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2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

For related races, see2020 United States House of Representatives elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont's at-large district

← 2018
November 3, 2020
2022 →
 
NomineePeter WelchMiriam Berry
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Popular vote238,82795,830
Percentage67.31%27.01%

County results
Municipality results
Precinct results
Welch:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Berry:     40–50%     50–60%
Tie:     40–50%     No votes

U.S. Representative before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
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The2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. representative fromVermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to theHouse of Representatives,elections to theUnited States Senate and variousstate and local elections.

Incumbent DemocratPeter Welch would win re-election to his eighth and final term, defeating Republican Miriam Berry by 40 points in the process. Welch would run for and wina seat in theUnited States Senate in 2022.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]
  • Ralph Corbo, activist[1]

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
  Welch—>90%
Democratic primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticPeter Welch (incumbent)101,56695.45
DemocraticRalph Corbo4,5994.32
Write-in2370.22
Total votes106,402100.00

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer[3]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMiriam Berry14,36832.51
RepublicanJustin Tuthill10,91524.70
RepublicanAnya Tynio8,83019.98
RepublicanJimmy Rodriguez8,29018.76
Write-in1,7894.05
Total votes44,192100.00

Progressive primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Progressive primary results[2]
PartyCandidateVotes%
ProgressiveChris Brimmer46958.04
ProgressiveCris Ericson23629.21
Write-in10312.75
Total votes808100.00

Independents and other parties

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]
  • Peter R. Becker
  • Christopher Helali (Party of Communists USA), formerU.S. Army officer, chair of theOrange County Progressive Committee, and organic farmer[5]
  • Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for theEssex-Orleans district in 2014 and 2016[6]
  • Shawn Orr
  • Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, and perennial candidate[7]

General election

[edit]

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[8]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Inside Elections[9]Safe DOctober 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Politico[11]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12]Safe DNovember 2, 2020
RCP[13]Safe DNovember 2, 2020

Polling

[edit]
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Peter
Welch (D)
Miriam
Berry (R)
Other
Braun Research[14]September 3–15, 2020582 (LV)± 4%57%18%16%[b]

Results

[edit]
2020 Vermont's at-large congressional district[15]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticPeter Welch (incumbent)238,82767.31%−1.89%
RepublicanMiriam Berry95,83027.01%+1.06%
IndependentPeter R. Becker8,0652.27%N/A
IndependentMarcia Horne4,3341.22%N/A
Party of Communists USAChristopher Helali3,4320.97%N/A
IndependentShawn Orr1,9260.54%N/A
IndependentJerry Trudell1,8810.53%N/A
Write-in5420.15%+0.08%
Total votes354,837100.0%
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
By county
CountyPeter Welch
Democratic
Miriam Berry
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
#%#%#%
Addison14,97369.7%5,44925.4%1,0574.9%
Bennington11,98761.9%5,85130.2%1,5137.8%
Caledonia9,31959.5%5,48635.0%8595.6%
Chittenden70,65874.7%19,80521.0%4,0684.3%
Essex1,48546.8%1,43845.3%2527.9%
Franklin14,81758.8%9,20236.5%1,1734.6%
Grand Isle3,03163.6%1,54032.3%1934.1%
Lamoille10,17870.3%3,63825.1%6694.6%
Orange10,57963.2%5,13230.7%1,0186.1%
Orleans7,67056.4%5,20338.3%7195.3%
Rutland18,28755.5%11,55935.1%3,1159.5%
Washington24,73472.9%7,79322.7%1,8735.5%
Windham18,00172.0%5,37921.5%1,6316.5%
Windsor23,10869.0%8,35524.9%2,0416.1%
Totals238,82767.3%95,83027.0%20,1805.7%

See also

[edit]

Notes

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  1. ^Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^"Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

References

[edit]
  1. ^Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020)."Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary".Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  2. ^abc"Vermont Election Results – Official Results".Vermont Secretary of State. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  3. ^abcd"Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know".Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  4. ^abMeyn, Colin (August 13, 2020)."Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races".VT Digger. RetrievedSeptember 17, 2020.
  5. ^Varricchio, Lou."The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont".The Sun Community News. RetrievedAugust 25, 2020.
  6. ^"VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived fromthe original on October 11, 2020. RetrievedOctober 7, 2020.
  7. ^"VT Elections Database » Candidate Profile". Archived fromthe original on October 12, 2020. RetrievedOctober 7, 2020.
  8. ^"2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedApril 5, 2021.
  9. ^"2020 House Ratings".House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedApril 5, 2021.
  10. ^"2020 House race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedApril 5, 2021.
  11. ^"2020 Election Forecast".Politico. April 5, 2021.
  12. ^"2020 House Race Ratings".Daily Kos Elections. RetrievedApril 5, 2021.
  13. ^"Battle for House 2020".RCP. RetrievedApril 5, 2021.
  14. ^Braun Research
  15. ^"2020 General Election Canvass Report"(PDF).Vermont Secretary of State. RetrievedNovember 19, 2020.

External links

[edit]

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