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2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam

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Main article:2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam

← 2020
November 5, 2024
2028 →

Non-binding preference poll
 
NomineeKamala HarrisDonald Trump
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Home stateCaliforniaFlorida
Running mateTim WalzJD Vance
Popular vote13,51012,624
Percentage49.46%46.22%

Results by village

Harris

  40–50%
  50–60%

Trump

  40–50%
  50–60%

Elections in Guam
Seal of Guam

The2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam took place on November 5, 2024.Guam is aterritory and not astate, making it ineligible to elect members of theElectoral College. However, Guam does conduct a non-bindingpresidential straw poll during the general election.[1]

In the2024 presidential election, incumbentDemocratic presidentJoe Biden initiallyran for re-election and became the party's presumptive nominee.[2] However, he withdrew from the race on July 21 and endorsedVice PresidentKamala Harris, who launchedher presidential campaign the same day.[3] TheRepublican nominee is former presidentDonald Trump.[4]

This is the first time since2000 that the straw poll voted for the candidate which lost the national popular vote, and the first time ever that the winner of the straw poll won by a plurality instead of a majority. Although Harris won the straw poll, she only won by a plurality, due to Trump's gains withAsian andPacific Islander voters. Guam is 33%Chamorro and 36% Asian, and just 7% White.

Background

[edit]
See also:2024 Guam presidential caucuses

Guam has held a straw poll coinciding with every presidential election since1980 to gauge residents' preferences and raise awareness regarding the territory's lack of federal representation.[5]

In the2020 presidential straw poll, Biden defeated then-incumbent PresidentDonald Trump with 55.38% of the popular vote.[6]

Results

[edit]
2024 United States presidential straw poll in Guam[7]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic13,51049.46Decrease5.92
Republican12,62446.22Increase4.31
Independent9383.43n/a
Green1190.44Decrease0.26
American Solidarity
450.16Decrease0.36
Socialist
  • Bill Stodden
  • Stephanie Cholensky
440.16n/a
Prohibition
  • Michael Wood
  • John Pietrowski
340.12Decrease0.19
Total votes27,314100.00%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^Maxedon, Tom (November 6, 2016)."Guam's straw poll: Where America's accuracy begins".The Guam Daily Post. RetrievedMay 5, 2024.
  2. ^Kinery, Emma (April 25, 2023)."Biden launches 2024 reelection campaign, promising to fulfill economic policy vision". CNBC.Archived from the original on April 25, 2023. RetrievedJuly 22, 2024.
  3. ^"Harris says she'll 'earn' nomination as Biden steps aside".The Washington Post. RetrievedJuly 22, 2024.
  4. ^Gold, Michael; Nehamas, Nicholas (March 13, 2024)."Donald J. Trump and Joe Biden Clinch Their Party Nominations".The New York Times.ISSN 0362-4331.Archived from the original on March 13, 2024. RetrievedJuly 22, 2024.
  5. ^Cagurangan, Mar-Vic (October 30, 2020)."The US election that doesn't count: Guam goes to the polls but votes won't matter".The Guardian.ISSN 0261-3077. RetrievedMay 5, 2024.
  6. ^"20GE OFFICIAL RESULTS SUMMARY.pdf".Guam Election Commission. RetrievedMay 5, 2024.
  7. ^"2024 GENERAL ELECTION UNOFFICIAL RESULTS SUMMARY 1.pdf".Google Drive. Guam Election Commission. p. 10. RetrievedNovember 5, 2024.
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