Movatterモバイル変換


[0]ホーム

URL:


Jump to content
WikipediaThe Free Encyclopedia
Search

SABR volatility model

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Stochastic volatility model used in derivatives markets

Inmathematical finance, theSABR model is astochastic volatility model, which attempts to capture thevolatility smile in derivatives markets. The name stands for "stochasticalpha,beta,rho", referring to the parameters of the model. The SABR model is widely used by practitioners in the financial industry, especially in theinterest rate derivative markets. It was developed by Patrick S. Hagan, Deep Kumar, Andrew Lesniewski, and Diana Woodward.[1]

Dynamics

[edit]

The SABR model describes a single forwardF{\displaystyle F}, such as aLIBORforward rate, a forward swap rate, or a forward stock price. This is one of the standards in market used by market participants to quote volatilities. The volatility of the forwardF{\displaystyle F} is described by a parameterσ{\displaystyle \sigma }. SABR is a dynamic model in which bothF{\displaystyle F} andσ{\displaystyle \sigma } are represented by stochastic state variables whose time evolution is given by the following system ofstochastic differential equations:

dFt=σt(Ft)βdWt,{\displaystyle dF_{t}=\sigma _{t}\left(F_{t}\right)^{\beta }\,dW_{t},}
dσt=ασtdZt,{\displaystyle d\sigma _{t}=\alpha \sigma _{t}^{}\,dZ_{t},}

with the prescribed time zero (currently observed) valuesF0{\displaystyle F_{0}} andσ0{\displaystyle \sigma _{0}}. Here,Wt{\displaystyle W_{t}} andZt{\displaystyle Z_{t}} are two correlatedWiener processes with correlation coefficient1<ρ<1{\displaystyle -1<\rho <1}:

dWtdZt=ρdt{\displaystyle dW_{t}\,dZ_{t}=\rho \,dt}

The constant parametersβ,α{\displaystyle \beta ,\;\alpha } satisfy the conditions0β1,α0{\displaystyle 0\leq \beta \leq 1,\;\alpha \geq 0}.α{\displaystyle \alpha } is a volatility-like parameter for the volatility.ρ{\displaystyle \rho } is the instantaneous correlation between the underlying and its volatility. The initial volatilityσ0{\displaystyle \sigma _{0}} controls the height of theATM implied volatility level. Both the correlationρ{\displaystyle \rho } andβ{\displaystyle \beta } controls the slope of the implied skew. The volatility of volatilityα{\displaystyle \alpha } controls its curvature.

The above dynamics is a stochastic version of theCEV model with theskewness parameterβ{\displaystyle \beta }: in fact, it reduces to the CEV model ifα=0{\displaystyle \alpha =0} The parameterα{\displaystyle \alpha } is often referred to as thevolvol, and its meaning is that of the lognormal volatility of the volatility parameterσ{\displaystyle \sigma }.

Asymptotic solution

[edit]

We consider aEuropean option (say, a call) on the forwardF{\displaystyle F} struck atK{\displaystyle K}, which expiresT{\displaystyle T} years from now. The value of this option is equal to the suitably discounted expected value of the payoffmax(FTK,0){\displaystyle \max(F_{T}-K,\;0)} under the probability distribution of the processFt{\displaystyle F_{t}}.

Except for the special cases ofβ=0{\displaystyle \beta =0} andβ=1{\displaystyle \beta =1}, no closed form expression for this probability distribution is known. The general case can be solved approximately by means of anasymptotic expansion in the parameterε=Tα2{\displaystyle \varepsilon =T\alpha ^{2}}. Under typical market conditions, this parameter is small and the approximate solution is actually quite accurate. Also significantly, this solution has a rather simple functional form, is very easy to implement in computer code, and lends itself well to risk management of large portfolios of options in real time.

It is convenient to express the solution in terms of theimplied volatilityσimpl{\displaystyle \sigma _{\textrm {impl}}} of the option. Namely, we force the SABR model price of the option into the form of theBlack model valuation formula. Then the implied volatility, which is the value of the lognormal volatility parameter in Black's model that forces it to match the SABR price, is approximately given by:

σimpl=αlog(F0/K)D(ζ){1+[2γ2γ12+1/(Fmid)224(σ0C(Fmid)α)2+ργ14σ0C(Fmid)α+23ρ224]ε},{\displaystyle \sigma _{\text{impl}}=\alpha \;{\frac {\log(F_{0}/K)}{D(\zeta )}}\;\left\{1+\left[{\frac {2\gamma _{2}-\gamma _{1}^{2}+1/\left(F_{\text{mid}}\right)^{2}}{24}}\;\left({\frac {\sigma _{0}C(F_{\text{mid}})}{\alpha }}\right)^{2}+{\frac {\rho \gamma _{1}}{4}}\;{\frac {\sigma _{0}C(F_{\text{mid}})}{\alpha }}+{\frac {2-3\rho ^{2}}{24}}\right]\varepsilon \right\},}

where, for clarity, we have setC(F)=Fβ{\displaystyle C\left(F\right)=F^{\beta }}. The formula is undefined whenK=F0{\displaystyle K=F_{0}}, so we replace it by its limit asKF0{\displaystyle K\to F_{0}}, which is given by replacing the factorlog(F0/K)D(ζ){\displaystyle {\frac {\log(F_{0}/K)}{D(\zeta )}}} by 1.The valueFmid{\displaystyle F_{\text{mid}}} denotes a conveniently chosen midpoint betweenF0{\displaystyle F_{0}} andK{\displaystyle K} (such as the geometric averageF0K{\displaystyle {\sqrt {F_{0}K}}} or the arithmetic average(F0+K)/2{\displaystyle \left(F_{0}+K\right)/2}). We have also set

ζ=ασ0KF0dxC(x)=ασ0(1β)(F01βK1β),{\displaystyle \zeta ={\frac {\alpha }{\sigma _{0}}}\;\int _{K}^{F_{0}}{\frac {dx}{C(x)}}={\frac {\alpha }{\sigma _{0}(1-\beta )}}\;\left(F_{0}{}^{1-\beta }-K^{1-\beta }\right),}

and

γ1=C(Fmid)C(Fmid)=βFmid,{\displaystyle \gamma _{1}={\frac {C'(F_{\text{mid}})}{C(F_{\text{mid}})}}={\frac {\beta }{F_{\text{mid}}}}\;,}
γ2=C(Fmid)C(Fmid)=β(1β)(Fmid)2,{\displaystyle \gamma _{2}={\frac {C''(F_{\text{mid}})}{C(F_{\text{mid}})}}=-{\frac {\beta (1-\beta )}{\left(F_{\text{mid}}\right)^{2}}}\;,}

The functionD(ζ){\displaystyle D\left(\zeta \right)} entering the formula above is given by

D(ζ)=log(12ρζ+ζ2+ζρ1ρ).{\displaystyle D(\zeta )=\log \left({\frac {{\sqrt {1-2\rho \zeta +\zeta ^{2}}}+\zeta -\rho }{1-\rho }}\right).}

Alternatively, one can express the SABR price in terms of theBachelier's model. Then the implied normal volatility can be asymptotically computed by means of the following expression:

σimpln=αF0KD(ζ){1+[2γ2γ1224(σ0C(Fmid)α)2+ργ14σ0C(Fmid)α+23ρ224]ε}.{\displaystyle \sigma _{\text{impl}}^{\text{n}}=\alpha \;{\frac {F_{0}-K}{D(\zeta )}}\;\left\{1+\left[{\frac {2\gamma _{2}-\gamma _{1}^{2}}{24}}\;\left({\frac {\sigma _{0}C(F_{\text{mid}})}{\alpha }}\right)^{2}+{\frac {\rho \gamma _{1}}{4}}\;{\frac {\sigma _{0}C(F_{\text{mid}})}{\alpha }}+{\frac {2-3\rho ^{2}}{24}}\right]\varepsilon \right\}.}

It is worth noting that the normal SABR implied volatility is generally somewhat more accurate than the lognormal implied volatility.

The approximation accuracy and the degree of arbitrage can be further improved if the equivalent volatility under theCEV model with the sameβ{\displaystyle \beta } is used for pricing options.[2]

SABR for the negative rates

[edit]

A SABR model extension fornegative interest rates that has gained popularity in recent years is the shifted SABR model, where the shifted forward rate is assumed to follow a SABR process

dFt=σt(Ft+s)βdWt,{\displaystyle dF_{t}=\sigma _{t}(F_{t}+s)^{\beta }\,dW_{t},}
dσt=ασtdZt,{\displaystyle d\sigma _{t}=\alpha \sigma _{t}\,dZ_{t},}

for some positive shifts{\displaystyle s}.Since shifts are included in a market quotes, and there is an intuitive soft boundary for how negative rates can become, shifted SABR has become market best practice to accommodate negative rates.

The SABR model can also be modified to covernegative interest rates by:

dFt=σt|Ft|βdWt,{\displaystyle dF_{t}=\sigma _{t}|F_{t}|^{\beta }\,dW_{t},}
dσt=ασtdZt,{\displaystyle d\sigma _{t}=\alpha \sigma _{t}\,dZ_{t},}

for0β1/2{\displaystyle 0\leq \beta \leq 1/2} and afree boundary condition forF=0{\displaystyle F=0}. Its exact solution for the zero correlation as well as anefficient approximation for a general case are available.[3] An obvious drawback of this approach is the a priori assumption of potential highly negative interest rates via the free boundary.

Arbitrage problem in the implied volatility formula

[edit]

Although the asymptotic solution is very easy to implement, the density implied by the approximation is not always arbitrage-free, especially not for very low strikes (it becomes negative or the density does not integrate to one).

One possibility to "fix" the formula is use the stochastic collocation method and to project the corresponding implied, ill-posed, model on a polynomial of an arbitrage-free variables, e.g. normal. This will guarantee equality in probability at the collocation points while the generated density is arbitrage-free.[4] Using the projection method analytic European option prices are available and the implied volatilities stay very close to those initially obtained by the asymptotic formula.

Another possibility is to rely on a fast and robust PDE solver on an equivalent expansion of the forward PDE, that preserves numerically the zero-th and first moment, thus guaranteeing the absence of arbitrage.[5]

Extensions

[edit]

The SABR model can be extended by assuming its parameters to be time-dependent. This however complicates the calibration procedure. An advanced calibration method of the time-dependent SABR model is based on so-called "effective parameters".[6]

Alternatively, Guerrero and Orlando[7] show that a time-dependent local stochastic volatility (SLV) model can be reduced to a system of autonomous PDEs that can be solved using the heat kernel, by means of the Wei-Norman factorization method and Lie algebraic techniques. Explicit solutions obtained by said techniques are comparable to traditional Monte Carlo simulations allowing for shorter time in numerical computations.

Simulation

[edit]

As the stochastic volatility process follows ageometric Brownian motion, its exact simulation is straightforward. However, the simulation of the forward asset process is not a trivial task. Taylor-based simulation schemes are typically considered, likeEuler–Maruyama orMilstein. Recently, novel methods have been proposed for thealmost exact Monte Carlo simulation of the SABR model.[8] Extensive studies for SABR model have recently been considered.[9]For the normal SABR model (β=0{\displaystyle \beta =0} with no boundary condition atF=0{\displaystyle F=0}), a closed-form simulation method is known.[10]

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Hagan, Patrick S.; Kumar, Deep; Kesniewski, Andrew S.; Woodward, Diana E. (January 2002)."Managing Smile Risk"(PDF).Wilmott. Vol. 1. pp. 84–108.Archived(PDF) from the original on 2022-04-30. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  2. ^Choi, Jaehyuk; Wu, Lixin (July 2021)."The equivalent constant-elasticity-of-variance (CEV) volatility of the stochastic-alpha-beta-rho (SABR) model".Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control.128 104143.arXiv:1911.13123.doi:10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104143.S2CID 235239799.SSRN 3495464. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  3. ^Antonov, Alexandre; Konikov, Michael; Spector, Michael (2015-01-28). "The Free Boundary SABR: Natural Extension to Negative Rates".SSRN 2557046.
  4. ^Grzelak, Lech A.; Oosterlee, Cornelis W. (February 2017) [2016-07-04]."From arbitrage to arbitrage-free implied volatilities".Journal of Computational Finance.20 (3):31–49.doi:10.21314/JCF.2016.316.ISSN 1755-2850.SSRN 2529684. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  5. ^Le Floc'h, Fabien; Kennedy, Gary (2016-08-15)."Finite difference techniques for arbitrage-free SABR".Journal of Computational Finance.ISSN 1755-2850. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  6. ^Van der Stoep, Anton W.; Grzelak, Lech Aleksander; Oosterlee, Cornelis W. (2015-09-28)."The Time-Dependent FX-SABR Model: Efficient Calibration based on Effective Parameters".International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance.18 (6): 1550042.doi:10.1142/S0219024915500429.SSRN 2503891. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  7. ^Guerrero, Julio; Orlando, Giuseppe (September 2021)."Stochastic local volatility models and the Wei-Norman factorization method".Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems - S.15 (12):3699–3722.arXiv:2201.11241.doi:10.3934/dcdss.2022026.ISSN 1937-1632.S2CID 246295004. Retrieved2022-04-30.
  8. ^Leitao, Álvaro; Grzelak, Lech A.; Oosterlee, Cornelis W. (2017-04-10) [2016-04-13]."On an efficient multiple time step Monte Carlo simulation of the SABR model".Quantitative Finance.17 (10):1549–1565.doi:10.1080/14697688.2017.1301676.SSRN 2764908.
  9. ^Cui, Zhenyu; Kirkby, Justin L.; Nguyen, Duy (2018-04-24). "A General Valuation Framework for SABR and Stochastic Local Volatility Models".SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics.9 (2):520–563.doi:10.1137/16M1106572.S2CID 207074154.
  10. ^Choi, Jaehyuk; Liu, Chenru; Seo, Byoung Ki (2018-10-31)."Hyperbolic normal stochastic volatility model".Journal of Futures Markets.39 (2):186–204.arXiv:1809.04035.doi:10.1002/fut.21967.S2CID 158662660.SSRN 3068836. Retrieved2022-04-30.

Further reading

[edit]
Options
Terms
Vanillas
Exotics
Strategies
Valuation
Swaps
Exotic derivatives
Other derivatives
Market issues
Modelling volatility
Trading volatility
Discrete time
Continuous time
Both
Fields and other
Time series models
Financial models
Actuarial models
Queueing models
Properties
Limit theorems
Inequalities
Tools
Disciplines
Retrieved from "https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=SABR_volatility_model&oldid=1333343080"
Categories:
Hidden categories:

[8]ページ先頭

©2009-2026 Movatter.jp