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2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Not to be confused with2020 Illinois Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

← 2014
November 3, 2020
2026 →
Turnout72.14%
 
NomineeDick DurbinMark Curran
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote3,278,9302,319,870
Percentage54.93%38.87%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Durbin:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Curran:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Elections in Illinois
U.S. Presidential elections
Presidential primaries
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Lieutenant Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Secretary of State elections
Comptroller elections
Treasurer elections
Senate elections
House of Representatives elections
Judicial elections
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County Executive elections

The2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of theUnited States Senate to represent theState of Illinois, concurrently with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well asother elections to the United States Senate,elections to theUnited States House of Representatives, variousstate and local elections, and theIllinois Fair Tax. IncumbentDemocratic SenatorDick Durbin, who had beenSenate Minority Whip since 2015, won election to a fifth and final term in office, defeating Republican nomineeMark Curran.

Durbin won with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was the heavily populated and very DemocraticCook County home ofChicago, which he won by around 560,000 votes. Durbin also did well in the suburban counties, often called "collar counties", ofChicago, winning all of them exceptMcHenry County. Durbin did well inChampaign County, home of theUniversity of Illinois, andSt. Clair County, where his birth home ofEast St. Louis is located. Nevertheless, Curran did well in most rural areas of the state, including winning ruralAlexander County where a Republican had not won since1972. Durbin became the first senator fromIllinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913.[1]

Background

[edit]

The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president andHouse) and those forstate offices.

For the primaries, turnout was 28.36%, with 2,279,439 votes cast.[2][3]

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Dick Durbin

Organizations

Results

[edit]
Democratic primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDick Durbin (incumbent)1,446,118100.00%
Total votes1,446,118100.00%

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrew

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Mark Curran

U.S. representatives

U.S. lieutenant governors

U.S. attorneys general

  • Jim Ryan, former attorney general of Illinois

Illinois legislators

Newspapers

Organizations

Individuals

[30]

Results

[edit]
Results by county
Curran
  •   Curran—60–70%
  •   Curran—50–60%
  •   Curran—40–50%
  •   Curran—30–40%
  •   Curran—<30%
Hubbard
  •   Hubbard—40–50%
  •   Hubbard—30–40%
  •   Hubbard—<30
Tarter
  •   Tarter—30–40%
  •   Tarter—<30
Republican primary results[3]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMark Curran205,74741.55%
RepublicanPeggy Hubbard113,18922.86%
RepublicanRobert Marshall75,56115.26%
RepublicanTom Tarter73,00914.74%
RepublicanCasey Chlebek27,6555.58%
RepublicanRichard Mayers (write-in)70.00%
Total votes495,168100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

A legal ruling, taking note of theCOVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in2016.[31]

Constitution Party

[edit]

Removed from ballot

[edit]
  • Chad Koppie, perennial candidate and former member of the Kane County Regional Board of School Trustees[27][32]

Green Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • David F. Black, Green Party nominee for Illinois attorney general in2010[33]

Independent American Party

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Libertarian Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Willie Wilson Party

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Independents

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Kevin Keely, substitute teacher and community activist(as a write-in candidate)[42][43]
  • Albert A. Schaal(as a write-in candidate)[44]
  • Lowell Martin Seida, perennial candidate(as a write-in candidate)[45]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Patrick Feges[46][32]
  • Julie Rushing[46]
  • Connor Vlakancic, affiliated with the Republican Party(switched from Republican candidacy)[27][32]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[47]Safe DOctober 29, 2020
Inside Elections[48]Safe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[50]Safe DOctober 30, 2020
Politico[51]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP[52]Safe DOctober 23, 2020
DDHQ[53]Safe DNovember 3, 2020
538[54]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Economist[55]Safe DNovember 2, 2020

Additional general election endorsements

[edit]
Dick Durbin (D)

U.S. presidents

Newspapers

Organizations

Unions

Mark Curran (R)

Organizations

Willie Wilson (WW)

Aldermen

Organizations

  • Chicago Police Union[78]

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Mark
Curran (R)
Willie
Wilson (I)
OtherUndecided
Research Co.[79]October 31 – November 1, 2020450 (LV)± 4.6%52%30%4%[b]14%
Victory Research[80]October 26 – November 1, 20201,208 (LV)± 2.8%51%26%15%5%[c]4%
Hypothetical polling

with Dick Durbin, generic Republican and Willie Wilson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Generic Republican (R)Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[81][A]September 4, 2019449 (LV)± 4.31%44%34%4%18%

with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[81][A]September 4, 2019420 (LV)± 4.31%44%25%31%

Results

[edit]

Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021, for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Illinois, 2020[82]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticDick Durbin (incumbent)3,278,93054.93%+1.38%
RepublicanMark Curran2,319,87038.87%−3.82%
Willie Wilson PartyWillie Wilson237,6993.98%N/A
LibertarianDanny Malouf75,6731.27%−2.49%
GreenDavid Black56,7110.95%N/A
Write-in180.00%N/A
Total votes5,968,901100.0%
Democratichold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

[edit]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

[edit]

By congressional district

[edit]

Durbin won 12 of the 18 congressional districts, with the remaining six going to Curran, including one that elected a Democrat.[83]

DistrictDurbinCurranRepresentative
1st64%22%Bobby Rush
2nd68%18%Robin Kelly
3rd55%37%Dan Lipinski
Marie Newman
4th78%14%Chuy García
5th69%25%Mike Quigley
6th51%44%Sean Casten
7th75%12%Danny Davis
8th58%37%Raja Krishnamoorthi
9th68%27%Jan Schakowsky
10th60%36%Brad Schneider
11th59%35%Bill Foster
12th44%53%Mike Bost
13th47.7%48.3%Rodney Davis
14th47%48%Lauren Underwood
15th29%68%Mary Miller
16th41%55%Adam Kinzinger
17th49%48%Cheri Bustos
18th37%60%Darin LaHood

Notes

[edit]
  1. ^abcKey:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Someone else" with 4%
  3. ^Malouf (L) with 3%; Black (G) with 2%

Partisan clients

  1. ^abPoll sponsored by Willie Wilson's campaign

References

[edit]
  1. ^"Illinois U.S. Senate Election Results".The New York Times. November 3, 2020.ISSN 0362-4331. RetrievedOctober 3, 2021.
  2. ^"Voter Turnout".www.elections.il.gov. Illinois State Board of Elections. Archived fromthe original on May 30, 2021. RetrievedMarch 22, 2020.
  3. ^abc"Election Results 2020 GENERAL PRIMARY".Illinois State Board of Elections. RetrievedApril 17, 2020.[permanent dead link]
  4. ^Greenwood, Max (January 3, 2019)."Dick Durbin: I'm running for reelection in 2020".The Hill. RetrievedJuly 25, 2019.
  5. ^@chooselove2020 (December 3, 2019)."While our campaign to unseat Dick Durbin has come to an end, the work of our grassroots movement of economic, political, racial & environmental justice is never over. I will doing everything I can to help Bernie win & my fellow down ballot progressives in IL. Not me, us!" (Tweet). RetrievedDecember 18, 2019 – viaTwitter.
  6. ^Pearson, Rick (July 16, 2019)."With just $9.72 in the bank, Democratic lawmaker from Naperville officially ends long-shot primary challenge to Sen. Dick Durbin". Chicago Tribune. RetrievedJuly 25, 2019.
  7. ^Gonzales, Nathan (November 7, 2018)."It's Not Too Early to Start Looking at the 2020 Senate Map". Roll Call. RetrievedNovember 18, 2018.
  8. ^Hayden, Sarah (September 18, 2019)."Bustos has three challengers; McCombie running again".Quad-City Times. RetrievedMarch 1, 2020.
  9. ^Korecki, Natasha (September 15, 2017)."Madigan stuns Illinois by announcing she won't seek reelection". Politico. RetrievedNovember 9, 2018.
  10. ^Sullivan, Liam."BRADY EXPANDS ENDORSEMENTS TO 8 GUN VIOLENCE PREVENTION CHAMPIONS FOR U.S. SENATE AND THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES".Brady Campaign to End Gun Violence. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  11. ^"MARCH 2020 PRIMARY ELECTION ENDORSED CANDIDATES"(PDF).Chicago Federation of Labor. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on September 13, 2020. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  12. ^"End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision".End Citizens United. January 21, 2020. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  13. ^"Illinois AFL-CIO 2020 Primary Election Endorsements"(PDF).Illinois AFL-CIO. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  14. ^"Sen. Dick Durbin (D, IL)".J Street PAC. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  15. ^"2020 FEDERAL ENDORSEMENTS".National Organization for Women PAC. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  16. ^ab"Election 2020 Endorsed Candidates".Planned Parenthood Illinois Action. Archived fromthe original on June 16, 2020. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  17. ^"VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS".Sierra Club Independent Action. RetrievedApril 13, 2020.
  18. ^"Report: Former Lake County Sheriff Mark Curran to run for U.S. Senate".Daily Herald. August 7, 2019. RetrievedAugust 9, 2019.
  19. ^Bustos, Joseph (September 5, 2019)."These candidates have announced they are running for office in the 2020 election".Belleville News-Democrat. RetrievedNovember 25, 2019.
  20. ^Cox, Benjamin (August 8, 2019)."Crowded Race for Illinois U.S. Senate Seat Shaping Up for 2020".WLDS AM. RetrievedAugust 9, 2019.
  21. ^Schwaller, Kevin (July 9, 2019)."Former candidate for governor Robert Marshall challenging Durbin for U.S. Senator". WMBD-TV. RetrievedJuly 25, 2019.
  22. ^Sfondeles, Tina (August 11, 2017)."Pritzker wins key Dem nod for gov, vows victory 'up and down' ticket".Chicago Sun Times.Chicago, Illinois. Archived fromthe original on August 21, 2017. RetrievedAugust 21, 2017.
  23. ^"LIST OF PERSONS WHO FILED A DECLARATION OF INTENT TO BE A WRITE-IN CANDIDATE"(PDF).Kane County Clerk. January 16, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  24. ^"'I snookered them': Illinois Nazi candidate creates GOP dumpster fire".Politico.com. RetrievedDecember 29, 2018.
  25. ^Schoenburg, Bernard (August 12, 2019)."Tarter, of Springfield, enters U.S. Senate race".The State Journal-Register. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2019.
  26. ^abc"IL US Senate – R Primary".Our Campaigns. April 17, 2020. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  27. ^abc"ILLINOIS".Politics1. RetrievedJuly 5, 2020.
  28. ^ab"2020 Senate At-A-Glance"(PDF).Cook Political Report. RetrievedJanuary 9, 2019.
  29. ^Vlahos, Nick (August 14, 2019)."U.S. Rep. Darin LaHood says he's running for re-election in 2020".The State Journal-Register. RetrievedAugust 22, 2019.
  30. ^"Over 60 endorsements for Mark Curran for US Senate – Mark Curran". Archived fromthe original on April 11, 2020. RetrievedApril 11, 2020.
  31. ^"COVID-19 updates: Filing deadline changed".The State Journal-Register. RetrievedMay 19, 2020.
  32. ^abc"Illinois 2020 Senate Candidate List". Archived fromthe original on October 9, 2020. RetrievedAugust 17, 2020.
  33. ^"Candidates".Illinois Green Party. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  34. ^"The Green Papers: Illinois 2019 General Election".The Green Papers. May 14, 2020. RetrievedJuly 5, 2020.
  35. ^"The Green Papers: Illinois 2020 General Election".The Green Papers. July 3, 2020. RetrievedJuly 5, 2020.
  36. ^"Current Candidates – Libertarian Party of Illinois".www.lpillinois.org. Archived fromthe original on April 8, 2020. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  37. ^Leonard, Jake (January 23, 2020)."Malouf set to seek Libertarian nomination for U.S. Senate at annual convention in East Peoria".Heartland Newsfeed. RetrievedApril 8, 2020.
  38. ^"Danny Malouf".Ballotpedia. RetrievedApril 12, 2020.
  39. ^Ortiz, Alex (March 4, 2019)."Crystal Lake Republican aims to challenge Underwood in 2020".www.nwherald.com. Archived fromthe original on April 12, 2020. RetrievedApril 12, 2020.
  40. ^Hegarty, Erin (February 26, 2019)."Woodstock-based Republican says he'll run for Underwood's Congressional seat in 2020".chicagotribune.com. RetrievedApril 12, 2020.
  41. ^Donovan, Lisa."Chicago businessman Willie Wilson says he'll run as an independent to challenge U.S. Sen. Dick Durbin in 2020".chicagotribune.com. RetrievedAugust 30, 2019.
  42. ^"News".Kevin Kelly for U.S. Senate. September 10, 2020. Archived fromthe original on October 13, 2020. RetrievedOctober 12, 2020.
  43. ^"ILLINOIS".PoliticsOne. September 30, 2020. RetrievedOctober 13, 2020.
  44. ^"Schaal, Albert A."Our Campaigns. October 3, 2020. RetrievedOctober 12, 2020.
  45. ^Kosho, Rick (September 4, 2020)."Write-in candidate filing ends".WCMY 1430 AM. RetrievedSeptember 19, 2020.
  46. ^ab"Illinois Senate 2020 Race".Open Secrets. RetrievedMay 15, 2020.
  47. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  48. ^"2020 Senate Ratings".Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 11, 2021.
  49. ^"2020 Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedMarch 12, 2021.
  50. ^"2020 Senate Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  51. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. November 19, 2019.
  52. ^"Battle for the Senate 2020".RCP. October 23, 2020.
  53. ^"2020 Senate Elections Model".Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 2, 2020.
  54. ^Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020)."Forecasting the race for the Senate".FiveThirtyEight. Archived fromthe original on September 18, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 18, 2020.
  55. ^"Forecasting the US elections".The Economist. November 2, 2020. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  56. ^I am honored to have President @BarackObama’s support in my re-election campaign (Online video). SenatorDick Durbin. October 22, 2020.
  57. ^"NDORSEMENT: Dick Durbin for the U.S. Senate and a new Democratic majority".Chicago Sun-Times. September 23, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 24, 2020.
  58. ^"Endorsement: U.S. Senate: Dick Durbin".Daily Chronicle. September 28, 2020. Archived fromthe original on October 7, 2020. RetrievedOctober 7, 2020.
  59. ^"Endorsement: Dick Durbin for U.S. senate".Daily Herald. September 27, 2020. RetrievedOctober 7, 2020.
  60. ^"Endorsement: Dick Durbin for U.S. Senate – Illinois".The Dispatch/The Rock Island Argus. October 9, 2020. RetrievedOctober 23, 2020.
  61. ^The Editorial Board."Editorial | Our choices for Congress".The News-Gazette.
  62. ^"Senate Candidates – Council for a Livable World".Council for a Livable World.
  63. ^"Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Dick Durbin for U.S. Senate In Illinois".Everytown. June 9, 2020.
  64. ^"Giffords Endorses Slate of Senators Running to Bring a Gun Safety Majority to the US Senate".Giffords. May 8, 2020.
  65. ^"Human Rights Campaign Endorses 40 House, 5 Senate Pro-Equality Leaders".Human Rights Campaign. May 18, 2020.
  66. ^Society, Humane."2020 Endorsements".Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  67. ^"Meet the 2020 Candidates".Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.[permanent dead link]
  68. ^"Endorsements".League of Conservation Voters.
  69. ^"Candidates We Endorse and Support".NCPSSM.
  70. ^"U.S. Senate – Education Votes".educationvotes.nea.org.
  71. ^"NRDC Action Fund Endorses 11 House, Senate Candidates".nrdcactionfund.org. June 15, 2020.
  72. ^"IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements".ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020. Archived fromthe original on October 26, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 21, 2020.
  73. ^"2020 Illinois Election Center".seiuhcilin.org. RetrievedMay 4, 2020.
  74. ^"Illinois – Official UAW Endorsements".uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  75. ^"Letter To The Editor: Log Cabin Republicans Endorse Mark Curran For U.S. Senate".RiverBender.AdVantage News. September 24, 2020. RetrievedOctober 21, 2020.
  76. ^"Endorsements".Tazewell County Republican Party. RetrievedOctober 21, 2020.
  77. ^abc"Alderman Sposato, Napolitano, Taliaferro endorse Willie Wilson for U.S. Senate". October 2, 2020. Archived fromthe original on August 26, 2021. RetrievedAugust 26, 2021.
  78. ^Dudek, Mitch (September 16, 2020)."Willie Wilson embraces endorsement of police union that's clashed with Black Lives Matter".Chicago Sun-Times.
  79. ^Research Co.
  80. ^Victory Research
  81. ^abOgden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson
  82. ^"Election Results 2020 GENERAL ELECTION".Illinois State Board of Elections. December 4, 2020. Archived fromthe original on May 30, 2021. RetrievedDecember 4, 2020.
  83. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

[edit]

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