Inauction theory, particularlyBayesian-optimal mechanism design, avirtual valuation of an agent is a function that measures the surplus that can be extracted from that agent.
A typical application is a seller who wants to sell an item to a potential buyer and wants to decide on the optimal price. The optimal price depends on thevaluation of the buyer to the item,. The seller does not know exactly, but he assumes that is a random variable, with somecumulative distribution function andprobability distribution function.
Thevirtual valuation of the agent is defined as:
A key theorem of Myerson[1] says that:
In the case of a single buyer, this implies that the price should be determined according to the equation:
This guarantees that the buyer will buy the item, if and only if his virtual-valuation is weakly-positive, so the seller will have a weakly-positive expected profit.
This exactly equals the optimal sale price – the price that maximizes theexpected value of the seller's profit, given the distribution of valuations:
Virtual valuations can be used to constructBayesian-optimal mechanisms also when there are multiple buyers, or different item-types.[2]
1. The buyer's valuation has acontinuous uniform distribution in. So:
2. The buyer's valuation has anormal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. is monotonically increasing, and crosses thex-axis in about 0.75, so this is the optimal price. The crossing point moves right when the standard deviation is larger.[3]
Aprobability distribution function is calledregular if its virtual-valuation function is weakly-increasing. Regularity is important because it implies that the virtual-surplus can be maximized by atruthful mechanism.
A sufficient condition for regularity is monotone hazard rate, which means that the following function is weakly-increasing:
Monotone-hazard-rate implies regularity, but the opposite is not true.
The proof is simple: the monotone hazard rate implies is weakly increasing in and therefore the virtual valuation is strictly increasing in.