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1976 United States presidential election

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For related races, see1976 United States elections.

1976 United States presidential election

← 1972November 2, 19761980 →

538 members of theElectoral College
270 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout54.8%[1]Decrease 1.4pp
 
NomineeJimmy CarterGerald Ford
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateGeorgiaMichigan
Running mateWalter MondaleBob Dole
Electoral vote297240[a]
States carried23 +DC27
Popular vote40,831,88139,148,634
Percentage50.1%48.0%


President before election

Gerald Ford
Republican

Elected President

Jimmy Carter
Democratic

Theincumbent in 1976,Gerald Ford. His term expired at noon on January 20, 1977.

Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 2, 1976. TheDemocratic ticket of formerGeorgiagovernorJimmy Carter andMinnesotasenatorWalter Mondale narrowly defeated theRepublican ticket of incumbent presidentGerald Ford andKansassenatorBob Dole. This was the first presidential election since1932 in which the incumbent was defeated, as well as the only one of the six presidential elections from1968 to1988 to have the Democratic Party ticket win.

Ford ascended to the presidency whenRichard Nixon resigned in 1974 in the wake of theWatergate scandal, which badly damaged the Republican Party and its electoral prospects. Ford previously served as Nixon's second vice president after his first vice president,Spiro Agnew, resigned in 1973 for takingbribes while he was thegovernor ofMaryland prior to becoming vice president.

Ford promised to continue Nixon's political agenda and govern as a moderate Republican, causing considerable backlash from the conservative wing of his party. This spurred former California governorRonald Reagan to mount a significantchallenge against him in theRepublican primaries, in which Ford narrowly prevailed.[2] Carter was unknown outside of his home state of Georgia at the start of theDemocratic primaries, but he emerged as the front-runner after his victories in the first set of primaries. Campaigning as a political moderate within his own party and as a Washington outsider, Carter defeated numerous opponents to clinch the Democratic nomination.[3]

Ford pursued a "Rose Garden strategy" in which he sought to portray himself as an experienced leader focused on fulfilling his role as chief executive.[4] On the other hand, Carter emphasized his status as a reformer who was "untainted" by Washington.[5] Saddled with a poor economy, thefall ofSouth Vietnam, and the political fallout from the Watergate scandal, including his unpopularpardon of Richard Nixon, Ford trailed by a wide margin in polls taken after Carter's formal nomination in July 1976. Ford's polling rebounded after a strong performance in the first presidential debate, and the race was close on election day.

Carter won the election with 297Electoral College votes and took 50.1% of the popular vote. He carried several Midwestern and Northeastern states along with every state in theDeep South, becoming the first Democrat to accomplish this feat sinceFranklin D. Roosevelt in1944. Carter's narrow victories inOhio andWisconsin, which carried a combined 36 electoral votes, were crucial to his win.[6] Meanwhile, Ford swept theWest Coast andMountain states and took 48.0% of the popular vote. Ford became the first president ever to fail to win a national election as president or vice president. His loss to Carter was due in part to the backlash against Republican candidates nationwide in the wake of the Watergate scandal, a trend that became apparent in the1974 elections.

With voters 30 years of age or older (born in 1946 or earlier) estimated by theexit poll to comprise 69% of the electorate, theGreatest Generation and theSilent Generation constituted the majority of the voting public.[7][b]

Carter became the first non-incumbent president representing aSouthern state to be elected sinceZachary Taylor in1848. As of 2024, this is the last election in which the Democratic ticket won the majority of states in the South or the states ofAlabama,Mississippi,South Carolina, andTexas (mainly due to Carter's southern roots), as well as the most recent election in which the losing candidate carried more states than the winning candidate. As a result of his loss, Ford became the most recent person to serve as president without ever being elected to the office, and the first sinceChester A. Arthur to do so.

Nominations

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]
Main article:1976 Democratic Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
Jimmy Carter


76th Governor of Georgia




Jimmy Carter's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
Democratic Party (United States)
Democratic Party (United States)
1976 Democratic Party ticket
Jimmy CarterWalter Mondale
for Presidentfor Vice President
76th
Governor of Georgia
(1971–1975)
U.S. Senator
fromMinnesota
(1964–1976)
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Jerry BrownGeorge WallaceMo UdallEllen McCormackFrank ChurchHenry M. Jackson
Governor of
California
(1975–1983)
Governor of
Alabama
(1963–1967; 1971–1979)
U.S. Representative
forArizona's 2nd congressional district
(1961–1991)
Chair of theNew York Right to Life Party
(1970–1976)
U.S. Senator from
Idaho
(1957–1981)
U.S. Senator from
Washington
(1953–1983)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
LN: July 15, 1976
2,449,374 votes
LN: July 15, 1976
1,955,388 votes
LN: July 15, 1976
1,611,754 votes
LN: July 15, 1976
238,027 votes
W: June 14, 1976
830,818 votes
W: May 1, 1976
1,134,375 votes
Lloyd BentsenMilton ShappFred HarrisSargent ShriverBirch BayhTerry Sanford
U.S. Senator from
Texas
(1971–1993)
Governor
ofPennsylvania
(1971–1979)
U.S. Senator
fromOklahoma
(1964–1973)
U.S. Ambassador to France fromMaryland(1968–1970)U.S. Senator
fromIndiana
(1963–1981)
Governor
ofNorth Carolina
(1961–1965)
CampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaignCampaign
W: May 1, 1976
346,714 votes
W: April 27, 1976
88,254 votes
W: April 2, 1976
234,568 votes
W: March 16, 1976
304,399 votes
W: March 4, 1976
86,438 votes
W: January 25, 1976
404 votes

The surprise winner of the 1976 Democratic presidential nomination was Jimmy Carter, a formerstate senator and governor of Georgia. When the primaries began, Carter was little-known at the national level, and many political pundits regarded a number of better-known candidates, such as SenatorHenry M. Jackson from Washington, RepresentativeMorris Udall from Arizona, GovernorGeorge Wallace of Alabama, and California GovernorJerry Brown, as the favorites for the nomination. However, in the wake of theWatergate scandal, Carter realized that his status as a Washington outsider, political centrist, and moderate reformer could give him an advantage over his better-known establishment rivals. Carter also took advantage of the record number of state primaries and caucuses in 1976 to eliminate his better-known rivals one-by-one.

Henry M. Jackson made a fateful decision not to compete in the early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary, which Jimmy Carter won after liberals split their votes among four other candidates. Though Jackson went on to win the Massachusetts and New York primaries, he was forced to quit the race on May 1, after losing the critical Pennsylvania primary to Carter by twelve percentage points. Carter then defeated Governor Wallace, his main conservative challenger, by a wide margin in the North Carolina primary, forcing Wallace to end his campaign. Representative Udall, a liberal, then became Carter's main challenger. He finished second to Carter in the New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Wisconsin, New York, Michigan, South Dakota, and Ohio primaries, and won the caucuses in his home state of Arizona, while running even with Carter in the New Mexico caucuses. However, the fact that Udall finished second to Carter in most of these races meant that Carter steadily accumulated more delegates for the nomination than Udall did.

As Carter closed in on the nomination, an "ABC" ("Anybody But Carter") movement started among Northern and Western liberal Democrats who worried that Carter's Southern upbringing would make him too conservative for the Democratic Party. The leaders of the "ABC" movement, Idaho SenatorFrank Church and California Governor Jerry Brown, both announced their candidacies for the Democratic nomination, and defeated Carter in several late primaries. However, their campaigns started too late to prevent Carter from gathering the remaining delegates he needed to capture the nomination.

By June 1976, Carter had captured more than enough delegates to win the Democratic nomination. At the1976 Democratic National Convention, Carter easily won the nomination on the first ballot; Udall finished in second place. Carter then chose Minnesota Senator Walter Mondale, a liberal, as his running mate.

Republican Party

[edit]
Main article:1976 Republican Party presidential primaries
This article is part of
a series about
Gerald Ford


40th Vice President of the United States

38th President of the United States


Appointments




Gerald Ford's signature
Seal of the President of the United States
Republican Party (United States)
Republican Party (United States)
1976 Republican Party ticket
Gerald FordBob Dole
for Presidentfor Vice President
38th
President of the United States
(1974–1977)
U.S. Senator
fromKansas
(1969–1996)
Campaign
Candidates in this section are sorted by date of withdrawal from the nomination race
Ronald Reagan
Governor ofCalifornia
(1967–1975)
Campaign
LN: August 19, 1976
4,760,222 votes

The contest for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in 1976 was between two serious candidates: incumbent president Gerald Ford, a member of the party's moderate wing, and former governor of CaliforniaRonald Reagan, a member of the party's conservative wing. The presidential primary campaign between the two men was hard-fought and relatively even; by the start of the Republican Convention in August 1976, the race for the nomination was still too close to call. Ford defeated Reagan by a narrow margin on the first ballot at the1976 Republican National Convention inKansas City, and chose SenatorBob Dole from Kansas as his running mate in the place of incumbent vice presidentNelson Rockefeller, who had announced the previous year that he was not interested in being considered for the vice presidential nomination.[9] The 1976 Republican Convention was the last political convention to open with the presidential nomination still being undecided until the actual balloting at the convention.

Others

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Polling aggregation

[edit]

The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from January 1976 to Election Day.

Polling

[edit]
See also:Nationwide opinion polling for the 1976 United States presidential election
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Jimmy
Carter (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Eugene
McCarthy (I)
OtherUndecidedMargin
Election ResultsNovember 2, 197650.08%48.02%0.91%0.99%2.06
Harris[11]October 29–31, 197646%45%3%1%5%1
Gallup[12]October 28–30, 197646%47%2%1%4%1
Harris[13]October 23–26, 197645%44%4%7%1
Gallup[14]October 22–25, 197649%44%2%1%4%5
Harris[15]October 19–22, 197645%42%5%1%7%3
Gallup[12]October 15–18, 197647%41%2%2%8%6
Gallup[12]October 8–11, 197648%42%2%2%6%6
Harris[16]October 7–11, 197644%40%6%1%9%4
47%42%11%5
Gallup[17]Sep. 27-Oct. 4, 197647%45%1%1%6%2
Gallup[18]September 24–27, 197651%40%4%1%4%11
Harris[19]September 24–25, 197646%39%5%1%9%7
50%41%9%9
Gallup[20]August 27–30, 197654%36%2%8%18
Gallup[21]August 20–23, 197650%37%13%13
Harris[22]August 18–20, 197653%39%6%2%14
August 16–19: Republican National Convention
Gallup[23]August 6–9, 197654%32%6%1%8%22
57%32%3%8%25
Harris[16]Jul. 31-Aug. 4, 197661%32%7%29
Harris[24]July 16–19, 197662%27%5%6%35
Gallup[25]July 16–19, 197662%29%9%33
July 12–15: Democratic National Convention
Gallup[26]June 25–28, 197653%36%11%17
Gallup[27]June 11–14, 197655%37%3%5%18
Harris[28]June 9–14, 197653%40%7%13
Gallup[29]Apr. 30-May 3, 197652%43%5%9
Harris[30]April 9–15, 197647%43%10%4
Gallup[31]April 9–12, 197649%43%2%6%6
Gallup[32]March 26–29, 197647%46%2%5%1
Gallup[33]March 19–22, 197648%46%6%2
Harris[30]March 13–22, 197642%49%9%7
Harris[34]Late January, 197637%48%15%11
Harris[35]January 5–14, 197636%49%15%13

Fall campaign

[edit]
Former GovernorJimmy Carter (left) and PresidentGerald Ford (right) at the presidential debate atWalnut Street Theatre inPhiladelphia on September 23, 1976

One of the advantages Ford held over Carter as the general election campaign began was his presidential privilege to preside over events celebrating theUnited States Bicentennial; this often resulted in favorable publicity for Ford. These included the Washington, D. C., fireworks display on theFourth of July, which was televised nationally.[36] On July 7, 1976, the President and First Lady served as hosts at a White House state dinner forQueen Elizabeth II andPrince Philip of the United Kingdom, which was televised on thePublic Broadcasting Service (PBS) network. These events were part of Ford's "Rose Garden" strategy to win the election, meaning that instead of appearing as a typical politician, Ford presented himself as a "tested leader" who was busily fulfilling the role of national leader and chief executive. Not until October did Ford leave the White House to actively campaign across the nation.[citation needed]

Carter ran as a reformer who was "untainted" by Washington political scandals,[37] which many voters found attractive in the wake of theWatergate scandal that had led to PresidentRichard Nixon's resignation. Ford, although personally unconnected with Watergate, was seen by many as too close to the discredited Nixon administration, especially after he granted Nixon a presidential pardon for any crimes he might have committed during his term of office. Ford's pardon of Nixon caused his popularity, as measured by public opinion polls, to plummet. Ford's refusal to explain his reasons for pardoning Nixon publicly (he would do so in his memoirs several years later), also hurt his image.[citation needed]

Ford unsuccessfully asked Congress to end the 1950s-era price controls on natural gas, which had caused a dwindling of American natural gas reserves after the1973 oil crisis.[38] Carter stated during his campaign that he opposed the ending of the price controls and thought such a move would be "disastrous".[39]

After the Democratic National Convention, Carter held a 33-point lead over Ford in the polls.[40] However, as the campaign continued, the race greatly tightened. During the campaignPlayboy magazine published a controversial interview with Carter; in the interview, Carter admitted to having "lusted in my heart" for women other than his wife and used the word "screw," which cut into his support among women and evangelical Christians.[41] On September 23, Ford performed well in what was the first televisedpresidential debate since1960. Polls taken after the debate showed that most viewers felt that Ford was the winner. Carter was also hurt by Ford's charges that he lacked the necessary experience to be an effective national leader and that he was vague on many issues.[citation needed]

Carter campaign headquarters

However, Ford also committed a costly blunder in the campaign that halted his momentum. During the second presidential debate on October 6, Ford stumbled when he asserted that "there is noSoviet domination of Eastern Europe, and there never will be under a Ford administration". He added that he did not "believe that the Poles consider themselves dominated by the Soviet Union", and made the same claim with regard to Yugoslavia and Romania (Yugoslavia was not aWarsaw Pact member).[42] Ford refused to retract his statement for almost a week after the debate, causing his surge in the polls to stall and allowing Carter to maintain a slight lead in the polls.[citation needed]

A vice-presidential debate, the first formal one of its kind,[43] between Bob Dole and Walter Mondale also hurt the Republican ticket when Dole asserted that military unpreparedness on the part of Democratic presidents was responsible for all of the wars the U.S. had fought in the 20th century. Dole, a World War II veteran, noted that in every 20th-century war, from World War I to the Vietnam War, a Democrat had been president. Dole then pointed out that the number of U.S. casualties in "Democrat wars" was roughly equal to the population of Detroit. Many voters felt that Dole's criticism was unfairly harsh, and that his dispassionate delivery made him seem cold. Years later, Dole would remark that he regretted the comment, believing that it had hurt the Republican ticket.[44] One factor that did help Ford in the closing days of the campaign was a series of popular television appearances he did withJoe Garagiola, a retired baseball player for theSt. Louis Cardinals and a well-known announcer forNBC Sports. Garagiola and Ford appeared in a number of shows in several large cities. During the show, Garagiola would ask Ford questions about his life and beliefs; the shows were so informal, relaxed, and laid-back that some television critics labelled them the "Joe and Jerry Show". Ford and Garagiola obviously enjoyed one another's company, and they remained friends after the election was over.[citation needed]

Presidential debates

[edit]
Main article:1976 United States presidential debates

There were three presidential debates and one vice presidential debate during the 1976 general election.[45][46]

Debates among candidates for the 1976 U.S. presidential election
No.DateHostCityModeratorPanelistsParticipantsViewership
(Millions)
P1Thursday, September 23Walnut Street TheatrePhiladelphia, PennsylvaniaEdwin NewmanElizabeth Drew
James P. Gannon
Frank Reynolds
Gov. Jimmy Carter
Pres. Gerald Ford
69.7[45]
P2Wednesday, October 6Palace of Fine ArtsSan Francisco, CaliforniaPauline FrederickMax Frankel
Henry Trewhitt
Richard Valeriani
Gov. Jimmy Carter
Pres. Gerald Ford
63.9[45]
VPFriday, October 15Alley TheatreHouston, TexasJames HogeMarilyn Berger
Hal Bruno
Walter Mears
Sen. Bob Dole
Sen. Walter Mondale
43.2[45]
P3Friday, October 22Phi Beta Kappa
Memorial Hall
[47]
Williamsburg, VirginiaBarbara WaltersJoseph Kraft
Robert Maynard
Jack Nelson
Gov. Jimmy Carter
Pres. Gerald Ford
62.7[45]

Results

[edit]

Despite his campaign's blunders, President Ford managed to close the remaining gap in the polls, and by election day, the race was judged to be even. It took most of that night and the following morning to determine the winner. It was not until 3:30 am EST thatNBC was able to declare that Carter had carried Mississippi and had thus accumulated more than the 270 electoral votes needed to win. Seconds later,ABC also declared Carter the winner, based on projections for Carter in Wisconsin and Hawaii, whileCBS announced Carter's victory at 3:45 am.[48] Carter defeated Ford by two percentage points in the national popular vote.

The electoral vote was the closest since1916; Carter carried 23 states, with 297 electoral votes, while Ford won 27 states, with 240 electoral votes (one elector, future state SenatorMike Padden from Washington state, pledged to Ford, voted for Reagan[49]). Carter's victory came primarily from his near-sweep of the South (he lost only Virginia and Oklahoma), and his narrow victories in large Northern states such as New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Ford did well in the West, carrying every state in that region, except for Hawaii. The most tightly contested state in the election was Oregon, which Ford won by under 2,000 votes.

By percentage of the vote, the states that secured Carter's victory were Wisconsin (1.68% margin) and Ohio (.27% margin). Had Ford won these states and all other states he carried, he would have won the presidency. The 27 states he won were, and still are, the most states ever carried by a losing candidate for president. Had Ford won the election, the provisions of the22nd Amendment would have disqualified him from running in1980, as he served more than two years of Nixon's second term.

Records

[edit]

Carter was the first Democratic presidential nominee sinceJohn F. Kennedy in1960 to carry states in the Deep South (Bill Clinton was the only Democrat since 1976 to carry more than one state from the Deep South, doing so in1992), and the only one sinceLyndon B. Johnson in1964 to carry a majority of allsouthern states. Carter performed very strongly in his home state of Georgia, carrying 66.7% of the vote and every county in the state. His winning of 23 states was only the second time in history that the winner of the election won fewer than half the states (after 1960). His 50.1% of the vote was the only time since 1964 that a Democrat managed to obtain an absolute majority of the popular vote in a presidential election untilBarack Obama won 52.9% of the vote in2008. Carter is one of six Democrats since theAmerican Civil War to obtain anabsolute majority of the popular vote, the others beingSamuel J. Tilden,Franklin D. Roosevelt, Lyndon B. Johnson, Barack Obama, andJoe Biden.

This election represents the last time to date thatTexas,Mississippi,Alabama, andSouth Carolina would vote Democratic, and the last timeNorth Carolina would vote Democratic until2008, as well as the last timeFlorida voted Democratic until1996, and the last timeArkansas,Delaware,Kentucky,Louisiana,Missouri,Ohio,Pennsylvania, andTennessee voted Democratic until1992.[50]

This election was the last time that a Democrat won the presidency without winning a number of modernblue states and swing states, specifically California, Connecticut, Illinois, Maine, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington. This is the only time a Democrat has won without New Mexico, as well as one of only two times it voted for a candidate who lost the popular vote, in addition to2024. Similarly, it is one of only three instances in which a Democrat won without Nevada (the others being the two elections ofGrover Cleveland in1884 and1892). The Democrats did not win withoutIowa again until2020.

It was the first time in exactly 100 years when Florida and Virginia supported different candidates, and the first time since Oklahoma statehood in 1907 when Oklahoma andTennessee did so. It was also the most recent election in which a losing Republican candidate carried any states in theNortheast. As Carter won 319 more counties than Ford, this election would mark the last time a Democrat won a majority of counties. This was the first election since1916 in which the winning candidate won fewer than 300 electoral votes; this would not happen again until2000. Carter also remains the last Democrat to win a presidential election while winning fewer than 300 electoral votes.

This election was the last time until2024 in which the popular vote margin in all 50 states and theDistrict of Columbia swung in the same direction from the previous election, and the most recent in which they all swung Democratic.[51]

This is the last election in which an incumbent president ran with a running mate who was not the incumbent vice president. This is the only election in which all four major presidential and vice presidential candidates would at some point be their party's nominee for president and lose. In addition to Ford losing this election, Carter would lose reelection to Reagan in1980, Mondale would lose to President Reagan in1984, and Dole would lose to PresidentBill Clinton in1996.

National

[edit]
Electoral results
Presidential candidatePartyHome statePopular voteElectoral
vote
Running mate
CountPercentageVice-presidential candidateHome stateElectoral vote
Jimmy CarterDemocraticGeorgia40,831,88150.08%297Walter MondaleMinnesota297
Gerald Ford (incumbent)RepublicanMichigan39,148,63448.02%240Bob DoleKansas241
Ronald ReaganRepublicanCalifornia[c][c]1
Eugene McCarthyNoneMinnesota744,7630.91%0[d][d]0
Roger MacBrideLibertarianVirginia172,5570.21%0David BerglandCalifornia0
Lester MaddoxAmerican IndependentGeorgia170,3730.21%0William DykeWisconsin0
Thomas J. AndersonAmerican[e]158,7240.19%0 Rufus ShackelfordFlorida0
Peter CamejoSocialist WorkersCalifornia90,9860.11%0Willie Mae ReidIllinois0
Gus HallCommunistNew York58,7090.07%0Jarvis TynerNew York0
Margaret WrightPeople'sCalifornia49,0160.06%0Benjamin SpockConnecticut0
Lyndon LaRoucheU.S. LaborNew York40,0180.05%0 R. Wayne EvansMichigan0
Other75,1190.09%Other
Total81,540,780100%538538
Needed to win270270

Source (Popular Vote):Leip, David."1976 Presidential Election Results".Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. RetrievedAugust 7, 2005.

Source (Electoral Vote):"Electoral College Box Scores 1789–1996".National Archives and Records Administration. RetrievedAugust 7, 2005.

Popular vote
Carter
50.08%
Ford
48.02%
McCarthy
0.91%
Others
0.57%
Electoral vote
Carter
55.20%
Ford
44.61%
Reagan
0.19%
  • Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by county, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
  • Results by congressional district, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote
    Results by congressional district, shaded according to winning candidate's percentage of the vote

Results by state

[edit]

Source:[52]

This election represents the second time that the winning candidate has received a majority of the electoral votes while the second-place candidate carried a majority of the states. It had previously happened inthe 1960 election. The "margin" column shows the difference between the two leading candidates, and the "swing" column shows the margin swing from the respective party's nominee from 1972 to 1976.

Legend
States/districts won byFord/Dole
States/districts won byCarter/Mondale
At-large results (Maine used the Congressional District Method)
Jimmy Carter
Democratic
Gerald Ford
Republican
Eugene McCarthy
Independent
Roger MacBride
Libertarian
MarginMargin
Swing[f]
State Total
Stateelectoral
votes
#%electoral
votes
#%electoral
votes
#%electoral
votes
#%electoral
votes
#%%#
Alabama9659,17055.739504,07042.611,4810.13155,10013.1160.001,182,850AL
Alaska344,05835.6571,55557.9036,7855.49−27,497−22.251.26123,574AK
Arizona6295,60239.80418,64256.37619,2292.597,6471.03−123,040−16.5714.69742,719AZ
Arkansas6499,61464.946268,75334.936470.08230,86130.0168.12769,396AR
California453,742,28447.573,882,24449.354558,4120.7456,3880.72−139,960−1.7811.687,867,117CA
Colorado7460,35342.58584,36754.05726,1072.415,3300.49−124,014−11.4716.541,081,135CO
Connecticut8647,89546.90719,26152.068−71,366−5.1713.271,381,526CT
Delaware3122,59651.983109,83146.572,4371.0312,7655.4125.82235,834DE
D.C.3137,81881.63327,87316.512740.16109,94565.128.58168,830DC
Florida171,636,00051.93171,469,53146.6423,6430.751030.00166,4695.2849.403,150,631FL
Georgia12979,40966.7412483,74332.969910.071750.01495,66633.7884.171,467,458GA
Hawaii4147,37550.594140,00348.063,9231.357,3722.5327.49291,301HI
Idaho4126,54937.12204,15159.8843,5581.04−77,602−22.7615.44340,932ID
Illinois262,271,29548.132,364,26950.102655,9391.198,0570.17−92,974−1.9716.554,718,833IL
Indiana131,014,71445.701,183,95853.3213−169,244−7.6225.152,220,362IN
Iowa8619,93148.46632,86349.47820,0511.571,4520.11−12,932−1.0116.121,279,306IA
Kansas7430,42144.94502,75252.49713,1851.383,2420.34−72,331−7.5530.60957,845KS
Kentucky9615,71752.759531,85245.576,8370.598140.0783,8657.1935.791,167,142KY
Louisiana10661,36551.7310587,44645.956,5880.523,3250.2673,9195.7842.751,278,439LA
Maine †2232,28948.07236,32048.91210,8742.25100.00−4,041−0.8422.14483,208ME
Maine-11123,59847.90127,01949.2216,0252.33−3,421−1.32258,041ME1
Maine-21108,68148.27109,30148.5414,8492.15−620−0.27225,167ME2
Maryland10759,61253.0410672,66146.9686,9516.0729.971,432,273MD
Massachusetts141,429,47556.11141,030,27640.4465,6372.581350.01399,19915.676.702,547,557MA
Michigan211,696,71446.441,893,74251.832147,9051.315,4060.15−197,028−5.399.003,653,749MI
Minnesota101,070,44054.9010819,39542.0235,4901.823,5290.18251,04512.8718.381,949,931MN
Mississippi7381,30949.567366,84647.684,0740.532,7870.3614,4631.8860.45769,360MS
Missouri12998,38751.1012927,44347.4724,0291.2370,9443.6328.221,953,600MO
Montana4149,25945.40173,70352.844−24,444−7.4412.64328,734MT
Nebraska5233,69238.46359,70559.1959,4091.551,4820.24−126,013−20.7420.26607,668NE
Nevada392,47945.81101,27350.1731,5190.75−8,794−4.3623.00201,876NV
New Hampshire4147,63543.47185,93554.7544,0951.219360.28−38,300−11.2817.84339,618NH
New Jersey171,444,65347.921,509,68850.081732,7171.099,4490.31−65,035−2.1622.643,014,472NJ
New Mexico4201,14848.28211,41950.7541,1100.27−10,271−2.4722.02416,590NM
New York413,389,55851.95413,100,79147.524,3030.0712,1970.19288,7674.4321.776,525,225NY
North Carolina13927,36555.2713741,96044.222,2190.13185,40511.0551.631,677,906NC
North Dakota3136,07845.80153,47051.6632,9520.992560.09−17,392−5.8520.43297,094ND
Ohio252,011,62148.92252,000,50548.6558,2581.428,9610.2211,1160.2721.874,111,873OH
Oklahoma8532,44248.75545,70849.96814,1011.29−13,266−1.2148.491,092,251OK
Oregon6490,40747.62492,12047.78640,2073.90−1,713−0.179.951,029,876OR
Pennsylvania272,328,67750.40272,205,60447.7350,5841.09123,0732.6622.644,620,787PA
Rhode Island4227,63655.364181,24944.084790.127150.1746,38711.2817.47411,170RI
South Carolina8450,82556.178346,14043.13104,68513.0455.70802,594SC
South Dakota4147,06848.91151,50550.3941,6190.54−4,437−1.487.15300,678SD
Tennessee10825,87955.9410633,96942.945,0040.341,3750.09191,91013.0050.951,476,346TN
Texas262,082,31951.14261,953,30047.9720,1180.492630.01129,0193.1736.134,071,884TX
Utah4182,11033.65337,90862.4443,9070.722,4380.45−155,798−28.7912.46541,198UT
Vermont381,04443.14102,08554.3434,0012.1340.00−21,041−11.2015.00187,855VT
Virginia12813,89647.96836,55449.29124,6480.27−22,658−1.3436.381,697,094VA
Washington9717,32346.11777,73250.00836,9862.385,0420.32−60,409−3.8814.401,555,534WA
West Virginia6435,91458.076314,76041.93121,15416.1443.36750,674WV
Wisconsin111,040,23249.50111,004,98747.8334,9431.663,8140.1835,2451.6811.352,101,336WI
Wyoming362,23939.8192,71759.3036240.40890.06−30,478−19.4919.05156,343WY
TOTALS:53840,831,88150.0829739,148,63448.02240740,4600.91172,5570.211,683,2472.0625.2181,531,584US

Maine allowed its electoral votes to be split between candidates. Two electoral votes were awarded to the winner of the statewide race and one electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. Ford won all four votes.[53]

States that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

Close states

[edit]
Gerald Ford (right) watching election returns withJoe Garagiola on election night in 1976. Garagiola is reacting to television reports that Ford had just been projected as having lost Texas to Carter.
A campaign button from election eve where Carter and Mondale spent theevening in Flint Michigan at a rally It is notable as only a handful of counties in Michigan went to Carter in 1976, and no surrounding counties where Carter held the rally went to him.
A Ford-Dole campaign button.

States where margin of victory was under 1% (34 electoral votes):

  1. Oregon, 0.16% (1,713 votes)
  2. Ohio, 0.27% (11,116 votes)
  3. Maine's 2nd Congressional District, 0.28% (620 votes)
  4. Maine, 0.84% (4,041 votes)

States where margin of victory was 1% to 5% (265 electoral votes):

  1. Iowa, 1.01% (12,932 votes)
  2. Oklahoma, 1.21% (13,266 votes)
  3. Virginia, 1.34% (22,658 votes)
  4. Maine's 1st Congressional District, 1.36% (3,421 votes)
  5. South Dakota, 1.48% (4,437 votes)
  6. Wisconsin, 1.68% (35,245 votes) (tipping point state)
  7. California, 1.78% (139,960 votes)
  8. Mississippi, 1.88% (14,463 votes)
  9. Illinois, 1.97% (92,974 votes)
  10. New Jersey, 2.16% (65,035 votes)
  11. New Mexico, 2.47% (10,271 votes)
  12. Hawaii, 2.53% (7,372 votes)
  13. Pennsylvania, 2.66% (123,073 votes)
  14. Texas, 3.17% (129,019 votes)
  15. Missouri, 3.63% (70,944 votes)
  16. Washington, 3.88% (60,409 votes)
  17. Nevada, 4.36% (8,794 votes)
  18. New York, 4.43% (288,767 votes)

States where margin of victory was 5% to 10% (105 electoral votes):

  1. Connecticut, 5.16% (71,366 votes)
  2. Florida, 5.29% (166,469 votes)
  3. Michigan, 5.39% (197,028 votes)
  4. Delaware, 5.41% (12,765 votes)
  5. Louisiana, 5.78% (73,919 votes)
  6. North Dakota, 5.86% (17,392 votes)
  7. Maryland, 6.08% (86,951 votes)
  8. Kentucky, 7.18% (83,865 votes)
  9. Montana, 7.44% (24,444 votes)
  10. Kansas, 7.55% (72,331 votes)
  11. Indiana, 7.62% (169,244 votes)

Statistics

[edit]

[52]

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Democratic)

  1. Banks County, Georgia 87.85%
  2. Starr County, Texas 87.25%
  3. Brantley County, Georgia 86.50%
  4. Duval County, Texas 86.36%
  5. Wilcox County, Georgia 86.15%

Counties with Highest Percent of Vote (Republican)

  1. Jackson County, Kentucky 79.80%
  2. Owsley County, Kentucky 77.03%
  3. Hooker County, Nebraska 76.35%
  4. Ottawa County, Michigan 74.12%
  5. Arthur County, Nebraska 73.66%

Voter demographics

[edit]
Social groups and the presidential vote, 1976
CarterFordSize[A 1]
Party
Democratic772243
Independent435423
Republican99028
Ideology
Liberal702618
Moderate514851
Conservative296931
Ethnicity
Black821610
Hispanic74242
White475188
Gender
Female504848
Male504852
Religion
Protestant445546
White Protestant425741
Catholic544425
Jewish64345
Family income
Less than US$10,000584013
$10,000–$14,999554315
$15,000–$24,999485029
$25,000–$50,000366224
Over $50,0005
Occupation
Professional ormanager415739
Clerical,sales,white-collar465311
Blue-collar574117
Farmer3
Unemployed65343
Education
Less thanhigh school583911
High school graduate544428
Somecollege504928
College graduate435527
Union membership
Labor union household593928
No member of household in union435562
Age
18–21 years old48496
22–29 years old514617
30–44 years old494931
45–59 years old485123
60 years or older475218
Region
East514725
South544527
Midwest485027
West465119
Community size
City over 250,000584018
Suburb/small city514753
Rural/town475129

Source:CBS News/New York Times interviews with 12,782 voters as they left the polls, as reported inThe New York Times, November 9, 1980, p. 28, and in further analysis. The 1976 data are from CBS News interviews.

  1. ^"Size" = share of 1980 national total.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^A faithless Republican elector,Mike Padden in Washington, voted for Ronald Reagan to be president. Padden voted for Bob Dole to be vice president as pledged. As a result, Ford had 240 electoral votes instead of the pledged 241.
  2. ^The last year of theLost Generation is conventionally defined as 1900, andlife expectancy in the United States in 1976 was approximately 73 years.[8]
  3. ^abMike Padden, a Republicanfaithless elector fromWashington, gaveRonald Reagan one electoral vote.
  4. ^abThe running mate of McCarthy varied from state to state.
  5. ^Research has not yet determined whether Anderson's home state wasTennessee orTexas at the time of the 1976 election.
  6. ^Percentage point difference in margin from the1972 election

References

[edit]
  1. ^"National General Election VEP Turnout Rates, 1789-Present".United States Election Project.CQ Press.Archived from the original on November 14, 2016. RetrievedFebruary 21, 2023.
  2. ^"1976 Ford Presidential Campaign – Republican Convention". Ford Library Museum.Archived from the original on August 13, 2024. RetrievedJuly 23, 2024.
  3. ^Strong, Robert A. (October 4, 2026)."Jimmy Carter: Campaigns and Elections". Miller Center. RetrievedJuly 23, 2024.
  4. ^"1976 Ford Presidential Campaign – General Election". Ford Library Museum.Archived from the original on May 15, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2024.
  5. ^Jackson, Harold (November 20, 2023)."Rosalynn Carter obituary".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. RetrievedJanuary 27, 2014.
  6. ^Ohio Vote Recount Possible.Galion Inquirer.United Press International. November 15, 1976. Retrieved January 26, 2025.
  7. ^"How Groups Voted in 1976".ropercenter.cornell.edu. RetrievedSeptember 10, 2025.
  8. ^Statistical Abstract of the United States: 1978(PDF) (Report).Statistical Abstract of the United States (99 ed.).U.S. Census Bureau. 1978. p. 69. RetrievedSeptember 12, 2025.
  9. ^"The President and the Vice President have a complete understanding between them regarding the Vice President's decision. The letter speaks for itself. The initiative was the Vice President's"(PDF).Fordlibrarymuseum.gov.Archived(PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. RetrievedMarch 4, 2016.
  10. ^"1976 Presidential General Election Results".uselectionatlas.org.Archived from the original on July 15, 2018. RetrievedJuly 24, 2018.
  11. ^"Survey: Carter Clings To One-Point Lead".Iowa City Press-Citizen.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  12. ^abcGallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 878.
  13. ^"Harris Survey: Carter's Lead Shrinks To 45-44%".Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  14. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 893.
  15. ^"Carter's Leading Ford, But..."The Ithaca Journal.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  16. ^ab"Ford, But Not Reagan, Moving Up On Carter".Chicago Tribune.
  17. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 877.
  18. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 864.
  19. ^"Carter Ahead, But Ford Gaining".Lexington Herald-Leader.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  20. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 851.
  21. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 850.
  22. ^"McCarthy Cuts Into Carter's Lead".Asbury Park Press.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  23. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 815.
  24. ^"Carter Lead Over Ford Isn't Really That Huge".Asbury Park Press.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  25. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 801.
  26. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 795.
  27. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 774.
  28. ^"Carter's Well Ahead Of Both GOP Foes".Muncie Evening Press.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  29. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 758.
  30. ^ab"Two Democrats Ahead Of Ford".The Atlanta Constitution.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  31. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 745.
  32. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 677.
  33. ^Gallup, George (1978).The 1972-1977 Gallup Poll Public Opinion, Volume II. p. 674.
  34. ^"Key Groups Giving Slip To Reagan".Chicago Tribune.
  35. ^"Democrats Edge Ford, Reagan".Chicago Tribune.Archived from the original on May 25, 2024. RetrievedMay 25, 2024.
  36. ^"Election of 1976: A Political Outsider Prevails". Archived from the original on August 2, 2003. RetrievedAugust 2, 2003. C-SPAN. Retrieved on June 20, 2012.
  37. ^"Commercials - 1976 - Essence".The Living Room Candidate. August 9, 1974. Archived fromthe original on August 25, 2012. RetrievedMarch 4, 2016.
  38. ^Frum, David (2000).How We Got Here: The '70s. New York, New York: Basic Books. pp. 321–322.ISBN 0-465-04195-7.
  39. ^Frum, David (2000).How We Got Here: The '70s. New York, New York: Basic Books. pp. 321–322.ISBN 0-465-04195-7.
  40. ^"Gerald Ford Retrospective".Gallup. December 29, 2006.Archived from the original on May 21, 2021. RetrievedOctober 6, 2019.
  41. ^"Jimmy Carter in Plains".Arcadia Publishing. Archived fromthe original on May 2, 2017.
  42. ^"Debating Our Destiny: The Second 1976 Presidential Debate – October 6, 1976". Pbs.org. October 6, 1976.Archived from the original on December 27, 2015. RetrievedJanuary 30, 2016.
  43. ^"The First VP Debate: Dole-Mondale, 10-15-76".Janda.org. October 15, 1976.Archived from the original on March 3, 2016. RetrievedMarch 4, 2016.
  44. ^Bob Dole interview, November 10, 1999.PBS.org.
  45. ^abcde"CPD: 1976 Debates".debates.org. RetrievedJanuary 8, 2019.
  46. ^"1976 Debates Overview".AllPolitics.CNN. 1996.Archived from the original on August 17, 2018. RetrievedApril 24, 2019.
  47. ^"The Daily Diary of President Gerald R. Ford - October 22, 1976"(PDF).Gerald R. Ford Presidential Museum.Archived(PDF) from the original on October 9, 2022. RetrievedApril 24, 2019.
  48. ^Jules Witcover.Marathon: The Pursuit of the Presidency, 1972–1976 (New York: Viking), p. 11.
  49. ^Camden, Jim (December 17, 2016)."Electoral College wasn't done deal in 1976. Will it be in 2016?".The Spokesman-Review.Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. RetrievedNovember 14, 2021.
  50. ^Sullivan, Robert David;"How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century"Archived November 16, 2016, at theWayback Machine;America Magazine inThe National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  51. ^Skelley, Geoffrey (December 10, 2024)."America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep".ABC News. RetrievedDecember 11, 2024.
  52. ^ab"1976 Presidential General Election Data - National".Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. RetrievedMarch 18, 2013.
  53. ^Barone, Michael; Matthews, Douglas; Ujifusa, Grant (1977).The Almanac of American Politics, 1978.E. P. Dutton.

Further reading

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