| Turnout | 58.5%[1] | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus theDistrict of Columbia participated.Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in theElectoral College via a popular vote. The state of Kentucky has 8 electoral votes in the Electoral College, followingreapportionment due to the2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[2]
Prior to the election, all major news organizations once again considered Kentucky a safered state; the state has voted Republican and by double-digit margins in every presidential election since2000.
On election night, Kentucky votedRepublican for former presidentDonald Trump by a wide margin for the third time in a row, with him winning the state by 30.53%, a considerable increase from his 25.94% victory in2020 and to a lesser extent his 29.84% victory in2016. He received about 1.34 million Kentucky votes which was a record for votes cast for any candidate in state history.
This is the best performance by a Republican presidential candidate inthe state's history. Trump's vote share of 64.4% is also the third-highest in state history, behind only1864 and1868.
The Kentucky Democratic presidential primary was held on May 21, 2024, alongside theOregon primary.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
| Joe Biden (incumbent) | 131,449 | 71.33% | 43 | 43 | |
| Uncommitted | 32,908 | 17.86% | 8 | 8 | |
| Marianne Williamson | 11,190 | 6.07% | 0 | ||
| Dean Phillips (withdrawn) | 8,744 | 4.74% | 0 | ||
| Total: | 184,291 | 100.00% | 53 | 6 | 59 |
The Kentucky Republican caucuses were held on May 21, 2024, alongside theOregon primary.
| Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
| Donald Trump | 215,044 | 85.0% | 46 | 46 | |
| Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 16,232 | 6.4% | |||
| Uncommitted | 8,984 | 3.5% | |||
| Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 7,803 | 3.1% | |||
| Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 2,461 | 1.0% | |||
| Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,640 | 0.7% | |||
| Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 900 | 0.4% | |||
| Total: | 253,064 | 100.0% | 46 | 46 | |
The following candidates qualified for the general election ballot:[5]
Additionally, Kentucky voters had the option towrite-in a name for president as long as said candidate filed for office before October 25. Eleven such candidates filed, although only nine received at least one vote.[6]
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[7] | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[10] | Safe R | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[11] | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[12] | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[13] | Safe R | June 12, 2024 |
| 538[14] | Solid R | June 11, 2024 |
| RCP[15] | Solid R | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[16] | Safe R | October 6, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 60% | 35% | 5% |
| Emerson College[18] | October 1–3, 2023 | 450 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[19] | August 9–10, 2023 | 737 (V) | – | 55% | 34% | 11% |
| co/efficient (R)[20] | May 18–19, 2023 | 987 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 57% | 33% | 10% |
Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 52% | 35% | 13% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size[b] | Margin of error | Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies[17][A] | April 13–21, 2024 | 402 (LV) | – | 61% | 29% | 10% |
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | 1,337,494 | 64.47% | +2.38% | ||
| Democratic | 704,043 | 33.94% | –2.21% | ||
| Independent |
| 16,769 | 0.81% | N/A | |
| Kentucky | 7,566 | 0.36% | +0.33% | ||
| Libertarian | 6,422 | 0.31% | –0.92% | ||
| Independent |
| 1,015 | 0.05% | N/A | |
| American Solidarity |
| 611 | 0.03% | +0.01% | |
| Socialism and Liberation |
| 391 | 0.02% | +0.02% | |
| Independent |
| 177 | 0.01% | N/A | |
| Independent |
| 14 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent |
| 10 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Socialist Equality |
| 8 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent |
| 5 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent |
| 4 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Independent |
| 1 | 0.00% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 2,074,530 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| County | Donald Trump Republican | Kamala Harris Democratic | Various candidates Other parties | Margin | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Adair | 7,643 | 85.17% | 1,257 | 14.01% | 74 | 0.82% | 6,386 | 71.16% | 8,974 |
| Allen | 7,824 | 83.07% | 1,505 | 15.98% | 89 | 0.95% | 6,319 | 67.09% | 9,418 |
| Anderson | 9,650 | 73.69% | 3,226 | 24.64% | 219 | 1.67% | 6,424 | 49.05% | 13,095 |
| Ballard | 3,331 | 81.48% | 697 | 17.05% | 60 | 1.47% | 2,634 | 64.43% | 4,088 |
| Barren | 15,019 | 75.85% | 4,565 | 23.05% | 218 | 1.10% | 10,454 | 52.80% | 19,802 |
| Bath | 4,041 | 74.99% | 1,278 | 23.71% | 70 | 1.30% | 2,763 | 51.28% | 5,389 |
| Bell | 7,831 | 83.84% | 1,419 | 15.19% | 90 | 0.97% | 6,412 | 68.65% | 9,340 |
| Boone | 45,650 | 67.71% | 20,601 | 30.56% | 1,170 | 1.73% | 25,049 | 37.15% | 67,421 |
| Bourbon | 6,284 | 65.89% | 3,088 | 32.38% | 165 | 1.73% | 3,196 | 33.51% | 9,537 |
| Boyd | 14,363 | 68.56% | 6,291 | 30.03% | 297 | 1.41% | 8,072 | 38.53% | 20,951 |
| Boyle | 9,159 | 63.72% | 4,990 | 34.72% | 224 | 1.56% | 4,169 | 29.00% | 14,373 |
| Bracken | 3,399 | 81.84% | 702 | 16.90% | 52 | 1.26% | 2,697 | 64.94% | 4,153 |
| Breathitt | 4,036 | 78.86% | 1,002 | 19.58% | 80 | 1.56% | 3,034 | 59.28% | 5,118 |
| Breckinridge | 7,882 | 78.44% | 2,038 | 20.28% | 128 | 1.28% | 5,844 | 58.16% | 10,048 |
| Bullitt | 32,299 | 74.75% | 10,280 | 23.79% | 630 | 1.46% | 22,019 | 50.96% | 43,209 |
| Butler | 4,905 | 82.53% | 965 | 16.24% | 73 | 1.23% | 3,940 | 66.29% | 5,943 |
| Caldwell | 4,860 | 78.54% | 1,256 | 20.30% | 72 | 1.16% | 3,604 | 58.24% | 6,188 |
| Calloway | 11,539 | 68.10% | 5,111 | 30.16% | 295 | 1.74% | 6,428 | 37.94% | 16,945 |
| Campbell | 28,450 | 58.86% | 18,952 | 39.21% | 932 | 1.93% | 9,498 | 19.65% | 48,334 |
| Carlisle | 2,182 | 83.60% | 408 | 15.63% | 20 | 0.77% | 1,774 | 67.97% | 2,610 |
| Carroll | 3,014 | 74.88% | 963 | 23.93% | 48 | 1.19% | 2,051 | 50.95% | 4,025 |
| Carter | 8,981 | 78.63% | 2,305 | 20.18% | 136 | 1.19% | 6,676 | 58.45% | 11,422 |
| Casey | 6,216 | 87.80% | 804 | 11.36% | 60 | 0.84% | 5,412 | 76.44% | 7,080 |
| Christian | 14,332 | 66.13% | 7,055 | 32.56% | 284 | 1.31% | 7,277 | 33.57% | 21,671 |
| Clark | 11,950 | 66.82% | 5,639 | 31.53% | 296 | 1.65% | 6,311 | 35.29% | 17,885 |
| Clay | 6,729 | 89.41% | 692 | 9.19% | 105 | 1.40% | 6,037 | 80.22% | 7,526 |
| Clinton | 4,276 | 87.43% | 549 | 11.22% | 66 | 1.35% | 3,727 | 76.21% | 4,891 |
| Crittenden | 3,349 | 83.52% | 608 | 15.16% | 53 | 1.32% | 2,741 | 68.36% | 4,010 |
| Cumberland | 2,922 | 84.89% | 483 | 14.03% | 37 | 1.08% | 2,439 | 70.86% | 3,442 |
| Daviess | 30,705 | 65.20% | 15,673 | 33.28% | 719 | 1.52% | 15,032 | 31.92% | 47,097 |
| Edmonson | 5,048 | 80.81% | 1,118 | 17.90% | 81 | 1.29% | 3,930 | 62.91% | 6,247 |
| Elliott | 2,335 | 80.13% | 532 | 18.26% | 47 | 1.61% | 1,803 | 61.87% | 2,914 |
| Estill | 5,091 | 80.94% | 1,114 | 17.71% | 85 | 1.35% | 3,977 | 63.23% | 6,290 |
| Fayette | 57,347 | 39.84% | 83,387 | 57.93% | 3,201 | 2.22% | -26,040 | -18.09% | 143,935 |
| Fleming | 5,578 | 79.69% | 1,334 | 19.06% | 88 | 1.25% | 4,244 | 60.63% | 7,000 |
| Floyd | 12,326 | 78.64% | 3,061 | 19.53% | 286 | 1.83% | 9,265 | 59.11% | 15,673 |
| Franklin | 13,246 | 51.41% | 11,996 | 46.56% | 521 | 2.03% | 1,250 | 4.85% | 25,763 |
| Fulton | 1,491 | 69.51% | 636 | 29.65% | 18 | 0.84% | 855 | 39.86% | 2,145 |
| Gallatin | 3,109 | 79.37% | 761 | 19.43% | 47 | 1.20% | 2,348 | 59.94% | 3,917 |
| Garrard | 7,086 | 79.47% | 1,719 | 19.28% | 112 | 1.25% | 5,367 | 60.19% | 8,917 |
| Grant | 9,372 | 81.72% | 1,944 | 16.95% | 153 | 1.33% | 7,428 | 64.77% | 11,469 |
| Graves | 13,378 | 80.21% | 3,105 | 18.62% | 195 | 1.17% | 10,273 | 61.59% | 16,678 |
| Grayson | 9,710 | 80.28% | 2,235 | 18.48% | 150 | 1.24% | 7,475 | 61.80% | 12,095 |
| Green | 5,033 | 85.93% | 782 | 13.35% | 42 | 0.72% | 4,251 | 72.58% | 5,857 |
| Greenup | 12,961 | 74.60% | 4,181 | 24.06% | 232 | 1.34% | 8,780 | 50.54% | 17,374 |
| Hancock | 3,375 | 72.85% | 1,173 | 25.32% | 85 | 1.83% | 2,202 | 47.53% | 4,633 |
| Hardin | 30,672 | 63.79% | 16,572 | 34.47% | 838 | 1.74% | 14,100 | 29.32% | 48,082 |
| Harlan | 9,109 | 87.69% | 1,199 | 11.54% | 80 | 0.77% | 7,910 | 76.15% | 10,388 |
| Harrison | 6,639 | 73.62% | 2,265 | 25.12% | 114 | 1.26% | 4,374 | 48.50% | 9,018 |
| Hart | 6,691 | 79.57% | 1,642 | 19.53% | 76 | 0.90% | 5,049 | 60.04% | 8,409 |
| Henderson | 12,592 | 63.96% | 6,837 | 34.73% | 259 | 1.31% | 5,755 | 29.23% | 19,688 |
| Henry | 6,093 | 75.46% | 1,857 | 23.00% | 124 | 1.54% | 4,236 | 52.46% | 8,074 |
| Hickman | 1,656 | 80.04% | 394 | 19.04% | 19 | 0.92% | 1,262 | 61.00% | 2,069 |
| Hopkins | 15,361 | 74.80% | 4,916 | 23.94% | 260 | 1.27% | 10,445 | 50.86% | 20,537 |
| Jackson | 5,358 | 90.14% | 506 | 8.51% | 80 | 1.35% | 4,852 | 81.63% | 5,944 |
| Jefferson | 144,553 | 40.64% | 203,070 | 57.09% | 8,099 | 2.27% | -58,517 | -16.45% | 355,722 |
| Jessamine | 17,854 | 66.91% | 8,303 | 31.11% | 528 | 1.98% | 9,551 | 35.80% | 26,685 |
| Johnson | 8,150 | 84.57% | 1,350 | 14.01% | 137 | 1.42% | 6,800 | 70.56% | 9,637 |
| Kenton | 48,444 | 59.63% | 30,859 | 37.98% | 1,938 | 2.39% | 17,585 | 21.65% | 81,241 |
| Knott | 4,732 | 78.67% | 1,181 | 19.63% | 102 | 1.70% | 3,551 | 59.04% | 6,015 |
| Knox | 11,178 | 84.82% | 1,821 | 13.82% | 180 | 1.36% | 9,357 | 71.00% | 13,179 |
| LaRue | 5,773 | 79.53% | 1,389 | 19.13% | 97 | 1.34% | 4,384 | 60.40% | 7,259 |
| Laurel | 23,516 | 84.17% | 4,037 | 14.45% | 385 | 1.38% | 19,479 | 69.72% | 27,938 |
| Lawrence | 5,464 | 83.12% | 1,044 | 15.88% | 66 | 1.00% | 4,420 | 67.24% | 6,574 |
| Lee | 2,227 | 82.63% | 406 | 15.06% | 62 | 2.31% | 1,821 | 67.57% | 2,695 |
| Leslie | 3,908 | 89.67% | 382 | 8.77% | 68 | 1.56% | 3,526 | 80.90% | 4,358 |
| Letcher | 6,848 | 81.22% | 1,457 | 17.28% | 126 | 1.49% | 5,391 | 63.94% | 8,431 |
| Lewis | 4,997 | 87.34% | 666 | 11.64% | 58 | 1.02% | 4,331 | 75.70% | 5,721 |
| Lincoln | 8,833 | 80.05% | 2,080 | 18.85% | 121 | 1.10% | 6,753 | 61.20% | 11,034 |
| Livingston | 4,021 | 80.87% | 886 | 17.82% | 65 | 1.31% | 3,135 | 63.05% | 4,972 |
| Logan | 9,620 | 76.89% | 2,734 | 21.85% | 157 | 1.26% | 6,886 | 55.04% | 12,511 |
| Lyon | 3,187 | 76.12% | 950 | 22.69% | 50 | 1.19% | 2,237 | 53.43% | 4,187 |
| McCracken | 21,349 | 66.83% | 10,191 | 31.90% | 407 | 1.27% | 11,158 | 34.93% | 31,947 |
| McCreary | 5,531 | 89.04% | 641 | 10.32% | 40 | 0.64% | 4,890 | 78.72% | 6,212 |
| McLean | 3,578 | 77.21% | 989 | 21.34% | 67 | 1.45% | 2,589 | 55.87% | 4,634 |
| Madison | 29,130 | 64.26% | 15,180 | 33.49% | 1,019 | 2.25% | 13,950 | 30.77% | 45,329 |
| Magoffin | 4,288 | 81.18% | 909 | 17.21% | 85 | 1.61% | 3,379 | 63.97% | 5,282 |
| Marion | 6,473 | 71.12% | 2,513 | 27.61% | 116 | 1.27% | 3,960 | 43.51% | 9,102 |
| Marshall | 13,677 | 77.70% | 3,700 | 21.02% | 225 | 1.28% | 9,977 | 56.68% | 17,602 |
| Martin | 3,343 | 91.39% | 287 | 7.85% | 28 | 0.76% | 3,056 | 83.54% | 3,658 |
| Mason | 5,621 | 71.14% | 2,170 | 27.46% | 110 | 1.40% | 3,451 | 43.68% | 7,901 |
| Meade | 10,630 | 75.27% | 3,279 | 23.22% | 214 | 1.51% | 7,351 | 52.05% | 14,123 |
| Menifee | 2,563 | 77.67% | 664 | 20.12% | 73 | 2.21% | 1,899 | 57.55% | 3,300 |
| Mercer | 8,826 | 74.47% | 2,838 | 23.95% | 187 | 1.58% | 5,988 | 50.52% | 11,851 |
| Metcalfe | 4,197 | 81.86% | 884 | 17.24% | 46 | 0.90% | 3,313 | 64.62% | 5,127 |
| Monroe | 4,679 | 88.15% | 576 | 10.85% | 53 | 1.00% | 4,103 | 77.30% | 5,308 |
| Montgomery | 9,302 | 72.55% | 3,329 | 25.97% | 190 | 1.48% | 5,973 | 46.58% | 12,821 |
| Morgan | 4,353 | 80.94% | 939 | 17.46% | 86 | 1.60% | 3,414 | 63.48% | 5,378 |
| Muhlenberg | 10,491 | 76.62% | 3,048 | 22.26% | 153 | 1.12% | 7,443 | 54.36% | 13,692 |
| Nelson | 16,052 | 70.24% | 6,515 | 28.51% | 285 | 1.25% | 9,537 | 41.73% | 22,852 |
| Nicholas | 2,451 | 73.85% | 824 | 24.83% | 44 | 1.32% | 1,627 | 49.02% | 3,319 |
| Ohio | 8,679 | 79.35% | 2,094 | 19.15% | 164 | 1.50% | 6,585 | 60.20% | 10,937 |
| Oldham | 23,025 | 60.26% | 14,402 | 37.69% | 783 | 2.05% | 8,623 | 22.57% | 38,210 |
| Owen | 4,434 | 80.62% | 988 | 17.96% | 78 | 1.42% | 3,446 | 62.66% | 5,500 |
| Owsley | 1,625 | 88.36% | 203 | 11.04% | 11 | 0.60% | 1,422 | 77.32% | 1,839 |
| Pendleton | 5,593 | 81.06% | 1,210 | 17.54% | 97 | 1.40% | 4,383 | 63.52% | 6,900 |
| Perry | 7,913 | 79.19% | 1,966 | 19.68% | 113 | 1.13% | 5,947 | 59.51% | 9,992 |
| Pike | 19,684 | 82.19% | 4,025 | 16.81% | 241 | 1.00% | 15,659 | 65.38% | 23,950 |
| Powell | 4,092 | 76.22% | 1,174 | 21.87% | 103 | 1.91% | 2,918 | 54.35% | 5,369 |
| Pulaski | 26,051 | 82.09% | 5,351 | 16.86% | 333 | 1.05% | 20,700 | 65.23% | 31,735 |
| Robertson | 915 | 79.98% | 215 | 18.79% | 14 | 1.23% | 700 | 61.19% | 1,144 |
| Rockcastle | 6,635 | 85.76% | 986 | 12.74% | 116 | 1.50% | 5,649 | 73.02% | 7,737 |
| Rowan | 6,224 | 63.04% | 3,484 | 35.29% | 165 | 1.67% | 2,740 | 27.75% | 9,873 |
| Russell | 7,622 | 85.71% | 1,200 | 13.49% | 71 | 0.80% | 6,422 | 72.22% | 8,893 |
| Scott | 18,747 | 62.97% | 10,501 | 35.27% | 521 | 1.76% | 8,246 | 27.70% | 29,769 |
| Shelby | 16,356 | 66.43% | 7,822 | 31.77% | 442 | 1.80% | 8,534 | 34.66% | 24,620 |
| Simpson | 6,253 | 71.25% | 2,403 | 27.38% | 120 | 1.37% | 3,850 | 43.87% | 8,776 |
| Spencer | 8,927 | 77.76% | 2,415 | 21.04% | 138 | 1.20% | 6,512 | 56.72% | 11,480 |
| Taylor | 9,523 | 77.67% | 2,576 | 21.01% | 162 | 1.32% | 6,947 | 56.66% | 12,261 |
| Todd | 4,009 | 78.42% | 1,051 | 20.56% | 52 | 1.02% | 2,958 | 57.86% | 5,112 |
| Trigg | 5,436 | 75.54% | 1,667 | 23.17% | 93 | 1.29% | 3,769 | 52.37% | 7,196 |
| Trimble | 3,283 | 77.27% | 923 | 21.72% | 43 | 1.01% | 2,360 | 55.55% | 4,249 |
| Union | 4,758 | 78.54% | 1,225 | 20.22% | 75 | 1.24% | 3,533 | 58.32% | 6,058 |
| Warren | 34,862 | 61.28% | 21,065 | 37.03% | 964 | 1.69% | 13,797 | 24.25% | 56,891 |
| Washington | 4,720 | 74.44% | 1,533 | 24.18% | 88 | 1.38% | 3,187 | 50.26% | 6,341 |
| Wayne | 7,203 | 82.48% | 1,444 | 16.53% | 86 | 0.99% | 5,759 | 65.95% | 8,733 |
| Webster | 4,339 | 78.10% | 1,153 | 20.75% | 64 | 1.15% | 3,186 | 57.35% | 5,556 |
| Whitley | 12,687 | 84.16% | 2,237 | 14.84% | 151 | 1.00% | 10,450 | 69.32% | 15,075 |
| Wolfe | 2,163 | 74.10% | 689 | 23.60% | 67 | 2.30% | 1,474 | 50.50% | 2,919 |
| Woodford | 8,419 | 56.15% | 6,282 | 41.90% | 292 | 1.95% | 2,137 | 14.25% | 14,993 |
| Totals | 1,337,494 | 64.47% | 704,043 | 33.94% | 32,993 | 1.59% | 633,451 | 30.53% | 2,074,530 |

Trump won five of six congressional districts.[22]
| District | Trump | Harris | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 72.99% | 25.71% | James Comer |
| 2nd | 69.92% | 28.61% | Brett Guthrie |
| 3rd | 39.62% | 58.53% | Morgan McGarvey |
| 4th | 66.91% | 31.37% | Thomas Massie |
| 5th | 81.33% | 17.45% | Hal Rogers |
| 6th | 56.54% | 41.52% | Andy Barr |
ASouthern state completely in theBible Belt, Republicans have won Kentucky by double digits since2000. The state last voted Democratic for fellow SouthernerBill Clinton in1996.
Kentucky handed RepublicanDonald Trump a decisive victory, doing so by a margin of 633,451 votes. This election marks the fourth consecutive cycle in which a presidential candidate secured over 60% of the Kentuckian vote. Notably, Trump improved his margins in every county and gained significant support across all demographics, performing better insuburban,rural, andurban areas.[23]
Trump notably expanded his support in Kentucky'sCumberland Plateau region, theFrankfort micropolitan area, andWarren County, home toBowling Green.
InElliott County, Trump received 80% of the vote, the highest vote share in its history. In 2004, Elliott County had given Democratic nomineeJohn Kerry 70% of the vote, despite Kerry and Harris winning 48.3% of the national popular vote. Trump is the first Republican to have ever won Elliott County in presidential elections.
In Warren County, Trump received 61.3% of the vote, marking the strongest Republican performance in a presidential election sinceGeorge W. Bush in2004. Additionally, Trump regained some ground in the Democratic strongholds ofJefferson andFayette counties.
Partisan clients