJoh Bjelke-Petersen. Premier since 1968, Bjelke-Petersen was a hardline conservative who aggressively opposed the "socialist" Hawke Labor government, and believed that he could transfer the style of politics that had served him so well in his native Queensland to the federal stage. Following a decisive electoral victory in Queensland in1986, the so-calledJoh for Canberra campaign began in earnest, supported by much of the Queensland business establishment (the infamous "white shoe brigade"), with Bjelke-Petersen announcing that he intended to run for the Prime Ministership on 1 January 1987. At the end of February 1987, the Queensland National Party decided to withdraw its twelve federal members of parliament from the Coalition, and demanded that federal National Party leaderIan Sinclair also withdraw because of "basic differences in taxation and other philosophies and policies" between the Liberal and National parties.[3] Within the Queensland National Party, the party president SirRobert Sparkes enforced support for Bjelke-Petersen, making practical opposition within the Queensland ranks unlikely.[4] The Coalition formally split in early May, with the National Party voting to break the federal coalition, and Ian Sinclair looking increasingly impotent and unable to ensure the loyalty of National Party members. However, it was at this point that Bob Sparkes reneged on his loyalty to Bjelke-Petersen and withdrew from the campaign.[5] With his pool of supporters steadily decreasing, the likelihood of an effective challenge to the federal Coalition from Bjelke-Petersen began to collapse. When the election was called on 27 May, Bjelke-Petersen was in the United States, and quickly decided to withdraw from his bid for federal power. However, the federal coalition had been broken, and Howard's credibility as a challenger to the Hawke government had been severely damaged.[6]

Voting intention

[edit]

[7]

DateBrandPrimary vote
ALPL/NPDEMOTH
11 July 1987 election45.90%45.90%6.00%2.18%
9 July 1987Newspoll48.5%43%6.5%2%
7 June 1987Newspoll53%41%4%2%
3 May 1987Newspoll46%48%4%2%
21 September 1986Newspoll40%50%9%1%
1 December 1985Newspoll49%42%8%1%
18 December 1984 election47.55%45.01%5.45%1.99%

Campaign

[edit]

The 1987 federal election was called by Prime Minister Hawke six months early, to capitalise on the aforementioned disunity in the opposition. The nominal trigger for the double dissolution was the rejection of legislation for theAustralia Card by the Senate, but that did not figure prominently in the campaign, and Labor Senate Leader John Button even burst into laughter when referring to it in his speech announcing the election. Caught off guard by the early election, the opposition quickly ran into difficulties when the funding for its flagship tax cut proposals was revealed to have been miscalculated by some $540 million (at the time), a mistake revealed by the Labor party and conceded by Howard.[8] Furthermore, although the Joh for Canberra push had been abandoned, the associated schism between the Nationals and Liberals led to several three-cornered contests, and the National Party ran independent Senate tickets in every state except New South Wales.[9]

Labor naturally chose to campaign strongly on the disunity amongst the opposition parties, contrasting it with the relative unity of purpose of the Labor Government. However, aside from those issues, the 1987 campaign failed to generate great excitement in the electorate, and the opposition was viewed as unlikely, particularly in view of the recent infighting, to be able to remove the Labor party from power. That view was strengthened by much of the polling during the campaign, which generally showed Labor with a commanding lead.[10] The election was the last one in which the Liberals and Nationals competed directly against each other in a federal election.

Results

[edit]

House of Representatives results

[edit]

Post-election pendulum for the 1987 Australian federal election

Government (86)
 Labor (86)

Opposition (43)
 Liberal (43)

Crossbench (19)
 National (19)
This section is an excerpt from1987 Australian House of Representatives election § Australia.[edit]
House of Reps (IRV) — 1987–90 – Turnout 93.84% (CV) — Informal 4.94%
PartyVotes%SwingSeatsChange
 Labor4,238,66345.90−1.6586Increase 4
 Liberal3,169,06134.32+0.2643Decrease 1
 National1,048,24911.35+0.7219Decrease 2
 Country Liberal21,6680.23−0.090Decrease 1
 Democrats557,2626.00+0.55
 Others200,1832.18
Total9,235,086148
Two-party-preferred vote
 Labor4,693,09950.83−0.9486Increase 4
 Liberal–National Coalition4,540,00949.17+0.9462Decrease 4
Invalid/blank votes480,3544.9–1.9
Turnout9,715,44093.8
Registered voters10,353,229
Source:Federal Election Results 1949-1993
Popular vote
Labor
45.90%
Liberal
34.32%
National
11.35%
Democrats
6.00%
CLP
0.23%
Other
2.18%
Two-party-preferred vote
Labor
50.83%
Liberal/National
49.17%
Parliament seats
Labor
58.11%
Liberal
29.05%
National
12.84%

Senate results

[edit]
Government (32)
 Labor (32)

Opposition (28)
 Liberal (28)

Crossbench (16)
 National (5)
 CLP (1)
 Democrats (7)
 NDP (1)
 Independent (2)
This section is an excerpt from1987 Australian Senate election § Australia.[edit]
Senate (STVGV) — 1987–90 – Turnout 93.84% (CV) — Informal 3.54%
PartyVotes%SwingSeats wonSeats heldChange
 Labor4,013,86042.83+0.663232Decrease 2
 Liberal1,965,18020.97+0.382327Steady
 LiberalNational joint ticket(NSW)[b]1,289,88813.76+1.055N/AN/A
 
 National[c]664,3947.09+1.1656Increase 1
 Country Liberal19,9700.21−0.1011Steady
 Democrats794,1078.47+0.8577Steady
 Nuclear Disarmament[d]102,4801.09−6.1411Steady
 Vallentine Peace Group[d]40,0480.43+0.4311Increase 1
 Harradine Group37,0370.40+0.1411Steady
 Others444,7164.75
Total9,371,681  7676
Invalid/blank votes394,8914.0–2.8
Turnout9,766,57190.5
Registered voters10,353,213
Source:Federal Election Results 1949-1993
  • As this was a double-dissolution election, all Senate seats were contested.
  • This was the first election in which the AEC conducted a special recount (under 1983 legislation) for the purpose of allocating three- and six-year senate terms. The recount resultswere not used.

Seats changing hands

[edit]
SeatPre-1987SwingPost-1987
PartyMemberMarginMarginMemberParty
Chisholm, Vic LaborHelen Mayer0.150.830.68Michael WooldridgeLiberal 
Denison, Tas LiberalMichael Hodgman0.954.743.79Duncan KerrLabor 
Fisher, Qld NationalPeter Slipper2.302.820.52Michael LavarchLabor 
Forde, Qld LiberalDavid Watson0.041.081.04Mary CrawfordLabor 
Hinkler, Qld NationalBryan Conquest0.191.271.08Brian CourticeLabor 
Lowe, NSW LaborMichael Maher2.223.861.64Bob WoodsLiberal 
Northern Territory, NT Country LiberalPaul Everingham1.393.612.22Warren SnowdonLabor 
Petrie, Qld LiberalJohn Hodges0.632.071.44Gary JohnsLabor 
  • Members listed in italics did not contest their seat at this election.

Analysis

[edit]

Hawke led Labor to a record third successive term in government, despite finishing slightly behind the Liberals and Nationals in the first-preference vote (the first time that a party had won an election in spite of this since 1969), and suffering a swing of some 0.9% to the Liberals and Nationals in the two-party-preferred vote. Nonetheless, Labor's result of 86 seats was the party's highest ever (the total number of seats was expanded by 23 in 1984), and the party made particularly strong gains in Bjelke-Petersen's native Queensland, gaining four seats to bring their Queensland tally to 13 of 24 seats. The Liberals suffered a net loss of two seats, primarily due to losses in Queensland, although they did make small gains in Howard's native New South Wales and in Victoria. The federal National Party also suffered a net loss of two seats, failing to expand upon its traditional rural base and hampered by disunity within its ranks.

TheGallagher Index result: 10.57

This was the most recent election in which every seat in the House of Representatives was won by either Labor or the Coalition. Following the election, John Howard stayed on as leader of the Liberal Party, and would eventually become Prime Minister in1996. However, the experience of the 1987 campaign is said to have been the origin of his oft-repeated remark that, in politics, "disunity is death". Meanwhile, Hawke would go on to win a fourth-consecutive election for the Labor party, but was eventually replaced as Labor leader and Prime Minister by Paul Keating in 1991.

As of 2024, the 1987 election was the last time the National party received over 10% of the vote for the House of Representatives.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcIncludesCountry Liberal Party
  2. ^Despite the split in the coalition, the joint ticket remained only in New South Wales
  3. ^TheNational includes theNT Nationals, consistent with the Parliamentary Library results,[11] however the totals in Psephos: Adam Carr's Electoral Archive do not include the NT Nationals.[12]
  4. ^abJo Vallentine had been elected in 1984 as aNuclear Disarmament Party member, but resigned in 1985, serving out the remainder of her term as an independent.

References

[edit]
  1. ^McIlroy, Tom (12 May 2016)."Federal election 2016: do leader debates really make a difference in Australian elections?".The Sydney Morning Herald.
  2. ^Kennett-Peacock Car Phone Conversation. Retrieved 5 May 2006.
  3. ^Adams (1987), p. 253
  4. ^Davey (2010), p. 231
  5. ^Walter (1990), p. 318
  6. ^Rydon (1987), p. 365
  7. ^"Federal Newspoll Archive - Infogram".infogram.com. Retrieved8 April 2023.
  8. ^The documentaryLiberal Rule: The Politics That Changed Australia
  9. ^Davey (2010), p. 236
  10. ^"Newspoll Archive". Archived fromthe original on 18 December 2018. Retrieved18 December 2018.
  11. ^"Federal Election Results 1949-1993"(PDF). Parliament of Australia. Retrieved12 July 2017.
  12. ^"1987 Senate".Psephos Adam Carr's Election Archive. Retrieved26 June 2022.

Bibliography

[edit]
  • Adams, David (1987). "Political Review".Australian Quarterly.59 (2):245–255.doi:10.2307/20635436.JSTOR 20635436.
  • Davey, Paul (2010).Ninety Not Out: The Nationals 1920–2010. Sydney: University of NSW Press.
  • Rydon, Joan (1987). "The Federal Elections of 1987 and their Absurdities".The Australian Quarterly.59 (3/4):357–365.doi:10.2307/20635449.JSTOR 20635449.
  • Walter, James (1990). "Johannes Bjelke-Petersen". In Dennis Murphy, Roger Joyce & Margaret Cribb (ed.).Premiers of Queensland. Brisbane: University of Queensland Press. pp. 495–529.

Further reading

[edit]
Australia Federalelections andreferendums in Australia
Federal elections
Constitutional Convention
Referendums
See also:By-elections
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