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2018 United States Senate election in New York

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

2018 United States Senate election in New York

← 2012
November 6, 2018
2024 →
Turnout47.99%
 
NomineeKirsten GillibrandChele Farley
PartyDemocraticRepublican
Alliance
Popular vote4,056,9311,998,220
Percentage67.0%33.0%

County results
Congressional district results
Precinct results
Gillibrand:     40–50%     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Farley:     50–60%     60–70%     70–80%     80–90%     >90%
Tie:     40–50%     50%     No data

U.S. senator before election

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Kirsten Gillibrand
Democratic

Elections in New York
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The2018 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2018. Incumbent U.S. SenatorKirsten Gillibrand was re-elected to a second full term, defeating Republican Chele Chiavacci Farley with 67% of the vote. Gillibrand carried a majority of the state's counties and 26 of the state's 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans the same night.

Democratic primary

[edit]

Kirsten Gillibrand ran unopposed in the primary and automatically became theDemocratic nominee.

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Failed to file

[edit]
  • Scott Noren, oral and maxillofacial surgeon[3][4]

Declined

[edit]

Republican primary

[edit]
Chele Farley's senate campaign logo

The Republican Party nominated private equity executive Chele Chiavacci Farley.[8]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Chele Chiavacci Farley, private equity executive[9]

Failed to file

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Chele Farley (R)

U.S. president

U.S. senators

U.S. representative

Governors

Individuals

Organizations

  • Crown Heights PAC[45]

Newspapers

Predictions

[edit]
SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[48]Safe DOctober 26, 2018
Inside Elections[49]Safe DNovember 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[50]Safe DNovember 5, 2018
Fox News[51]Likely DJuly 9, 2018
CNN[52]Safe DJuly 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[53]Safe DJune 7, 2018

†Highest rating given

Polling

[edit]
%support0102030405060702018/03/162018/06/072018/09/272018/11/3GillibrandChiavacci FarleyOther/UndecidedOpinion polling for the 2018 United States S...
Viewsource data.
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Kirsten
Gillibrand (D)
Chele Chiavacci
Farley (R)
OtherUndecided
Research Co.[54]November 1–3, 2018450± 4.6%60%32%8%
Siena College[55]October 28 – November 1, 2018641± 3.9%58%35%0%8%
Quinnipiac University[56]October 10–16, 2018852± 4.4%58%33%0%8%
Siena College[57]September 20–27, 2018701± 3.9%61%29%0%9%
Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)[58]August 29–30, 20182,783± 1.9%51%36%13%
Quinnipiac University[59]July 12–16, 2018934± 4.1%57%30%1%10%
Siena College[60]June 4–7, 2018745± 3.7%61%28%0%8%
Quinnipiac University[61]April 26 – May 1, 20181,076± 3.7%58%23%1%16%
Siena College[62]April 8–12, 2018692± 4.3%58%27%0%13%
Siena College[63]March 11–16, 2018772± 4.0%60%24%0%14%

Results

[edit]
United States Senate election in New York, 2018[64]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
DemocraticKirsten Gillibrand3,755,48962.02%−4.36%
Working FamiliesKirsten Gillibrand160,1282.64%−1.12%
IndependenceKirsten Gillibrand99,3251.64%−0.43%
Women's EqualityKirsten Gillibrand41,9890.69%N/A
TotalKirsten Gillibrand (incumbent)4,056,93167.00%−5.21%
RepublicanChele Chiavacci Farley1,730,43928.58%+5.86%
ConservativeChele Chiavacci Farley246,1714.07%+0.46%
ReformChele Chiavacci Farley21,6100.35%N/A
TotalChele Chiavacci Farley1,998,22033.00%+6.66%
Total votes6,055,151100.00%N/A
Democratichold

By county

[edit]
CountyKirsten Gillibrand
Democratic
Chele Farley
Republican
Various candidates
Other parties
MarginTotal votes cast
#%#%#%#%
Albany78,11568.1%36,45631.8%1240.1%41,65936.3%114,695
Allegany5,46037.1%9,26162.9%30.01%−3,801−25.8%14,724
Bronx257,72391.7%23,0338.2%1680.1%234,69083.5%280,924
Broome41,14557.1%30,89742.9%480.1%10,24814.2%72,090
Cattaraugus10,43144.0%13,25656.0%50.01%−2,825−12.0%23,692
Cayuga13,82351.1%13,23248.9%90.01%5912.2%27,064
Chautauqua20,81048.2%22,36151.8%130.01%−1,551−3.6%43,184
Chemung14,34749.0%14,90250.9%140.1%−555−1.9%29,263
Chenango7,28644.7%8,99655.2%100.1%−1,710−10.5%16,292
Clinton15,93061.4%10,01238.6%20.01%5,91822.8%25,944
Columbia18,13762.1%11,05537.8%210.1%7,08224.3%29,213
Cortland9,11356.2%7,09943.8%110.1%2,01412.4%16,223
Delaware7,87146.4%9,06653.5%90.1%−1,195−7.1%16,946
Dutchess63,67557.4%47,26842.6%480.01%16,40714.8%110,991
Erie206,02461.7%127,86038.3%00.0%78,16423.4%333,884
Essex8,29459.7%5,59140.2%70.1%2,70319.5%13,892
Franklin8,24559.6%5,57640.3%20.1%2,66919.3%13,823
Fulton6,89641.3%9,79058.7%40.01%−2,894−17.4%16,690
Genesee8,14939.3%12,55260.6%100.1%−4,403−21.3%20,711
Greene8,94446.5%10,29353.5%140.01%−1,349−7.0%19,251
Hamilton1,07839.3%1,66260.6%20.1%−584−21.3%2,742
Herkimer9,39544.4%11,74255.5%90.1%−2,347−11.1%21,146
Jefferson14,74149.7%14,88450.2%150.1%−143−0.5%29,640
Kings542,73686.2%85,97313.7%6630.1%456,76372.5%629,372
Lewis3,70742.0%5,12058.0%30.01%−1,413−16.0%8,830
Livingston11,31146.9%12,78253.0%70.1%−1,471−6.1%24,100
Madison12,81749.8%12,89450.1%240.1%-77-0.3%25,735
Monroe174,78862.4%105,19837.6%1110.01%69,59024.8%280,097
Montgomery7,02446.3%8,13153.6%60.1%−1,107−7.3%15,161
Nassau294,18658.9%104,87541.0%1840.1%89,31117.9%499,245
New York481,77989.8%53,81310.0%7680.2%427,96679.8%536,360
Niagara35,22549.4%36,08850.6%290.01%-863-1.2%71,342
Oneida38,61350.7%37,44649.2%280.1%1,1671.5%76,087
Onondaga109,20162.1%66,59937.9%1450.01%42,60224.2%175,945
Ontario23,12652.9%20,54347.0%140.1%2,5835.9%43,683
Orange67,70156.2%52,64043.7%360.1%15,06112.5%120,377
Orleans4,54536.2%7,99963.7%40.1%−3,454−27.5%12,548
Oswego17,71746.3%20,49953.6%140.1%-2,782-7.3%38,230
Otsego11,45353.4%9,96946.5%70.1%1,4846.9%21,429
Putnam19,10349.8%19,22250.1%80.1%−119−0.3%38,333
Queens398,41481.5%89,81018.4%4150.1%308,60473.1%488,639
Rensselaer34,68057.2%25,96442.8%240.01%8,71614.4%60,668
Richmond71,17552.1%65,37547.8%1160.1%5,8004.3%136,666
Rockland59,38659.9%39,73040.1%580.01%19,65619.8%99,174
Saratoga52,52354.9%43,11445.1%120.01%9,4099.8%95,649
Schenectady32,73559.8%22,00540.2%370.01%10,73019.6%54,777
Schoharie5,35544.3%6,72655.7%50.01%−1,371−11.4%12,086
Schuyler3,44047.0%3,86852.9%60.1%−428−5.9%7,314
Seneca5,99752.2%5,48447.7%100.1%5134.5%11,491
St. Lawrence17,97055.8%14,20144.1%50.1%3,76911.7%32,176
Steuben13,86841.2%19,77658.8%60.01%−5,908−17.6%33,650
Suffolk289,52854.7%239,47745.3%1450.01%50,0519.4%529,150
Sullivan12,93753.3%11,31946.6%140.1%1,6186.7%24,270
Tioga8,00244.0%10,18856.0%80.01%−2,186−12.0%18,198
Tompkins28,81877.2%8,39922.5%1110.3%20,41954.7%37,328
Ulster50,16364.6%27,41035.3%450.1%22,75329.3%77,618
Warren14,63456.8%11,11843.2%70.01%3,51613.6%25,759
Washington10,46551.3%9,94048.7%50.01%5252.6%20,410
Wayne13,93144.3%17,52255.7%120.01%−3,591−11.4%31,465
Westchester234,17370.7%96,97829.3%2260.01%137,19541.4%331,377
Wyoming4,33032.9%8,83767.1%30.01%−4,507−34.2%13,170
Yates3,74346.3%4,34453.7%30.01%−601−7.4%8,090
Totals4,056,93167.0%1,998,22033.0%3,8720.01%2,058,71134.0%6,509,023

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Gillibrand won 26 of 27 congressional districts, including five that elected Republicans.[65]

DistrictGillibrandFarleyRepresentative
1st53%47%Lee Zeldin
2nd54%46%Peter T. King
3rd59%41%Thomas Suozzi
4th60%40%Kathleen Rice
5th90%10%Gregory Meeks
6th72%28%Grace Meng
7th92%8%Nydia Velázquez
8th90%10%Hakeem Jeffries
9th89%11%Yvette Clarke
10th84%16%Jerry Nadler
11th55%45%Max Rose
12th87%13%Carolyn Maloney
13th95%5%Adriano Espaillat
14th84%16%Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
15th96%4%Jose E. Serrano
16th79%21%Eliot Engel
17th66%34%Nita Lowey
18th57%43%Sean Patrick Maloney
19th56%44%Antonio Delgado
20th63%37%Paul Tonko
21st53%47%Elise Stefanik
22nd51%49%Anthony Brindisi
23rd51%49%Tom Reed
24th58%42%John Katko
25th63%37%Joe Morelle
26th68%32%Brian Higgins
27th47%53%Chris Collins

References

[edit]
  1. ^Madina Toure (December 4, 2016)."Gillibrand Wants More Federal Funds to Protect Religious Institutions". Observer. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2018.
  2. ^"Gillibrand accepts nomination for another term, promises to serve all of it". Politico.com. February 16, 2018. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2018.
  3. ^"DR SCOTT NOREN FOR US SENATE - committee overview". RetrievedMarch 16, 2018.
  4. ^abcde"Filings received for the June 26, 2018 Federal Primary Election". NY Board of Elections. April 12, 2018. Archived fromthe original on May 4, 2016. RetrievedJune 26, 2018.
  5. ^Beavers, Olivia (March 29, 2017)."Chelsea Clinton dismisses rumors she'll run for public office: report".The Hill. RetrievedMarch 18, 2023.
  6. ^Oppenheimer, Jerry (January 22, 2017)."Could Caroline Kennedy be the baggage-free Hillary Clinton?".New York Post. RetrievedJanuary 24, 2017.
  7. ^Bernstein, Jonathan (February 16, 2018)."The 2020 Democratic Primary Is Already Out of Hand".www.bloomberg.com.
  8. ^Jimmy Vielkind (March 2, 2018)."Republicans nominate Chele Farley to make their case against Gillibrand". Politico. RetrievedMarch 20, 2018.
  9. ^Zremski, Jerry (February 2, 2018)."GOP fundraiser Chele Chiavacci Farley to run against Gillibrand".The Buffalo News. RetrievedFebruary 2, 2018.
  10. ^Hamilton, Matthew (October 1, 2017)."Gibson talks book, Trump". Times Union. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2018.
  11. ^Lovett, Kenneth (January 7, 2018)."George Pataki aide considers run against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand".New York Daily News. RetrievedJanuary 10, 2018.
  12. ^@amyschumer (October 23, 2018)."Tweet" (Tweet) – viaTwitter.[dead link]
  13. ^"New York State AFL-CIO Announces the Endorsement of Senator Kirsten Gillibrand and Endorsements In Congressional Races".New York State AFL-CIO. August 21, 2018.
  14. ^"CSEA's 2018 Endorsements".cseany.org.
  15. ^"EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018".EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. RetrievedFebruary 13, 2017.
  16. ^Tiffany Muller (February 13, 2018)."Gillibrand Pledges to Reject Corporate PAC Money; End Citizens United Endorses Re-election". End Citizens United.
  17. ^"RELEASE: Giffords Endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate in New York".Giffords. August 17, 2018. Archived fromthe original on November 5, 2018. RetrievedNovember 5, 2018.
  18. ^"HRC Endorses New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand for Re-Election".Human Rights Campaign. Archived fromthe original on March 7, 2018. RetrievedDecember 15, 2018.
  19. ^"Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees".nowpac.org. August 23, 2017. Archived fromthe original on April 26, 2019. RetrievedAugust 1, 2018.
  20. ^"NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements".www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  21. ^2018 Final Endorsements Retrieved February 20, 2023
  22. ^tbrown (September 6, 2018)."PSC Endorsements 2018".PSC CUNY. Archived fromthe original on December 15, 2018. RetrievedDecember 15, 2018.
  23. ^"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".Sierra Club Voter Guide. July 16, 2012.
  24. ^"New York".Working Families.
  25. ^The Editorial Board (October 16, 2018)."amNewYork endorses Kirsten Gillibrand for Senate".amNewYork.
  26. ^"Newsday endorses Gillibrand for Senate".Newsday.
  27. ^Board, Daily News Editorial (November 2018)."Vote for Gillibrand: New York's junior senator deserves reelection - NY Daily News".nydailynews.com.
  28. ^Editorial Board (November 2018)."Editorial endorsement: Kirsten Gillibrand for U.S. Senate".syracuse.com.
  29. ^"Endorsement: Gillibrand has right stuff for Senate".Glens Falls Post-Star. October 7, 2018.
  30. ^McPherson, Lindsey (August 14, 2018)."Trump Touts New York GOP Senate Candidate at Fundraiser for Vulnerable House Republican" – via www.rollcall.com.
  31. ^Lovett, Kenneth (April 9, 2018)."LOVETT: Al D'Amato blasts former pal Kirsten Gillibrand, says she 'doesn't care two s--ts in a bucket' about New Yorkers".New York Daily News.
  32. ^Whalen, Ryan (July 26, 2018)."Rep. Collins Endorses Farley For U.S. Senate".NY State of Politics. Archived fromthe original on August 7, 2018. RetrievedAugust 6, 2018.
  33. ^"Dan Donovan Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate".Chele Farley for US Senate. May 18, 2018. Archived fromthe original on August 6, 2018. RetrievedAugust 6, 2018.
  34. ^Reisman, Nick (May 1, 2018)."Faso For Farley".NY State of Politics. Archived fromthe original on May 4, 2018. RetrievedMay 4, 2018.
  35. ^Harding, Robert (May 31, 2018)."Rep. John Katko backs Chele Farley in race against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand".The Citizen.
  36. ^Chele Farley for Senate."I'm thrilled to announce that Congressman Peter King has endorsed our campaign for US Senate!".Facebook.
  37. ^Pascocello, Dain (July 10, 2018)."Congressman Reed Endorses Farley for U.S. Senate; NY-23 Rep Says Gillibrand 'Out of Touch with Our Values'".NewsLI.com.
  38. ^Harding, Robert (March 28, 2018)."Rep. Elise Stefanik endorses Chele Farley for Senate against Gillibrand".The Citizen.
  39. ^Chele Farley."Thank you, @claudiatenney, for your endorsement! #Farley4NY".Twitter.
  40. ^"Zeldin Strongly Endorses Chele Farley for US Senate; Calls Successful Businesswoman, Gillibrand Opponent an "Effective Leader, Proven Problem-Solver"".Long Island Exchange. August 28, 2018.
  41. ^"Gov. Mike Huckabee on Twitter".Twitter. RetrievedJuly 1, 2018.
  42. ^Chele Farley for Senate."Proud to have the endorsement of Governor George E. Pataki in my bid to represent New York in the US Senate! #Farley4NY #Farley4Senate".Facebook.
  43. ^Chele Farley."I've been endorsed by America's Mayor! Thank you to @RudyGiuliani for his support at yesterday's #Ohel visit. Let's #PutNYFirst on Tuesday! #Farley4NY".Twitter.
  44. ^Reisman, Nick (June 26, 2018)."Farley Touts Support From Hannity".NY State of Politics. Archived fromthe original on August 7, 2018. RetrievedAugust 6, 2018.
  45. ^"Crown Heights PAC Endorses".COLlive.com. November 5, 2018. RetrievedNovember 6, 2018.
  46. ^"Endorsements For New York November 6 General Elections".The Jewish Press. October 24, 2018.
  47. ^"GOP moderate Farley is better for New York than 'poser' Gillibrand".New York Post. October 27, 2018. RetrievedOctober 28, 2018.
  48. ^"2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018".The Cook Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  49. ^"2018 Senate Ratings".The Rothenberg Political Report. RetrievedMarch 13, 2021.
  50. ^"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings".Sabato's Crystal Ball. RetrievedOctober 11, 2017.
  51. ^"2018 Senate Power Rankings".Fox News. RetrievedJuly 10, 2018.
  52. ^"Key Races: Senate". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  53. ^"Battle for the Senate 2018". RetrievedJuly 15, 2018.
  54. ^Research Co.
  55. ^Siena College
  56. ^Quinnipiac University
  57. ^Siena College
  58. ^Liberty Opinion Research (R-Reform Party)
  59. ^Quinnipiac University
  60. ^Siena College
  61. ^Quinnipiac University
  62. ^Siena College
  63. ^Siena College
  64. ^"Certified Results from the November 6, 2018 General Election for U.S. Senator"(PDF).elections.ny.gov. Archived fromthe original(PDF) on March 8, 2021. RetrievedFebruary 20, 2023.
  65. ^"DRA 2020".Daves Redistricting. RetrievedAugust 18, 2024.

External links

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