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2019 Dutch Senate election

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2019 Dutch Senate election
Netherlands
← 2015
27 May 2019[1]
2023 →

All 75 seats in theSenate
38 seats needed for a majority
PartyLeaderVote %Seats+/–
FvDHenk Otten15.8712New
VVDAnnemarie Jorritsma[2]15.1112−1
CDABen Knapen[3]11.419−3
GLPaul Rosenmöller11.188+4
D66Annelien Bredenoord[4]8.757−3
PvdAMei Li Vos8.626−2
PVVMarjolein Faber6.535−4
SPTiny Kox5.884−5
CUMirjam Bikker5.034+1
PvdDNiko Koffeman3.783+1
50+Martin van Rooijen3.0320
SGPPeter Schalk2.6020
OSFGerben Gerbrandy1.3110
This lists parties that won seats. See the complete results below.
President of the Senate beforePresident of the Senate after
Ankie Broekers-Knol
VVD
Jan Anthonie Bruijn
VVD

The 2019 election to theSenate of the Netherlands was held on 27 May 2019, two months after theprovincial elections.[1]

Forum for Democracy, which took part for the first time, became the largest party. This was later undone by several party splits.

Electoral system

[edit]

The Senate consists of 75 members elected every four years by the members of theStates-Provincial of the country's twelve provinces (and following a law change in 2017,electoral colleges representing thespecial municipalities ofBonaire,Sint Eustatius andSaba[5][6]), who are in turn elected directly by the citizens two months earlier in the2019 provincial andelectoral college elections. The seats are distributed in one nationwide constituency usingparty-list proportional representation.[7]

The value of each elector's vote is determined by the population of the province or special municipality which the elector represents, at a ratio of approximately 1 vote per 100 residents.

ProvinceMembersPopulation[8]VotesValue per member
South Holland553,674,14636,740668
North Holland552,853,48829,095519
North Brabant552,544,99525,465463
Gelderland552,071,91320,735377
Utrecht491,342,19413,426274
Overijssel471,156,37311,562246
Limburg471,116,12711,139237
Friesland43647,7406,493151
Groningen43584,0945,848136
Drenthe41492,1794,920120
Flevoland41416,4314,182102
Zeeland39383,0733,82298
Bonaire920,10419822
Sint Eustatius53,138306
Saba51,915204

Seat projections

[edit]
Polling firmDate(s)VVDCDAD66PVVSPPvdAGLCUPvdDSGP50+OSFDENKFVDRef.
ANP projection21 Mar 20191296547943120013[9]
Ipsos exit poll20 Mar 20191287647843131110[10]
Peil.nl exit poll20 Mar 20191286657733221112[11]
Peil.nl19 Mar 20191186756832222211[12]
I&O Research15–18 Mar 20191185766943122110
Kantar Public14–17 Mar 2019137667564323229[13]
I&O Research8–12 Mar 2019128577593223219
Ipsos8–11 Mar 2019137595683423208[14]
I&O Research22–26 Feb 20191176875104323218[15]
Ipsos22–25 Feb 2019127685594323218[16]
2015 election26 May 2015131210998432221

Results

[edit]

Electors

[edit]
Map showing the largest party by province in the2019 provincial elections
Results of the 20 March 2019 DutchProvincial andSenate Electoral College elections
Party or allianceVotes%Seats+/–
Forum for Democracy1,057,03014.5186New
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy1,017,93713.9780–9
CDA-affiliatedChristian Democratic Appeal805,86211.0672–17
Bonaire Patriotic Union1,5300.022New
Democratic Party (Sint Eustatius)3660.015New
Total807,75811.0979–10
GroenLinks783,00610.7561+31
PvdA-affiliatedLabour Party619,9068.5153–10
Bonaire Democratic Party2,1660.033New
Total622,0728.5456–7
D66-affiliatedDemocrats 66567,3637.7941–26
Bonaire People's Movement3,0970.044New
Total570,4607.8345–22
Party for Freedom504,9486.9340–26
Socialist Party430,0965.9035–35
CU–SGPChristian Union353,4434.8531+2
Reformed Political Party179,8992.4714–4
CU–SGP joint list in North Brabant19,4660.271–1
Total552,8087.5946–3
Party for the Animals317,1044.3520+2
50PLUS-affiliated50PLUS265,2153.6417+3
Party for the North10,5270.142+1
Total275,7423.7919+4
OSF-affiliatedLocal Brabant25,4850.3510
Frisian National Party23,6620.3240
Groningers' Interests18,5560.2530
Local Limburg18,4740.252+1
Elderly Party North Holland18,3070.250–1
Local Parties South Holland11,6480.160New
Local Parties Gelderland –Code Orange11,0530.150New
Party for Zeeland10,6190.152+1
Locally Strong9,3440.1310
U26 Municipalities6,5300.090New
Frisian Provincial Interests5,3450.070New
Total159,0232.1813+1
Denk121,7531.674New
Code Orange24,0470.330New
NIDA11,3470.160New
Seniors Brabant9,6870.130New
Elderly Appeal - Heart for Brabant6,7190.090New
Independent Party Drenthe3,7770.050New
Natural Frisian2,9170.040New
Jesus Lives2,3230.0300
Senior Interests1,4140.0200
Politically Active Elders1,2830.0200
Respect!9760.010New
Windward Islands People's Movement5470.014New
Saba Labour Party1100.001New
Total7,284,884100.00589+19
Valid votes7,284,88499.41
Invalid/blank votes43,0140.59
Total votes7,327,898100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,047,95056.16
Source: Kiesraad: European Netherlands (Provincial),[17] Bonaire (EC),[18] Saba (EC),[19] Sint Eustatius (EC)[20]

Senate

[edit]

Rutte III lost its majority in the senate.

3234363840424420152019OppositionMajorityRutte III (VVD, D66, CDA, CU)Seat changes in the 2019 Dutch Senate electi...
Viewsource data.
03691215Forum for Democracyseats lostseats gainedseats maintainedSeat changes in the 2019 Dutch Senate electi...
Viewsource data.
PartyUnweighted voteWeighted voteSeats
Votes%Votes%±ppTotal+/−
Forum for Democracy8714.8027,47315.87New12+12
People's Party for Freedom and Democracy7813.2726,15715.11–0.6812–1
Christian Democratic Appeal7612.9319,75611.41–4.209–3
GroenLinks6511.0519,36311.18+5.928+4
Democrats 66508.5015,1548.75–3.007–3
Labour Party569.5214,9218.62–2.436–2
Party for Freedom386.4611,2986.53–5.055–4
Socialist Party355.9510,1795.88–6.404–5
Christian Union335.618,7075.03–0.584+1
Party for the Animals203.406,5503.78+0.623+1
50PLUS183.065,2513.03+0.572±0
Reformed Political Party152.554,4932.60–0.382±0
Independent Senate Group132.212,2651.31–0.261±0
DENK40.681,5630.90New0±0
Blank list00.0000.00New0±0
Total588100.00173,121100.0075±0
Valid votes58899.83173,121100.00
Invalid/blank votes10.1740.00
Total votes589100.00173,125100.00
Registered voters/turnout589100.00173,125100.00
Sources[21][22][23][24][25][26]

Results summary

[edit]
Popular vote
FvD
14.51%
VVD
13.97%
CDA
11.09%
GL
10.75%
PvdA
8.54%
D66
7.83%
PVV
6.93%
SP
5.90%
CU
4.85%
PvdD
4.35%
50PLUS
3.64%
SGP
2.47%
OSF
2.18%
Denk
1.67%
CU-SGP (NB)
0.27%
Others
1.05%
Unweighted Electoral vote
FvD
14.80%
VVD
13.27%
CDA
12.93%
GL
11.05%
PvdA
9.52%
D66
8.50%
PVV
6.46%
SP
5.95%
CU
5.61%
PvdD
3.40%
50PLUS
3.06%
SGP
2.55%
OSF
2.21%
Denk
0.68%
Weighted Electoral vote
FvD
15.87%
VVD
15.11%
CDA
11.41%
GL
11.18%
D66
8.75%
PvdA
8.62%
PVV
6.53%
SP
5.88%
CU
5.03%
PvdD
3.78%
50PLUS
3.03%
SGP
2.60%
OSF
1.31%
Denk
0.90%

See also

[edit]

References

[edit]
  1. ^ab"Dag van stemming (27 mei 2019)".Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). Archived fromthe original on 2 March 2020. Retrieved21 September 2018.
  2. ^"Annemarie Jorritsma VVD-lijsttrekker Eerste Kamerverkiezingen".NOS (in Dutch). 3 October 2018. Retrieved5 October 2018.
  3. ^"Oud-staatssecretaris Knapen gaat Senaatsfractie CDA leiden".NOS (in Dutch). 24 September 2018. Retrieved5 October 2018.
  4. ^"Hoogleraar Ethiek lijsttrekker D66 voor Eerste Kamerverkiezingen".NOS (in Dutch). 25 September 2018. Retrieved5 October 2018.
  5. ^"Kiesrecht voor Eerste Kamer voor Caribisch Nederland".Rijksoverheid (in Dutch). Archived fromthe original on 4 August 2021. Retrieved5 October 2018.
  6. ^"Electoral colleges for the Senate".kiesraad.nl. Electoral Council. 24 January 2019. Retrieved28 February 2019.
  7. ^"Eerste Kamer".Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). 20 April 2016. Retrieved5 October 2018.
  8. ^Population figures: 1 January 2019
  9. ^"Opkomst bij waterschapsverkiezingen fors omhoog, 'thema's leven'". 21 March 2019.
  10. ^"Forum grote winnaar verkiezingen #PS19, blijft VVD net voor". 21 March 2019.
  11. ^de Hond, Maurice [@mauricedehond] (2019-03-20)."Exitpoll in samenwerking met Dennis Brouwer voor #EK2019 - #PS2019 Kijk naar http://salto.nl voor overgangen en achtergronden. En het blijft heel spannend tot het eind wat de finale uitslag gaat worden" [Exit poll in collaboration with Dennis Brouwer for #EK2019 - #PS2019 Check http://salto.nl for transitions and backgrounds. And it remains very exciting until the end what the final result will be.] (Tweet) (in Dutch) – viaTwitter.
  12. ^de Hond, Maurice.PS2019 worden historische verkiezingen [PS2019 will be historic elections](PDF) (Report) (in Dutch) – via noties.nl.
  13. ^"Verian Global Homepage".
  14. ^"Helft kiezers nog niet zeker van stem Provinciale Staten". 12 March 2019.
  15. ^Kanne, Peter; Kranenburg, Laurens Klein (2019-02-28).NIVELLERING IN EERSTE KAMER AANSTAANDE [LEVELLING IN FIRST CHAMBER UPCOMING](PDF) (Report) (in Dutch). I&O Research (www.ioresearch.nl). Archived fromthe original(PDF) on 2019-03-01.
  16. ^"Peiling: Coalitie op fors verlies in Eerste Kamer". 26 February 2019.
  17. ^"Kiesraad - Verkiezingsuitslagen".
  18. ^"Kiesraad - Verkiezingsuitslagen".
  19. ^"Kiesraad - Verkiezingsuitslagen".
  20. ^"Kiesraad - Verkiezingsuitslagen".
  21. ^"Kandidatenlijsten Eerste Kamerverkiezing 2019 onderzocht".Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). 24 April 2019. Retrieved25 April 2019.
  22. ^"Stemwaarden Eerste Kamerverkiezing 2019 vastgesteld".Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). 27 March 2019. Retrieved25 April 2019.
  23. ^"Provinciale Staten kiezen nu nieuwe Eerste Kamer, VVD en Forum even groot (12 zetels)".NOS (in Dutch). 27 May 2019. Retrieved27 May 2019.
  24. ^"Geen verrassing bij Eerste Kamerverkiezing in Overijssel: uitslag gelijk aan zetelverdeling".tubantia.nl (in Dutch). 27 May 2019. Retrieved27 May 2019.
  25. ^"Meeste stemmen voor CDA in de Eerste Kamer".Omroep Zeeland (in Dutch). 27 May 2019. Retrieved27 May 2019.
  26. ^"Stemmingen Eerste Kamerverkiezing in provincies en kiescolleges (27 mei)".Kiesraad.nl (in Dutch). 27 May 2019. Retrieved29 May 2019.
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