An Act To Establish Ranked-Choice Voting | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Source:Maine Secretary of State[1] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Maine Question 5, formallyAn Act to Establish Ranked-Choice Voting,[2] is a citizen-initiated referendum question that qualified for theMaine November 8, 2016 statewide ballot. It was approved by a vote of 52% in favor, 48% opposed.[3] It sought to change how most Maine elections will be conducted fromplurality voting toinstant-runoff voting (IRV, sometimesconflated withranked-choice voting). It appeared on the ballot along with elections forPresident of the United States,Maine's two U.S. House seats, the legislature,five other ballot questions, and various local elections. The referendum was successful, making Maine the first state to use ranked choice voting for its federal elections.
Anadvisory opinion by theMaine Supreme Judicial Court, issued on May 23, 2017, said the court would rule ranked-choice voting unconstitutional if it came before them, with respect to elections for state offices. This led theMaine Legislature to vote to delay its implementation until 2021 to allow time for a Constitutional amendment to be passed to permit it. Supporters gathered signatures to force a successfulpeople's vetoreferendum on the matter in order to prevent the delay.
In the eleven Maine gubernatorial elections prior to 2016, only two candidates (incumbent governorsJoe Brennan in1982 andAngus King in1998) won more than 50% of the vote.[4] Typically gubernatorial elections have more than two significant candidates; the2010 election had five candidates, withPaul LePage emerging as the winner with 37.6% of the vote.[5] Some public opinion felt that his victory was due to opponents of LePage dividing their votes between Democratic candidateLibby Mitchell and independent candidateEliot Cutler.[6]
Proposals to enact ranked-choice voting have been introduced in the legislature as early as 2003, but were rejected.[7][8] After a 2010 charter change, the city ofPortland began electing its mayor using ranked-choice voting in2011. There were new legislative proposals in 2011, though they were rejected as well.[9] In 2014, upon releasing his supporters to vote for someone else in the2014 election, Eliot Cutler encouraged his supporters to support ranked-choice voting.[10] Led by former independentState SenatorRichard G. Woodbury, Ranked Choice Voting collected more than the 61,123 valid signatures necessary to put a proposal to voters, collecting some 40,000 on Election Day 2014. The group collected 75,369 signatures and delivered them toMaine Secretary of StateMatthew Dunlap by October 19, 2015. Dunlap ultimately certified 64,687 signatures by November 18, 2015, which put the proposal on the November 2016 ballot.[11]
Per the Maine Constitution, the proposal went to the legislature in its 2016 session, but it did not act on the measure. On January 20, 2016, theMaine House of Representatives voted to place the proposal on the ballot without holding a public hearing, over the objections of Republicans, led by Rep. Heather Sirocki, expressing concern about the constitutionality of the proposal.[12] Secretary of State Dunlap released the final wording of the question on June 23 as it was to appear on the ballot: "Do you want to allow voters to rank their choices of candidates in elections for U.S. Senate, Congress, Governor, State Senate, and State Representative, and to have ballots counted at the state level in multiple rounds in which last-place candidates are eliminated until a candidate wins by majority?"[13]
Some, including a deputy secretary of state and a state legislator, expressed concern about the constitutionality of the proposal. Deputy Secretary of State Julie Flynn said that the Maine Constitution requires that the governor and state legislators be elected with a plurality of votes and that a system based on ranked-choice voting could be challenged in court. (The state constitution was amended in 1847, 1875, and 1880 to choose winners byplurality for house, senate, and governor, respectively.[14] Previously, an election with nomajority winner would be decided by multiple election rounds or by the state legislature.)
Flynn also expressed concern that the proposal inserts the secretary of state into the process, while the Constitution states that votes shall be tabulated by municipal officials.[12]Maine Attorney GeneralJanet Mills issued an opinion at the request ofMaine Senate PresidentMichael Thibodeau stating that while the referendum must appear on the ballot, it will likely require amending the Maine Constitution to implement it, in order to satisfy the concerns given by the Secretary of State's office.
She added that the manner in which the proposal addresses how a tie in the voting should be addressed, drawing lots, directly conflicted with Article V of the Maine Constitution, which states that a tie in the vote for governor would be settled by the Maine Legislature meeting in joint session to choose a winner.[15]
The Committee for Ranked Choice Voting Maine dismissed such concerns, noting that a majority vote is always a plurality vote and that such a system has survived legal challenges in several other states. Its website statement also linked to statements by several Maine law professors supporting its arguments.[16]
After the question was approved by voters, the Maine Senate submitted questions to the Maine Supreme Judicial Court, which issued an advisory opinion on May 23, 2017. They unanimously ruled that ranked-choice voting was unconstitutional in state, but not federal, general elections. In response, the legislature passed a law on November 4, 2017, that amended the ranked-choice voting law to apply only to primary elections for Congress, governor, state senator, and state representative; and for general elections for Congress.[17]
The law survived a legal challenge in federal court by U.S. RepresentativeBruce Poliquin, who lost reelection by ranked choice voting toJared Golden in2018.[18]
Supporters of the proposal, led by Ranked Choice Voting Maine, contend that it will lead to people voting for the candidate that they support and end strategic voting to vote merely for the candidate that they think will win, and that the ranked choice system will result in a candidate that has some level of support from a majority of voters. They further contend that ranked-choice voting will result in less negative campaigning, as candidates will need to appeal to a broad coalition of voters beyond their base of supporters to gain support as a second or third choice, if needed.
| Date of opinion poll | Conducted by | Sample size (likely voters) | Yes | No | Undecided | Margin of Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 20–25, 2016[31] | University of New Hampshire | 761 | 49% | 31% | 20% | ±3.6% |
| September 15–20, 2016[32] | University of New Hampshire | 506 | 48% | 29% | 23% | ±4.3% |
| County[1] | Yes | Votes | No | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Androscoggin | 49.16 | 27,403 | 50.84 | 28,341 |
| Aroostook | 44.88 | 15,561 | 55.12 | 19,112 |
| Cumberland | 59.70 | 102,043 | 40.30 | 68,896 |
| Franklin | 47.67 | 7,903 | 52.33 | 8,677 |
| Hancock | 51.27 | 16,382 | 48.73 | 15,568 |
| Kennebec | 50.32 | 33,237 | 49.68 | 32,813 |
| Knox | 55.51 | 12,746 | 44.49 | 10,215 |
| Lincoln | 51.27 | 11,020 | 48.73 | 10,474 |
| Oxford | 49.43 | 15,459 | 50.57 | 15,817 |
| Penobscot | 45.69 | 36,659 | 54.31 | 43,581 |
| Piscataquis | 41.61 | 3,841 | 58.39 | 5,389 |
| Sagadahoc | 53.07 | 11,530 | 46.93 | 10,198 |
| Somerset | 44.85 | 11,674 | 55.15 | 14,357 |
| Waldo | 49.84 | 11,262 | 50.16 | 11,334 |
| Washington | 44.33 | 7,247 | 55.67 | 9,102 |
| York | 54.51 | 61,819 | 45.49 | 51,593 |
| UOCAVA | 68.31 | 2,487 | 31.69 | 1,154 |
| Total | 52.12 | 388,273 | 47.88 | 356,621 |
On February 3, 2017, theMaine Senate voted 24–10 to ask theMaine Supreme Judicial Court for an advisory opinion as to the constitutionality of the approved proposal, after concerns about its constitutionality were expressed byMaine Attorney GeneralJanet Mills.[33]
On May 23, 2017, the Court issued its opinion that the law would be unconstitutional if it came before them, stating it would violate the provision of the Maine Constitution requiring elections to be decided by a plurality of the vote.[34] State legislators had mixed reactions to the ruling, with Senate PresidentMichael Thibodeau calling for the law to be repealed and Democratic State Sen. Catherine Breen stating she would propose a Constitutional amendment to permit the law.[35] The legislature's Veterans and Legal Affairs Committee on June 8 reported out to the floor five bills in reaction to the ruling, including one that would implement ranked-choice voting in 2018 for uses unaffected by the Court's opinion - that is, congressional elections and primaries.[36] On October 23, 2017, the legislature voted to delay implementation of the RCV law for all races until 2021, to allow for time to pass a state constitutional amendment to allow it. This repeal affects even those races not affected by the Court's opinion, with the argument that Maine voters would be confused by a mix of RCV and non-RCV choices on a ballot. However, if such an amendment is not passed, the law would be repealed.[37]
Supporters, angered by the delay, launched apeople's veto signature-gathering effort to prevent it, pointing to its successful use in mixed-race ballots in Portland. The veto passed in June 2018 asQuestion 1, restoring ranked-choice voting for primary and federal elections.
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