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2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election

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For broader coverage of this topic, seeTexas's 6th congressional district.
Texas's 6th congressional district special election

← 2020
May 1, 2021 (first round)[1]
July 27, 2021 (runoff)
2022 →

Texas's 6th congressional district
Turnout16.05% (first round)
7.93% (runoff)[2]
 
CandidateJake EllzeySusan WrightJana Sanchez
PartyRepublicanRepublicanDemocratic
First round10,865
13.85%
15,077
19.21%
10,518
13.40%
Runoff20,837
53.27%
18,279
46.73%
Eliminated

 
CandidateBrian HarrisonShawn LassiterJohn Anthony Castro
PartyRepublicanDemocraticRepublican
First round8,485
10.81%
6,973
8.89%
4,321
5.51%
RunoffEliminatedEliminatedEliminated

 
CandidateTammy Allison Holloway
PartyDemocratic
First round4,240
5.40%
RunoffEliminated

First round county results
Runoff county results
Ellzey:     20–30%     50–60%
Wright:     10–20%     20–30%     50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Ron Wright
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Jake Ellzey
Republican

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The2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election was held on May 1, 2021. The seat became vacant after incumbentRepublicanRon Wright died on February 7 ofCOVID-19.

Ron Wright's widow,Susan Wright fromArlington, who was endorsed by former presidentDonald Trump,[3] andJake Ellzey (who lost the Republican primary for this seat to Ron Wright in 2018) ofWaxahachie, who served as a member of theTexas House of Representatives starting on January 12, advanced to the runoff.[4] Ellzey finished ahead ofDemocrat Jana Lynne Sanchez ofFort Worth for the second place by just 354 votes.[5][6] Sanchez conceded defeat to Ellzey the day after the election.[7] The district was a Republican hold due to two Republicans advancing to the runoff.

The special election was expected to be competitive, due to the district trending Democratic in recent years and itssuburban nature.[8] Anonpartisan blanket primary took place, in which all candidates were listed on the same ballot. Since no candidate had received over 50 percent of the vote, the race proceeded to a runoff between the top two candidates in the first round,[9] resulting in two Republicans advancing to the runoff.[7] The runoff took place on July 27.[10] Ellzey won the runoff election, earning 53.3% to Wright's 46.7%.[11]

Candidates

[edit]

Republican Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Filed paperwork

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Democratic Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Phil Gray, property manager[15]

Independent

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Adrian Mizher, banker[15]

Endorsements

[edit]
Lydia Bean (D)

Organizations

Jake Ellzey (R)

Federal Officials

Sery Kim (R)

Federal Officials

Individuals

Shawn Lassiter (D)

Organizations

Dan Rodimer (R)

Federal Officials

Jana Sanchez (D)

Organizations

Michael Wood (R)

Federal Officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Susan Wright (R)

Executive Branch Officials

Federal Officials

State Legislators

Other Individuals

Organizations

Primary

[edit]

Polling

[edit]

Graphical summary

[edit]
This graph was using thelegacy Graph extension, which is no longer supported. It needs to be converted to thenew Chart extension.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
(D) Tammy Allison
(R) Michael Ballantine
(D) Lydia Bean
(R) John Castro
(D) Daryl Eddings
(R) Mike Egan
(R) Jake Ellzey
(L) Phil Gray
(R) Brian Harrison
(D) Matt Hinterlong
(R) Sery Kim
(D) Shawn Lassiter
(I) Adrian Mizher
(D) Patrick Moses
(R) Travis Rodermund
(R) Dan Rodimer
(D) Manuel Salazar
(D) Jana Sanchez
(R) Jennifer Sharon
(D) Brian Stephenson
(D) Chris Suprun
(R) Michael Wood
(R) Susan Wright
OtherUndecided
Data for Progress (D)[56][A]April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%9%13%10%10%2%16%22%2%14%
Global Strategy Group (D)[57][B]March 11–16, 2021500 (LV)± 4.4%6%8%6%4%2%1%9%18%45%
Victoria Research (D)[58][C]March 9–12, 2021450 (LV)± 4.6%5%8%1%3%3%2%17%21%3%39%

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[59]Lean RMarch 19, 2021
Inside Elections[60]Lean RApril 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[61]Likely RApril 15, 2021

Results

[edit]

Susan Wright came in first in the primary with 15,077 (19.2%) votes to Ellzey's 10,865 (13.8%) and Sanchez's 10,518 (13.4%). On Sunday, May 2, 2021, Sanchez conceded the race to Ellzey. Since no candidate received a majority, the top two candidates, Wright and Ellzey, proceeded to a runoff.

2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election[62]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanSusan Wright15,07719.21
RepublicanJake Ellzey10,86513.85
DemocraticJana Sanchez10,51813.40
RepublicanBrian Harrison8,48510.81
DemocraticShawn Lassiter6,9738.89
RepublicanJohn Anthony Castro4,3215.51
DemocraticTammy Allison Holloway4,2405.40
DemocraticLydia Bean2,9233.72
RepublicanMichael Wood2,5093.20
RepublicanMichael Ballantine2,2252.84
RepublicanDan Rodimer2,0882.66
DemocraticDaryl J. Eddings Sr.1,6542.11
RepublicanMike Egan1,5441.97
DemocraticPatrick Moses1,1891.52
DemocraticManuel R. Salazar III1,1201.43
RepublicanSery Kim8891.13
RepublicanTravis Rodermund4600.59
IndependentAdrian Mizher3510.45
DemocraticBrian K. Stephenson2710.35
LibertarianPhil Gray2650.34
DemocraticMatthew Hinterlong2520.32
RepublicanJennifer Garcia Sharon1500.19
DemocraticChris Suprun1020.13
Total votes78,471100.00

Runoff

[edit]

A runoff was held on July 27 betweenSusan Wright andJake Ellzey. In the campaign prior to the runoff, Wright relied heavily on Trump's endorsement in order to further her candidacy, but was considered to have run a poor campaign.[63] TheClub for Growth spent heavily in the runoff, buying US$1.2 million in advertisements that supported Wright and attacked Ellzey.[63] The heavily negative tone taken by the Club for Growth ads towards Ellzey frustrated many Republican officials, some of whom backed Ellzey in protest.[63] Ellzey's campaign also engaged in strategies that were suspected as being designed to appeal to Democrats, with him declaring himself a "champion ofpublic education" in text messages to Democratic-leaning potential voters, as well as noting that Wright was endorsed by former presidentDonald Trump.[63] Defending Main Street, aSuper PAC that was supporting Ellzey, targeted Democrats with advertisements, but Ellzey himself denied that he was specifically targeting Democrats, instead claiming that his statements were designed to be bipartisan.[63]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[64]Solid RJuly 9, 2021
Inside Elections[65]Solid RJune 18, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66]Safe RJuly 21, 2021

Endorsements

[edit]
Jake Ellzey (R)

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Representatives

Newspapers

Susan Wright (R)

Executive Branch Officials

U.S. Senators

U.S. Representatives

State Legislators

Other Individuals

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jake
Ellzey (R)
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)[77][D]July 19–21, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%44%34%12%
American Viewpoint (R)[78][D]June 1–3, 2021400 (LV)± 4.9%49%34%11%
Hypothetical polling

Susan Wright vs. Jana Sanchez

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jana
Sanchez (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[56][A]April 5–12, 2021344 (LV)± 5.0%53%43%5%

Results

[edit]
2021 Texas' 6th congressional district special election runoff[79]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJake Ellzey20,83753.27
RepublicanSusan Wright18,27946.73
Total votes39,116100.00
Republicanhold

By county

[edit]
County[2]Jake Ellzey
Republican
Susan Wright
Republican
MarginTotal votes
#%#%#%
Ellis6,78456.68%5,18543.32%1,59913.36%11,969
Navarro1,39843.87%1,78956.13%-391-12.27%3,187
Tarrant(part)12,65552.82%11,30547.18%1,3505.63%23,960
Totals20,83753.27%18,27946.73%2,5586.54%39,116

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by Way to Lead, Way To Win, and Boot Texas Republicans
  2. ^Poll sponsored by Lydia Bean's campaign
  3. ^Poll sponsored by Jana Sanchez's campaign
  4. ^abPoll sponsored by Wright's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Governor Abbott Sets Special Election Date For 6th Congressional District".Governor of Texas. February 23, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 23, 2021.
  2. ^ab"Texas Election Night Results".results.texas-election.com. July 27, 2021.
  3. ^abcDin, Benjamin (April 26, 2021)."Trump backs Susan Wright to replace her late husband in Texas' 6th District".Politico.
  4. ^"Texas Special Election Results: Sixth Congressional District".The New York Times. The New York Times. May 1, 2021. RetrievedMay 1, 2021.
  5. ^"Recount laws in Texas".Ballotpedia. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  6. ^Ethan Cohen, Adam Levy and Clare Foran (May 2, 2021)."Susan Wright advances to runoff in Texas' 6th District special election with tight race for second spot".CNN. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  7. ^abMutnick, Ally (May 2, 2021)."Dems get locked out of Texas special election".POLITICO. RetrievedMay 2, 2021.
  8. ^Zanona, Melanie (February 8, 2021)."GOP Rep. Ron Wright dies after Covid diagnosis".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2021.
  9. ^abcdDearman, Eleanor (February 8, 2021)."A special election will be held to fill Arlington Rep. Ron Wright's congressional seat".Fort Worth Star-Telegram. RetrievedFebruary 8, 2021.
  10. ^Dearman, Eleanor (May 12, 2021)."July date is set for Texas congressional runoff for Ron Wright's U.S. House seat".Fort Worth Star-Telegram. RetrievedMay 12, 2021.
  11. ^"Texas Special Runoff Election Results: Sixth Congressional District".The New York Times. July 27, 2021.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedJuly 28, 2021.
  12. ^"Crowded Field of Candidates Finalized for Texas' 6th Congressional District Special Election".The Texan. March 3, 2021.
  13. ^abcdefghDearman, Eleanor (February 11, 2021)."'Refrain from speculating' on Ron Wright's congressional seat, Tarrant sheriff says".Fort Worth Star-Telegram.Archived from the original on February 15, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 12, 2021.
  14. ^abcdDearman, Eleanor (February 16, 2021)."She gained ground in Texas' 6th district in 2018. She's running for Congress again".Fort Worth Star-Telegram. RetrievedFebruary 16, 2021.
  15. ^abcdefghijkSvitek, Patrick (March 4, 2021)."23 candidates join the race to replace late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright".The Texas Tribune.
  16. ^"FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1502073".Federal Election Commission.Archived from the original on February 26, 2021. RetrievedApril 30, 2021.
  17. ^Svitek, Patrick (April 20, 2021)."State Rep. Jake Ellzey faces mounting opposition from his right in special election to replace Ron Wright in Congress".The Texas Tribune. RetrievedApril 30, 2021.
  18. ^Cancryn, Adam (February 12, 2021)."Top Trump health aide mulls run for Congress".Politico. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2021.
  19. ^"FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1502220".docquery.fec.gov. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2021.
  20. ^Lippman, Daniel (February 25, 2021)."Former Trump SBA official Sery Kim to launch Texas special election run".POLITICO. RetrievedFebruary 27, 2021.
  21. ^"23's a Crowd: Candidates File to Replace U.S. Rep. Ron Wright".Texas Scorecard. March 4, 2021.
  22. ^abc"Candidates beginning to emerge in race to replace U.S. Rep. Ron Wright of Arlington".Dallas News. February 24, 2021. RetrievedMarch 1, 2021.
  23. ^Zilbermints, Regina (March 1, 2021)."Anti-Trump Republican will seek Texas seat".The Hill.
  24. ^Svitek, Patrick (February 22, 2021)."Susan Wright, GOP activist and wife of late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, moving toward campaign to replace him".The Texas Tribune. RetrievedApril 30, 2021.
  25. ^"Susan Wright, Widow of Congressman Ron Wright, Announces Run for Late Husband's Seat".The Texan. February 24, 2021.
  26. ^State Republican Executive Committee,The Republican Party of Texas,TexasGOP.org, Austin, Texas.
  27. ^Peterson, Kristina (July 27, 2021)."Texas Special Election Tests Trump's Influence in GOP".The Wall Street Journal.New York, New York. RetrievedJuly 27, 2021.
  28. ^Fearnow, Benjamin (February 22, 2021)."Katrina Pierson mulls House run, urges GOP to remove state lawmakers who certified Biden win".Newsweek. RetrievedFebruary 24, 2021.
  29. ^Zilbermints, Regina (February 28, 2021)."Ex-Trump aide Pierson planning run for Congress".The Hill.
  30. ^Axelrod, Tal (March 2, 2021)."Ex-Trump aide Pierson won't run for Dallas-area House seat".The Hill. RetrievedMarch 3, 2021.
  31. ^Patrick Svitek [@PatrickSvitek] (February 26, 2021).".@MannyRamirez_TX , president of @FWPOA , says he won't run for #TX06" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  32. ^abcdeSvitek, Patrick (February 25, 2021)."Race to replace late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright already crowded — with more candidates likely".The Texas Tribune. RetrievedFebruary 26, 2021.
  33. ^"Form 1 for Shawn Lassiter for Congress".Federal Election Commission.Archived from the original on February 19, 2021. RetrievedApril 30, 2021.
  34. ^Suprun, Christopher (December 5, 2016)."Opinion - Why I Will Not Cast My Electoral Vote for Donald Trump".The New York Times.
  35. ^"Democrats view Texas congressional special election with a mix of optimism and caution after disappointing 2020".The Texas Tribune. March 23, 2021. RetrievedMarch 29, 2021.
  36. ^abMcFadden, Alyce (April 28, 2021)."Texas special election will test Trump's GOP legacy".OpenSecrets.Archived from the original on April 29, 2021. RetrievedAugust 16, 2021.
  37. ^ab"GOP candidate in Texas House race endorsed by fellow Korean American reps".The Hill. March 10, 2021. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  38. ^abKelly, Caroline; Cole, Devan (April 2, 2021)."Republican congresswomen revoke endorsements of Texas GOP candidate after 'hurtful and untrue' comments about Chinese immigrants".CNN.
  39. ^"SERY KIM RECEIVES ENDORSEMENTS FROM TWO DISTINGUISHED LEADERS"(PDF).SeryforTexas. March 14, 2021. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on May 7, 2021. RetrievedMarch 21, 2021.
  40. ^"Sery Kim Backed by Trump Appointed Former ICE Director".Texas Politics. March 16, 2021. Archived fromthe original on March 17, 2021. RetrievedMarch 21, 2021.
  41. ^@PatrickSvitek (April 6, 2021)."New: @314action endorses Dem @ShawnLassiterTX, a former science teacher, in the #TX06 special election" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  42. ^Paul Gosar [@RepGosar] (March 26, 2021)."Let's put an end to all the BULL coming out of DC and get BIG DAN to Washington! @DanRodimer" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  43. ^"Hispanic Caucus joins race to flip GOP district in Texas special election".The Texas Signal. April 7, 2021. RetrievedApril 7, 2021.
  44. ^Adam Kinzinger [@AdamKinzinger] (March 12, 2021)."If you're looking for someone who is running on a platform of #restoreourgop and a focus on optimism, service, and professional debates worthy of our American calling, take a gander at @michaelwoodtx" (Tweet). RetrievedMarch 12, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  45. ^Alexandra Hutzler (April 5, 2021)."Anti-Trump Republican Michael Wood Endorsed for House Seat by Texas' Biggest Newspaper".Newsweek.
  46. ^The Republican Accountability Project [@accountablegop] (April 15, 2021)."RAP endorses @michaelwoodtx for Texas' 6th Congressional District. https://t.co/z7tHoMrMYw" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  47. ^abcdefghDaniel Friend (March 3, 2021)."Crowded Field of Candidates Finalized for Texas' 6th Congressional District Special Election".The Texan.
  48. ^abSusan Wright [@SusanWrightTX6] (March 18, 2021)."I am absolutely honored to be endorsed by a courageous conservative leader like Congressman Andy Biggs" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  49. ^abPatrick Svitek (February 22, 2021)."Susan Wright, GOP activist and wife of late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, moving toward campaign to replace him".The Texas Tribune.
  50. ^abcd"Granger, Price Endorse Wright and Other News for March 8".TXElects. March 8, 2021.
  51. ^abTroy Nehls [@SheriffTNehls] (March 16, 2021)."Proud to support Susan Wright for Congress" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  52. ^abBrooks, Emily (March 7, 2021)."COVID made them widows. Now, two women seek husbands' House seats".Washington Examiner. RetrievedMarch 19, 2021.
  53. ^abElise Stefanik [@EliseStefanik] (March 26, 2021)."This will be a critical race, which is why @SusanWrightTX6, a proven warrior for our conservative values, has my full endorsement in #TX06. E-PAC has pledged to raise over $30,000 for Susan's campaign. Help us hit our goal by donating below!" (Tweet). RetrievedMarch 27, 2021 – viaTwitter.
  54. ^ab"Opinion: Texas Republicans must reject Sery Kim for her anti-Chinese rant".The Washington Post. April 6, 2021.
  55. ^ab"Endorsement: Susan Wright For Congress (TX-6)".NYYRC.com. March 10, 2021. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  56. ^abData for Progress (D)
  57. ^Global Strategy Group (D)
  58. ^Victoria Research (D)
  59. ^Dave Wasserman (March 19, 2021)."Race to Replace Wright in TX-06 Heats Up". RetrievedDecember 7, 2021.
  60. ^"2022 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. April 23, 2021. RetrievedDecember 9, 2021.
  61. ^Kondik, Kyle (April 15, 2021)."The Mini-Midterms: Five Takeaways from Six Decades of House Special Elections".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedApril 15, 2021.
  62. ^"2021 Special Election Congressional District 6". Texas Secretary of State. RetrievedMay 26, 2021.
  63. ^abcdefSvitek, Patrick (July 29, 2021)."How Republican Jake Ellzey's bipartisan appeal, positive campaign helped him upset Trump's pick for Congress".Texas Tribune. RetrievedJuly 31, 2021.
  64. ^Dave Wasserman (July 9, 2021)."TX-06 Runoff: Can a Fighter Pilot Overcome a Trump Endorsement?". Archived fromthe original on December 8, 2021. RetrievedDecember 7, 2021.
  65. ^"2022 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. June 18, 2021. RetrievedDecember 9, 2021.
  66. ^Kondik, Kyle (July 21, 2021)."Notes on the State of Politics: July 21, 2021". RetrievedAugust 1, 2021.
  67. ^"Joe Barton backs Jake Ellzey over Susan Wright in Congressional District 6 runoff for his old seat".Dallas Morning News. July 19, 2021. RetrievedJuly 20, 2021.
  68. ^"Our recommendation for US House District 6 runoff".Dallas Morning News. July 18, 2021. RetrievedJuly 20, 2021.
  69. ^"It's Republican vs. Republican in this runoff for Congress. Here's our recommendation".Fort Worth Star-Telegram. July 20, 2021. RetrievedJuly 20, 2021.
  70. ^Dearman, Eleanor (June 14, 2021)."Senator Ted Cruz endorses Susan Wright for North Texas congressional seat".Fort Worth Star-Telegram. RetrievedJuly 18, 2021.
  71. ^"CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC ENDORSES SUSAN WRIGHT (TX-06)".clubforgrowth.org. April 28, 2021. RetrievedJuly 18, 2021.
  72. ^"Susan Wright (TX – 06)". Archived fromthe original on April 17, 2021. RetrievedApril 17, 2021.
  73. ^"TXGOP Condemns Slanderous Voicemail About Congressional Candidate Susan Wright". Republican Party of Texas. April 30, 2021. RetrievedMay 3, 2021.
  74. ^"PRO-LIFE WOMEN UPDATE: Susan Wright Advances in TX-06 Special Election".sba-list.org. May 1, 2021. RetrievedJuly 18, 2021.
  75. ^Texas Federation of College Republicans [@txfcr] (March 2, 2021)."The TXFCR Board is excited to announce that TXFCR wholeheartedly endorses @SusanWrightTX6 in her bid for Congress. We believe Susan will be a great congresswoman and will continue the great work of her husband. https://t.co/jOJiVemYuL" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.
  76. ^"Susan Wright TX-06". Archived fromthe original on April 17, 2021. RetrievedApril 17, 2021.
  77. ^American Viewpoint (R)
  78. ^American Viewpoint (R)
  79. ^"Texas Election Results". RetrievedJuly 27, 2021.

External links

[edit]

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