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Next United Kingdom general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Next United Kingdom general election
United Kingdom
← 2024
On or before 15 August 2029

All650 seats in theHouse of Commons
326 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
PartyLeaderCurrent seats
LabourKeir Starmer404[a]
ConservativeKemi Badenoch116
Liberal DemocratsEd Davey72
SNPJohn Swinney[b]9
ReformNigel Farage8
Sinn FéinMary Lou McDonald[c]7
DUPGavin Robinson5
Green (E&W)Zack Polanski[d]4
Plaid CymruRhun ap Iorwerth[e]4
SDLPClaire Hanna2
AllianceNaomi Long[f]1
UUPJon Burrows[g]1
TUVJim Allister1
Your PartyCollective leadership1[h]
IndependentsN/A13
SpeakerLindsay Hoyle1
VacantN/A[i]1
IncumbentPrime Minister
Keir Starmer
Labour

The nextUnited Kingdom general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029. It will determine the composition of theHouse of Commons, which determines thegovernment of the United Kingdom.

Background

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2024 election

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The2024 general election resulted in alandslide victory for theLabour Party led byKeir Starmer, but with the smallest share of the electoral vote of any majority government since record-keeping of the popular vote beganin 1830. The combined vote share for Labour and the Conservatives reached a record low, with smaller parties doing well. Labour returned to being the largest party in Scotland and remained so in Wales. The election was noted as the most disproportionate in modern British history,[2] mainly as a result of thefirst-past-the-post voting system.[3][4][5][6]

TheConservative Party underRishi Sunak lost 251 seats and suffered their worst ever defeat, ending their 14-year tenure as the primary governing party. The Conservatives won no seats in Wales and only one seat in North East England.[7] On 2 November 2024,Kemi Badenoch won the2024 Conservative leadership election to succeed Sunak becoming the firstBlack British person to become the Conservative leader.[8]

Reform UK, led byNigel Farage, placed third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time.[9] Meanwhile, theLiberal Democrats, led byEd Davey, made significant gains especially in seat terms to reach their highest number of seats since (as their predecessorLiberal Party) the 1920s (and highest since the merger with theSDP). TheGreen Party of England and Wales also won a record number of votes and seats alongside a number of independent MPs.[7] TheScottish National Party (SNP) lost around three-quarters of its seats.[10]

Current composition of the House of Commons

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This table relates to the composition of theHouse of Commons after the2024 United Kingdom general election. As of 7 December 2025[update], it summarises the changes in party affiliation that took place during the 2024–present Parliament.

AffiliationMembers[11]
Elected
in 2024
[12]
CurrentDiffer­ence
Labour[j]411[k]404[l][m]Decrease 7
Conservative121116[n][m]Decrease 5
Liberal Democrats7272Steady
SNP99Steady
Reform58Increase3
Sinn Féin[o]77Steady
DUP55Steady
Green (E&W)44Steady
Plaid Cymru44Steady
SDLP22Steady
Alliance11Steady
TUV11Steady
UUP11Steady
Speaker[m]11Steady
Ind. Alliance[p]5Increase 5
Your Party[14]1Increase 1
Independent[q]68Increase 2
Vacant01Increase 1
Total MPs650650Steady
Total voting[o][m][17]639639Steady
Government majority[r]174160Decrease 14
Working majority[s]181167Decrease 14
This table:

For full details of changes during the 2024–present Parliament, seeBy-elections andDefections, suspensions and resignations.

Events since 2024

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[icon]
This sectionneeds expansion. You can help byadding missing information.(January 2026)

The2025 United Kingdom local elections led to a rise in the number of seats held by smaller parties at the expense of the Conservatives and Labour. On 2 September 2025,Zack Polanski waselected as leader of the Green Party of England and Wales in a landslide, with 85% of the vote share,[18] succeedingCarla Denyer andAdrian Ramsay in that position. The party's membership figures doubled, from around 70,000 to over 140,000, overtaking the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives.[19]

By-elections

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Runcorn and Helsby

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Main article:2025 Runcorn and Helsby by-election

On 24 February 2025, incumbent Labour MP forRuncorn and Helsby,Mike Amesbury, was sentenced to 10 weeks in prison for assault which was reduced to a suspended sentence, however, a recall petition was held with Amesbury resigning on 17 March 2025.[20][21][22] The by-election was characterised in the media as a fight between Labour and Reform UK.[23] Labour would select Karen Shore, a former teacher and deputy leader ofCheshire West and Chester Council, as their candidate, as Reform UK pickedSarah Pochin, a formerCheshire East Conservative Party councillor before being expelled from the party in 2020.[24][25] Meanwhile minor candidates included the Conservatives standing Sean Houlston, aNational Federation of Builders executive and former candidate for the neighbouring seat ofWidnes and Halewood, and the Greens picked Chris Copeman, a local councillor inHelsby as their candidate.[26][27] Other candidates included Michael Williams as an independent, Danny Clarke for theLiberal Party, and Jason Hughes forVolt UK.[28][29][30]

Pochin and Reform UK won the by-election, overturning Labour's 14,696-vote majority from the last general election with Pochin being the first non-Labour MP to hold the seat in 50 years.[31][32] The initial vote count saw Pochin win with just 4 votes, which was extended to 6 votes following a Labour requested recount.[33] It was theclosest by-election result since at least the Second World War, the previous narrowest being a majority of 57. The results were seen as a major upset for Reform UK as Labour pinning their defeat on cuts to thewinter fuel payment.[34][35]

Gorton and Denton

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Main article:2026 Gorton and Denton by-election
[icon]
This section is empty. You can help byadding to it.(January 2026)

Electoral system

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See also:Parliamentary Voting System and Constituencies Act 2011

Voting eligibility

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Presently, in order to vote in general elections, one must be:[36]

  • on theElectoral Register,
  • aged 18 or over on polling day,
  • aBritish citizen, aCommonwealth citizen (with leave to remain or not requiring it) or acitizen of the Republic of Ireland,
  • a resident at an address in the United Kingdom (or a British citizen living abroad),and
  • not legally excluded from voting (for example a convicted person detained in prison or a mental hospital, or unlawfully at large if they would otherwise have been detained, or a person found guilty of certain corrupt or illegal practices, or a sitting Member of the House of Lords)

Individuals must beregistered to vote by midnight twelve working days before polling day. Anyone who qualifies as ananonymous elector has approximately five working days before polling day to register. A person who has two homes (such as a university student who has a term-time address and lives at home during holidays) may be able to register to vote at both addresses as long as they are not in the same electoral area, but can only vote in one constituency at the general election. In July 2025, the government announced plans to reduce thevoting age to 16 before the next general election.[37] Extending the vote to 16- and 17-year-olds would add well over a million potential voters across England and Northern Ireland.[38] Analysts found that this would expand voter participation, but the additional votes would represent only a small share of the national electorate.[39]

Date of the election

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Under theDissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, theprime minister has the power to request themonarch call an election at any time during the five-year length of a parliamentary session. If the prime minister chooses not to do this, then parliament is automatically dissolved five years after the day it first met,[40] and a general election is held 25 working days after dissolution.[41] Parliament first met on 9 July 2024,[42][43][44] meaning that unless Parliament is dissolved earlier it will be automatically dissolved on 9 July 2029, and the latest an election could be held is 15 August 2029.[45]

Opinion polling

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Main article:Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is being carried out continually by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of theBritish Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the 2024 general election on 4 July to the present day.

Notes

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  1. ^Includes 42 MPs sponsored by theCo-operative Party, who are designatedLabour and Co-operative.[1]
  2. ^Stephen Flynn leads the SNP in the House of Commons.
  3. ^Sinn Féin are an all-Ireland political party with anabstentionist stance from the UK Parliament. McDonald is aTD (Republic of Ireland MP).Michelle O'Neill leads Sinn Féin in Northern Ireland.
  4. ^Ellie Chowns leads the Greens in the House of Commons.
  5. ^Liz Saville Roberts leads Plaid Cymru in the House of Commons.
  6. ^Sorcha Eastwood is the sole Alliance Party MP in the House of Commons.
  7. ^Robin Swann is the sole Ulster Unionist Party MP in the House of Commons.
  8. ^The official Parliament list of parties has onlyZarah Sultana as a member of Your Party; three other MPs (Shockat Adam,Jeremy Corbyn,Ayoub Khan) are members of the party but sit in parliament as part of the Independent Alliance.
  9. ^Pending the outcome of the2026 Gorton and Denton by-election.
  10. ^The Labour total includes 43 MPs elected in 2024 (42 current MPs as of 3 January 2026) who are sponsored by theCo-operative Party and are designatedLabour and Co-operative.[13]
  11. ^Some media outlets, such asBBC News, listed Labour's total as 412, by including the Speaker (who, to demonstrate his neutrality, had resigned his Labour Party membership on taking office).
  12. ^Includes one deputy speaker
  13. ^abcdThe Speaker and three deputy speakers by convention comprise two MPs from the government side and two from the opposition side. They do not vote in House of Commons divisions and exercise only acasting vote.[16]
  14. ^Includes two deputy speakers
  15. ^abSinn Féin's seven MPs follow a policy ofabstentionism. They do not swear into the House of Commons, and do not take part in its formal processes. As a result, they are not able to sit or vote in the House of Commons.[15]
  16. ^Independent politicians affiliated to theIndependent Alliance group of MPs
  17. ^Unaffiliatedindependent politicians
  18. ^Total number of MPs on the government side minus MPs on the opposition side. The government side comprises all Labour MPs plus the Speaker (as he was originally a Labour MP). The opposition side comprises all other MPs.
  19. ^Total number of voting MPs on the government side minus voting MPs on the opposition side.

References

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  1. ^"About: Members of Parliament".Co-operative Party. Retrieved10 May 2024.
  2. ^Gallagher, Michael."Election Indices"(PDF).Archived(PDF) from the original on 29 July 2024. Retrieved29 July 2024.
  3. ^Surridge, Paula (5 July 2024)."Labour wins big but the UK's electoral system is creaking".The Guardian. Retrieved5 July 2024.
  4. ^Curtice, John (5 July 2024)."Labour's strength in Commons is heavily exaggerated".The Times. Retrieved6 July 2024.
  5. ^Topping, Alexandra (8 July 2024)."'Disproportionate' UK election results boost calls to ditch first past the post".The Guardian. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  6. ^Chu, Ben (5 July 2024)."Biggest-ever gap between number of votes and MPs hits Reform and Greens".BBC News. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  7. ^ab"Historic firsts from the 2024 general election in numbers and charts".
  8. ^Picheta, Rob (2 November 2024)."Kemi Badenoch wins Conservative leadership contest, pitching party to the right after blowout UK election loss".CNN. Retrieved2 November 2024.
  9. ^"Nigel Farage storms the UK parliament".POLITICO. 5 July 2024. Retrieved5 July 2024.
  10. ^"UK general election results live: Labour set for landslide as results come in across country".BBC News. 4 July 2024.Archived from the original on 4 July 2024. Retrieved4 July 2024.
  11. ^Cracknell, Richard; Baker, Carl; Pollock, Louie (24 September 2024)."General election 2024 results – House of Commons Library".UK Parliament. Retrieved4 February 2025.
  12. ^"UK General election 2024 Results".BBC News. Retrieved26 October 2024.
  13. ^"Meet the team: Members of Parliament".Co-operative Party. Retrieved29 June 2025.
  14. ^"Find MPs – Your Party".UK Parliament. Retrieved22 November 2025.
  15. ^Kelly, Conor (19 August 2019)."Understanding Sinn Féin's Abstention from the UK Parliament".E-International Relations. Retrieved16 December 2019.
  16. ^Boothroyd, David."House of Commons: Tied Divisions".United Kingdom Election Results. Archived fromthe original on 6 March 2008. Retrieved8 November 2025.
  17. ^Zodgekar, Ketaki; Baker, Finn; McAlary, Patrick; Bryer, Megan (2 February 2026)."How big is the Labour government's majority?".Institute for Government. Retrieved7 February 2026.
  18. ^Wheeler, Brian (2 September 2025)."Zack Polanski elected leader of the Green Party".BBC News.Archived from the original on 2 September 2025. Retrieved2 September 2025.Thousands of new members joined the party during the leadership campaign, taking its membership to 68,500.
  19. ^https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2025/oct/26/green-membership-surge-zack-polanski
  20. ^Kampfner, Constance (28 October 2024)."Man punched by Mike Amesbury in argument about bridge is named".The Times. Retrieved28 October 2024.
  21. ^Whannel, Kate; Farley, Harry (27 October 2024)."Labour suspends MP after CCTV appears to show him punching man".BBC News. Retrieved27 October 2024.
  22. ^Okell, Nathan (17 March 2025)."Mike Amesbury tenders resignation as Runcorn MP after 'deeply regrettable incident'".Runcorn and Widnes World. Retrieved17 March 2025.
  23. ^Swinford, Steven (10 March 2025)."Mike Amesbury's resignation triggers Runcorn and Helsby by-election".The Times. Retrieved11 March 2025.
  24. ^Philbin, Paul (13 March 2025)."Labour announces candidate for expected by-election in Runcorn and Helsby".Liverpool Echo. Retrieved13 March 2025.
  25. ^Watterson, Kaleigh (24 March 2025)."Reform name candidate for by-election".BBC News. Retrieved24 March 2025.
  26. ^"Conservatives pick candidate for Runcorn following Mike Amesbury's resignation".Runcorn and Widnes World. 16 March 2025. Retrieved17 March 2025.
  27. ^Al-Othman, Hannah (15 March 2025)."'I like Nigel Farage': Runcorn and Helsby byelection could be big test for Starmer".The Guardian. Retrieved15 March 2025.
  28. ^Wilcox, Ella (21 March 2025)."Financial manager to stand as independent in Runcorn by-election".Runcorn and Widnes World. Retrieved21 March 2025.
  29. ^"Former Conservative chairman to stand in Runcorn by-election as Liberal candidate".Runcorn and Widnes World. 20 March 2025.
  30. ^"Vote Volt in the Runcorn & Helsby by-election on 1st May".Volt UK. Retrieved2 May 2025.
  31. ^Halliday, Josh (2 May 2025)."Reform wins Runcorn byelection by just six votes in blow to Labour".The Guardian.
  32. ^Halliday, Josh; Quinn, Ben (2 May 2025)."'They really are all horrible': political anger marks Reform UK's Runcorn win".The Guardian. Retrieved3 May 2025.
  33. ^Morton, Becky; McKiern, Jennifer (2 May 2025)."Runcorn and Helsby by-election: Reform beats Labour by just six votes".BBC News.
  34. ^Walker, Jonathan (2 May 2025)."'Reform's remarkable election wins show Nigel Farage really can become Prime Minister'".The Daily Express. Retrieved3 May 2025.
  35. ^Brown, Faye (2 May 2025)."'Starmer suffers defeat in first by-election as Reform takes Runcorn and Helsby'".Sky News. Retrieved3 May 2025.
  36. ^"Types of election, referendums, and who can vote".GOV.UK. Retrieved21 June 2024.
  37. ^"Voting age to be lowered to 16 across UK by next general election - live updates".BBC News. 17 July 2025. Retrieved17 July 2025.
  38. ^Johnston, Neil (9 May 2025)."Voting age". Commons Library.
  39. ^"Client Challenge".Financial Times. Retrieved5 September 2025.
  40. ^"Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022: Section 4",legislation.gov.uk,The National Archives, 24 March 2022, 2022 c. 11 (s. 4), retrieved5 December 2024
  41. ^"General Election 2024: What happens now an election has been called?".Sky News. Retrieved12 July 2024.
  42. ^"Date of first meeting of Parliament following the 2024 General Election – a Freedom of Information request to House of Commons".WhatDoTheyKnow. 5 December 2024. Retrieved5 December 2024.
  43. ^"What happens next in the House of Commons".parliament.uk. 4 July 2024. Retrieved8 July 2024.
  44. ^"General Election 2024 timetable". Retrieved5 December 2024.
  45. ^"When is the next UK general election and who decides?".BBC News. 30 September 2025. Retrieved2 October 2025.
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