2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska United States House of Representatives Majority party Minority party Party Republican Democratic Last election 3 0 Seats won 3 0 Seat change Popular vote 591,238 338,154 Percentage 63.62% 36.38% Swing
District results County results Republican
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%
Democratic
50–60%
The2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the threeU.S. representatives from theState ofNebraska , one from each of the state'scongressional districts . The elections coincided with the2024 U.S. presidential election , as well asother elections to the House of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate , and variousstate and local elections . The Primary elections were held on May 14, 2024.
The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surroundingOmaha and its suburbs, taking inLincoln ,Bellevue ,Fremont , andNorfolk . The incumbent is RepublicanMike Flood , who was re-elected with 57.9% of the vote in 2022.[ 1]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Michael Connely, education advisor and candidate for governor in2022 [ 3] Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Michael Connely (R) $0 $0 $0 Mike Flood (R) $1,279,065 $928,355 $357,582 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 9]
Carol Blood
State legislators
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Labor unions
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Carol Blood (D) $36,076 $20,647 $15,428 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 9]
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ a] Margin Mike Carol Other Undecided YouGov [ 20] [ A] October 21–28, 2024 406 (LV) – 53% 39% 1%[ b] 7%
The 2nd district covers theOmaha metropolitan area , including all ofDouglas County , home to the city ofOmaha ,Saunders County , and suburban parts of northernSarpy County , includingLa Vista andPapillon . The incumbent is RepublicanDon Bacon , who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.[ 1]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Michael Connely, education advisor and candidate for governor in2022 (endorsed Frei, switched to the 1st district) [ 3] Robert Anthony, real estate broker(endorsed Frei) [ 24] Don Bacon
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
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Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Don Bacon (R) $3,465,982 $1,929,712 $1,727,525 Dan Frei (R) $125,759 $84,491 $41,268 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 41]
Tony Vargas
Statewide officials
Organizations
Labor unions
Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Tony Vargas (D) $2,407,207 $819,341 $1,641,255 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 41]
2024 Nebraska 2nd congressional district debates and forums No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn Bacon Vargas 1[ 60] October 4, 2024 WOWT Brian Mastre [ 61] P P 2[ 62] October 8, 2024 Nebraska Public Media Aaron Sanderford [ 63] P P 3[ 64] October 13, 2024 KETV Rob McCartney [ 65] P P
Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report [ 15] Lean D(flip) November 1, 2024 Inside Elections [ 16] Tilt D(flip) October 10, 2024 Sabato's Crystal Ball [ 17] Lean D(flip) September 30, 2024 Elections Daily [ 18] Lean D(flip) October 10, 2024 CNalysis [ 19] Tilt D(flip) October 7, 2024 Roll Call [ 66] Tilt D(flip) October 15, 2024 Fox News [ 67] Tossup September 25, 2024 DDHQ [ 68] Lean D(flip) November 4, 2024 FiveThirtyEight [ 69] Lean D(flip) October 8, 2024 The Economist [ 70] Lean D(flip) October 10, 2024
Aggregate polls
Source of poll Dates Dates Don Tony Undecided[ c] Margin The Hill /DDHQ [ 71] through October 28, 2024 October 30, 2024 44.9% 50.2% 4.9% Vargas +5.3%
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ a] Margin Don Tony Other Undecided YouGov [ 20] [ A] October 21–28, 2024 389 (LV) ± 6.2% 46% 50% 1%[ b] 3% The New York Times /Siena College [ 72] September 24–26, 2024 663 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 49% – 6% 663 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 48% – 8% CNN /SSRS[ 73] September 20–25, 2024 749 (RV) ± 4.0% 44% 50% 6%[ d] – September 19–23, 2024 Republican efforts to moveNebraska to awinner-take-all electoral vote system forPresident [ 74] [ 75] Change Research (D)[ 76] [ B] September 16–23, 2024 548 (LV) – 41% 49% – 10% Global Strategy Group (D)[ 77] [ C] September 9–13, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 49% – 6% SurveyUSA [ 78] [ D] August 23–27, 2024 507 (RV) ± 5.6% 40% 46% – 14% Change Research (D)[ 79] [ B] August 10–17, 2024 2,429 (V) ± 2.2% 43% 48% – 9% Remington Research Group (R)[ 81] August 14–17, 2024 656 (LV) ± 3.8% 46% 44% – 10% GQR (D)[ 82] [ E] July 16–21, 2024 400 (LV) – 45% 49% – 6% July 21, 2024 Joe Bidenwithdraws from the presidential race Torchlight Strategies (R)[ 83] [ F] July 8–11, 2024 300 (LV) ± 6.3% 46% 43% – 11% Global Strategy Group (D)[ 84] [ C] June 25–30, 2024 700 (LV) ± 4.4% 44% 46% – 9% Global Strategy Group (D)[ 85] [ C] February 20–25, 2024 500 (A) ± 4.4% 43% 46% – 11%
Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Don Bacon (R) $5,630,302 $3,638,458 $2,006,079 Tony Vargas (D) $6,189,421 $4,718,757 $1,524,052 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 41]
The 3rd district covers most of the rural central and western part of the state, and includesGrand Island ,Kearney ,Hastings ,North Platte ,Alliance , andScottsbluff . The incumbent is RepublicanAdrian Smith , who was re-elected with 78.3% of the vote in 2022.[ 1]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ] Robert McCuiston, former mayor ofTamora [ 87] John Walz, mechanical engineer[ 88] Campaign finance reports as of April 24, 2024 Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand Adrian Smith (R) $1,236,502 $945,970 $1,205,069 John Walz (R) $19,932 $18,380 $1,570 Source:Federal Election Commission [ 90]
Primary results by county: 50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
Daniel Ebers, hotel manager[ 87] Eliminated in primary [ edit ] David Else, farmer and nominee for this district in2022 [ 87] Primary results by county: Tie
Democratic primary results[ 10] Party Candidate Votes % Democratic Daniel Ebers 7,841 52.9 Democratic David Else 6,982 47.1 Total votes 14,823 100.0
Poll source Date(s) Sample[ a] Margin Adrian Daniel Other Undecided YouGov [ 20] [ A] October 21–28, 2024 404 (LV) – 68% 22% 2%[ e] 8%
^a b c Key: ^a b "Someone else" with 1% ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined. ^ "Neither" with 4%; "Other" with 2% ^ "Someone else" with 2% Partisan clients
^a b c Poll sponsored byThe Economist ^a b Poll sponsored by Future Majority PAC, a Democratic group[ 80] ^a b c Poll sponsored by Vargas's campaign ^ Poll sponsored bySplit Ticket ^ Poll sponsored by House Majority PAC, a Democratic group ^ Poll sponsored by the campaign of U.S. SenatorDeb Fischer , who has endorsed Bacon ^a b c "2022 National House Vote Tracker" .Cook Political Report . RetrievedDecember 29, 2023 .^ Stoddard, Martha (January 24, 2024)."Republican Mike Flood files for reelection to 1st District congressional seat" .Omaha World-Herald . RetrievedJanuary 25, 2024 . ^a b Sanderford, Aaron (March 1, 2024)."Republican challenger switches House races to clear NE02 GOP primary field for Bacon vs. Frei" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedMarch 4, 2024 . ^a b c "- AIPAC Political Portal" .candidates.aipacpac.org . RetrievedMay 13, 2024 .^a b c NRA-PVF."NRA-PVF | Grades | Nebraska" .NRA-PVF . RetrievedMay 6, 2024 . ^a b c "Nebraska Endorsements" .www.nrlvictoryfund.org . National Right to Life Victory Fund. RetrievedJuly 18, 2024 .^ "Mike Flood Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement for First Congressional District" .KRVN 880 – KRVN 93.1 – KAMI . February 18, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 18, 2024 .^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. Mike Flood for Nebraska's 1st Congressional District" .U.S. Chamber of Commerce . August 21, 2024.^a b "2024 Election United States House – Nebraska 1st" .fec.gov .Federal Election Commission . RetrievedMay 3, 2024 .^a b c d e f "Unofficial Results: Primary Election – May 14, 2024" .Secretary of State of Nebraska . RetrievedMay 16, 2024 .^ Sanderford, Aaron (January 23, 2024)."Nebraska State Sen. Carol Blood poised to run against Rep. Mike Flood for Congress" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedJanuary 23, 2024 . ^ Wegley, Andrew (January 27, 2024)."Carol Blood declares 'it's about time for a win' as she launches run for Congress" .JournalStar.com . The Lincoln Journal Star. ^ "Vote Mama PAC | Candidates" .Vote Mama PAC . RetrievedMarch 12, 2024 .^ "Our Recommended Candidates" .Education Votes . RetrievedMay 13, 2024 .^a b c "2024 CPR House Race Ratings" .Cook Political Report . RetrievedApril 19, 2024 .^a b c "House Ratings" .Inside Elections . RetrievedApril 20, 2024 .^a b c "Initial House Ratings: Battle for Majority Starts as a Toss-up" .Sabato's Crystal Ball . February 23, 2023. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2023 .^a b c "Election Ratings" .Elections Daily . September 13, 2023. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2023 .^a b c "2024 House Forecast" . November 20, 2023. RetrievedDecember 29, 2023 .^a b c "Economist Poll – October 21–28, 2024" (PDF) .The Economist . October 30, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^a b c "Official Results" (PDF) .Nebraska Secretary of State . RetrievedDecember 3, 2024 .^ Frisk, Garrett (July 21, 2023)."We Asked Every Member of the House if They're Running in 2024. Here's What They Said" .Diamond Eye Candidate Report . RetrievedJuly 21, 2023 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (January 21, 2024)."Dan Frei makes it official, files to challenge Rep. Don Bacon in 2nd District" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedJanuary 21, 2024 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (January 5, 2024)."U.S. Rep. Don Bacon likely to face a challenger on his right" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedJanuary 5, 2023 . ^ Staff, Bolton PAC (February 27, 2024)."Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Don Bacon for U.S. House of Representatives in Nebraska's Second District" .John Bolton PAC . RetrievedFebruary 28, 2024 . ^ Carney, Jordain (October 28, 2024)."A vulnerable House Republican's delicate dance with Trump" .Politico . RetrievedOctober 29, 2024 . ^a b c Alfaro, Mariana; Caldwell, Leigh Ann (May 14, 2024)."Nebraska GOP congressman survives primary challenge from the right" .The Washington Post . RetrievedJuly 19, 2024 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (December 19, 2023)."House Speaker Mike Johnson visits Omaha, endorses Rep. Don Bacon" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedDecember 19, 2023 . ^a b Sanderford, Aaron (April 23, 2024)."Bacon pushes back on county GOP endorsement talk with some of his own" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedMay 16, 2024 . ^ Wegley, Andrew (February 1, 2024)."In break with Nebraska GOP, group of Republican state senators endorse federal incumbents" .JournalStar.com . RetrievedFebruary 2, 2024 . ^ "Don Bacon picks up Jean Stothert's endorsement" .^ "Democrat Ann Ashford endorses GOP U.S. Rep. Don Bacon in 2nd District" . September 30, 2024.^ "BIPAC Action Fund Releases Second Round of 2024 Endorsements" .bipacaction.com . RetrievedMay 13, 2024 .^ America, Pro Israel (January 9, 2024)."Pro-Israel America Re-Launches with New Mission, Leadership, and Endorsements" .Pro Israel America . RetrievedJanuary 31, 2024 . ^ "RJC Announces 11 House Endorsements" .Republican Jewish Coalition . RetrievedDecember 24, 2023 .^ "Endorsements" .With Honor Fund II . RetrievedMay 13, 2024 .^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. Don Bacon for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District" .U.S. Chamber of Commerce . August 21, 2024.^ "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election" .Association of Flight Attendants-CWA . RetrievedFebruary 23, 2024 .^ Sanderford, Aaron (November 27, 2023)."U.S. Rep. Don Bacon gets expected Omaha police union endorsement, but early" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedNovember 28, 2023 . ^a b Sanderford, Aaron (January 27, 2024)."Nebraska GOP fight with delegation spills over into its endorsements" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedJanuary 28, 2024 . ^a b c "2024 Election United States House – Nebraska 2nd" .fec.gov .Federal Election Commission . RetrievedOctober 17, 2024 .^ Sanderford, Aaron (July 5, 2023)."State Sen. Tony Vargas announces 2024 run at Rep. Don Bacon in Nebraska's 2nd District" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedJuly 5, 2023 . ^ "Fight Like Hell PAC" .Fight Like Hell PAC . RetrievedSeptember 30, 2024 .^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Tony Vargas in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District" .www.boldpac.com . July 5, 2023. RetrievedJuly 5, 2023 .^ "Democrats launch their first slate of challengers in the fight for the House majority" .NBC News . January 29, 2024. RetrievedJanuary 29, 2024 .^ Schneider, Elena (February 8, 2024)."Pro-Israel group wades into several contested Democratic primaries" .Politico . RetrievedFebruary 8, 2024 . ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Slate of Congressional Candidates" .End Citizens United . February 22, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2024 .^ "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Announces New Round of Federal Endorsements" .Everytown for Gun Safety . September 26, 2024. RetrievedSeptember 27, 2024 .^ "Tony Vargas" .JStreetPAC . RetrievedAugust 13, 2023 .^ "Jewish Dems Endorse in Key House and Senate Races, Pledge Resources to Mobilize Jewish Voters" .Jewish Democratic Council of America . March 28, 2023.^ "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Tony Vargas for Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District" .Latino Victory . October 27, 2023. RetrievedOctober 27, 2023 .^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New U.S. House Endorsements" .League of Conservation Voters . Archived fromthe original on September 28, 2023. RetrievedSeptember 28, 2023 .^ "NewDem Action Fund Endorses Tony Vargas for Nebraska's Second Congressional District" .NewDem Action Fund . July 6, 2023. RetrievedJuly 6, 2023 .^ "New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024" .www.plannedparenthoodaction.org . RetrievedFebruary 15, 2024 .^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Slate of Challengers in Key U.S. House Districts" .Reproductive Freedom for All . March 13, 2024. RetrievedMarch 15, 2024 .^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action" .www.sierraclubindependentaction.org . RetrievedOctober 20, 2023 .^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama" .Swing Left ^ "Nebraska" .UAW Endorsements . RetrievedJune 14, 2024 .^ Senator Megan Hunt [@NebraskaMegan] (March 23, 2023)."This is very flattering, but I would never allow the Governor of Nebraska to appoint my replacement in the Legislature. There's no way I could do that to my district! But thanks so much for the encouragement — I'm right where I need to be. ❤️" (Tweet ). RetrievedMay 7, 2024 – viaTwitter . ^ "Don Bacon, Tony Vargas debate abortion ahead of 2024 Election" .WOWT . RetrievedOctober 8, 2024 .^ WOWT ^ "Bacon and Vargas join 2nd District debate on Nebraska Public Media" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedSeptember 18, 2024 .^ Nebraska Public Media ^ "KETV's Commitment 2024 to hold town hall and debate with candidates in October" .KETV .^ KETV ^ Gonzales, Nathan L. (October 15, 2024)."Rating Changes: 8 in the House, 2 in the Senate" .Roll Call . RetrievedOctober 15, 2024 . ^ Numa, Rémy (September 25, 2024)."Fox News Power Rankings: Harris ticks up and Senate Republicans take charge" .Fox News . RetrievedSeptember 28, 2024 . ^ Staff, DDHQ (September 28, 2024)."2024 House Forecast" .DDHQ . RetrievedSeptember 28, 2024 . ^ Morris, G. Elliott (October 10, 2024)."2024 House Forecast" .FiveThirtyEight . Archived fromthe original on December 27, 2024. RetrievedOctober 10, 2024 . ^ "The Economist's 2024 House Election forecast" .The Economist . RetrievedSeptember 10, 2024 .^ "Nebraska 2 House polls, Bacon vs. Vargas" .The Hill . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ "Toplines: September 2024 Times/Siena Poll of Nebraska's Second Congressional District" .The New York Times . September 28, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ "CNN Poll: Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina, while vice president leads in Nebraska's 2nd District" (PDF) .CNN . September 27, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ Zeleny, Jeff (September 21, 2024)."Trump presses to change Nebraska election law, in fight for a sole electoral vote | CNN Politics" .CNN . RetrievedSeptember 22, 2024 . ^ Weisman, Jonathan; Epstein, Reid J. (September 20, 2024)."How One Man's Vote in Nebraska Could Change the Presidential Election" .The New York Times . ^ Riddle, Mark (October 9, 2024)."The Playbook: A Look at Swing Congressional Districts and Black Voters Nationwide" (PDF) .Future Majority . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ "NEW POLL RESULTS: Tony Vargas leads in NE-02 race and has a clear path to victory in November, with effective campaign messaging helping to pave the way" .Politico . September 20, 2024. Archived fromthe original on September 26, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ "Results of SurveyUSA Mkt Research Study #27261" .SurveyUSA . August 30, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ Riddle, Mark (August 21, 2024)."Governing Landscape and Messaging" (PDF) .Future Majority . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ Severns, Maggie (April 29, 2019)."Top Dem strategists launch secret-money group to rebrand party" .Politico . RetrievedAugust 25, 2024 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (August 20, 2024)."Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ "MEMO: HMP Polling Shows Democrats Poised to Take Back the House" .House Majority PAC . September 12, 2024. RetrievedApril 15, 2025 .^ Sanderford, Aaron (July 19, 2024)."Fischer, Trump lead statewide in Fischer's new Nebraska poll" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (August 2, 2024)."Vargas leads Bacon in latest polling showing tight race in NE-02" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ Sanderford, Aaron (March 29, 2024)."Vargas poll shows another tight U.S. House race with Bacon in Nebraska's 2nd District" .Nebraska Examiner . RetrievedApril 15, 2025 . ^ Allen, Ashanti (January 9, 2024)."Adrian Smith files for re-election for Nebraska's Third Congressional District" .KNOP-TV . RetrievedJanuary 10, 2024 . ^a b c "Nebraska Statewide Candidate List" . Nebraska Secretary of State. January 5, 2024.^ "Hastings man running against Adrian Smith for congress" .KSNB-TV . RetrievedJanuary 9, 2023 .^ "Mike Flood Earns Nebraska Farm Bureau Endorsement for First Congressional District" .York's Max Country 104.9 . February 18, 2024. RetrievedFebruary 19, 2024 .^a b "2024 Election United States House – Nebraska 3rd" .fec.gov .Federal Election Commission . RetrievedMay 3, 2023 .Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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