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1986 Arizona gubernatorial election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see1986 United States gubernatorial elections.

1986 Arizona gubernatorial election

← 1982
November 4, 1986
 
NomineeEvan MechamCarolyn WarnerBill Schulz
PartyRepublicanDemocraticIndependent
Popular vote343,913298,986224,085
Percentage39.67%34.49%25.85%

County results
Mecham:     30–40%     40–50%
Warner:     40–50%     60–70%

Governor before election

Bruce Babbitt
Democratic

Elected Governor

Evan Mecham
Republican

Elections in Arizona

The1986 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 1986, for the post ofGovernor of Arizona.RepublicanEvan Mecham, who defeatedBurton Barr for the Republican nomination, defeated theDemocratic nominee and State Superintendent Carolyn Warner and independent candidateBill Schulz.

Mecham's victory in the primary and general elections are considered among the greatest political surprises in Arizona history. Ultimately, Mecham did not complete his full four-year term in office; he was impeached and removed from office in 1988.

This was the first gubernatorial election in whichLa Paz County participated after separating fromYuma County in between this election and the one just before it.

Background

[edit]

Bruce Babbitt, who succeed to the office of Governor upon the 1978 death ofWesley Bolin, chose not to run for a third term in office. Babbitt was first elected overEvan Mecham in 1978 and re-elected in a landslide in 1982; some speculated that he would seek to succeedBarry Goldwater in theUnited States Senate, but Babbitt ultimately focused on a run forPresident of the United States in 1988.

Although no Republican had been elected Governor of Arizona since 1970, PresidentRonald Reagan had carried the state with record margins in 1980 and 1984.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Tony Mason, candidate for U.S. House in 1976
  • Dave Moss, candidate for governor in 1978 and 1982
  • Carolyn Warner, Superintendent of Public Instruction

Withdrew

[edit]
  • Bill Schulz, businessman and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980[1]

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Warner—50–60%
  •   Warner—40–50%
  •   Mason—50–60%
  •   Mason—40–50%
Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticCarolyn Warner106,68750.64%
DemocraticTony Mason92,41343.86%
DemocraticDave Moss11,5885.50%
Total votes210,688100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Burton Barr, House Majority Leader and State Representative from Phoenix
  • Evan Mecham, auto dealer and perennial candidate

Campaign

[edit]

Barr, who was personally recruited by President Reagan to run for governor and had the universal support of the state Republican establishment, was the heavy favorite. His campaign largely ignored Mecham, who launched negative attacks on Barr and the state party generally.[1] When Republicans responded to Mecham's criticism, such as when the Senate Republican leader called him an "ethical pygmy," his popularity with voters rose.[1]

Results

[edit]
Primary results by county
Map legend
  •   Mecham—60–70%
  •   Mecham—50–60%
  •   Barr—50–60%
1986 Republican gubernatorial primary[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanEvan Mecham121,61453.74%
RepublicanBurton Barr104,68246.26%
Total votes226,296100.00%

Mecham's primary victory over Barr was received as "the biggest upset in Arizona" sinceBarry Goldwater's 1952 victory over United States SenatorErnest McFarland.[1]

General election

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]
  • Evan Mecham, auto dealer and perennial candidate (Republican)
  • Bill Schulz, businessman and Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in 1980 (Independent)
  • Carolyn Warner, Superintendent of Public Instruction (Democratic)

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRatingAs of
The Cook Political Report[3]Toss UpOctober 28, 1986

Results

[edit]
Arizona gubernatorial election, 1986[4]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
RepublicanEvan Mecham343,91339.67%+7.20%
DemocraticCarolyn Warner298,98634.49%−27.98%
IndependentBill Schulz224,08525.85%+25.85%
Majority44,9275.18%
Total votes866,984100.00%
Republicangain fromDemocraticSwing+35.18%

Results by county

[edit]
CountyEvan Mecham
Republican
Carolyn Warner
Democratic
Bill Schulz
Independent
MarginTotal votes
cast[4]
#%#%#%#%
Apache2,96526.52%6,93662.04%1,27911.44%-3,971-35.52%11,180
Cochise8,48438.52%8,36837.99%5,17423.49%1160.53%22,026
Coconino6,64728.04%11,49248.48%5,56523.48%-4,845-20.44%23,704
Gila4,77934.45%5,77541.63%3,31923.92%-996-7.18%13,873
Graham3,25747.13%2,38134.46%1,27218.41%87612.68%6,910
Greenlee99133.24%1,21840.86%77225.90%-227-7.61%2,981
La Paz1,35238.99%1,20134.63%91526.38%1514.35%3,468
Maricopa213,04943.06%142,54028.81%139,23128.14%70,50914.25%494,820
Mohave9,33343.20%7,96936.89%4,30019.91%1,3646.31%21,602
Navajo6,25037.77%7,52745.49%2,76916.74%-1,277-7.72%16,546
Pima56,59832.97%72,36642.16%42,70024.87%-15,768-9.19%171,664
Pinal8,24433.35%11,12745.02%5,34721.63%-2,883-11.66%24,718
Santa Cruz1,49028.10%2,34944.30%1,46427.61%-859-16.20%5,303
Yavapai15,00046.91%10,28832.17%6,68820.92%4,71214.74%31,976
Yuma5,47433.76%7,44945.94%3,29020.29%-1,975-12.18%16,213
Totals343,91339.67%298,98634.49%224,08525.85%44,9275.18%866,984

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^abcdReid, T.R. (October 4, 1986)."Twin Threat Pleases Republican: Two Democrats on Arizona Ballot May Make Mecham Governor".The Washington Post. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2024.
  2. ^ab"State of Arizona - Official Canvass Primary Election - September 9, 1986". Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 14, 2024.
  3. ^"1986 CPR Governor Race Ratings".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 28, 2024.
  4. ^ab"State of Arizona - Official Canvass - General Election - November 4, 1986". Arizona Secretary of State. RetrievedJuly 14, 2024.
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