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1912 United States presidential election in New York

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Main article:1912 United States presidential election
1912 United States presidential election in New York

← 1908November 5, 19121916 →
Turnout72.1%[1]Decrease 7.6pp
 
NomineeWoodrow WilsonWilliam Howard TaftTheodore Roosevelt
PartyDemocraticRepublicanProgressive
Home stateNew JerseyOhioNew York
Running mateThomas R. MarshallNicholas Murray ButlerHiram Johnson
Electoral vote4500
Popular vote655,573455,487390,093
Percentage41.27%28.68%24.56%

County Results

Wilson

  30–40%
  40–50%
  50–60%

Taft

  30–40%
  40–50%


President before election

William Howard Taft
Republican

Elected President

Woodrow Wilson
Democratic

Elections in New York State
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The1912 United States presidential election in New York took place onNovember5,1912. All contemporary 48 states were part of the1912 United States presidential election. Voters chose 45 electors to theElectoral College, which selected thepresident andvice president.

New York was won by theDemocratic nominees, New JerseyGovernorWoodrow Wilson and his running mate, IndianaGovernorThomas R. Marshall. Opposing him were the Republican nominees, incumbentPresidentWilliam Howard Taft andVice PresidentJames S. Sherman, and theProgressive Party candidates, former PresidentTheodore Roosevelt and his running mate CaliforniaGovernorHiram Johnson. Also in the running was theSocialist Party candidate,Eugene V. Debs, who ran withEmil Seidel.

Wilson won New York with a plurality of 41.27% of the vote, Taft came in second, with 28.68%, and Roosevelt came in third, with 24.56%. Wilson's margin over Taft was thus 12.59%, whilst Debs came in fourth, with 3.99%. In terms of margin, Wilson finished 18.6 percentage points ahead of Taft nationally, but only 12.6 percentage points ahead of Taft in New York State, so New York State weighed in at about 6% more Republican than the nation in the 1912 presidential election. Wilson's vote margin of victory over Taft in the state was by 200,086 votes.

New York during theFourth Party System was usually a Republican state in presidential elections. However the strongthird party run by former Republican President Theodore Roosevelt as the Bull Moose Party candidate against the incumbent Republican President William Howard Taft split the Republican vote, enabling Woodrow Wilson as the Democratic candidate to win New York State's electoral votes in 1912 with a plurality of only 41% of the vote. This was the only presidential election during the Fourth Party System that New York voted for a Democratic presidential candidate.

Prior to 1912, New York had not given its electoral votes to a Democratic presidential candidate sinceGrover Cleveland in1892. Wilson would lose New York State four years later in the midst of his re-election against native sonCharles Evans Hughes in1916, and the state would not vote Democratic again until1932.

Results

[edit]
1912 United States presidential election in New York[2]
PartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes
DemocraticWoodrow Wilson655,57341.27%45
RepublicanWilliam Howard Taft (incumbent)455,48728.68%0
ProgressiveTheodore Roosevelt390,09324.56%0
SocialistEugene V. Debs63,4343.99%0
ProhibitionEugene W. Chafin19,4551.22%0
Socialist LaborArthur E. Reimer4,2730.27%0
Totals1,588,315100.0%45

New York City results

[edit]
1912 Presidential Election in New York CityManhattanThe BronxBrooklynQueensStaten IslandTotal
DemocraticWoodrow Wilson166,157109,74828,0768,445312,42647.06%
47.79%44.86%50.32%53.60%
ProgressiveTheodore Roosevelt98,98571,17314,9673,771188,89628.45%
28.47%29.09%26.82%23.93%
RepublicanWilliam Howard Taft63,10751,2399,2013,035126,58219.07%
18.15%20.94%16.49%19.26%
SocialistEugene V. Debs18,12411,4593,32932733,2395.01%
5.21%4.68%5.97%2.08%
Socialist LaborArthur E. Reimer930568117341,6490.25%
0.27%0.23%0.21%0.22%
ProhibitionEugene W. Chafin3524761081451,0810.16%
0.10%0.19%0.19%0.92%
TOTAL347,655244,66355,79815,757663,873100.00%

Results by county

[edit]
CountyThomas Woodrow Wilson
Democratic
William Howard Taft
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt
Progressive "Bull Moose"
Eugene Victor Debs[3]
Socialist
Eugene Wilder Chafin[3]
Prohibition
Arthur Elmer Reimer[3]
Socialist Labor
MarginTotal votes cast[4]
#%#%#%#%#%#%#%
Albany17,23540.07%20,41847.47%4,48710.43%6251.45%1980.46%520.12%-3,183-7.40%43,015
Allegany2,77728.15%3,66837.19%2,66427.01%2832.87%4494.55%230.23%-891-9.04%9,864
Broome6,53335.79%7,94943.55%2,58614.17%3551.94%7984.37%310.17%-1,416-7.76%18,252
Cattaraugus4,88634.02%4,82033.56%3,48724.28%6084.23%5373.74%250.17%660.46%14,363
Cayuga4,69134.05%5,78842.01%2,42817.62%5263.82%2912.11%530.38%-1,097-7.96%13,777
Chautauqua4,95422.68%7,89936.16%6,57730.11%1,3546.20%9474.34%1130.52%1,322[a]6.05%21,844
Chemung6,00846.27%3,31725.54%2,73321.05%4103.16%4943.80%230.18%2,69120.73%12,985
Chenango3,34135.29%4,04342.71%1,60917.00%981.04%3663.87%90.10%-702-7.42%9,466
Clinton3,32338.09%3,90344.74%1,20713.84%520.60%2152.46%230.26%-580-6.65%8,723
Columbia4,59946.73%3,74138.01%1,31813.39%780.79%900.91%150.15%8588.72%9,841
Cortland2,28330.86%2,95939.99%1,62922.02%700.95%4466.03%120.16%-676-9.13%7,399
Delaware4,51138.45%4,73140.32%1,89516.15%3292.80%2552.17%120.10%-220-1.87%11,733
Dutchess8,87143.43%8,91643.65%2,12610.41%2041.00%2821.38%260.13%-45-0.22%20,425
Erie33,51839.38%19,18522.54%26,35330.96%4,7795.61%6800.80%5980.70%7,165[b]8.42%85,113
Essex2,07029.26%3,12744.20%1,72024.31%680.96%781.10%120.17%-1,057-14.94%7,075
Franklin2,71132.30%3,93046.82%1,36316.24%740.88%2983.55%170.20%-1,219-14.52%8,393
Fulton2,55025.90%3,74138.00%2,17322.07%1,04310.59%2702.74%690.70%-1,191-12.10%9,846
Genesee2,65632.14%3,23139.10%2,06124.94%810.98%2252.72%100.12%-575-6.96%8,264
Greene3,64748.82%2,71136.29%81810.95%931.24%1952.61%70.09%93612.53%7,471
Hamilton49343.44%45440.00%16314.36%70.62%181.59%00.00%393.44%1,135
Herkimer5,12237.72%4,66534.35%3,12923.04%4593.38%1631.20%420.31%4573.37%13,580
Jefferson6,05434.35%6,69237.97%3,60320.44%6023.42%6353.60%380.22%-638-3.62%17,624
Kings109,74844.86%51,23920.94%71,17329.09%11,4594.68%4760.19%5680.23%38,575[b]15.77%244,663
Lewis2,33938.39%2,06433.87%1,51224.82%310.51%1392.28%80.13%2754.52%6,093
Livingston3,20335.70%3,72641.52%1,78619.89%510.57%2002.23%70.08%-523-5.82%8,973
Madison3,16431.86%3,49035.15%2,70927.28%2902.92%2452.47%320.32%-326-3.29%9,930
Monroe17,86333.34%16,88031.51%14,91927.85%2,9435.49%7051.32%2670.50%9831.83%53,577
Montgomery4,50837.57%5,04042.00%1,89415.78%4083.40%1211.01%280.23%-532-4.43%11,999
Nassau7,07338.14%4,60824.85%6,56335.39%1500.81%1420.77%100.05%510[b]2.75%18,546
New York166,15747.79%63,10718.15%98,98528.47%18,1245.21%3520.10%9300.27%67,172[b]19.32%347,655
Niagara7,64740.66%5,65430.06%4,25622.63%7664.07%4272.27%580.31%1,99310.60%18,808
Oneida12,18236.17%11,24533.39%8,33224.74%1,2673.76%4541.35%1960.58%9372.78%33,676
Onondaga15,82734.47%16,20235.29%10,69423.29%2,4305.29%6021.31%1620.35%-375-0.82%45,917
Ontario4,73438.55%4,89739.88%2,27818.55%1661.35%1911.56%130.11%-163-1.33%12,279
Orange9,40439.14%10,36443.14%3,50914.61%3981.66%2811.17%700.29%-960-4.00%24,026
Orleans2,44833.94%2,98341.36%1,43219.86%731.01%2683.72%80.11%-535-7.42%7,212
Oswego5,25632.84%5,99637.47%3,95024.68%1490.93%6273.92%250.16%-740-4.63%16,003
Otsego5,33842.23%5,13840.65%1,69613.42%1250.99%3352.65%90.07%2001.58%12,641
Putnam1,32141.13%1,26739.45%59318.46%90.28%200.62%20.06%541.68%3,212
Queens28,07650.32%9,20116.49%14,96726.82%3,3295.97%1080.19%1170.21%13,109[b]23.50%55,798
Rensselaer11,68442.50%10,85339.48%3,73513.59%8593.12%2620.95%980.36%8313.02%27,491
Richmond8,44553.60%3,03519.26%3,77123.93%3272.08%1450.92%340.22%4,674[b]29.67%15,757
Rockland4,24146.87%2,22124.55%2,30225.44%1781.97%870.96%190.21%1,939[b]21.43%9,048
Saratoga5,29636.16%6,40143.71%2,64018.03%310.21%2721.86%40.03%-1,105-7.55%14,644
Schenectady5,34532.19%5,23031.49%2,22013.37%3,45620.81%2451.48%1110.67%1150.70%16,607
Schoharie3,35551.58%2,39136.76%5808.92%410.63%1362.09%20.03%96414.82%6,505
Schuyler1,41637.15%1,64943.26%52713.82%842.20%1283.36%80.21%-233-6.11%3,812
Seneca2,57338.07%2,33634.57%1,08216.01%1982.93%5438.03%260.38%2373.50%6,758
St. Lawrence5,32928.52%8,40444.98%4,22122.59%3411.82%3621.94%280.15%-3,075-16.46%18,685
Steuben7,39638.97%5,98631.54%4,10921.65%6493.42%8134.28%270.14%1,4107.43%18,980
Suffolk7,87840.08%5,59528.47%5,48427.90%3441.75%3191.62%350.18%2,28311.61%19,655
Sullivan3,86447.75%3,03937.56%96111.88%1361.68%790.98%130.16%82510.19%8,092
Tioga2,40037.31%2,64241.08%1,05216.36%1261.96%1993.09%130.20%-242-3.77%6,432
Tompkins3,27240.38%2,23727.61%2,06825.52%1231.52%3774.65%260.32%1,03512.77%8,103
Ulster8,51043.58%7,48538.33%2,95115.11%1510.77%4062.08%230.12%1,0255.25%19,526
Warren2,80235.17%3,15539.60%1,60820.18%2553.20%1271.59%210.26%-353-4.43%7,968
Washington3,55531.68%4,59340.94%2,60523.22%1981.76%2552.27%140.12%-1,038-9.26%11,220
Wayne3,93433.26%4,77040.32%2,57421.76%820.69%4613.90%80.07%-836-7.06%11,829
Westchester21,16039.40%15,84329.50%15,05128.02%1,3452.50%2890.54%230.04%5,3179.90%53,711
Wyoming2,54132.05%2,83835.79%2,27028.63%610.77%2122.67%70.09%-297-3.74%7,929
Yates1,45633.34%1,79541.10%90520.72%831.90%1152.63%130.30%-339-7.76%4,367
Totals655,57341.27%455,48728.68%390,09324.56%63,4343.99%19,4551.22%4,2730.27%200,086!12.79%1,588,315

Analysis

[edit]

Although Theodore Roosevelt finished strong for a third-party candidate with 24.56% of the vote, New York was not amongst his strongest states. New York's Republican Party organization[5] and traditional Republican voters proved to be mostly loyal to President Taft as the official Republican nominee. While Roosevelt came in second place nationally ahead of Taft, Taft beat Roosevelt in New York State and finished second in the state behind Wilson. While Taft won the most counties in New York state, 32 compared to Wilson's 29, Roosevelt failed to win a single county in New York state. As a result, Roosevelt was the last candidate to claim an electoral vote in a presidential election without winning any county in his home state untilMitt Romney100 years later.[c] Debs performed best in upstateSchenectady County, where he broke 20% of the vote, and it was the only county in the state where Debs finished third, ahead of Roosevelt. In the more sparsely populated rural counties of Upstate New York, Debs tended to be beaten down into fifth place by Prohibition candidate Chafin. While Debs got 3.99% of New York state's vote compared to Chafin's 1.22%, Debs finished below Chafin in 34 of the state's 61 counties.

Wilson won many counties in New York which have been Republican bastions for most of history. However, aside fromSchoharie County, every upstate county won by Wilson was won with a plurality of less than fifty percent of the vote and some with less than forty percent. He was the first Democrat to win Cattaraugus County since1836, Herkimer, Tompkins, and Steuben counties since1852, Lewis County since1876, Monroe and Nassau counties for the first time ever, Oneida, Suffolk, Sullivan, and Otsego counties since1884, and Putnam County since1868.

Wilson won pluralities in several suburban counties surroundingNew York City and inLong Island, as well as several in upstate New York, that would not vote Democratic again untilLyndon B. Johnson swept the state in the1964 Democratic landslide, namelyCattaraugus,Columbia,Herkimer,Lewis,Nassau,Putnam,Seneca,Steuben,Suffolk,Tompkins,Ulster, andWestchester counties.

Johnson alone has since wonPutnam[6] andSteuben Counties.[7] Despite Wilson's relatively strong showing on the county map, upstate New York nevertheless remained one of the most loyally Republican regions in the nation in the 1912 election, and the majority of counties in the region still favored Taft. Taft's most significant wins in the state were his victories inAlbany County, home to the state capital ofAlbany, andOnondaga County, home to the city ofSyracuse, while most of his victories came from the many rural counties upstate. However, due to the Republican split, Wilson became the first Democrat to carry the state outside of New York City since 1852, albeit with a 15,000-vote plurality. This would not occur again until1964.

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^ In this county where Roosevelt ran second ahead of Wilson, the margin and percentage margin given are those between Taft and Roosevelt (Taft positive).
  2. ^abcdefgIn this county where Roosevelt ran second ahead of Taft, the margins given are those between Wilson and Roosevelt and percentage margin Wilson percentage minus Roosevelt percentage.
  3. ^James B. Weaver, the Populist candidate in 1892, is the only other case sincethe Civil War: he won five states but no county in his home state ofIowa.

References

[edit]
  1. ^Bicentennial Edition: Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1970, part 2, p. 1072.
  2. ^"1912 Presidential Election Results - New York". Dave Leip's U.S. Election Atlas. RetrievedJuly 27, 2013.
  3. ^abc"1912 Presidential Election Popular Vote for Eugene Debs".Géoelections.
  4. ^Robinson, Edgar Eugene;The Presidential Vote 1896-1932, pp. 275-280ISBN 9780804716963
  5. ^Robinson; Edgar Eugene; 'Distribution of the Presidential Vote of 1912';The American Journal of Sociology; 20(1) (1914); pp. 18-30
  6. ^The Political Graveyard;Putnam County, New York
  7. ^The Political Graveyard;Steuben County, New York
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