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2023 Gibraltar general election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2023 Gibraltar general election

← 2019
12 October 2023
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All 17 seats in theGibraltar Parliament
9 seats needed for a majority
Turnout76.40% (Increase5.56pp)
 First partySecond party
 
LeaderFabian Picardo (GSLP)Keith Azopardi
PartyAllianceSocial Democrats
Last election52.50%, 10 seats[1]25.55%, 6 seats[1]
Seats won98
Seat changeDecrease1Increase 2
Popular vote89,94186,537
Percentage50.04%48.15%
SwingDecrease2.46ppIncrease22.6pp

Chief Minister before election

Fabian Picardo
Socialist Labour

Elected Chief Minister

Fabian Picardo
Socialist Labour

General elections were held in Gibraltar on 12 October 2023 to elect all 17 members of the fifthGibraltar Parliament.[2] This was the first election in Gibraltar's history to use an electronic voting count system. TheGSLP–Liberal Alliance narrowly secured a fourth term in office, though it saw its majority reduced to one seat, whilst the GSD became the sole opposition party, gaining two seats (one by unseating the Alliance's Minister of Business and TourismVijay Daryanani and taking one from the non-contesting party,Together Gibraltar, which had been held byMarlene Hassan-Nahon).

Background

[edit]

On 24 August 2020 it was announced that Government MP and Minister,Gilbert Licudi, would resign as Minister but remain as MP backbencher. Later, on 17 July 2023, he announced he would step down for re-election.

On 14 June 2023 it was announced thatTogether Gibraltar founder and leader and her party's sole MP,Marlene Hassan-Nahon (daughter of Gibraltar's first Mayor and Chief Minister,Joshua Hassan), would not stand for the elections and would leave politics by then.[3]

On 5 September 2023 ongoing negotiations between Together Gibraltar and the GSD to form an electoral pact were finally abandoned.[4]

On 13 September 2023 it was announced that GSD MP,Elliott Phillips, would not stand for re-election and thatRobert Vazquez will return as an independent MP candidate. On 15 September 2023 it was announced thatPaul Balban,Albert Isola andSamantha Sacramento, GSLP/Libs Government MPs and Ministers, would not stand for re-election.

On 16 September it was announced that GSD MP,Daniel Feetham, would not stand for re-election.

On 17 September the GSLP have announced their new four candidates for the elections:Hassans' Legal Partner and Head of Financial Services,Nigel Feetham KC (brother of outgoing GSD MP, Daniel Feetham and son of former GSLP MP and Minister from 1988 to 1996,Michael Feetham); former teacher andMiss Gibraltar 1974, Patricia Orfila; Director of the Gibraltar Academy of Music and Performing Arts (GAMPA) and formerMayor of Gibraltar,Christian Santos and Hassans' Legal Partner and Solicitor,Gemma Arias-Vasquez.

On 18 September it was announced thatTogether Gibraltar would not contest the election. Interim Leader,Nicky Calamaro, said it was because of lack of support from the voters since Marlene's departure, resulting on TG to restart itself as a pressure group to regain trust of the people, but he didn't rule out the possibility of being an independent candidate.[5]

On that same night the GSD announced their 6 new candidates with 3x women (TSN's Senior Law Associate and Barrister and GSD's executive member and 2019 election candidateJoelle Ladislaus; RGP's ((Royal Gibraltar Police)) Senior Compliance Officer, Head of Special Needs Action Group ((SNAG)) and GSD executive,Atrish Sanchez and inaugural former Vice-Chancellor and CEO ofUniversity of Gibraltar,Daniella Tilbury); 1x Moroccan born-Gibraltarian Muslim male and GSD executive and Future member (Youseff El Hana); GSD executive (Formerly Together Gibraltar executive member) and candidate of TG in 2019 (Craig Sacarello) and chairman of GSD Future and Isolas' Law Associate,Giovanni Origo. On 19 September, it was announced thatLiberal Party of Gibraltar MP and Minister,Steven Linares, would not stand for re-election, after 23 years of being an MP, and would be replaced by GHA's (Gibraltar Health Authority) Emergency Medical Technician,Leslie Bruzon of the same party.

On 14 September both businessmanAllan Asquez and retired teacherPatricia Orfila put their names forward for GSLP executives to consider them as candidates. Allan said he had been motivated by issues including social housing and secure employment, especially for people with learning difficulties. However, on 17 September, shortly before the candidate selection process, he announced that he had withdrawn his application and left the party. Speaking on the 'Gibraltar Today' section onGBC'sRadio Gibraltar, he alleged that he did what he did because the party's leader and Chief Minister,Fabian Picardo, had allegedly conveyed to him that he did not want Allan to be selected and told the executive members not to vote for him, arguing that it broke the democratic process selection. He also alleged that if the executive members voted for him, Fabian Picardo would step down as party leader and/or Chief Minister. He also allegedly stated that he was threatened by Picardo that he would seek him as a backbencher rather than a minister if elected into Government.

On 21 September GSD candidateYoussef El Hana apologised, on GBC's Viewpoint, to Gibraltar'sJewish community for 'offensive language' used on social media from 2018, regarding national and religious conflicts betweenPalestine andIsrael. Reacting to his apology, the Chair of the Charity,Learning from Auschwitz Gibraltar,Naomi Hassan-Weisfogel, said that he marched in the UK calling for the destruction of Israel in support of Palestine and that he had made these offensive posts for months, for which the march, Youseff denies.[6]

On 5 November 2024 Paul Balban revealed to GBC's City Pulse that he originally suggested to himself that he should contest the elections as an Independent candidate, in order to gauge his environmental policies, which had faced public backlash at the time he served his last term as Transport Minister.

Timing and procedure

[edit]

Under section 38(2) of theGibraltar Constitution Order 2006, the Parliament must bedissolved four years after its first meeting following the last election (unless theChief Minister advises theGovernor of Gibraltar to dissolve parliament sooner). Under section 37 of the Constitution,writs for a general election must be issued within thirty days of the dissolution and the general election must then be held no later than three months after the issuing of a writ.[7]

On 12 September 2023 Chief MinisterFabian Picardo formally asked Governor SirDavid Steel to dissolve parliament and an election to take place on 12 October 2023.[8]

Opinion polls

[edit]

Note: This wasPanaroma's last opinion polling article before they dissolved in April 2024.

Trend lines graph
Release datePublisher(s)Sample sizeGSLP/LibsGSDTGInd.Split
vote
Blank/
not used
Don't know/
undecided
LeadSource
12 October 2023GBC Exit Poll1,40348.8%

8

49.6%

9

1.6%0.8%[9]
10 October 2023[a]Panorama49.2%
9
48.7%
8
2.1%0.5%[10]
9 October 2023[b]GBC/Chronicle60049.9%
8
48.3%
9
1.8%9%1.6%[11]
5 October 2023[a]GBC/Chronicle60048.65
8
49.18%
9
2.17%18%[a]0.53%[12]
17 September 2023[c]GBC1,10021.64%23.72%2.98%12.26%8.03%31.38%2.08%[13]
  1. ^abcNo exact number of votes or sample size were mentioned in this particular poll or respective article. In this poll, the following candidates would not be elected (in the following order from higher to lower rankings):Giovanni Origo (GSD),Youssef El Hana (GSD),Vijay Daryanani (GSLP/Liberals), &Robert Vasquez (Independent)
  2. ^In these polls published by the joint GBC/Chronicle, the following candidates would not be elected:Joe Bossano (GSLP/Liberals),Vijay Daryanani (GSLP/Liberals),Youssef El Hana (GSD), &Robert Vasquez (Independent).
  3. ^Poll published prior to the official declaration of competing candidates

In the initial opinion poll by GBC (released on 17 September 2023), the issues likely to influence votes are reported as the following:[13]

  • Cost of Living (47.79%),
  • Health Care (45%),
  • EU Treaty (33.63%),
  • Economy (32.91%),
  • Housing (31.2%),
  • Cleanliness (24.17%),
  • Public Services (19.3%),
  • Family Life (17.58%),
  • Climate Change (17.13%),
  • Crime (15.06%),
  • Foreign Policy (14.79%),
  • Transport (12.62%),
  • McGrail Inquiry (12.26%),
  • Development (10.64%),
  • Diversity & Inclusion (4.24%)

Incumbent members (from 2019)

[edit]
CandidatePartyParliamentary role(s)Seeking re-election?
Fabian Picardo (since2003)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Chief Minister (since December 2011)
Leader of GSLP & Alliance (since April 2011)
Yes
Joseph Garcia (since 1999)[a]GSLP–Liberal Alliance (LPG)Deputy Chief Minister (since 2011)
Leader of LPG (since 1992)
Yes
John Cortes (since2011)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Minister for the Environment, Sustainability and Climate ChangeYes
Albert Isola (since 2013)[b]GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Minister for Digital and Financial ServicesNo
Joseph Bossano (since1972)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP) (since1980)Minister for Economic Development, Enterprise, Telecommunications and the Gibraltar Savings Bank
Founder & previous leader of GSLP (1980–2011)
Former leader of Alliance (2000–2011)
Yes
Gilbert Licudi (since2007)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Minister for Education, Employment, Utilities and the Port (2019–2020)
Backbencher (since 2020)
No
Steven Linares (since2000)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (LPG)Minister for Housing, Youth and SportNo
Paul Balban (since 2011)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Minister for Health and CareNo
Samantha Sacramento (since 2011)GSLP–Liberal Alliance (GSLP)Minister for Justice, Multiculturalism, Equality and Community AffairsNo
Vijay DaryananiGSLP–Liberal Alliance (LPG)Minister for Business, Tourism and TransportYes
Marlene Hassan-Nahon (since2015)Together Gibraltar (since2019)Opposition MP forTogether Gibraltar
Founder and former leader of TG (2017–June 2023)
No
Damon Bossino (2011–2015; since 2019)Gibraltar Social DemocratsShadow Minister for Housing, Lands & TransportYes
Daniel Feetham (since 2007)Gibraltar Social DemocratsShadow Minister for Care, Opportunity & Justice
Previous Leader of GSD and Opposition (2011–2017)
No
Keith Azopardi (1996–2003; since 2019)Gibraltar Social DemocratsLeader of the Opposition (since 2017)
Leader of GSD (since 2017)
Yes
Roy Clinton (since 2015)Gibraltar Social DemocratsDeputy Leader of the Opposition & Shadow Minister for Finance & Value for Money
Former Interim Leader of GSD and Opposition (2017)
Yes
Elliott Phillips (since 2015)Gibraltar Social DemocratsShadow Minister for Environment, Transport & HealthNo
Edwin Reyes (since 2007)Gibraltar Social DemocratsShadow Minister for Education, Employment, Culture & SportYes
Source:Parliament of Gibraltar

Parties and candidates

[edit]
Party or allianceIdeologyCurrent SeatsSloganElection Logo
GSLP/Libs AllianceSocial Democracy,Social Liberalism10"Keep GibraltarSafe"
GSDLiberal Conservatism,British Unionism6"Make The Change For A Bright Future"
Robert Vasquez (Independent)Social DemocracyN/A"Vote Vasquez GetFACTS (Fairness,Accountability,Community,Transparency,Stability)"

Results

[edit]
Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
AllianceGibraltar Socialist Labour Party63,70035.4470
Liberal Party of Gibraltar26,24114.602–1
Total89,94150.049–1
Gibraltar Social Democrats86,53748.158+2
Ind. Robert Vasquez3,2621.8100
Total179,740100.00170
Valid votes18,78497.55
Invalid/blank votes4722.45
Total votes19,256100.00
Registered voters/turnout25,20076.41
Source:Parliament,Chronicle

By candidate

[edit]
CandidatePartyAllianceVotesNotes
Joseph GarciaLPGGSLP–Liberal Alliance9,852Elected
Fabian PicardoGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance9,844Elected
Keith AzopardiGSD-9,607Elected
Damon BossinoGSD-9,602Elected
Nigel FeethamGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance9,298Elected
Gemma Arias-VasquezGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance9,280Elected
John CortesGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance9,256Elected
Roy ClintonGSD-9,250Elected
Craig SacarelloGSD-9,068Elected
Christian SantosGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance8,947Elected
Patricia OrfilaGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance8,729Elected
Edwin ReyesGSD-8,680Elected
Joelle LadislausGSD-8,601Elected
Leslie BruzonLPGGSLP–Liberal Alliance8,457Elected
Joseph BossanoGSLPGSLP–Liberal Alliance8,346Elected
Giovanni OrigoGSD-8,314Elected
Atrish SanchezGSD-8,258Elected
Daniella TilburyGSD-8,074
Vijay DaryananiLPGGSLP–Liberal Alliance7,932Unseated
Youseff El HanaGSD-7,083
Robert VasquezIndependent-3,262
Source:Parliament,Chronicle

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^Elected in 1999 by-election after the death of elected GSLP MP and Shadow Minister & former Mayor of Gibraltar, Robert Mor
  2. ^Elected in2013 by-election after the death of elected MP and Minister for Housing and the Elderly,Charles Bruzon.

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"2019 election results"(PDF). Gibraltar Parliament. 17 October 2019. Retrieved18 October 2019.
  2. ^"General Election called for 12th October".GBC. 12 September 2023.
  3. ^"Marlene Hassan Nahon will not contest the next general election".www.gbc.gi. 14 June 2023. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  4. ^Reyes, Brian (5 September 2023)."TG to present slate at election after GSD rules out alliance".The Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  5. ^GBC News.Together Gibraltar will not contest general election. Retrieved 18 September 2023.
  6. ^GSD election candidate Youssef El Hana apologises to Gibraltar’s Jewish community for 'offensive language' - Learning from Auschwitz Chair calls his position dangerous & extreme,Gibraltar Broadcasting Corporation, 21 September 2023
  7. ^"Official text of the Gibraltar Constitution Order 2006"(PDF). gibraltarlaws.gov.gi. 14 December 2006. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 15 November 2012. Retrieved18 December 2015.
  8. ^Peralta, Gabriella (12 September 2023)."Picardo puts Brexit centre stage as Gibraltar heads to polls on October 12 after 'toughest four years'". Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved20 September 2023.
  9. ^Peralta, Gabriella (12 October 2023)."GBC exit poll tips thin 0.8% lead for GSD".The Gibraltar Chronicle. Retrieved12 October 2023.
  10. ^"Las elecciones están demasiado reñidas para una predicción exacta: el sondeo da una ajustada victoria a los GSLP/Liberales – A056" (in Spanish). 10 October 2023. Retrieved10 October 2023.
  11. ^"Latest poll: GSLP-Liberals to win on votes but fail to make it to government". Retrieved10 October 2023.
  12. ^"Latest poll: GSD to win election with knife-edge margin of 0.5% and would govern with nine MPs not 10". Retrieved10 October 2023.
  13. ^abGBC News.GBC Election Poll: Narrow lead for GSD but huge undecided vote holds balance of power. Retrieved 10 October 2023.
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