| ←2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 → Midterm elections | |
| Election day | November 3 |
|---|---|
| Incumbent president | Donald Trump (Republican) |
| Next Congress | 120th |
| Senate elections | |
| Seats contested | 35 of 100 seats (33 seats of Class 2 + 2 special elections) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring No election | |
| House elections | |
| Seats contested | All 435 voting members 5 of 6 non-voting delegates |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Democratic incumbent retiring Republican incumbent Republican incumbent retiring Democratic and Republican incumbent[a] No incumbent[a] Vacant[b] TBD congressional map | |
| Gubernatorial elections | |
| Seats contested | 39 (36 states, 3 territories) |
| Map of the incumbents: Democratic incumbent Term-limited or retiring Democrat Republican incumbent Term-limited or retiring Republican Independent incumbent No election | |
Elections are scheduled to be held in theUnited States, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In thisU.S. midterm election, scheduled to occur duringRepublican presidentDonald Trump's nonconsecutive second term, all 435 seats in theU.S. House of Representatives and 35 of the 100 seats in theU.S. Senate will be contested to determine the120th United States Congress. 39 state and territorialU.S. gubernatorial elections,attorney general elections, and numerous state and local elections, will also be contested.
The 2026 midterm elections are the first since1894 to take place during a non-consecutive second term of thePresident of the United States.
Incumbent Republican Donald Trump won the2024 presidential election against DemocratKamala Harris in part due to campaign promises such as economic renewal from the2021–2023 inflation surge,[1][2] and American domestication away from foreign entanglements such as theGaza war and theRusso-Ukrainian War.[3]
The second Trump administration hasimposed tariffs on much of the world with the intent to re-industrialize America, a decision that received mixed reception. It was criticized by experts[4][5] and global leaders[6][7] for worsening inflation rather than fighting it. The administration’s immigration policies, includingdeportations byICE due to strengthened funding via theOne Big Beautiful Bill Act, were also scrutinized by experts and activists.[8][9]
The 2026 elections will be the first federal elections since the2016 presidential contest whereABC News,CNN,CBS News,NBC News, theAssociated Press andFox News will use one election survey, the Voter Poll by SSRS, to measure voters' opinions and preferences. From 2018 to 2024, the former four news networks continued to use data from theNational Election Pool while the Associated Press and Fox News relied onAP VoteCast.[10][11]
Although Trump won't be listed as a candidate on any state ballot in 2026, voters' views of his presidency will likely be a factor in the election. During the 2025 off year elections, exit polls found that many voted in opposition to Trump or said that he wasn't a factor.[12] Surveys released in late 2025 and early 2026 find that many view Trump's handling of the economy and immigration negatively.[13][14] During elections held in his first term, Trump was on the minds of many who voted.[15][16]
The Republican Party performed worse than expected in theNovember 2025 general elections. Democratic candidatesAbigail Spanberger ofVirginia andMikie Sherrill ofNew Jersey won their gubernatorial races over their Republican opponents by larger than expected margins. Democrats performed strongly in theconcurrent state legislative elections, winning a supermajority in theNew Jersey General Assembly and expanding their majority in theVirginia House of Delegates. InNew York City, DemocratZohran Mamdani, a self-identifieddemocratic socialist, was elected mayor in a three-way race against independent former governorAndrew Cuomo and RepublicanCurtis Sliwa. The main theme of the elections was affordability.[17]
In January 2026,The Washington Post reported that the second Trump administration had undertaken several tactics, includingmid-decade redrawing of congressional districts for partisan gain, prosecution of political opponents, and a push to change voting methods and rules, that were meant to undermine confidence in the midterm elections.[18]
Trump floated the idea of canceling the elections, citing an expected loss in the elections and a distrust in democratic systems.[19] White House Press SecretaryKaroline Leavitt later claimed Trump was "speaking facetiously," and was "simply joking".[20]
In February, Trump stated that the elections should be nationalized to prevent voter fraud.[21] A day later,Steve Bannon said the federal government was planning to sendICE to patrol polling stations in an attempt to prevent a Democratic victory, vowing to "never again allow an election to be stolen."[22]
35 seats in theUnited States Senate will be up for election, including all 33Class 2 seats. Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats. Two Democratic-held seats,Georgia andMichigan, are in states won by Donald Trump in theprevious presidential election, whileMaine is the only Republican-held seat in a state won byKamala Harris.
Two special elections will be held to fill the unexpired terms of senators who vacated their seats during the119th Congress:
All 435 voting seats in theUnited States House of Representatives will be up for election. Additionally, elections will be held to select the non-votingdelegate for theDistrict of Columbia and the non-votingdelegates from 4 of the 5U.S. territories, excludingPuerto Rico. There are 16 Democratic incumbents in districts Donald Trump won, while only 8 Republican incumbents are in seats won by Harris.[25]
The House map features a number of new congressional maps:Ohio andUtah will have new, court-mandated congressional districts this cycle; Missouri, North Carolina, and Texas redrew their maps mid-cycle; and the district map was changed in California following the passage ofProp 50.[26][27][28][29][30]
At least four special elections to the House of Representatives will be held in 2026.
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | Dates updated | Republicans | Democrats | Other/ Undecided[c] | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decision Desk HQ[37] | January 9, 2025 – February 9, 2026 | February 12, 2026 | 41.4% | 45.4% | 13.2% | Democrats +4.0% |
| FiftyPlusOne[38] | January 9, 2025 – February 12, 2026 | February 13, 2026 | 42.3% | 46.9% | 10.8% | Democrats +4.6% |
| RealClearPolitics[39] | January 7 – February 13, 2026 | February 13, 2026 | 42.4% | 47.6% | 10.0% | Democrats +5.2% |
| Silver Bulletin[40] | January 9, 2025 – February 9, 2026 | February 11, 2026 | 42.3% | 47.9% | 9.8% | Democrats +5.6% |
| VoteHub[41] | January 9, 2025 – February 9, 2026 | February 11, 2026 | 42.9% | 48.3% | 8.8% | Democrats +5.4% |
| Race to the WH[42] | January 9, 2025 – February 9, 2026 | February 11, 2026 | 42.5% | 47.6% | 9.9% | Democrats +5.1% |
| Average | February 11, 2026 | 42.2% | 47.2% | 10.6% | Democrats +5.0% | |





36 states and three territories will be holding regularly scheduled gubernatorial elections. The governors of 15 states and two territories will be term-limited.
Ten states will be holding regularly scheduled lieutenant gubernatorial elections.
30 states, two territories, and one federal district will be holding regularly scheduled attorney general elections.
26 states will be holding regularly scheduled secretary of state elections.
27 states will be holding regularly scheduled treasurer elections.
23 states will be holding regularly scheduled auditor elections.
88 state legislative chambers and 5 territorial chambers will be holding regularly scheduled elections.
Elections are scheduled to be held in 2026, in various states across the country, includingsupreme courts andappellate courts.
A number of major cities will hold mayoral elections in 2026.
2025–2026
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[d] | Margin of error | Democratic | Republican | Other/ Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist/YouGov[57] | January 30 – February 2, 2026 | 1,501 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 16%[e] | 4% |
| 1,668 (A) | 36% | 34% | 30%[f] | 2% | |||
| Morning Consult[58] | January 30 – February 1, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[59] | January 29–30, 2026 | 652 (RV) | – | 48% | 41% | 11% | 7% |
| Harvard/Harris Poll/HarrisX[60] | January 28–29, 2026 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 54%[g] | 46% | – | 8% |
| 41% | 41% | 18%[h] | Tie | ||||
| – (LV) | – | 52%[g] | 48% | – | 4% | ||
| 47% | 44% | 9%[i] | 3% | ||||
| Cygnal (R)[61] | January 27–28, 2026 | 1,004 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Marquette University Law School[62] | January 21–28, 2026 | 577 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 3%[j] | 7% |
| 869 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 44% | 8%[k] | 4% | ||
| 1,003 (A) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 39% | 16%[l] | 6% | ||
| The Argument/Verasight[63] | January 26–27, 2026 | 1,515 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 52%[g] | 48% | – | 4% |
| 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[64] | January 21–27, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)[65][A] | January 23–26, 2026 | 1,005 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 46% | 2% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[66] | January 23–26, 2026 | 1,519 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 38% | 19%[m] | 5% |
| 1,683 (A) | 38% | 35% | 27%[n] | 3% | |||
| Echelon Insights[67] | January 22–26, 2026 | 1,029 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[68] | January 23–25, 2026 | 906 (RV) | – | 41% | 37% | 22% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[58] | January 23–25, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[69] | January 22–24, 2026 | 2,909 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 48%[g] | 44% | 8%[o] | 4% |
| 46% | 42% | 12%[p] | 4% | ||||
| Quantus Insights (R)[70] | January 20–22, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 41% | 12%[q] | 6% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[71] | January 15–22, 2026 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 51% | 42% | 7% | 9% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[72] | January 14–20, 2026 | 1,352 (RV) | – | 51% | 43% | 6% | 8% |
| 1,532 (A) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% | ||
| KFF[73] | January 13–20, 2026 | 1,141 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
| Emerson College[74] | January 17–19, 2026 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 42% | 10% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[75] | January 16–19, 2026 | 1,717 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 39% | 18%[r] | 4% |
| 1,547 (A) | 39% | 34% | 27%[s] | 5% | |||
| Morning Consult[58] | January 16–18, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 14% | 2% |
| New York Times/Siena College[76] | January 12–17, 2026 | 1,625 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[77][B] | January 13–14, 2026 | 597 (RV) | – | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[68] | January 12–13, 2026 | 941 (RV) | – | 40% | 38% | 22% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[78] | January 7–14, 2026 | 2,273 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 41% | 12%[t] | 6% |
| Impact Research (D)/ National Research Inc. (R)[79][C] | January 8–13, 2026 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| CNN/SSRS[80] | January 9–12, 2026 | 968 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 41% | 13% | 5% |
| Morning Consult[58] | January 9–12, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[81] | January 9–12, 2026 | 1,433 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16%[u] | 4% |
| 1,597 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[v] | 6% | |||
| Yahoo News/YouGov[82] | January 8–12, 2026 | 1,148 (RV) | – | 45% | 40% | 15%[w] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[83] | January 7–8, 2026 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| RMG Research[84][D] | January 5–8, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 43% | 13%[x] | 1% |
| 47%[g] | 46% | 7%[x] | 1% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[85] | January 2–5, 2026 | 1,386 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 39% | 16%[e] | 6% |
| 1,547 (A) | 39% | 32% | 29%[y] | 7% | |||
| Morning Consult[58] | January 2–4, 2026 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[58] | December 29, 2025 – January 4, 2026 | 22,709 (RV) | – | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| The Bullfinch Group[86][E] | December 30, 2025 – January 1, 2026 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 33% | 23%[z] | 11% |
| 1,200 (A) | ± 2.8% | 40% | 30% | 30%[aa] | 10% |
2024–2025
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[d] | Margin of error | Democratic | Republican | Other/ Undecided | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Economist/YouGov[87] | December 26–29, 2025 | 1,417 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 42% | 38% | 20%[r] | 4% |
| 1,546 (A) | 36% | 31% | 33%[f] | 5% | |||
| Big Data Poll (R)[88] | December 26–28, 2025 | 3,412 (LV) | ± 1.9% | 48%[g] | 44% | 8%[o] | 4% |
| 45% | 42% | 13%[p] | 3% | ||||
| Morning Consult[58] | December 15–21, 2025 | 20,240 (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[89] | December 20–22, 2025 | 1,424 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 40% | 17%[ab] | 3% |
| 1,591 (A) | 38% | 34% | 28%[ac] | 4% | |||
| Quantus Insights (R)[90] | December 15–17, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | 16% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[91] | December 15–19, 2025 | 2,315 (A) | ± 2.0% | 54% | 38% | 7%[ad] | 16% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[92] | December 12–19, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[93][F] | December 15–17, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 38% | 17% | 7% |
| Emerson College[94] | December 14–15, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[68] | December 12–15, 2025 | 775 (RV) | – | 40% | 36% | 24% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[95] | December 12–15, 2025 | 1,451 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 43% | 39% | 18%[ae] | 4% |
| 1,630 (A) | 37% | 33% | 30%[af] | 4% | |||
| Morning Consult[58] | December 12–15, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[96] | December 11–15, 2025 | 1,011 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Quinnipiac University[97] | December 11–15, 2025 | 1,035 (RV) | ± 3.9% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[98] | December 10–12, 2025 | 3,004 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 47%[g] | 43% | 10%[ag] | 4% |
| 44% | 41% | 15%[ah] | 3% | ||||
| The Argument/Verasight[99] | December 5–11, 2025 | – (LV) | – | 52% | 48% | – | 4% |
| 1,521 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 50% | 49% | – | 1% | ||
| 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% | ||||
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[100] | December 4–11, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| The Economist/YouGov[101] | December 5–8 2025 | 1,379 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 37% | 21%[m] | 6% |
| 1,529 (A) | 37% | 32% | 31%[ai] | 5% | |||
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[102][G] | December 4–8, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[68] | December 3–8, 2025 | 3,521 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[103] | December 5–7, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Morning Consult[58] | December 5–7, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[104] | December 4–5, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
| RMG Research[105][D] | December 1–4, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 45% | 14%[aj] | 4% |
| 44%[g] | 48% | 8%[aj] | 4% | ||||
| Big Data Poll (R)[106] | November 28 – December 1, 2025 | 2,008 (RV) | ± 2.1% | 44%[g] | 42% | 20%[ak] | 2% |
| 41% | 39% | 20%[al] | 2% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[107] | November 28 – December 1, 2025 | 1,452 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 39% | 16%[r] | 6% |
| 1,623 (A) | 39% | 33% | 28%[s] | 6% | |||
| Morning Consult[58] | November 26–30, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| GBAO (D)/Third Way (D)[108] | November 19–26, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | – | 48% | 42% | 10%[am] | 6% |
| The Bullfinch Group[109] | November 21–25, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 41% | 35% | 24%[an] | 6% |
| 1,200 (A) | ± 2.8% | 37% | 32% | 31%[ao] | 5% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[110] | November 21–24, 2025 | 1,511 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | 32% | 29%[ae] | 7% |
| 1,674 (A) | 44% | 39% | 17%[v] | 5% | |||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[111] | November 17–24, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[58] | November 21–23, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 45% | 43% | 13% | 2% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[112] | November 18–23, 2025 | 2,410 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[ap] | 3% |
| J.L. Partners (R)[113][H] | November 19–20, 2025 | 797 (LV) | – | 50% | 46% | 4% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[114] | November 15–17, 2025 | 1,380 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[aq] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[115] | November 13–17, 2025 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 45% | 6% | 4% |
| The Argument/Verasight[116] | November 10–17, 2025 | – (LV) | – | 54% | 46% | – | 8% |
| 1,508 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 53% | 47% | – | 6% | ||
| 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% | ||||
| Morning Consult[58] | November 14–16, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| High Point University[117] | November 10–14, 2025 | 1,004 (A) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 36% | 13%[ar] | 10% |
| Marist University[118][I] | November 10–13, 2025 | 1,291 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 55% | 41% | 4%[as] | 14% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[119] | November 11–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 44% | 39% | 17% | 5% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[120] | November 7–12, 2025 | 938 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 40% | 19% | 1% |
| Marquette University Law School[121] | November 5–12, 2025 | 903 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 7%[at] | 5% |
| 1,052 (A) | ± 3.3% | 46% | 41% | 13%[au] | 5% | ||
| The Economist/YouGov[122] | November 7–10, 2025 | 1,499 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[u] | 7% |
| Morning Consult[123] | November 7–9, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | – | 48% | 43% | 9% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[124] | November 5–6, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| Emerson College[125] | November 3–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 40% | 16% | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[126] | October 31 – November 3, 2025 | 1,470 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[av] | 3% |
| RMG Research[127][D] | October 27–30, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 42% | 43% | 15%[aj] | 1% |
| 44%[g] | 46% | 10%[aj] | 2% | ||||
| CNN/SSRS[128] | October 27–30, 2025 | 945 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 42% | 11%[aw] | 5% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[129] | October 27–29, 2025 | 1,159 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | 7%[ax] | Tie |
| 1,609 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 44% | 11%[ay] | 1% | ||
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[130] | October 24–29, 2025 | 1,352 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| 1,567 (A) | ± 2.6% | 46% | 39% | 15% | 7% | ||
| Big Data Poll (R)[131] | October 26–28, 2025 | 2,984 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 41% | 16%[az] | 2% |
| Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos[132] | October 24–28, 2025 | 2,203 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 46% | 44% | 10%[ba] | 2% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[133][J] | October 24–28, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 42% | 8% | 8% |
| The Economist/YouGov[134] | October 24–27, 2025 | 1,472 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17%[u] | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[135] | October 23–27, 2025 | 1,197 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 40% | 15%[e] | 5% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[136] | October 21–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[137] | October 16–23, 2025 | 1,047 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[138] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,447 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 40% | 15%[r] | 5% |
| Quinnipiac University[139] | October 17–20, 2025 | 1,327 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 41% | 9% | 9% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov[140] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.5% | 38% | 35% | 27%[bb] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[141] | October 16–20, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[142] | October 17–19, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| Emerson College[143] | October 13–14, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 43% | 13% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[144] | October 10–16, 2025 | 1,530 (RV) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[145] | October 10–13, 2025 | 1,466 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 40% | 17%[u] | 3% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[146][G] | October 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| YouGov Blue (D)[147] | October 7–10, 2025 | 517 (RV) | – | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[148] | October 7–8, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[149] | October 6–8, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 42% | 43% | 15% | 1% |
| The Economist/YouGov[150] | October 4–6, 2025 | 1,486 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 39% | 17%[ab] | 5% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[151] | October 2–6, 2025 | 2,565 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 43% | 12% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[152] | October 3–5, 2025 | 2,200 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[153] | September 26–29, 2025 | 1,517 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 41% | 15%[u] | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[154] | September 25–29, 2025 | 1,126 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 40% | 16%[e] | 4% |
| New York Times/Siena College[155] | September 22–27, 2025 | 1,313 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 45% | 8% | 2% |
| RMG Research[156][D] | September 22–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 41% | 43% | 16%[x] | 2% |
| 45%[g] | 46% | 9%[x] | 1% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[157] | September 19–22, 2025 | 1,392 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 45% | 42% | 13%[ae] | 3% |
| Echelon Insights[158] | September 18–22, 2025 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[159] | September 17–22, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | – | 41% | 47% | 12% | 6% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[160] | September 15–19, 2025 | 1,268 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 47% | 42% | 11% | 5% | ||
| AtlasIntel[161] | September 12–16, 2025 | 1,066 (A) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 44% | 4%[bc] | 8% |
| Normington Petts (D)/Third Way (D)[162] | September 11–16, 2025 | 800 (V) | – | 51% | 49% | – | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[163] | September 12–15, 2025 | 1,418 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 41% | 16%[e] | 2% |
| National Association of Independent Pollsters[bd][164] | September 6–13, 2025 | 2,071 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| i360[165][K] | September 10–12, 2025 | 577 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 35% | 32% | 33%[be] | 5% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[166] | September 4–11, 2025 | 1,001 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 44% | 6% | 6% |
| The Economist/YouGov[167] | September 5–8, 2025 | 1,482 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 4%[u] | 2% |
| Public Religion Research Institute[168] | August 15 – September 8, 2025 | 5,543 (A) | ± 1.8% | 33% | 30% | 36%[bf] | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[169] | September 2–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 45% | 7% | 3% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[170] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,136 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 40% | 16%[e] | 4% |
| The Economist/YouGov[171] | August 29 – September 2, 2025 | 1,548 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 39% | 18%[ab] | 4% |
| Morning Consult[172] | August 29–31, 2025 | 2,202 (RV) | – | 45% | 41% | 14% | 4% |
| Emerson College[173] | August 25–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[174] | August 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[175] | August 22–25, 2025 | 1,374 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 43% | 41% | 16%[ae] | 2% |
| Reuters/Ipsos[176] | August 22–24, 2025 | 1,022 (A) | ± 3.2% | 38% | 34% | 28%[bg] | 2% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[177][L] | August 19, 2025 | 700 (A) | – | 42% | 37% | 21% | 5% |
| RMG Research[178][D] | August 18–21, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 44% | 44% | 12%[x] | Tie |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[179] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 49% | 41% | 10% | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[180] | August 14–18, 2025 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| The Argument/Verasight[181] | August 18–21, 2025 | 1,562 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| 51%[g] | 49% | – | 2% | ||||
| The Economist/YouGov[182] | August 15–18, 2025 | 1,404 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 39% | 17%[ae] | 5% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[183] | August 11–13, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| The Economist/YouGov[184] | August 9–11, 2025 | 1,473 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 40% | 18%[u] | 2% |
| The Economist/YouGov[185] | August 1–4, 2025 | 1,528 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 38% | 18%[ae] | 6% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[186][G] | July 29 – August 3, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 44% | 7% | 5% |
| Yahoo News/YouGov[187] | July 24–28, 2025 | 1,167 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 15%[w] | 7% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[188][M] | July 21–24, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | – | 46% | 43% | 11% | 3% |
| 1,633 (LV) | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% | |||
| Fabrizio (R)/Impact Research (D)[189][190][C] | July 16–20, 2025 | 1,500 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 43% | 10%[bh] | 3% |
| Emerson College[191] | July 21–22, 2025 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 44% | 42% | 14% | 2% |
| AtlasIntel[192] | July 13–18, 2025 | 1,935 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 43% | 6%[ad] | 8% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)[193] | July 13–17, 2025 | 2,288 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 46% | 42% | 12% | 4% |
| RMG Research[194][D] | July 14–16, 2025 | 2,000 (RV) | ± 2.2% | 45% | 49% | 6%[x] | 4% |
| Big Data Poll (R)[195][196] | July 12–14, 2025 | 3,022 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 42% | 41% | 17%[bi] | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[197] | July 10–14, 2025 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| 45% | 41% | 14%[bj] | 4% | ||||
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[198] | July 9–14, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| A2 Insights[199] | July 7–10, 2025 | 862 (RV) | – | 48% | 44% | 8% | 4% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[200] | July 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.7% | 47% | 43% | 10% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[201] | July 1–2, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[202] | June 24–25, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 40% | 17% | 3% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling (R)[203] | June 23–25, 2025 | 633 (RV) | – | 47% | 42% | 11%[bk] | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[204] | June 19–21, 2025 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 46% | 6% | 2% |
| RMG Research[205][D] | June 18–19, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 52% | 4%[x] | 8% |
| Echelon Insights[206] | June 12–16, 2025 | 982 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[207] | June 12–16, 2025 | 1,035 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 46% | 46% | 8%[bl] | Tie |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[208] | June 5–14, 2025 | 1,000 (V) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[209] | June 6–12, 2025 | 1,500 (A) | ± 2.6% | 45% | 37% | 18% | 8% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[210][N] | June 9–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| Quantus Insights (R)[211][N] | June 1–4, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 45% | 9% | 1% |
| AtlasIntel[212] | May 21–27, 2025 | 3,469 (A) | ± 2.0% | 51% | 42% | 7% | 9% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[213] | May 21–26, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 43% | 47% | 10% | 4% |
| RMG Research[214][D] | May 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 45% | 4%[x] | 3% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)[215][O] | May 15–19, 2025 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 42% | 16% | Tie |
| Echelon Insights[216] | May 8–12, 2025 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 47% | 48% | 5% | 1% |
| co/efficient (R)[217] | May 7–9, 2025 | 1,462 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 45% | 42% | 10%[as] | 3% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[218][N] | May 5–7, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% | Tie |
| Big Data Poll (R)[219][220] | May 3–5, 2025 | 3,128 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 40% | 42% | 18%[bi] | 2% |
| Strength In Numbers/Verasight[221] | May 1–6, 2025 | 1,000 (A) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 41% | 12% | 6% |
| NewsNation/DDHQ[222] | April 23–27, 2025 | 1,448 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | 40% | 15%[bm] | 5% |
| New York Times/Siena College[223] | April 21–24, 2025 | 913 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 44% | 9% | 3% |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R)[224][A] | April 18–21, 2025 | 1,104 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights/ The Center Square[225] | April 15–18, 2025 | 2,500 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RMG Research[226][D] | April 16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 50% | 45% | 5%[x] | 5% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[227][G] | April 9–13, 2025 | – (RV) | – | 45% | 42% | 13% | 3% |
| RealClear Opinion Research[228][229] | April 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 39% | 21% | 1% |
| Cygnal (R)[230] | April 1–3, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| Yale Youth Poll[231] | April 1–3, 2025 | 4,100 (RV) | ± 1.9% | 43% | 42% | 15% | 1% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[232][N] | March 25–27, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 46% | 9% | 1% |
| Echelon Insights[233] | March 10–13, 2025 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Hart Research Associates (D)/ Public Opinion Strategies (R)[234][J] | March 7–11, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 47% | 5% | 1% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[235] | March 3–9, 2025 | 1,036 (V) | ± 1.7% | 46% | 44% | 10% | 2% |
| Cygnal (R)[236] | March 3–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 46% | 7% | 1% |
| Emerson College[237] | March 2–3, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 41% | 15% | 3% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[238][P] | February 25 – March 2, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| RMG Research[239][D] | February 20–21, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 48% | 6%[x] | 2% |
| co/efficient (R)[240] | February 15–17, 2025 | 2,063 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 44% | 46% | 10% | 2% |
| Echelon Insights[241] | February 10–13, 2025 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[242][N] | February 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 48% | 8% | 4% |
| Cygnal (R)[243] | February 4–5, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | 47% | 7% | 1% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs (D)[244] | January 31 – February 6, 2025 | 1,102 (V) | ± 1.5% | 45% | 44% | 11% | 1% |
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[245][Q] | January 27 – February 1, 2025 | 3,000 (RV) | ± 1.8% | 43% | 43% | 14% | Tie |
| RMG Research[246][D] | January 15–16, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 51% | 5%[x] | 7% |
| Quantus Insights (R)[247][N] | February 10–12, 2025 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
| Morning Consult[58] | February 3–9, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 45% | 12% | 2% |
| Morning Consult[58] | January 27 – February 2, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 43% | 44% | 13% | 1% |
| Morning Consult[58] | January 20–26, 2025 | 19,675 (RV) | – | 42% | 45% | 13% | 3% |
| Cygnal (R)[248] | January 9–12, 2025 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 47% | 8% | 2% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R)[249] | December 11–16, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | – | 42% | 47% | 11% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R)[250] | December 9–11, 2024 | 1,500 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% | 3% |
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